DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 21st
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
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Slate Preview 7/21/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
CIN (vs. Tommy Henry): 77.03 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Freddy Peralta): 75.18 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Andrew Heaney): 72.59 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Kutter Crawford): 71.72 Projected Points
STL (vs. Justin Steele): 70.95 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
OAK (vs. Framber Valdez): 48.87 Projected Points
COL (vs. Braxton Garrett): 50.73 Projected Points
DET (vs. Seth Lugo): 54.91 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Joe Ryan): 56.44 Projected Points
BAL (vs. Zach Eflin): 59.62 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Framber Valdez: 22.55 Today, 20.76 Previous Max
Kodai Senga: 18.81 Today, 18.69 Previous Max
Seth Lugo: 18.11 Today, 17.7 Previous Max
Braxton Garrett: 18.02 Today, 16.74 Previous Max
Clarke Schmidt: 16.54 Today, 16.53 Previous Max
Johan Oviedo: 15.24 Today, 15.21 Previous Max
Matt McLain: 10.89 Today, 10.87 Previous Max
Spencer Steer: 9.31 Today, 9.16 Previous Max
Christian Walker: 8.66 Today, 8.61 Previous Max
Mike Tauchman: 8.41 Today, 7.95 Previous Max
Ian Happ: 8.33 Today, 8.33 Previous Max
Francisco Alvarez: 8.09 Today, 7.98 Previous Max
Edouard Julien: 7.9 Today, 7.4 Previous Max
Cody Bellinger: 7.74 Today, 7.71 Previous Max
Curt Casali: 5.88 Today, 5.79 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
STL @ CHC
Projected Game Score:
STL 5.22 - CHC 4.66
STL 52.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.88
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jack Flaherty: 18 GS, 1759 Pitches, 22.2 K%, 11.8 BB%, 11.2 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 39.7 Ball%, 46.4 GB%, 6 Brl%
Justin Steele: 17 GS, 1430 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 5.1 BB%, 12.7 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%, 49.3 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jack Flaherty (STL): 96 Pitches 5.87 IP, 4.9 H, 2.7 ER, 6.3 K, 2.9 BB, 16.19 FPts
Justin Steele (CHC): 92 Pitches 5.64 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 1.7 BB, 14.11 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jack Flaherty - 5.5 strikeouts
Justin Steele - 5.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Dylan Carlson: 4.56 PA, 1.04 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.97 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.46 PA, 1.09 H, 1.89 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.21 FPts
3. Nolan Arenado: 4.35 PA, 1.16 H, 2.21 TB, 0.26 HR, 0.04 SB, 9.7 FPts
4. Willson Contreras: 4.29 PA, 0.96 H, 1.75 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.55 FPts
5. Tyler O'Neill: 4.16 PA, 0.95 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.77 FPts
6. Jordan Walker: 4.08 PA, 1.06 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.03 FPts
7. Paul DeJong: 3.94 PA, 0.77 H, 1.38 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.55 FPts
8. Andrew Knizner: 3.61 PA, 0.74 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.32 FPts
9. Jose Fermin: 3.59 PA, 0.9 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.85 FPts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Mike Tauchman: 4.71 PA, 0.88 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.41 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.53 PA, 1.13 H, 1.63 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.49 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.44 PA, 0.87 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.33 FPts
4. Cody Bellinger: 4.38 PA, 0.86 H, 1.41 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.74 FPts
5. Seiya Suzuki: 4.24 PA, 0.9 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.63 FPts
6. Christopher Morel: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.56 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.69 FPts
7. Yan Gomes: 3.96 PA, 0.88 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.01 FPts
8. Miles Mastrobuoni: 3.77 PA, 0.71 H, 1.17 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.58 FPts
9. Miguel Amaya: 3.52 PA, 0.65 H, 1.09 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.61 FPts
Best Bets
Jose Fermin STL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+215.0) - 0.123 value
Jack Flaherty STL - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-125.0) - 0.102 value
Jack Flaherty STL - Walks Over 2.5 (+105.0) - 0.066 value
Miguel Amaya CHC - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+205.0) - 0.059 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
SD @ DET
Projected Game Score:
SD 4.14 - DET 3.24
SD 56.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.38
2023 Pitcher Stats
Seth Lugo: 13 GS, 1151 Pitches, 22.2 K%, 4.5 BB%, 9.6 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 46.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Reese Olson: 6 GS, 647 Pitches, 25.8 K%, 5.2 BB%, 12.8 SwStr%, 48.4 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 10 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Seth Lugo (SD): 94 Pitches 5.77 IP, 5.2 H, 2.4 ER, 6.5 K, 1.3 BB, 18.11 FPts
Reese Olson (DET): 70 Pitches 4.15 IP, 3.5 H, 1.8 ER, 4.2 K, 1.4 BB, 11.71 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Seth Lugo - 4.5 strikeouts
Reese Olson - 4.5 strikeouts
SD Hitter Projections
1. Ha-Seong Kim: 4.39 PA, 0.94 H, 1.46 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.34 FPts
2. Fernando Tatis Jr.: 4.34 PA, 1.03 H, 1.97 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.2 SB, 9.43 FPts
3. Juan Soto: 4.22 PA, 0.85 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.48 FPts
4. Manny Machado: 4.07 PA, 0.96 H, 1.64 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.4 FPts
5. Xander Bogaerts: 4.0 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.98 FPts
6. Jake Cronenworth: 3.94 PA, 0.79 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.86 FPts
7. Gary Sanchez: 3.79 PA, 0.7 H, 1.31 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.87 FPts
8. Matt Carpenter: 3.6 PA, 0.62 H, 1.14 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.58 FPts
9. Trent Grisham: 3.42 PA, 0.61 H, 1.07 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.58 FPts
DET Hitter Projections
1. Zach McKinstry: 4.48 PA, 0.92 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.82 FPts
2. Riley Greene: 4.48 PA, 1.06 H, 1.66 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.35 FPts
3. Spencer Torkelson: 4.41 PA, 0.89 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.46 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.22 PA, 0.95 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.74 FPts
5. Javier Baez: 4.11 PA, 0.92 H, 1.44 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.27 FPts
6. Nick Maton: 3.89 PA, 0.7 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.3 FPts
7. Jake Rogers: 3.87 PA, 0.72 H, 1.25 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.42 FPts
8. Akil Baddoo: 3.62 PA, 0.73 H, 1.04 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.54 FPts
9. Andy Ibanez: 3.43 PA, 0.8 H, 1.23 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.01 FPts
Best Bets
Seth Lugo SD - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-180.0) - 0.133 value
Jake Cronenworth SD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.098 value
Juan Soto SD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-150.0) - 0.071 value
Javier Baez DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-170.0) - 0.068 value
Spencer Torkelson DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.06 value
Andy Ibanez DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.058 value
Manny Machado SD - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-135.0) - 0.057 value
Manny Machado SD - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.055 value
Zach McKinstry DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-150.0) - 0.054 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
COL @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
MIA 3.84 - COL 2.74
MIA 58.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 6.58
2023 Pitcher Stats
Braxton Garrett: 16 GS, 1483 Pitches, 26.6 K%, 4.0 BB%, 13.5 SwStr%, 49.3 Strike%, 32.4 Ball%, 47.1 GB%, 10 Brl%
Peter Lambert: 1 GS, 594 Pitches, 23.5 K%, 9.8 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%, 42.6 GB%, 14 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Braxton Garrett (MIA): 86 Pitches 5.44 IP, 5.3 H, 2.3 ER, 6.4 K, 1.0 BB, 18.02 FPts
Peter Lambert (COL): 68 Pitches 4.14 IP, 4.5 H, 2.0 ER, 3.6 K, 1.2 BB, 9.09 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Braxton Garrett - 5.5 strikeouts
Peter Lambert - Prop Not Found
COL Hitter Projections
1. Jurickson Profar: 4.27 PA, 0.96 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.23 FPts
2. Kris Bryant: 4.14 PA, 0.9 H, 1.4 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.93 FPts
3. Ryan McMahon: 4.1 PA, 0.87 H, 1.45 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.28 FPts
4. C.J. Cron: 3.98 PA, 0.9 H, 1.63 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.5 FPts
5. Elias Diaz: 3.9 PA, 0.9 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.73 FPts
6. Ezequiel Tovar: 3.77 PA, 0.91 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.79 FPts
7. Michael Toglia: 3.72 PA, 0.72 H, 1.18 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.9 FPts
8. Alan Trejo: 3.47 PA, 0.83 H, 1.22 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.81 FPts
9. Brenton Doyle: 3.26 PA, 0.59 H, 1.0 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 4.56 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.4 PA, 1.3 H, 1.82 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.96 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.33 PA, 0.92 H, 1.85 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.97 FPts
3. Garrett Cooper: 4.17 PA, 0.99 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.96 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 3.98 PA, 0.94 H, 1.68 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.35 FPts
5. Bryan De La Cruz: 3.99 PA, 1.02 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.15 FPts
6. Jean Segura: 3.9 PA, 0.97 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.39 FPts
7. Joey Wendle: 3.72 PA, 0.92 H, 1.32 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.91 FPts
8. Nick Fortes: 3.68 PA, 0.82 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.7 FPts
9. Dane Myers: 3.45 PA, 0.76 H, 1.25 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.81 FPts
Best Bets
Braxton Garrett MIA - Walks Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.061 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
BAL @ TB
Projected Game Score:
TB 4.51 - BAL 3.88
TB 53.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.39
2023 Pitcher Stats
Kyle Bradish: 17 GS, 1479 Pitches, 23.4 K%, 6.5 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 46.9 Strike%, 35.8 Ball%, 44.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Zach Eflin: 18 GS, 1519 Pitches, 25.2 K%, 3.6 BB%, 11.9 SwStr%, 49.1 Strike%, 31.5 Ball%, 52.7 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Kyle Bradish (BAL): 93 Pitches 5.75 IP, 5.3 H, 2.7 ER, 5.9 K, 2.0 BB, 15.47 FPts
Zach Eflin (TB): 85 Pitches 5.21 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 5.3 K, 1.4 BB, 14.58 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Kyle Bradish - 5.5 strikeouts
Zach Eflin - 5.5 strikeouts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.26 PA, 0.93 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.71 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.23 PA, 0.97 H, 1.62 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.55 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.15 PA, 0.94 H, 1.8 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.64 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.81 PA, 0.92 H, 1.57 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.43 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 3.89 PA, 0.91 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.41 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 3.77 PA, 0.72 H, 1.11 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.67 FPts
7. Colton Cowser: 3.72 PA, 0.84 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.51 FPts
8. Adam Frazier: 3.48 PA, 0.88 H, 1.27 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.88 FPts
9. Jordan Westburg: 3.37 PA, 0.77 H, 1.37 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.82 FPts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.39 PA, 1.11 H, 1.72 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.26 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.27 PA, 1.13 H, 1.78 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.88 FPts
3. Luke Raley: 4.07 PA, 0.91 H, 1.71 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Randy Arozarena: 4.13 PA, 0.96 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.62 FPts
5. Brandon Lowe: 3.94 PA, 0.81 H, 1.52 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.33 FPts
6. Isaac Paredes: 3.82 PA, 0.77 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.24 FPts
7. Josh Lowe: 3.73 PA, 0.87 H, 1.49 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.37 FPts
8. Jose Siri: 3.65 PA, 0.73 H, 1.33 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.43 FPts
9. Christian Bethancourt: 3.33 PA, 0.78 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.33 FPts
Best Bets
Zach Eflin TB - Outs Under 17.5 (+115.0) - 0.228 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
KC @ NYY
Projected Game Score:
KC 4.06 - NYY 3.9
KC 50.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.96
2023 Pitcher Stats
Clarke Schmidt: 19 GS, 1603 Pitches, 23.3 K%, 6.6 BB%, 11.2 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 43.2 GB%, 9 Brl%
Alec Marsh: 3 GS, 278 Pitches, 31.8 K%, 12.1 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 50.0 Strike%, 37.1 Ball%, 22.2 GB%, 14 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 90 Pitches 5.54 IP, 5.0 H, 2.5 ER, 5.9 K, 1.7 BB, 16.54 FPts
Alec Marsh (KC): 92 Pitches 5.75 IP, 4.3 H, 2.4 ER, 5.5 K, 2.5 BB, 15.52 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Clarke Schmidt - 6.5 strikeouts
Alec Marsh - 4.5 strikeouts
KC Hitter Projections
1. Maikel Garcia: 4.43 PA, 1.07 H, 1.59 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.93 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.31 PA, 1.02 H, 1.81 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.81 FPts
3. MJ Melendez: 4.22 PA, 0.82 H, 1.51 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.31 FPts
4. Salvador Perez: 4.06 PA, 0.97 H, 1.79 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.21 FPts
5. Nick Pratto: 3.97 PA, 0.69 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.2 FPts
6. Edward Olivares: 3.89 PA, 0.94 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.96 FPts
7. Michael Massey: 3.71 PA, 0.81 H, 1.49 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.44 FPts
8. Drew Waters: 3.68 PA, 0.76 H, 1.38 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.72 FPts
9. Nicky Lopez: 3.35 PA, 0.78 H, 1.05 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.63 FPts
NYY Hitter Projections
1. Oswald Peraza: 4.5 PA, 0.86 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.51 FPts
2. Gleyber Torres: 4.39 PA, 1.0 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.01 FPts
3. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.27 PA, 0.82 H, 1.64 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.59 FPts
4. Anthony Rizzo: 4.2 PA, 0.82 H, 1.44 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.44 FPts
5. Anthony Volpe: 4.09 PA, 0.75 H, 1.27 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.11 FPts
6. Franchy Cordero: 3.78 PA, 0.63 H, 1.17 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.85 FPts
7. Harrison Bader: 3.82 PA, 0.86 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.17 SB, 6.51 FPts
8. Jose Trevino: 3.59 PA, 0.8 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.04 FPts
9. Oswaldo Cabrera: 3.47 PA, 0.65 H, 1.03 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.53 FPts
Best Bets
Clarke Schmidt NYY - Walks Over 1.5 (+175.0) - 0.137 value
Alec Marsh KC - Walks Over 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.092 value
Anthony Volpe NYY - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-190.0) - 0.085 value
Oswald Peraza NYY - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-165.0) - 0.083 value
Alec Marsh KC - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-145.0) - 0.057 value
Clarke Schmidt NYY - Outs Under 17.5 (-120.0) - 0.056 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Oswald Peraza (NYY) 2B/3B $3200: 8.51 Proj, 1.17 Score
Maikel Garcia (KC) 3B $3300: 7.93 Proj, 1.11 Score
Drew Waters (KC) OF $2500: 6.72 Proj, 1.1 Score
MJ Melendez (KC) OF $2900: 7.31 Proj, 1.08 Score
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) SS $4800: 8.81 Proj, 1.08 Score
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