DFS & Betting Game Previews - July 6th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
Double headers freak me out so you won’t find anything about White Sox vs. Blue Jays here.
Slate Preview 7/6/2023
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
TEX (vs. Kutter Crawford): 79.22 Projected Points
NYM (vs. Ryne Nelson): 72.4 Projected Points
BOS (vs. Nathan Eovaldi): 71.77 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Johan Oviedo): 69.5 Projected Points
CIN (vs. MacKenzie Gore): 69.17 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
OAK (vs. Michael Lorenzen): 54.68 Projected Points
DET (vs. Hogan Harris): 56.79 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Marcus Stroman): 57.53 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Framber Valdez): 57.77 Projected Points
HOU (vs. George Kirby): 58.57 Projected Points
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Hogan Harris: 13.97 Today, 13.09 Previous Max
Corey Seager: 11.34 Today, 10.53 Previous Max
Adolis Garcia: 10.13 Today, 9.85 Previous Max
Marcus Semien: 9.64 Today, 9.55 Previous Max
Nathaniel Lowe: 9.26 Today, 8.96 Previous Max
Andres Gimenez: 8.66 Today, 8.6 Previous Max
Jonah Heim: 8.15 Today, 7.69 Previous Max
Jake McCarthy: 7.89 Today, 7.85 Previous Max
Leody Taveras: 7.23 Today, 6.84 Previous Max
Geraldo Perdomo: 7.19 Today, 7.09 Previous Max
Game by Game Previews
CIN @ WSH
Projected Game Score:
CIN 5.12 - WSH 4.4
CIN 53.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 9.52
2023 Pitcher Stats
MacKenzie Gore: 17 GS, 1622 Pitches, 27.9 K%, 10.2 BB%, 14.2 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 37.3 Ball%, 41.1 GB%, 11 Brl%
Brandon Williamson: 9 GS, 740 Pitches, 18.0 K%, 9.5 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 37.3 Ball%, 34.6 GB%, 12 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 90 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.1 H, 2.7 ER, 5.4 K, 2.2 BB, 13.41 FPts
Brandon Williamson (CIN): 85 Pitches 5.3 IP, 5.7 H, 2.8 ER, 4.3 K, 1.6 BB, 10.95 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
MacKenzie Gore - 6.5 strikeouts
Brandon Williamson - 3.5 strikeouts
CIN Hitter Projections
1. Kevin Newman: 4.48 PA, 1.21 H, 1.81 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.53 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.41 PA, 1.03 H, 1.96 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.14 SB, 10.16 FPts
3. Jonathan India: 4.22 PA, 0.95 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.16 FPts
4. Elly De La Cruz: 4.21 PA, 0.93 H, 1.82 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.75 FPts
5. Spencer Steer: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.87 FPts
6. Tyler Stephenson: 3.92 PA, 0.96 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.46 FPts
7. Nick Senzel: 3.81 PA, 0.86 H, 1.28 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.47 FPts
8. Will Benson: 3.56 PA, 0.71 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.17 FPts
9. Luke Maile: 3.34 PA, 0.69 H, 1.19 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.6 FPts
WSH Hitter Projections
1. Lane Thomas: 4.45 PA, 1.07 H, 1.9 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.65 FPts
2. Jeimer Candelario: 4.33 PA, 1.0 H, 1.78 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.75 FPts
3. Joey Meneses: 4.26 PA, 1.09 H, 1.79 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.76 FPts
4. Stone Garrett: 4.02 PA, 0.94 H, 1.61 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.52 FPts
5. Keibert Ruiz: 4.05 PA, 1.04 H, 1.65 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.36 FPts
6. Ildemaro Vargas: 3.96 PA, 0.94 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.29 FPts
7. Riley Adams: 3.77 PA, 0.72 H, 1.38 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. C.J. Abrams: 3.67 PA, 0.84 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.01 FPts
9. Alex Call: 3.41 PA, 0.67 H, 1.04 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.68 FPts
Best Bets
Matt McLain CIN - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+105.0) - 0.089 value
Kevin Newman CIN - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+115.0) - 0.053 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
OAK @ DET
Projected Game Score:
DET 3.65 - OAK 3.36
DET 52.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.01
2023 Pitcher Stats
Michael Lorenzen: 14 GS, 1259 Pitches, 18.6 K%, 6.0 BB%, 10.6 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 33.1 Ball%, 41.9 GB%, 9 Brl%
Hogan Harris: 3 GS, 635 Pitches, 17.9 K%, 9.9 BB%, 7.9 SwStr%, 44.9 Strike%, 37.0 Ball%, 38.3 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Michael Lorenzen (DET): 92 Pitches 5.86 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 4.6 K, 2.1 BB, 14.2 FPts
Hogan Harris (OAK): 88 Pitches 5.55 IP, 4.9 H, 2.4 ER, 5.0 K, 1.7 BB, 13.97 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Michael Lorenzen - 4.5 strikeouts
Hogan Harris - 3.5 strikeouts
OAK Hitter Projections
1. Tony Kemp: 4.33 PA, 0.96 H, 1.35 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.88 FPts
2. JJ Bleday: 4.19 PA, 0.73 H, 1.17 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.15 FPts
3. Brent Rooker: 4.05 PA, 0.83 H, 1.49 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.62 FPts
4. Seth Brown: 4.0 PA, 0.84 H, 1.54 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.15 FPts
5. Jordan Diaz: 3.78 PA, 0.82 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.07 FPts
6. Jace Peterson: 3.74 PA, 0.77 H, 1.19 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.46 FPts
7. Aledmys Diaz: 3.73 PA, 0.84 H, 1.26 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.14 FPts
8. Tyler Wade: 3.35 PA, 0.73 H, 0.97 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.25 SB, 5.87 FPts
9. Manny Pina: 3.43 PA, 0.7 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.34 FPts
DET Hitter Projections
1. Matt Vierling: 4.32 PA, 1.03 H, 1.52 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.22 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.35 PA, 0.9 H, 1.55 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.25 FPts
3. Andy Ibanez: 4.07 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Kerry Carpenter: 4.09 PA, 0.86 H, 1.47 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.42 FPts
5. Javier Baez: 3.96 PA, 0.91 H, 1.49 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.78 FPts
6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.82 PA, 0.85 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.87 FPts
7. Eric Haase: 3.77 PA, 0.77 H, 1.3 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.66 FPts
8. Zack Short: 3.58 PA, 0.6 H, 1.07 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.54 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.14 PA, 0.61 H, 0.99 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 4.76 FPts
Best Bets
Jordan Diaz OAK - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.132 value
Matt Vierling DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-105.0) - 0.114 value
Hogan Harris OAK - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-170.0) - 0.105 value
Eric Haase DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.098 value
Javier Baez DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.081 value
Matt Vierling DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (+100.0) - 0.077 value
Spencer Torkelson DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.062 value
Javier Baez DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-140.0) - 0.061 value
Eric Haase DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-165.0) - 0.061 value
Aledmys Diaz OAK - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-205.0) - 0.054 value
Jonathan Schoop DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.053 value
Jordan Diaz OAK - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-200.0) - 0.052 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
CHC @ MIL
Projected Game Score:
CHC 4.32 - MIL 3.69
CHC 53.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 8.01
2023 Pitcher Stats
Freddy Peralta: 16 GS, 1524 Pitches, 26.1 K%, 9.4 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 46.7 Strike%, 37.9 Ball%, 40.0 GB%, 9 Brl%
Marcus Stroman: 18 GS, 1617 Pitches, 21.3 K%, 8.6 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 44.3 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%, 59.7 GB%, 3 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Freddy Peralta (MIL): 100 Pitches 6.47 IP, 5.0 H, 2.7 ER, 7.2 K, 2.6 BB, 19.68 FPts
Marcus Stroman (CHC): 93 Pitches 5.74 IP, 5.3 H, 2.5 ER, 5.2 K, 2.2 BB, 14.28 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Freddy Peralta - 6.5 strikeouts
Marcus Stroman - 4.5 strikeouts
CHC Hitter Projections
1. Mike Tauchman: 4.67 PA, 0.82 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.38 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.49 PA, 1.09 H, 1.54 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.98 FPts
3. Ian Happ: 4.4 PA, 0.86 H, 1.4 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.89 FPts
4. Seiya Suzuki: 4.32 PA, 0.9 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.33 FPts
5. Christopher Morel: 4.16 PA, 0.82 H, 1.56 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.42 FPts
6. Cody Bellinger: 4.13 PA, 0.77 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Yan Gomes: 3.93 PA, 0.8 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.34 FPts
8. Jared Young: 3.89 PA, 0.82 H, 1.45 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.97 FPts
9. Patrick Wisdom: 3.54 PA, 0.58 H, 1.21 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.9 FPts
MIL Hitter Projections
1. Christian Yelich: 4.26 PA, 1.02 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.49 FPts
2. Willy Adames: 4.14 PA, 0.89 H, 1.6 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.25 FPts
3. Jesse Winker: 3.91 PA, 0.83 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.5 FPts
4. Owen Miller: 3.93 PA, 0.89 H, 1.29 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.88 FPts
5. Raimel Tapia: 3.73 PA, 0.94 H, 1.34 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.62 FPts
6. Brian Anderson: 3.77 PA, 0.77 H, 1.22 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.86 FPts
7. Victor Caratini: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.78 FPts
8. Brice Turang: 3.51 PA, 0.68 H, 1.01 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.46 FPts
9. Joey Wiemer: 3.23 PA, 0.65 H, 1.15 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.69 FPts
Best Bets
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
PHI @ TB
Projected Game Score:
TB 4.6 - PHI 4.32
TB 51.6% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.92
2023 Pitcher Stats
Cristopher Sanchez: 4 GS, 296 Pitches, 25.6 K%, 5.1 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 49.7 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%, 51.9 GB%, 7 Brl%
Shawn Armstrong: 1 GS, 248 Pitches, 23.8 K%, 6.3 BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 50.0 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%, 37.2 GB%, 2 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 82 Pitches 5.12 IP, 5.4 H, 2.6 ER, 4.0 K, 1.9 BB, 10.53 FPts
Shawn Armstrong (TB): 32 Pitches 2.16 IP, 2.0 H, 1.0 ER, 2.4 K, 0.7 BB, 6.9 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Cristopher Sanchez - 3.5 strikeouts
Shawn Armstrong - Prop Not Found
PHI Hitter Projections
1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.54 PA, 0.76 H, 1.65 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.27 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.37 PA, 1.0 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.12 FPts
3. Nick Castellanos: 4.27 PA, 0.97 H, 1.63 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.27 FPts
4. Bryce Harper: 4.17 PA, 0.91 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.3 FPts
5. J.T. Realmuto: 4.06 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.65 FPts
6. Bryson Stott: 3.93 PA, 0.93 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.58 FPts
7. Alec Bohm: 3.86 PA, 0.84 H, 1.27 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.64 FPts
8. Darick Hall: 3.71 PA, 0.74 H, 1.41 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.2 FPts
9. Brandon Marsh: 3.39 PA, 0.65 H, 1.05 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.13 FPts
TB Hitter Projections
1. Yandy Diaz: 4.45 PA, 1.15 H, 1.78 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.6 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.33 PA, 1.14 H, 1.75 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.17 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Harold Ramirez: 4.23 PA, 1.11 H, 1.62 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Randy Arozarena: 4.2 PA, 0.96 H, 1.68 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.18 SB, 9.06 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 3.98 PA, 0.8 H, 1.3 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.52 FPts
6. Jose Siri: 3.95 PA, 0.78 H, 1.42 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.16 SB, 7.01 FPts
7. Christian Bethancourt: 3.77 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.06 FPts
8. Manuel Margot: 3.71 PA, 0.92 H, 1.38 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.88 FPts
9. Taylor Walls: 3.46 PA, 0.61 H, 0.95 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.89 FPts
Best Bets
Isaac Paredes TB - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.069 value
Manuel Margot TB - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.05 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
STL @ MIA
Projected Game Score:
STL 4.76 - MIA 4.48
STL 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.24
2023 Pitcher Stats
Jack Flaherty: 16 GS, 1556 Pitches, 22.2 K%, 12.1 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 44.0 Strike%, 40.6 Ball%, 47.3 GB%, 6 Brl%
Eury Perez: 9 GS, 788 Pitches, 28.0 K%, 7.8 BB%, 15.4 SwStr%, 48.2 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%, 31.5 GB%, 9 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Jack Flaherty (STL): 95 Pitches 5.89 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 2.3 BB, 13.96 FPts
Eury Perez (MIA): 80 Pitches 4.79 IP, 4.4 H, 2.4 ER, 5.0 K, 1.9 BB, 12.93 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Jack Flaherty - 5.5 strikeouts
Eury Perez - 6.5 strikeouts
STL Hitter Projections
1. Brendan Donovan: 4.33 PA, 1.06 H, 1.58 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.12 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.28 PA, 0.95 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.38 FPts
3. Lars Nootbaar: 4.05 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.97 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.09 PA, 0.98 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.83 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.01 PA, 0.84 H, 1.47 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.28 FPts
6. Nolan Gorman: 3.85 PA, 0.77 H, 1.52 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.12 FPts
7. Jordan Walker: 3.8 PA, 0.92 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.94 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.65 PA, 0.67 H, 1.19 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.81 FPts
9. Dylan Carlson: 3.39 PA, 0.72 H, 1.19 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.76 FPts
MIA Hitter Projections
1. Luis Arraez: 4.56 PA, 1.33 H, 1.84 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.55 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.5 PA, 0.86 H, 1.68 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.12 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.36 PA, 1.06 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.72 FPts
4. Jesus Sanchez: 4.13 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.43 FPts
5. Garrett Cooper: 4.12 PA, 0.89 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.98 FPts
6. Jean Segura: 4.05 PA, 0.98 H, 1.35 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.82 FPts
7. Joey Wendle: 3.86 PA, 0.94 H, 1.31 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.33 FPts
8. Nick Fortes: 3.83 PA, 0.82 H, 1.25 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.12 FPts
9. Dane Myers: 3.58 PA, 0.75 H, 1.13 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.9 FPts
Best Bets
Eury Perez MIA - Strikeouts Under 6.5 (-180.0) - 0.113 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Game not on slate
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