MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 15th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Aug 16, 2023
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Slate Preview

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

ATL (vs. Randy Vasquez): 72.79 Projected Points
CHC (vs. Mike Clevinger): 70.85 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Alec Marsh): 70.47 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Wade Miley): 70.33 Projected Points
ARI (vs. Austin Gomber): 70.05 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

DET (vs. Kenta Maeda): 54.37 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Justin Verlander): 54.97 Projected Points
KC (vs. Luis Castillo): 58.7 Projected Points
WSH (vs. James Paxton): 59.19 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Jon Gray): 60.08 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

CHC: 70.85 Today, 62.6 Season Average
ARI: 70.05 Today, 62.54 Season Average
CWS: 67.65 Today, 60.72 Season Average
SEA: 70.47 Today, 64.04 Season Average
OAK: 62.87 Today, 56.6 Season Average

Game by Game Previews


DET @ MIN

Projected Game Score:

MIN 4.26 - DET 3.18
MIN 57.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.44

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kenta Maeda: 13 GS, 1042 Pitches, 28.8 K%, 6.4 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 48.3 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%, 35.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Reese Olson: 10 GS, 1016 Pitches, 23.1 K%, 6.4 BB%, 12.3 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 42.4 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kenta Maeda (MIN): 90 Pitches 5.58 IP, 4.9 H, 2.2 ER, 6.6 K, 1.5 BB, 18.29 FPts
Reese Olson (DET): 90 Pitches 5.51 IP, 5.1 H, 2.7 ER, 5.9 K, 1.9 BB, 15.21 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kenta Maeda - 5.5 strikeouts
Reese Olson - 5.5 strikeouts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Akil Baddoo: 4.17 PA, 0.83 H, 1.24 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.62 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.37 PA, 1.03 H, 1.59 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.19 FPts
3. Matt Vierling: 4.23 PA, 0.98 H, 1.48 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.61 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.2 PA, 0.86 H, 1.54 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.61 FPts
5. Kerry Carpenter: 3.93 PA, 0.95 H, 1.64 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.71 FPts
6. Miguel Cabrera: 3.89 PA, 0.83 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.05 FPts
7. Zach McKinstry: 3.68 PA, 0.77 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.7 FPts
8. Andy Ibanez: 3.53 PA, 0.81 H, 1.27 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.16 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.4 PA, 0.63 H, 1.1 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.72 FPts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.25 PA, 0.91 H, 1.67 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.36 FPts
2. Jorge Polanco: 4.33 PA, 1.02 H, 1.92 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Max Kepler: 4.1 PA, 0.97 H, 1.77 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts
4. Royce Lewis: 4.03 PA, 0.94 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.65 FPts
5. Matt Wallner: 3.91 PA, 0.78 H, 1.56 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.02 FPts
6. Donovan Solano: 3.72 PA, 0.88 H, 1.3 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.94 FPts
7. Christian Vazquez: 3.73 PA, 0.89 H, 1.34 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.84 FPts
8. Joey Gallo: 3.48 PA, 0.55 H, 1.26 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.11 FPts
9. Kyle Farmer: 3.38 PA, 0.82 H, 1.27 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.49 FPts

Best Bets

Spencer Torkelson DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-115.0) - 0.129 value
Akil Baddoo DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.121 value
Max Kepler MIN - H+R+RBI Under 2.5 (-155.0) - 0.105 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Edouard Julien (MIN) 2B $3200: 8.36 Proj, 1.27 Score
Matt Wallner (MIN) OF $2400: 7.02 Proj, 1.16 Score
Max Kepler (MIN) OF $3400: 7.97 Proj, 1.16 Score
Jorge Polanco (MIN) 2B/3B $4700: 8.76 Proj, 1.15 Score
Royce Lewis (MIN) 3B $3400: 7.65 Proj, 1.01 Score

PIT @ NYM

Projected Game Score:

PIT 4.12 - NYM 4.01
PIT 50.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.13

2023 Pitcher Stats

Johan Oviedo: 24 GS, 2224 Pitches, 20.5 K%, 9.2 BB%, 12.6 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%, 43.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Tylor Megill: 17 GS, 1474 Pitches, 17.1 K%, 10.7 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 41.6 Strike%, 40.4 Ball%, 43.2 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Johan Oviedo (PIT): 96 Pitches 5.97 IP, 5.6 H, 3.0 ER, 4.6 K, 3.2 BB, 11.79 FPts
Tylor Megill (NYM): 80 Pitches 4.75 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 4.2 K, 2.1 BB, 11.25 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Johan Oviedo - 4.5 strikeouts
Tylor Megill - 5.5 strikeouts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.43 PA, 1.03 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.31 PA, 1.06 H, 1.88 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.67 FPts
3. Andrew McCutchen: 4.25 PA, 0.84 H, 1.41 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.64 FPts
4. Jack Suwinski: 4.07 PA, 0.74 H, 1.58 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.26 FPts
5. Connor Joe: 4.04 PA, 0.82 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.73 FPts
6. Endy Rodriguez: 3.97 PA, 0.84 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.39 FPts
7. Liover Peguero: 3.74 PA, 0.83 H, 1.41 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.58 FPts
8. Alfonso Rivas: 3.73 PA, 0.79 H, 1.14 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.77 FPts
9. Alika Williams: 3.49 PA, 0.77 H, 1.23 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.57 FPts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.3 PA, 1.02 H, 1.68 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.03 FPts
2. Francisco Lindor: 4.21 PA, 0.96 H, 1.67 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.42 FPts
3. Pete Alonso: 4.13 PA, 0.94 H, 1.88 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.39 FPts
4. Jeff McNeil: 4.04 PA, 1.06 H, 1.49 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.93 FPts
5. Daniel Vogelbach: 3.63 PA, 0.71 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.39 FPts
6. D.J. Stewart: 3.83 PA, 0.68 H, 1.21 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.26 FPts
7. Omar Narvaez: 3.45 PA, 0.76 H, 1.17 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.41 FPts
8. Rafael Ortega: 3.6 PA, 0.8 H, 1.22 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.52 FPts
9. Jonathan Arauz: 3.37 PA, 0.71 H, 1.1 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.01 FPts

Best Bets

Tylor Megill NYM - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (-160.0) - 0.143 value
Tylor Megill NYM - Outs Under 15.5 (-105.0) - 0.132 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $3500: 8.26 Proj, 1.22 Score
Francisco Lindor (NYM) SS $5300: 8.42 Proj, 1.14 Score
Rafael Ortega (NYM) OF $2200: 6.52 Proj, 1.11 Score
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $4800: 8.67 Proj, 1.11 Score
Pete Alonso (NYM) 1B $5500: 8.39 Proj, 1.08 Score

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