MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 17th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Jul 17, 2023
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Slate Preview 7/17/2023


Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

LAD (vs. Grayson Rodriguez): 75.59 Projected Points
SF (vs. Brandon Williamson): 73.01 Projected Points
CLE (vs. Quinn Priester): 70.55 Projected Points
TB (vs. Dane Dunning): 70.53 Projected Points
CHC (vs. MacKenzie Gore): 68.88 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

MIN (vs. Logan Gilbert): 58.1 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Nick Pivetta): 58.89 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Miles Mikolas): 60.77 Projected Points
BOS (vs. Paul Blackburn): 62.37 Projected Points
DET (vs. Jordan Lyles): 63.09 Projected Points

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Nick Pivetta: 16.05 Today, 15.41 Previous Max
Matt Manning: 12.22 Today, 12.21 Previous Max
Wilmer Flores: 9.05 Today, 8.54 Previous Max
Patrick Bailey: 8.92 Today, 8.29 Previous Max
Zach Neto: 8.86 Today, 8.83 Previous Max
Nico Hoerner: 8.81 Today, 8.8 Previous Max
Riley Greene: 8.6 Today, 8.04 Previous Max
Cody Bellinger: 7.72 Today, 7.71 Previous Max
Kyle Isbel: 6.82 Today, 6.49 Previous Max

Game by Game Previews


LAD @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

LAD 6.04 - BAL 5.01
LAD 54.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 11.05

2023 Pitcher Stats

Grayson Rodriguez: 10 GS, 889 Pitches, 26.5 K%, 10.0 BB%, 12.4 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 37.7 Ball%, 37.3 GB%, 13 Brl%
Emmet Sheehan: 4 GS, 344 Pitches, 19.5 K%, 9.8 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%, 34.5 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Grayson Rodriguez (BAL): 90 Pitches 5.24 IP, 5.0 H, 2.8 ER, 5.5 K, 2.6 BB, 13.41 FPts
Emmet Sheehan (LAD): 84 Pitches 4.85 IP, 4.2 H, 2.4 ER, 4.7 K, 2.4 BB, 12.16 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Grayson Rodriguez - 4.5 strikeouts
Emmet Sheehan - 4.5 strikeouts

LAD Hitter Projections

1. Mookie Betts: 4.82 PA, 1.14 H, 2.12 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.11 SB, 10.64 FPts
2. Freddie Freeman: 4.75 PA, 1.25 H, 2.11 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.1 SB, 10.91 FPts
3. Will Smith: 4.68 PA, 1.0 H, 1.66 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.53 FPts
4. Max Muncy: 4.51 PA, 0.78 H, 1.62 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.02 SB, 9.17 FPts
5. J.D. Martinez: 4.43 PA, 0.97 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.0 SB, 8.16 FPts
6. David Peralta: 4.13 PA, 1.01 H, 1.63 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.68 FPts
7. Chris Taylor: 4.13 PA, 0.76 H, 1.36 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.26 FPts
8. James Outman: 4.0 PA, 0.77 H, 1.35 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.09 FPts
9. Miguel Rojas: 3.7 PA, 0.87 H, 1.23 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.15 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.46 PA, 0.91 H, 1.62 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.5 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.42 PA, 1.0 H, 1.7 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.64 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.33 PA, 1.01 H, 1.96 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.86 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.98 PA, 0.96 H, 1.63 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.19 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 4.05 PA, 0.94 H, 1.58 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.13 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 3.94 PA, 0.73 H, 1.17 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.67 FPts
7. Colton Cowser: 3.89 PA, 0.83 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.38 FPts
8. Jordan Westburg: 3.76 PA, 0.85 H, 1.49 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.96 FPts
9. Adam Frazier: 3.41 PA, 0.86 H, 1.26 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.28 FPts

Best Bets

Miguel Rojas LAD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.1 value
Emmet Sheehan LAD - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+125.0) - 0.069 value
Gunnar Henderson BAL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.051 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Mookie Betts (LAD) 2B/OF $6400: 10.64 Proj, 1.37 Score
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 1B $6200: 10.91 Proj, 1.37 Score
Max Muncy (LAD) 3B $4600: 9.17 Proj, 1.27 Score
Chris Taylor (LAD) 3B/OF $3000: 7.26 Proj, 1.15 Score
Will Smith (LAD) C $5500: 8.53 Proj, 1.14 Score

CLE @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

CLE 5.06 - PIT 4.62
CLE 52.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.68

2023 Pitcher Stats

Xzavion Curry: 0 GS, 734 Pitches, 16.1 K%, 4.7 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 46.6 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%, 31.6 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Quinn Priester (PIT): 90 Pitches 5.35 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 3.5 K, 2.2 BB, 9.61 FPts
Xzavion Curry (CLE): 25 Pitches 1.62 IP, 1.7 H, 0.9 ER, 1.2 K, 0.6 BB, 3.69 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Quinn Priester - Prop Not Found
Xzavion Curry - Prop Not Found

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.49 PA, 1.14 H, 1.49 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.15 SB, 8.38 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.39 PA, 1.15 H, 1.63 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.85 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.3 PA, 1.06 H, 1.78 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.79 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.22 PA, 1.15 H, 1.93 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.89 FPts
5. Andres Gimenez: 4.06 PA, 1.03 H, 1.61 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.38 FPts
6. Josh Bell: 3.97 PA, 0.89 H, 1.48 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.4 FPts
7. Will Brennan: 3.81 PA, 1.09 H, 1.53 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.85 FPts
8. Myles Straw: 3.74 PA, 0.83 H, 1.06 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.44 FPts
9. Bo Naylor: 3.5 PA, 0.68 H, 1.19 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.57 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Jack Suwinski: 4.43 PA, 0.83 H, 1.71 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.54 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.35 PA, 1.06 H, 1.83 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.59 FPts
3. Carlos Santana: 4.3 PA, 0.89 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.43 FPts
4. Ji-Man Choi: 4.06 PA, 0.83 H, 1.43 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.09 FPts
5. Henry Davis: 4.1 PA, 0.87 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.63 FPts
6. Liover Peguero: 3.99 PA, 0.9 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.21 FPts
7. Endy Rodriguez: 3.88 PA, 0.85 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.62 FPts
8. Jared Triolo: 3.75 PA, 0.72 H, 1.05 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.71 FPts
9. Nick Gonzales: 3.5 PA, 0.67 H, 1.16 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.51 FPts

Best Bets

Jared Triolo PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.135 value
Myles Straw CLE - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-220.0) - 0.09 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jose Ramirez (CLE) 3B $5900: 9.79 Proj, 1.21 Score
Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $3800: 8.54 Proj, 1.2 Score
Josh Naylor (CLE) 1B $3900: 8.89 Proj, 1.19 Score
Ji-Man Choi (PIT) 1B $2400: 7.09 Proj, 1.16 Score
Liover Peguero (PIT) SS $2000: 7.21 Proj, 1.16 Score

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