> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.mlbdatawarehouse.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # 2027 Team Previews: Cincinnati Reds - URL: https://www.mlbdatawarehouse.com/2027-team-previews-cincinnati-reds/ - Published: 2026-11-09T16:10:37.000Z - Updated: 2026-11-09T16:10:37.000Z - Author: Jon Anderson - Tags: 2027 Team Previews Link to the full series: [2027 Team Previews - MLB Data Warehouse![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/icon/mlbdw_logo_2026-8432f353-7b0c-4b26-a597-883254ae8fbc.jpg)MLB Data WarehouseJon Anderson![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/thumbnail/publication-cover-a67df324-40bf-4313-b2a4-d94dc3defd5d.jpg)](https://www.mlbdatawarehouse.com/tag/2027-team-previews/) --- We're onto the Reds, who finished last in the NL Central. Things are not looking good. They lost **Hunter Greene** to elbow surgery, and we won't see him in 2027\. **Chase Burns** had a great season and looks poised to lead this rotation for years to come, but there's not much behind him. The offense is super top-heavy. **Sal Stewart** won (or will win, depending on when this gets published) the NL ROY, and **Elly De La Cruz** will be one of the favorites for MVP in 2027\. But other than that, there's not much to get super excited about. On top of all of that, the farm system isn't in great shape, either. So things aren't looking good for the Reds. But there are at least a handful of fantasy names to know, so we'll break them all down. --- # Hitters ### Elly De La Cruz > Age: **25** > Pos: **SS** Elly debuted very young, and now he heads into year five as a guy who will be turning 25\. It all came together for Elly late in the year, and he finished with an awesome season. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-35.png) That's the 30-30 we always knew he had in him. Plus a .385 average. The K% was still a bit high, but at 27.5% with his power and speed, it played just fine. His .359 BABIP was a repeat of 2024\. He's a high BABIP guy for sure. The lowest we've seen was 2025 at .337\. So maybe he falls down to .340 or something as his career baseline, and he could hit .260-.270 again because of that. It's tough for someone with a 25%+ K% to hit for a super high batting average, but the floor seems to be around .260, which looks better and better every year with batting averages coming down. There have been some questions about his home run power. His EVs are elite (110 EV90, 108.2 on fly balls), but he doesn't get a ton of balls into the air to begin with. Another high GB% (47%) in 2026 with a low 10.1% Air Pull%. But he hit the barrels hard enough to get 45% of them out of the yard, so he was converting even some of the ones he hit to center field. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-36.png) His batted ball profile has been pretty similar his whole career. He did get the FB% up a bit last year, but he's a spray hitter with a swing that turns into a lot of fly balls and line drives. So maybe he won't ever flirt with 35+ homers. I think the right projection should be a bit under 30. Speed-wise, that count has been coming down every year. 35 steals in 98 games in that rookie yar. Then 67, 37, and 30\. His attempt rate came down from 51% to 26% to 22% in this most recent year. So he's calmed down there. There's a real chance he won't get to 30 in homers or steals, but almost no chance he doesn't earn an easy 20-20 season with health. Batting average-wise, his xBA was .277\. So he wasn't lucky by that standard. He makes contact in the zone at 80%, and that's pretty great for his skill set. He's just a well-rounded fantasy player. High floors and high ceilings in every category. Elly is destined to be a top five or six pick in 2027, and there might be some fair questions about if he's worth that. Even with that 30-30, he still only drove in 79 runs. The Reds are bad, and I don't think the offense is going to get bulked up this offseason. The downside is probably 25 homers, 25 steals, and a .260 batting average. The upside is like 33 homers, 35 steals, and a .290 average. He's a floor play in the first round. I really don't think you're going to be upset with what you get. **Projection** *93 R, 28 HR, 83 RBI, 31 SB, .271/.354/.493* **Rank** Do you want **Juan Soto** or **Elly De La Cruz**? I think that's a question a lot of people will be asking themselves. When in doubt, I like to go with the round-one guy that can steal bags. And that's Elly to me, but I wouldn't blame anybody for going Soto, especially in OBP/points. --- ### Sal Stewart > Age: **23** > Pos: **1B/3B** Terrific rookie season for Stewart, better than most people expected. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-37.png) The OPS did end up below .800 (.787), and the batting average wasn't a huge help at .263\. But 30 homers, 111 RBI, and 15 steals from a guy you got in the middle of the draft was a steal. He will be a 3rd-ish round pick in 2027, I think. And there are questions about if his ceiling deserves that. **Power** No huge numbers in the EVs. 105.3 EV90, 104.8 on fly balls. The home park helps a lot. He went for an 11.9% Brl% with a 28% FB% and an 11.5% Air Pull%. He hit more homers on the road (17) than at home (15), so that's a good sign that his power wasn't all Great American Ballpark. But I'm pretty surprised he got 32 bombs on just the 11.9% Brl% and 22% K%. He looks more like a 25-homer guy to me, but he's young enouh to add more power and hit more impressive "under the hood" numbers. But if you're counting on another 30+ homer season, I think you might be disappointed. **Speed** This is where he might be way overvalued. He stole ten bases before June, and then just five in the final four months. His attempt rates were single digits from June through August before he got going again in September, stealing three bags on a 25% attempt rate. His success rate was bad at 65%. He's not a great runner, so I think we'll trend down on his steals. I could see him ending up as a 5-10 steal guy. A lot of times, the best guys do in steals is in their early years, like we saw with Elly. **Discipline** A little bit of swing-and-miss with him. A 79% Zone Contact% and 73% Contact% overall. But still just a 22.3% K%. He was somewhat aggressive with the swing rate (49%), so a lot of those whiffs came early in counts, and he was able to get enough balls in play. But it's another number that looks like it could go in the wrong direction. I could see a 24-25% K% next year. **Final Thoughts** He was a solid all-around contributor last year, but a lot of the production was in March-April when he burst onto the scene. There were some slumps and bad months. That's true with almost every player, but I just don't know if I see the guy getting much better than what we just saw. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-38.png) So I think you're kinda buying him at a ceiling. I'm not sure if I really want to do that. I'm pretty sure he won't drive in 111 runs again. He hit .301 with RISP, forty points above his actual batting average. So he "ran hot" in RBI, which was the category he was most valuable in. **Projection** *76 R, 28 HR, 83 RBI, 13 SB, .265/.335/.476* Regression everywhere except for batting average. I think that projection is fair, but I do think there's downside for 25 homers and eight steals after looking more at his season. **Rank** Very solid option, and 1B/3B eligible. I'm not trying to be down on the dude; I just don't really see him repeating 2026, and that's what he'll be priced to do in drafts. He's behind Nick Kurtz at first base, obviously. Neto/Lindor/Devers was the cluster I was looking at. I put him at the top of that; he's more well-rounded than those players and a lot younger. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-39.png) --- ### Hector Rodriguez > Age: **22** > Pos: **OF** This is the guy who could form some sort of "big three" with the first two guys. And they'll need him to, because the rest of the lineup SUCKS. Hector went on a tear for a couple of weeks there, but his numbers ended up looking pretty weak. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-40.png) He hit .229/.270/.410 for that .679 OPS. A .196 xBA, a .250 xwOBA. Not a terrible K%, but that shows you that his quality of contact really wasn't great. The youngster hit .171/.171/.244 in 41 PAs against lefties. I'm not sure they have the luxury of platooning him, and it's too early to decide that, but it was a bad sign early on. **Power** 105.8 EV90 overall, but 102.5 on fly balls. It was only 105 balls in play, so not a huge sample. Only a 6.7% Brl% and a high 52% GB%. So his swing wasn't generating hard-hit fly balls. Pretty ugly launch angle histogram: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-41.png) This is something that takes time for a lot of young guys, but some dudes just don't have the swing and contact ability to figure out how to hit for extra base hits consistently. The good news is that he's really young and does have well above-average bat speed. Looks like around 80th percentile to me, but we didn't get a ton of swings from him. **Speed** He's a good runner. 72nd percentile sprint speed, But no steals on a 7% attempt rate in limited time. He was rarely on first with his .270 OBP. In the minors, he stole 15 bags in 2025 on a 15% attempt rate and then six before the call-up in 2026 on a 7% attempt rate. His career high is 18\. I don't think we have a 20-steal guy. But there's speed to make him a 10-12 steal guy. **Discipline** Very aggressive with a 56% Swing%. Decent contact ability at an 82% Zone Contact%, but he doesn't seem to make very good decisions. Just a 57% Swing Decision%, which is awful. He was almost swinging as much out of the zone as he was in the zone. So that needs major work. We can forgive a lot in just a 152 PA sample in the Majors, but H Rod seems to have a lot of work to do to be worthy of a starting spot in fantasy leagues. **Final Thoughts** I thought I might be pretty high on him, but after looking at all of this, I'm pretty unimpressed. With such a young age and small sample, the upside is big if he makes adjustments, but there are major adjustments that need to be made. **Projection** *97 G, 45 R, 18 HR, 52 RBI, 4 SB, .253/.301/.456* **Rank** Between **Jung Hoo Lee** and **Denzer Guzman.** --- ### Spencer Steer > Age: **29** > Pos: **1B/OF** Steer was having a decent season before a wrist injury ended it for him. He played just 98 games but hit 16 homers with 54 runs and 40 RBI. He's a long ways from a fantasy stud, obviously, but he was pretty nice in deep leagues with a .739 OPS and that home run rate. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-65.png) It was his first time above a 4% HR%. He probably would have cleared 20 homers again, and could have gotten up near 25 while chipping in 5-10 steals. The batting average has been consistently bad: .238 the last two years. He takes *some* walks, but around 9% keeps the OBP below the league average. **Power** He does not have *raw power*. 103.5 EV90 on fly balls, below-average bat speed. He doesn't look like a 20-homer guy, but he has been one the last three years (if you adjust his playing time up from last year). So how does he do it? Great American Ballpark helps, but he's also extremely good at pulling the ball in the air (21%) and maximing the angles to get some homers. Nine of his 16 homers were at home, so that's not crazy. He converts a lot of barrels for homers with that home park and the pull-heavy approach. It was a 30% FB% last year and an 11.7% Brl%. So lots of "barely barrels", you could say, that find the seats. It's harder to bet on that, but he's done it three straight years now so you have to project him for 15+ homers easily. **Speed** He swiped 25 bags in 2024, but then just ten the last two years. The attempt rate fell to 3% last year after it was at 6% in 2025\. Those 25 steals were the outlier; he's like a seven-steal guy, probably. **Discipline** The batting average won't be high because of his fly ball rate and lack of EVs. He's a low BABIP guy, he's been under .280 every year. His K% is league average (22%), so no huge help there for the batting average, but not a big problem either. **Final Thoughts** Steer will be undervalued, I think. The injury made people forget about him. He's definitely going to play when healthy, and he's a 20-10-.240 candidate with a decent number of counting stats. But he's not for standard leagues; there just isn't much upside there. The best he can do is like 25 homers with a .245 average and ten steals. That would matter in plenty of leagues, but that's the absolute best-case scenario. **Projection** *108 G, 51 R, 16 HR, 53 RBI, 5 SB, .237/.322/.409* **Rank** Behind Eldridge, ahead of Karros. --- ### Matt McLain > Age: **27** > Pos: **2B/SS** McLain got everybody real excited with his huge spring. The guys' ADP shot up into the 100s. It was wild to see. And he taught all of his drafters another lesson about spring training performances. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-69.png) We had the nice little 2023 debut when he went for an .864 OPS with 16 homers and 14 steals. Even then, it was a high K% and lower BB% and lack of plate discipline. And since then, he's been awful. There's some competition at 2B now with *Edwin Ar*royo and others, so I'm struggling to see how McLain stays on the field. He doesn't have much bat speed; he has a very low contact rate, and the angles are below-average as well. With a batting average near .200 the last two (almost full) years, it's tough to see him getting up to .240 or so where we'd need him to be. The best tool is the speed. He's a good runner and has stolen 38 bases the last two years, but you're getting that along with the horrible slash line and 15-homer(ish) pace. And now he's less likely than ever to actually play. I don't see it for McLain anymore. And he's 27 now, so why would they give him repeated chances when they have some young options they might want to get longer looks at? **Projection** *124 G, 56 R, 16 HR, 53 RBI, 16 SB, .221/.305/.380* **Rank** If we knew he'd be the every day starter (which we don't), he'd probably project as a top 400 player with the 15-20 ability he has. But there's just so much downside and it's very hard to see him fixing these problems he's had the last two years while healthy. So he's going below **Marcus Semien**, who is probably worse for fantasy game-by-game, but at least he has a clearer shot to playing time. --- ### Noelvi Marte > Age: **25** > Pos: **OF** Marte was viewed as a top prospect for the Reds for a long time, but like McLain, he's repeatedly disappointed and doesn't have a defensive position to call home. They put **Ke'Bryan Hayes** at third and moved him to the outfield, and that didn't work. It's just been a disaster for the Reds outside of Burns/Stewart/Elly. And now Marte looks like a bench guy at best. Just a .550 OPS last year in 63 games. I guess you could say he hasn't gotten a lot of playing time yet, and maybe he needs that to be able to figure it out. But if you're not figuring it out at the plate while being a liability defensively, they aren't going to give you many chances. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-70.png) Bad contact rate at 73%, a 26% K%, and a .234 xwOBA. So he's not going down on strikes a third of the time, but he's also not making up for a 26% K% with quality of contact. We thought he had big-time power when he was coming up, but the bat speed isn't there after all. Below-average bat speed, nothing special in EVs, although it's not terrible at a 105 EV90 on fly balls. But he rarely gets the ball in the air with a 56% GB%. He does have a home run rate above 3.5% the last two years, so he can do a little bit of that, but that's about all he can do, and the launch angle stuff isn't tuned to letting that power play consistently. Only a 5% Brl% for the guy. The seven steals in limited time with a 27% attempt rate was the best part of his profile. If we knew the Reds were committed to him, I'd be willing to make another cheap bet. He did go for 14 homers and ten steals in 90 games back in 2025, so there's 20-20 ability in there somewhere. But there's no clear path to actually getting the opportunity. We'll check back in spring. Maybe they'll give him a few months to see if he can figure it out; it's not like they have other great options. So I'm more optimistic about Noelvi than McLain, but he's still nowhere near the top 350 that we're talking about for normal fantasy baseball leagues. In early drafts, he's going around pick 500\. McLain's going in the top 300\. McLain has the clearer path to playing time, obviously. I'd probably be willing to make a pick or two on Noelvi in the 500s, but he's given us no well-rounded reason to believe in him being of fantasy impact. **Rank** Near Drew Gilbert... he does have roto upside with HR+SB, but that requires a lot of improvements we haven't seen him making, and he has to first get the job that he doesn't look to have right now. --- ### Edwin Arroyo > Age: **23** > Pos: **SS/2B** He's turned into a sleeper pick. Early drafts, his ADP is below 800\. So people are writing him off. And I don't think that's quite right. He was really bad in 50 big league games, but the starts were spotty. He originally got called up when Elly took a short trip to the IL, and he didn't get much run after that. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-71.png) But he's the guy I think they could start at 2B over McLain. The minor league track record looks pretty nice. Here's a screenshot from the new **player lookup tool** we have. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-72.png) The stats: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-73.png) So you can see why he got some buzz when he was called up. 15 homers and 13 steals last year in 78 games with a .300 batting average. **Power** Very low bat speed guy and a 100.2 EV90 in the Majors. He's not a power hitter even though he did post that big 4.2% HR% in AAA last year. I'm not exactly sure where that came from, probably just from consistently getting balls into the air and letting it play out. His max EV in the Majors was 105.1\. In the minors, he hit a 109.1 max, which was higher, but still not great. He had about a 7% Brl% in the minors. So he has more power than he showed in the Majors, but he's nothing more than a 15-homer guy, I don't think. Although hey, he's still very young. **Speed** Just one steal in his short MLB time, but he was on his way to stealing 20+ bags in the minors. He actually is a fast runner with 91st percentile sprint speed. So I think he'll steal a lot more bags in the future than he showed in his first MLB stint. He was only on base at a .266 clip, so the opportunities weren't really there. **Plate Discipline** Really aggressive at the plate. 58% Swing% in the Majors, 73% Contact%, 84% in zone. He was overmatched and not able to make good swing decisions. That stuff develops with time, he needs a couple hundred PAs before we can just him. Will he get those early on in 2027? Time will tell. In the minors, it was a 54% Swing% and an 89% Zone Contact% with 19% K% and 8% BB%. Better, but still not a great discipline guy. So the upside with the bat is admittedly limited. And with Elly playing shortstop, he's restricted to 2B where guys don't usually stick just because of their defense. **Final Thoughts** It's a good bet right now. You can have him for free, he's one of the top Reds better prospects, and I think they'd be wise to give him some run in 2027 over McLain. He played a little at 3B last year, too, so he can do that. There's a path to him being the starter, and the minor league data makes you think he could develop pretty nicely. --- As I write this in early November, it's hard to know what the lineup will look like. It could go all sorts of different ways, so these ranks will be shuffled around once we start getting some clarity on what they plan to do. --- # Pitchers ### Chase Burns > Age: **24** It went very well for Burns in 2026\. He was shut down and limited to three innings at a time for the final month, but he made it through the season healthy and should be free of limitations in 2027\. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-74.png) The 20.5% K-BB%! A 2.86 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. I'll say that he does look a little lucky with his 3.46 SIERA. He was helped by a 14% HR/FB, which is tough to do in Cincinnati as a fly-ball pitcher. That could go the wrong way. His pitch mix is also a bit limited: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-75.png) More than 90% four-seamers and sliders. And the four-seamer wasn't as dominant as you might have thought. Just an 8.4% SwStr% and .331 xwOBA on it. That's a red flag to me. It seems like hitters were able to sit on it since he was throwing it 55% of the time. You knew it was coming in a 2-0 or 3-1 count. So he needs to work on the changeup/sinker or add a cutter or something. There's no reason to think he can't. The arm talent is off the charts. 2026 may have just been more about getting through the year healthy and getting into the flow of things as a big league ace. Since that's accomplished, I think it's time for him to go into the lab a bit and develop. We shouldn't be too down on his fastball, either. 107 Stuff+, 98mph on average. With some refinement and reduced predictability, the fastball could be great. All of that is just burying the lede. His slider is one of the best pitches in the game. A 26.4% SwStr% and .192 xwOBA, 125 MLB DW grade. Stud pitch, unhittable. So while there are some holes to poke, I think they get patched up. He should exceed 170 innings with health, and he has SP1 overall potential. Look for some new pitches in the spring! **Projection** *179 IP, 3.54 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 214 SO, 10.8 K/9, 3.1 BB/9* **Rank** The new #1\. --- ### Nick Lodolo > Age: **28** He came up with Hunter Greene and has looked like a borderline ace at times. A really nice 19.5% K-BB% in 2025 with a 3.57 SIERA and a sick 1.08 WHIP. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-76.png) But injuries have hurt him, and 2026 was a total mess. He lost seven points on the K% and it was the worst walk rate of his career. The 4.88 SIERA tells you the tale. I guess it was good to get 108.2 innings from him and have him finish the year healthy. But the stats were not good anywhere. He will be extremely cheap next year, and I'd consider it a buy-low for deep leagues or dynasty leagues. The pitch mix: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-77.png) The curveball was always his best pitch, but it wasn't terrific last year. And the fastballs were the real problem. He's never had big velo, but his length as a lefty plays some of that stuff up. He *looks* really tough to hit when you watch him. The command was the problem last year, or at least the main problem. A 38% Ball% and a bunch of meatballs. 20 homers allowed on a .375 xwOBA. He was terrific in the second half of 2025 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Is that guy gone? Was that luck? I can't say for sure, but this isn't the type of guy I'm giving up on. At the end of the day, though, you have a guy who has never stayed healthy and looked awful in the most recent season. For your standard leagues, I think you just wait and see what he's doing in April and then consider adding him. He shouldn't be drafted in the top 300\. His early ADP is 325, so the field still likes him. The job security is there, and I think he can recapture some of that 2025 season. **Projection** *164 IP, 4.45 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 145 SO, 7.9 K/9, 2.9 BB/9* **Rank** I'm calling him a buy-low. He's one of those late-round guys you can just drop if it's not working without much cost to you. I'm down for Lodolo again in 2027. Gage Jump/Jonah Tong comp, I'm placing him right after those two. --- ### Andrew Abbott > Age: **27** He crushed his 4.20 SIERA in 2025 with a 2.87 ERA in 29 starts. The K% was okay at 22%, and he showed good command with a 6% BB%. And his lefty changeup and deception worked beautifully. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-78.png) But 2025 looks like luck now, looking back. The 7.5% K-BB% last year was the worst of his career, and the SIERA ballooned to 4.99\. His ERA was close to it at 4.61. His stuff has never looked good. It's always seemed like his success was good luck-driven. But that's overly simplistic. The pitch mix from last year: ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-79.png) The four-seamer was a disaster. A 95 MLB DW grade, a 5.6% SwStr%, a .389 xwOBA. It was feast season for hitters when they saw it. His off-speed stuff is good. I like the sweeper & changeup from the left side. It was just the 44% usage four-seamer holding him back. He couldn't get to the offspeed when the fastball was getting drilled. But there's a path to improvement. Maybe he should just embrace being a junk baller. Throw the sweeper/changeup 65% of the time, find a sinker or something. See what you can do with the four-seamer. At the end of the day, though, it's a 44% Strike% last year with a history of poor SIERAs. I'm not buying in on the guy, but I do think he can be a lot better than he was last year. They'll definitely want innings from him, so he can be a volume guy. ### Projection *175 IP, 4.72 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 147 SO, 7.5 K/9, 3.4 BB/9* ### Rank Down there with Sean Manaea. --- ### Rhett Lowder > Age: **24** He was a high draft pick, but he's never looked like more than an SP4(ish) in the bigs. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-80.png) Just a 17% K%. That works for **Michael Wacha** sometimes, but Lowder's command wasn't pristine, which you absolutely need when you have this level of whiffs and raw stuff. A 4.88 SIERA, a 5.74 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP. He gave up a .309 BABIP, which could improve. His GB% was 42%, which isn't what you want, but it's not so low that it's unredeemable. It's hard to live in fantasy leagues as a pitch-to-contact guy. The thrivers there are few and far between. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-81.png) He doesn't even seem to have a single good pitch. The slider is fine, I guess. But his sinker was awful; his four-seamer rarely reaches 95, and it was really bad too, with a 5.4% SwStr% I'm not sure how Lowder sticks in a big league rotation at this point. I'm not sure what the Reds saw in him when they drafted him. The absolute best-case scenario is the command from college and the minors comes back, and he can be like a **Mitch Keller** type. **Rank** Behind Jacob Lopez, near the bottom of the list. --- # Prospects to Know Not a ton of *proximity* in the org. The wave of Elly/McLain/Noelvi really let them down overall. The biggest name to watch for mid-2027 is #1 prospect **Alfredo Duno**. He's probably the catcher of the future and has a lot of fantasy baseball appeal. The other top names are in the lower levels and probably won't matter for 2027\. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/2026/11/image-82.png) Check out the full podcast here: [2027 Prospect Preview Pod: RedsThis is the first email from the new site! So here's hoping it works. Paid Subscriber Note To those of you who are paid subs, nothing has changed. Your rate and your renewal dates have stayed the same. After you sign in to the new site for the first![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/icon/mlbdw_logo_2026-e47dca4c-74ab-4d8d-af2a-e02fbbf7320e.jpg)MLB Data WarehouseJon Anderson![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/32/22/322212fc-720a-4899-891b-079f5343fd5b/content/images/thumbnail/Screenshot-2026-10-29-at-8.02.17---AM-206868ad-ea8f-4b18-982e-a9d18782ff49.png)](https://www.mlbdatawarehouse.com/2027-prospect-preview-pod-reds/)