DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 8th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Slate Preview 7/8/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
STL (vs. Touki Toussaint): 77.19 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Jake Irvin): 75.54 Projected Points
SF (vs. Connor Seabold): 73.46 Projected Points
BOS (vs. Paul Blackburn): 70.49 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Drew Smyly): 69.93 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
DET (vs. Kevin Gausman): 49.49 Projected Points
CHC (vs. Gerrit Cole): 57.23 Projected Points
PHI (vs. Braxton Garrett): 57.76 Projected Points
COL (vs. Ryan Walker): 58.62 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Bryan Woo): 58.63 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Kevin Gausman: 25.14 Today, 25.07 Previous Max
Braxton Garrett: 15.6 Today, 15.25 Previous Max
Ryan Walker: 5.15 Today, 4.72 Previous Max
Christian Yelich: 9.76 Today, 9.6 Previous Max
Lars Nootbaar: 9.59 Today, 9.32 Previous Max
Brendan Donovan: 9.45 Today, 9.42 Previous Max
Jordan Walker: 8.22 Today, 7.89 Previous Max
Tony Kemp: 7.91 Today, 7.85 Previous Max
Patrick Bailey: 7.69 Today, 7.36 Previous Max
Aledmys Diaz: 7.44 Today, 7.16 Previous Max
Shea Langeliers: 6.8 Today, 6.74 Previous Max
Nick Allen: 5.15 Today, 4.82 Previous Max
DFS Picks
4:00 slate | 7 games
SP
James Paxton $10,500 vs. OAK
Gavin Williams $7,000 vs. CLE
Andrew Heaney $8,200 vs. WSH
Braxton Garrett $9,600 vs. PHI
Catcher
William Contreras $4,300 vs. Luke Weaver
Keibert Ruiz $3,400 vs. Andrew Heaney
Patrick Bailey $3,500 vs. Connor Seabold
First Base
LaMonte Wade Jr. $3,800 vs. Connor Seabold
Connor Joe $2,800 vs. Kyle Nelson
Nathaniel Lowe $4,600 vs. Jake Irvin
Second Base
Matt McLain $5,500 vs. Colin Rea
Marcus Semien $6,200 vs. Jake Irvin
Jordan Diaz $2,100 vs. James Paxton
Third Base
Rafael Devers $4,900 vs. Paul Blackburn
J.D. Davis $4,000 vs. Connor Seabold
Maikel Garcia $3,400 vs. Gavin Williams
Shortstop
Corey Seager $6,400 vs. Jake Irvin
Matt McLain $5,500 vs. Colin Rea
Maikel Garcia $3,400 vs. Gavin Williams
Outfield
Mike Yastzemski $3,000 vs. Connor Seabold
Joc Pederson $4,600 vs. Connor Seabold
Michael Conforto $3,600 vs. Connor Seabold
Christian Yelich $5,000 vs. Luke Weaver
Masataka Yoshida $4,700 vs. Paul Blackburn
Jarren Duran $3,500 vs. Paul Blackburn
Adolis Garcia $5,800 vs. Jake Irvin
Luis Matos $2,900 vs. Connor Seabold
Connor Joe $2,800 vs. Kyle Nelson
Best Bets
all games considered
Sonny Gray over 1.5 BB +100
Matt Manning over 1.5 BB +130
Andrew Heaney under 1.5 BB +115
Travis Jankowski under 1.5 TB -195
Colin Rea over 1.5 BB -110
Blake Snell over 1.5 ER -135
Drew Smyly under 2.5 BB -200
NYM/SDP over 8 total runs
Game by Game Previews
CHC @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
NYY 5.12 - CHC 3.65
NYY 58.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.77
2023 Pitcher Stats
Gerrit Cole: 18 GS, 1779 Pitches, 26.2 K%, 7.2 BB%, 13.3 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 36.6 GB%, 9 Brl%
Drew Smyly: 17 GS, 1466 Pitches, 19.3 K%, 7.8 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 34.9 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Gerrit Cole (NYY): 100 Pitches 6.37 IP, 5.3 H, 2.6 ER, 7.5 K, 2.1 BB, 20.9 FPts
Drew Smyly (CHC): 86 Pitches 5.39 IP, 5.4 H, 2.7 ER, 4.3 K, 1.7 BB, 11.53 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Gerrit Cole - 7.5 strikeouts
Drew Smyly - 4.5 strikeouts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Mike Tauchman: 4.48 PA, 0.81 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.67 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.32 PA, 1.07 H, 1.52 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.51 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.22 PA, 0.86 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.33 FPts
4. Seiya Suzuki: 4.15 PA, 0.89 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.8 FPts
5. Cody Bellinger: 4.07 PA, 0.77 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.27 FPts
6. Christopher Morel: 3.89 PA, 0.8 H, 1.53 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.75 FPts
7. Yan Gomes: 3.77 PA, 0.79 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.21 FPts
8. Trey Mancini: 3.7 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.35 FPts
9. Miles Mastrobuoni: 3.34 PA, 0.59 H, 0.99 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.34 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Anthony Volpe: 4.57 PA, 0.97 H, 1.72 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.19 SB, 8.89 FPts
2. Gleyber Torres: 4.47 PA, 1.09 H, 1.85 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.92 FPts
3. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.36 PA, 0.97 H, 2.07 TB, 0.31 HR, 0.0 SB, 9.26 FPts
4. Anthony Rizzo: 4.27 PA, 0.94 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.23 FPts
5. Harrison Bader: 4.11 PA, 1.0 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.07 FPts
6. Josh Donaldson: 4.03 PA, 0.84 H, 1.59 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.42 FPts
7. D.J. LeMahieu: 3.93 PA, 0.92 H, 1.4 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.91 FPts
8. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.73 PA, 0.94 H, 1.33 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.79 FPts
9. Jose Trevino: 3.41 PA, 0.82 H, 1.26 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.44 FPts
Best Bets
Drew Smyly CHC - Walks Under 2.5 (-200.0) - 0.101 value
Anthony Volpe NYY - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+110.0) - 0.056 value
Gerrit Cole NYY - Walks Over 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.054 value
Drew Smyly CHC - ER Allowed Under 3.5 (-160.0) - 0.051 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
OR @ DET
Projected Game Score:
TOR 4.43 - DET 2.84
TOR 61.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.27
2023 Pitcher Stats
Kevin Gausman: 17 GS, 1808 Pitches, 32.7 K%, 6.1 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 50.9 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 10 Brl%
Matt Manning: 4 GS, 354 Pitches, 15.8 K%, 7.4 BB%, 7.6 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 34.3 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kevin Gausman (TOR): 101 Pitches 6.43 IP, 5.1 H, 2.3 ER, 8.9 K, 1.3 BB, 25.14 FPts
Matt Manning (DET): 94 Pitches 5.59 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 4.0 K, 2.0 BB, 10.66 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kevin Gausman - 7.5 strikeouts
Matt Manning - 4.5 strikeouts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. Bo Bichette: 4.33 PA, 1.22 H, 1.97 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.55 FPts
2. Brandon Belt: 4.11 PA, 0.88 H, 1.58 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.71 FPts
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.14 PA, 1.07 H, 1.84 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.22 FPts
4. Matt Chapman: 4.05 PA, 0.93 H, 1.73 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.01 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 3.91 PA, 0.83 H, 1.42 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.13 FPts
6. Whit Merrifield: 3.76 PA, 0.89 H, 1.26 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.21 SB, 6.82 FPts
7. Cavan Biggio: 3.58 PA, 0.71 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.84 FPts
8. Alejandro Kirk: 3.61 PA, 0.9 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.09 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.24 PA, 0.78 H, 1.13 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.13 SB, 5.87 FPts
DET Hitter Projections
1. Zach McKinstry: 4.42 PA, 0.84 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.23 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.42 PA, 0.94 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.7 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.35 PA, 0.82 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.94 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.18 PA, 0.88 H, 1.54 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.24 FPts
5. Matt Vierling: 4.01 PA, 0.88 H, 1.34 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.9 FPts
6. Javier Baez: 3.95 PA, 0.8 H, 1.25 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.37 FPts
7. Eric Haase: 3.87 PA, 0.69 H, 1.14 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.7 FPts
8. Zack Short: 3.67 PA, 0.55 H, 0.98 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.45 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.22 PA, 0.55 H, 0.89 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 3.96 FPts
Best Bets
Matt Manning DET - Walks Over 1.5 (+130.0) - 0.162 value
Kevin Gausman TOR - Strikeouts Over 7.5 (-140.0) - 0.085 value
Kevin Gausman TOR - Walks Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.062 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
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