MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 11th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Jun 11, 2023
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Game Previews

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

SD (vs. Dinelson Lamet): 79.15 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Trevor Williams): 77.53 Projected Points
SEA (vs. Griffin Canning): 70.49 Projected Points
TOR (vs. Louie Varland): 69.43 Projected Points
SF (vs. Hayden Wesneski): 69.32 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

DET (vs. Zac Gallen): 50.08 Projected Points
MIN (vs. Kevin Gausman): 54.6 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Adam Wainwright): 58.6 Projected Points
BOS (vs. Clarke Schmidt): 59.56 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Lucas Giolito): 60.08 Projected Points

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Kevin Gausman: 25.07 Today, 22.98 Previous Max
Zac Gallen: 22.0 Today, 20.64 Previous Max
Juan Soto: 10.88 Today, 10.18 Previous Max
William Contreras: 9.76 Today, 9.4 Previous Max
Xander Bogaerts: 9.39 Today, 8.63 Previous Max
Gunnar Henderson: 8.99 Today, 8.42 Previous Max
Willy Adames: 8.77 Today, 8.77 Previous Max
Ryan Noda: 8.35 Today, 7.54 Previous Max
Nick Pratto: 7.9 Today, 7.9 Previous Max
Jake Cronenworth: 7.84 Today, 7.82 Previous Max
Michael Massey: 7.74 Today, 7.57 Previous Max
Joey Wiemer: 7.62 Today, 6.93 Previous Max
Marcell Ozuna: 7.54 Today, 7.51 Previous Max

Game by Game Previews 6/11/2023


ARI @ DET

Projected Game Score:

ARI 4.82 - DET 2.94
ARI 62.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 7.76

2023 Pitcher Stats

Zac Gallen: 13 GS, 1220 Pitches, 27.5 K%, 5.4 BB%, 13.4 SwStr%, 47.3 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 38.8 GB%, 8 Brl%
Joey Wentz: 12 GS, 934 Pitches, 18.3 K%, 9.1 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 44.8 Strike%, 36.5 Ball%, 38.9 GB%, 11 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Zac Gallen (ARI): 97 Pitches 6.18 IP, 4.9 H, 2.4 ER, 7.8 K, 1.5 BB, 22.0 FPts
Joey Wentz (DET): 86 Pitches 5.37 IP, 5.5 H, 2.6 ER, 4.0 K, 2.0 BB, 10.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Zac Gallen - 6.5 strikeouts
Joey Wentz - 3.5 strikeouts

ARI Hitter Projections

1. Ketel Marte: 4.55 PA, 1.15 H, 1.92 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.66 FPts
2. Corbin Carroll: 4.43 PA, 1.03 H, 1.67 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.23 SB, 9.18 FPts
3. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.: 4.32 PA, 1.14 H, 1.76 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.22 PA, 0.92 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.9 FPts
5. Emmanuel Rivera: 3.99 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.24 FPts
6. Evan Longoria: 3.9 PA, 0.91 H, 1.77 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.78 FPts
7. Nick Ahmed: 3.74 PA, 0.78 H, 1.17 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.64 FPts
8. Gabriel Moreno: 3.8 PA, 0.97 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.73 FPts
9. Jake McCarthy: 3.51 PA, 0.8 H, 1.14 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.49 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zach McKinstry: 4.28 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.68 FPts
2. Javier Baez: 4.21 PA, 0.83 H, 1.29 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.74 FPts
3. Kerry Carpenter: 4.14 PA, 0.91 H, 1.67 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.98 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.11 PA, 0.81 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.03 FPts
5. Nick Maton: 3.8 PA, 0.65 H, 1.07 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.28 FPts
6. Eric Haase: 3.85 PA, 0.72 H, 1.17 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.99 FPts
7. Zack Short: 3.64 PA, 0.57 H, 0.99 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 4.79 FPts
8. Andy Ibanez: 3.49 PA, 0.84 H, 1.39 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.55 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.14 PA, 0.55 H, 0.88 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.04 FPts

Best Bets

Zac Gallen ARI - Strikeouts Over 6.5 (+100.0) - 0.155 value
Javier Baez DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.092 value
Christian Walker ARI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.062 value
Emmanuel Rivera ARI - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.052 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

HOU @ CLE

Projected Game Score:

CLE 4.54 - HOU 4.14
CLE 52.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.68

2023 Pitcher Stats

Shane Bieber: 13 GS, 1237 Pitches, 16.3 K%, 6.5 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 34.7 Ball%, 44.8 GB%, 7 Brl%
Brandon Bielak: 6 GS, 617 Pitches, 18.5 K%, 8.0 BB%, 10.9 SwStr%, 40.5 Strike%, 40.4 Ball%, 49.2 GB%, 14 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Shane Bieber (CLE): 98 Pitches 6.0 IP, 6.5 H, 2.8 ER, 4.3 K, 1.3 BB, 12.61 FPts
Brandon Bielak (HOU): 92 Pitches 5.54 IP, 6.0 H, 2.7 ER, 3.4 K, 2.0 BB, 9.47 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Shane Bieber - 4.5 strikeouts
Brandon Bielak - 2.5 strikeouts

HOU Hitter Projections

1. Mauricio Dubon: 4.3 PA, 1.05 H, 1.5 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.5 FPts
2. Jose Altuve: 4.16 PA, 1.04 H, 1.71 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.89 FPts
3. Alex Bregman: 4.15 PA, 0.97 H, 1.56 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.16 FPts
4. Kyle Tucker: 4.03 PA, 1.03 H, 1.78 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.67 FPts
5. Jose Abreu: 3.95 PA, 0.95 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.48 FPts
6. Jeremy Pena: 3.84 PA, 0.96 H, 1.55 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.71 FPts
7. Corey Julks: 3.75 PA, 0.76 H, 1.13 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.48 FPts
8. Yainer Diaz: 3.67 PA, 1.03 H, 1.95 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.5 FPts
9. Jake Meyers: 3.32 PA, 0.79 H, 1.28 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.58 FPts

CLE Hitter Projections

1. Steven Kwan: 4.45 PA, 1.15 H, 1.56 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.32 FPts
2. Amed Rosario: 4.35 PA, 1.09 H, 1.59 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.55 FPts
3. Jose Ramirez: 4.26 PA, 1.06 H, 1.85 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.17 SB, 9.32 FPts
4. Josh Naylor: 4.18 PA, 1.13 H, 2.0 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.83 FPts
5. Josh Bell: 4.05 PA, 0.94 H, 1.54 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
6. Andres Gimenez: 3.92 PA, 0.94 H, 1.41 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.07 FPts
7. Will Brennan: 3.84 PA, 1.08 H, 1.58 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.17 FPts
8. Myles Straw: 3.71 PA, 0.8 H, 1.06 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.18 SB, 6.36 FPts
9. Cam Gallagher: 3.37 PA, 0.7 H, 0.94 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.34 FPts

Best Bets

Shane Bieber CLE - Strikeouts Under 4.5 (+105.0) - 0.081 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

KC @ BAL

Projected Game Score:

BAL 5.12 - KC 4.82
BAL 51.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.94

2023 Pitcher Stats

Kyle Gibson: 13 GS, 1197 Pitches, 17.0 K%, 7.9 BB%, 10.0 SwStr%, 42.6 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%, 45.6 GB%, 8 Brl%
Carlos Hernandez: 3 GS, 544 Pitches, 32.8 K%, 6.2 BB%, 17.6 SwStr%, 53.9 Strike%, 31.8 Ball%, 32.1 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Kyle Gibson (BAL): 95 Pitches 5.86 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 5.0 K, 1.9 BB, 13.53 FPts
Carlos Hernandez (KC): 22 Pitches 1.45 IP, 1.3 H, 0.7 ER, 1.2 K, 0.8 BB, 3.77 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Kyle Gibson - 4.5 strikeouts
Carlos Hernandez - Prop Not Found

KC Hitter Projections

1. Nick Pratto: 4.54 PA, 0.92 H, 1.6 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.9 FPts
2. Salvador Perez: 4.47 PA, 1.08 H, 1.96 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.89 FPts
3. MJ Melendez: 4.4 PA, 0.95 H, 1.7 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.33 FPts
4. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.29 PA, 1.05 H, 1.8 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.91 FPts
5. Michael Massey: 4.12 PA, 0.98 H, 1.75 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.74 FPts
6. Maikel Garcia: 4.08 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.11 FPts
7. Drew Waters: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.44 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.35 FPts
8. Nicky Lopez: 3.77 PA, 0.93 H, 1.23 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.65 FPts
9. Jackie Bradley Jr.: 3.45 PA, 0.69 H, 1.12 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.28 FPts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.55 PA, 0.91 H, 1.63 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.99 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.52 PA, 0.98 H, 1.61 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.85 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.43 PA, 1.02 H, 1.95 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.85 FPts
4. Austin Hays: 4.28 PA, 1.02 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.86 FPts
5. Aaron Hicks: 4.14 PA, 0.8 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.48 FPts
6. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.88 PA, 0.9 H, 1.52 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.57 FPts
7. Adam Frazier: 3.89 PA, 0.97 H, 1.36 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.99 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.81 PA, 0.86 H, 1.41 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.7 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.52 PA, 0.71 H, 1.13 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.29 SB, 6.83 FPts

Best Bets

KC - MoneyLine (+160.0) - 0.1 value
Drew Waters KC - One SB Over 0.5 (+1350.0) - 0.062 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Michael Massey (KC) 2B $2300: 7.74 Proj, 1.36 Score
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 3B $3400: 8.99 Proj, 1.35 Score
MJ Melendez (KC) OF $3100: 8.33 Proj, 1.28 Score
Maikel Garcia (KC) 3B $2400: 8.11 Proj, 1.27 Score
Nick Pratto (KC) 1B/OF $3000: 7.9 Proj, 1.2 Score

NYM @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

PIT 4.26 - NYM 4.2
PIT 50.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.46

2023 Pitcher Stats

Mitch Keller: 13 GS, 1257 Pitches, 28.3 K%, 6.3 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 51.5 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%, 46.9 GB%, 10 Brl%
Carlos Carrasco: 6 GS, 615 Pitches, 14.5 K%, 9.4 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 40.8 Strike%, 40.2 Ball%, 48.7 GB%, 9 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Mitch Keller (PIT): 98 Pitches 6.2 IP, 5.8 H, 2.9 ER, 6.1 K, 2.2 BB, 16.03 FPts
Carlos Carrasco (NYM): 88 Pitches 5.48 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 5.0 K, 2.0 BB, 13.47 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Mitch Keller - 5.5 strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco - 4.5 strikeouts

NYM Hitter Projections

1. Brandon Nimmo: 4.45 PA, 1.04 H, 1.62 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.92 FPts
2. Francisco Alvarez: 4.36 PA, 0.77 H, 1.44 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.47 FPts
3. Jeff McNeil: 4.23 PA, 1.14 H, 1.6 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Francisco Lindor: 4.17 PA, 0.92 H, 1.6 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.85 FPts
5. Starling Marte: 4.02 PA, 0.98 H, 1.49 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.26 SB, 8.02 FPts
6. Brett Baty: 4.02 PA, 0.84 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.35 FPts
7. Tommy Pham: 3.78 PA, 0.72 H, 1.2 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.13 FPts
8. Omar Narvaez: 3.53 PA, 0.76 H, 1.15 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.3 FPts
9. Mark Canha: 3.49 PA, 0.73 H, 1.14 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.71 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.55 PA, 0.91 H, 1.52 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.59 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.4 PA, 1.11 H, 1.95 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.88 FPts
3. Jack Suwinski: 4.29 PA, 0.85 H, 1.74 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.07 SB, 8.48 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.27 PA, 0.88 H, 1.51 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.51 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.11 PA, 0.96 H, 1.43 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.19 FPts
6. Ji Hwan Bae: 4.02 PA, 1.0 H, 1.4 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.36 FPts
7. Josh Palacios: 3.6 PA, 0.77 H, 1.2 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.91 FPts
8. Tucupita Marcano: 3.7 PA, 0.82 H, 1.31 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.97 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.35 PA, 0.59 H, 0.88 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.01 FPts

Best Bets

Tucupita Marcano PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.139 value
Tucupita Marcano PIT - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-110.0) - 0.12 value
Mark Canha NYM - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-200.0) - 0.1 value
Carlos Carrasco NYM - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+110.0) - 0.084 value
Ke'Bryan Hayes PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.064 value
Mitch Keller PIT - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (-105.0) - 0.058 value
Andrew McCutchen PIT - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.054 value
Francisco Lindor NYM - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-140.0) - 0.053 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Jack Suwinski (PIT) OF $3600: 8.48 Proj, 1.25 Score
Ji Hwan Bae (PIT) 2B/OF $2900: 7.36 Proj, 1.21 Score
Starling Marte (NYM) OF $3900: 8.02 Proj, 1.17 Score
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $5200: 8.88 Proj, 1.15 Score
Carlos Santana (PIT) 1B $3000: 7.51 Proj, 1.13 Score

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