MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - August 3rd

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Aug 03, 2023
∙ Paid
2
Share

Bets & DFS player pool at the bottom! Here we go!


8/3 Slate Preview


Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

CHC (vs. Luke Weaver): 73.87 Projected Points
LAD (vs. JP Sears): 73.76 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Adrian Houser): 72.61 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Jameson Taillon): 72.44 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Touki Toussaint): 71.17 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

CWS (vs. Max Scherzer): 50.51 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Julio Urias): 57.92 Projected Points
BAL (vs. Kevin Gausman): 59.38 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Shohei Ohtani): 59.52 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Johnny Cueto): 59.69 Projected Points

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Andrew McCutchen: 8.75 Today, 8.68 Previous Max
Jack Suwinski: 9.49 Today, 9.23 Previous Max
Kyle Farmer: 8.32 Today, 8.18 Previous Max
Mike Tauchman: 8.85 Today, 8.41 Previous Max
Ian Happ: 9.0 Today, 8.33 Previous Max
Cody Bellinger: 9.0 Today, 8.69 Previous Max
Luis Rengifo: 7.93 Today, 7.84 Previous Max

Game by Game Previews


PHI @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

MIA 3.72 - PHI 3.56
MIA 51.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.28

2023 Pitcher Stats

Michael Lorenzen: 18 GS, 1593 Pitches, 19.9 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Johnny Cueto: 3 GS, 244 Pitches, 22.6 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 34.4 Ball%, 34.9 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Michael Lorenzen (PHI): 92 Pitches 5.6 IP, 5.8 H, 2.6 ER, 5.0 K, 1.6 BB, 13.67 FPts
Johnny Cueto (MIA): 85 Pitches 5.05 IP, 5.6 H, 2.4 ER, 4.4 K, 1.2 BB, 11.87 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Michael Lorenzen - 4.5 strikeouts
Johnny Cueto - 4.5 strikeouts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.33 PA, 0.83 H, 1.77 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.94 FPts
2. Alec Bohm: 4.23 PA, 1.03 H, 1.49 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.25 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.09 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.01 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.02 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.6 FPts
5. Bryson Stott: 3.94 PA, 1.0 H, 1.46 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.68 FPts
6. J.T. Realmuto: 3.81 PA, 0.91 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.05 FPts
7. Brandon Marsh: 3.66 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.99 FPts
8. Trea Turner: 3.57 PA, 0.87 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.38 FPts
9. Jake Cave: 3.15 PA, 0.66 H, 1.12 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.79 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.31 PA, 1.3 H, 1.82 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.73 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.22 PA, 0.87 H, 1.69 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.17 FPts
3. Josh Bell: 4.11 PA, 0.95 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.12 FPts
4. Jazz Chisholm: 3.84 PA, 0.91 H, 1.69 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.24 SB, 8.52 FPts
5. Jake Burger: 3.86 PA, 0.93 H, 1.84 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.35 FPts
6. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.84 PA, 0.96 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.53 FPts
7. Jesus Sanchez: 3.56 PA, 0.83 H, 1.44 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.02 FPts
8. Joey Wendle: 3.49 PA, 0.86 H, 1.22 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.51 FPts
9. Jacob Stallings: 3.19 PA, 0.65 H, 0.98 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.38 FPts

Best Bets

None

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate


CWS @ TEX

Projected Game Score:

TEX 5.16 - CWS 2.9
TEX 64.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.06

2023 Pitcher Stats

Max Scherzer: 19 GS, 1750 Pitches, 27.3 K%, 6.8 BB%, 14.4 SwStr%, 49.9 Strike%, 33.5 Ball%, 31.7 GB%, 10 Brl%
Touki Toussaint: 5 GS, 632 Pitches, 19.2 K%, 15.2 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 42.6 Strike%, 42.2 Ball%, 54.2 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Max Scherzer (TEX): 97 Pitches 6.15 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 7.1 K, 1.6 BB, 20.64 FPts
Touki Toussaint (CWS): 80 Pitches 5.0 IP, 4.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.3 K, 3.0 BB, 9.58 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Max Scherzer - 7.5 strikeouts
Touki Toussaint - 4.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tim Anderson: 4.35 PA, 1.03 H, 1.47 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.66 FPts
2. Andrew Benintendi: 4.29 PA, 1.04 H, 1.45 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.72 FPts
3. Andrew Vaughn: 4.21 PA, 0.92 H, 1.58 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.26 FPts
4. Yoan Moncada: 4.03 PA, 0.76 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.7 FPts
5. Yasmani Grandal: 3.93 PA, 0.75 H, 1.21 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.3 FPts
6. Trayce Thompson: 3.93 PA, 0.63 H, 1.31 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.02 FPts
7. Gavin Sheets: 3.59 PA, 0.75 H, 1.32 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.35 FPts
8. Zach Remillard: 3.58 PA, 0.56 H, 0.83 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.29 FPts
9. Oscar Colas: 3.29 PA, 0.64 H, 1.05 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.21 FPts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.62 PA, 1.02 H, 1.66 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.78 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.52 PA, 1.14 H, 2.04 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.7 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.43 PA, 1.03 H, 1.59 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.33 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.3 PA, 0.95 H, 1.75 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.16 SB, 9.08 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 4.17 PA, 0.92 H, 1.64 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.45 FPts
6. Travis Jankowski: 3.96 PA, 0.85 H, 1.09 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.25 SB, 7.81 FPts
7. Mitch Garver: 3.99 PA, 0.73 H, 1.36 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.05 FPts
8. Josh Smith: 3.54 PA, 0.69 H, 1.0 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.1 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.61 PA, 0.89 H, 1.35 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.87 FPts

Best Bets

Trayce Thompson CWS - H+R+RBI Over 0.5 (-120.0) - 0.168 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

NYM @ KC

Projected Game Score:

KC 4.53 - NYM 4.08
KC 52.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 8.61

2023 Pitcher Stats

Brady Singer: 21 GS, 1917 Pitches, 19.9 K%, 7.6 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 48.9 GB%, 8 Brl%
Carlos Carrasco: 14 GS, 1226 Pitches, 16.1 K%, 9.9 BB%, 11.4 SwStr%, 41.9 Strike%, 39.0 Ball%, 50.0 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Brady Singer (KC): 95 Pitches 5.83 IP, 6.0 H, 3.0 ER, 4.8 K, 2.0 BB, 12.49 FPts
Carlos Carrasco (NYM): 70 Pitches 4.16 IP, 4.4 H, 2.2 ER, 3.4 K, 1.2 BB, 9.05 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Brady Singer - 4.5 strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco - 3.5 strikeouts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Jeff McNeil: 4.49 PA, 1.2 H, 1.63 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.36 FPts
2. D.J. Stewart: 4.38 PA, 0.79 H, 1.35 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.93 FPts
3. Francisco Lindor: 4.27 PA, 0.96 H, 1.61 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 8.23 FPts
4. Pete Alonso: 4.19 PA, 0.96 H, 1.81 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.87 FPts
5. Brett Baty: 4.04 PA, 0.91 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.32 FPts
6. Mark Vientos: 3.84 PA, 0.89 H, 1.67 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.91 FPts
7. Omar Narvaez: 3.87 PA, 0.86 H, 1.26 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.8 FPts
8. Rafael Ortega: 3.73 PA, 0.84 H, 1.24 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Jonathan Arauz: 3.49 PA, 0.76 H, 1.13 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 4.99 FPts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Maikel Garcia: 4.65 PA, 1.18 H, 1.74 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.51 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.53 PA, 1.14 H, 1.98 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.54 FPts
3. MJ Melendez: 4.41 PA, 0.91 H, 1.59 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.82 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.27 PA, 1.03 H, 1.84 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Michael Massey: 4.0 PA, 0.89 H, 1.53 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.85 FPts
6. Freddy Fermin: 4.07 PA, 0.99 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.15 FPts
7. Matt Beaty: 4.0 PA, 0.91 H, 1.26 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.06 FPts
8. Drew Waters: 3.86 PA, 0.81 H, 1.38 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.94 FPts
9. Samad Taylor: 3.62 PA, 0.69 H, 1.01 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.19 SB, 6.13 FPts

Best Bets

None

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

And now we reach the paywall. Subscribe today to get the rest of this post, the full daily notes, full projections and full bet values every day for dozens and dozens of player props, access to the Tableau dashboards, custom daily-updated Google Sheets, and so much more! Read the about page here for more information.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Jon A
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture