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DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 19th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Jun 19, 2023
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DFS Recommended Player Pool At Bottom of Post!


Slate Preview 6/19/2023

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

CIN (vs. Austin Gomber): 74.16 Projected Points
STL (vs. Josiah Gray): 72.54 Projected Points
TOR (vs. Bryan Hoeing): 69.12 Projected Points
COL (vs. Brandon Williamson): 69.08 Projected Points
SD (vs. Ryan Walker): 67.15 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

HOU (vs. Max Scherzer): 56.21 Projected Points
MIA (vs. Jose Berrios): 56.59 Projected Points
DET (vs. Jordan Lyles): 58.41 Projected Points
KC (vs. Reese Olson): 59.63 Projected Points
CHC (vs. Osvaldo Bido): 60.74 Projected Points

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Jordan Lyles: 14.48 Today, 14.41 Previous Max
Matt McLain: 10.68 Today, 10.2 Previous Max
Luis Robert: 9.17 Today, 9.03 Previous Max
Kevin Newman: 8.65 Today, 8.44 Previous Max
Whit Merrifield: 7.89 Today, 7.86 Previous Max
Rodolfo Castro: 7.56 Today, 7.55 Previous Max

Game by Game Previews


STL @ WSH

Projected Game Score:

STL 5.6 - WSH 4.4
STL 56.0% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.5
Projected Total: 10.0

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jack Flaherty: 14 GS, 1361 Pitches, 22.8 K%, 13.1 BB%, 11.5 SwStr%, 43.9 Strike%, 41.2 Ball%, 47.5 GB%, 7 Brl%
Josiah Gray: 14 GS, 1339 Pitches, 19.6 K%, 10.7 BB%, 12.5 SwStr%, 44.2 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%, 42.7 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jack Flaherty (STL): 101 Pitches 6.36 IP, 6.3 H, 3.0 ER, 5.4 K, 2.2 BB, 14.58 FPts
Josiah Gray (WSH): 94 Pitches 5.74 IP, 5.3 H, 3.0 ER, 4.8 K, 2.9 BB, 11.81 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jack Flaherty - 4.5 strikeouts
Josiah Gray - 5.5 strikeouts

STL Hitter Projections

1. Brendan Donovan: 4.34 PA, 1.03 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.51 FPts
2. Paul Goldschmidt: 4.3 PA, 0.99 H, 1.86 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.53 FPts
3. Lars Nootbaar: 4.05 PA, 0.87 H, 1.62 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.01 FPts
4. Nolan Arenado: 4.11 PA, 1.04 H, 1.96 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.92 FPts
5. Willson Contreras: 4.02 PA, 0.83 H, 1.56 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.97 FPts
6. Jordan Walker: 3.96 PA, 0.86 H, 1.37 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.93 FPts
7. Nolan Gorman: 3.74 PA, 0.81 H, 1.66 TB, 0.23 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.98 FPts
8. Paul DeJong: 3.65 PA, 0.73 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.71 FPts
9. Tommy Edman: 3.42 PA, 0.81 H, 1.25 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.2 SB, 6.98 FPts

WSH Hitter Projections

1. Lane Thomas: 4.62 PA, 1.0 H, 1.74 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.1 SB, 8.37 FPts
2. Luis Garcia: 4.51 PA, 1.16 H, 1.77 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.63 FPts
3. Jeimer Candelario: 4.4 PA, 0.93 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.46 FPts
4. Joey Meneses: 4.31 PA, 1.12 H, 1.78 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.74 FPts
5. Keibert Ruiz: 4.19 PA, 1.06 H, 1.74 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.88 FPts
6. Corey Dickerson: 3.91 PA, 0.94 H, 1.39 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.47 FPts
7. Dominic Smith: 3.98 PA, 0.9 H, 1.39 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Victor Robles: 3.75 PA, 0.76 H, 1.13 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.02 FPts
9. C.J. Abrams: 3.54 PA, 0.81 H, 1.24 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.72 FPts

Best Bets

Jordan Walker STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.126 value
Tommy Edman STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-180.0) - 0.078 value
Willson Contreras STL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-150.0) - 0.059 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

KC @ DET

Projected Game Score:

DET 3.86 - KC 3.86
DET 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 7.72

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jordan Lyles: 14 GS, 1278 Pitches, 17.3 K%, 8.2 BB%, 9.2 SwStr%, 41.7 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%, 31.6 GB%, 11 Brl%
Reese Olson: 2 GS, 253 Pitches, 19.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 49.8 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%, 48.8 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jordan Lyles (KC): 92 Pitches 5.75 IP, 5.3 H, 2.7 ER, 5.3 K, 1.8 BB, 14.48 FPts
Reese Olson (DET): 86 Pitches 4.72 IP, 3.7 H, 1.9 ER, 4.8 K, 1.9 BB, 13.92 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jordan Lyles - 4.5 strikeouts
Reese Olson - 4.5 strikeouts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Nick Pratto: 4.39 PA, 0.77 H, 1.25 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.64 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.33 PA, 1.0 H, 1.69 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.28 FPts
3. Salvador Perez: 4.2 PA, 0.93 H, 1.66 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.66 FPts
4. MJ Melendez: 4.15 PA, 0.76 H, 1.32 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.92 FPts
5. Edward Olivares: 4.02 PA, 0.96 H, 1.5 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.92 FPts
6. Maikel Garcia: 3.94 PA, 0.78 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.16 SB, 6.86 FPts
7. Nicky Lopez: 3.76 PA, 0.85 H, 1.09 TB, 0.03 HR, 0.15 SB, 6.12 FPts
8. Samad Taylor: 3.7 PA, 0.65 H, 0.93 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.19 SB, 5.9 FPts
9. Drew Waters: 3.46 PA, 0.6 H, 0.95 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.33 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zach McKinstry: 4.27 PA, 0.93 H, 1.59 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.59 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.29 PA, 0.92 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.02 FPts
3. Kerry Carpenter: 4.15 PA, 1.02 H, 1.83 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.93 FPts
4. Javier Baez: 4.02 PA, 0.89 H, 1.44 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.61 FPts
5. Nick Maton: 3.78 PA, 0.7 H, 1.2 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.1 FPts
6. Zack Short: 3.74 PA, 0.67 H, 1.23 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.96 FPts
7. Matt Vierling: 3.67 PA, 0.89 H, 1.39 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.32 FPts
8. Jake Rogers: 3.54 PA, 0.69 H, 1.35 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.08 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.14 PA, 0.63 H, 1.02 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 4.8 FPts

Best Bets

Jordan Lyles KC - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (+100.0) - 0.115 value
Maikel Garcia KC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-195.0) - 0.098 value
Javier Baez DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.085 value
Salvador Perez KC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-125.0) - 0.071 value
Zach McKinstry DET - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.059 value
Spencer Torkelson DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-110.0) - 0.053 value
Javier Baez DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-145.0) - 0.052 value
Nick Maton DET - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-150.0) - 0.051 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

TOR @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

TOR 4.96 - MIA 3.56
TOR 58.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 8.52

2023 Pitcher Stats

Jose Berrios: 14 GS, 1257 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 7.0 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 45.3 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%, 48.1 GB%, 8 Brl%
Bryan Hoeing: 2 GS, 415 Pitches, 20.0 K%, 7.3 BB%, 11.3 SwStr%, 45.1 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Jose Berrios (TOR): 87 Pitches 5.36 IP, 5.6 H, 2.6 ER, 4.9 K, 1.5 BB, 13.12 FPts
Bryan Hoeing (MIA): 27 Pitches 1.58 IP, 1.8 H, 0.9 ER, 1.1 K, 0.5 BB, 3.12 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Jose Berrios - 4.5 strikeouts
Bryan Hoeing - Prop Not Found

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.38 PA, 1.05 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.64 FPts
2. Whit Merrifield: 4.19 PA, 1.01 H, 1.42 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.24 SB, 7.89 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.19 PA, 1.18 H, 1.94 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.9 FPts
4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.11 PA, 1.06 H, 1.84 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.57 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.9 FPts
6. Matt Chapman: 3.9 PA, 0.83 H, 1.57 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.55 FPts
7. Danny Jansen: 3.75 PA, 0.82 H, 1.61 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.1 FPts
8. Spencer Horwitz: 3.67 PA, 0.79 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.58 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.3 PA, 0.78 H, 1.16 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.99 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Luis Arraez: 4.24 PA, 1.24 H, 1.75 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.5 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.17 PA, 0.88 H, 1.76 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.48 FPts
3. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.04 PA, 1.01 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.0 FPts
4. Garrett Cooper: 3.93 PA, 0.86 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.23 FPts
5. Jesus Sanchez: 3.75 PA, 0.82 H, 1.48 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.33 FPts
6. Joey Wendle: 3.71 PA, 0.92 H, 1.36 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.09 SB, 5.99 FPts
7. Jon Berti: 3.62 PA, 0.79 H, 1.15 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.25 SB, 6.55 FPts
8. Jacob Stallings: 3.47 PA, 0.72 H, 1.07 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.79 FPts
9. Jonathan Davis: 3.17 PA, 0.59 H, 0.83 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 4.72 FPts

Best Bets

None

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

CHC @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

PIT 4.82 - CHC 4.0
PIT 54.7% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.82

2023 Pitcher Stats

Osvaldo Bido: 1 GS, 91 Pitches, 31.6 K%, 15.8 BB%, 9.9 SwStr%, 51.6 Strike%, 37.4 Ball%, 40.0 GB%, 0 Brl%
Drew Smyly: 14 GS, 1213 Pitches, 19.8 K%, 6.5 BB%, 10.8 SwStr%, 44.6 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%, 35.2 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Osvaldo Bido (PIT): 86 Pitches 5.38 IP, 4.5 H, 2.3 ER, 4.6 K, 2.5 BB, 13.01 FPts
Drew Smyly (CHC): 85 Pitches 5.2 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 4.3 K, 1.8 BB, 11.99 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Osvaldo Bido - 4.5 strikeouts
Drew Smyly - 3.5 strikeouts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Mike Tauchman: 4.49 PA, 0.82 H, 1.23 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.42 FPts
2. Nico Hoerner: 4.32 PA, 1.04 H, 1.46 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.2 SB, 7.62 FPts
3. Seiya Suzuki: 4.25 PA, 0.91 H, 1.47 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.51 FPts
4. Ian Happ: 4.14 PA, 0.85 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.58 FPts
5. Dansby Swanson: 4.06 PA, 0.88 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.3 FPts
6. Cody Bellinger: 3.97 PA, 0.76 H, 1.25 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.46 FPts
7. Christopher Morel: 3.79 PA, 0.79 H, 1.49 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.03 FPts
8. Nick Madrigal: 3.73 PA, 0.86 H, 1.1 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.33 FPts
9. Tucker Barnhart: 3.3 PA, 0.66 H, 0.93 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.49 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.56 PA, 0.97 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.21 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.41 PA, 1.14 H, 1.99 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.06 SB, 9.07 FPts
3. Connor Joe: 4.36 PA, 0.99 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.18 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.27 PA, 0.95 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.67 FPts
5. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.12 PA, 1.01 H, 1.51 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.59 FPts
6. Rodolfo Castro: 4.02 PA, 0.97 H, 1.69 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.05 SB, 7.56 FPts
7. Henry Davis: 3.93 PA, 0.89 H, 1.6 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.81 FPts
8. Mark Mathias: 3.53 PA, 0.73 H, 1.21 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.27 FPts
9. Austin Hedges: 3.35 PA, 0.61 H, 0.94 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.36 FPts

Best Bets

Nico Hoerner CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-110.0) - 0.118 value
Mike Tauchman CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-175.0) - 0.104 value
Nick Madrigal CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-210.0) - 0.091 value
Dansby Swanson CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-135.0) - 0.087 value
Cody Bellinger CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-190.0) - 0.076 value
Ian Happ CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-160.0) - 0.075 value
PIT - MoneyLine (+112.0) - 0.075 value
Seiya Suzuki CHC - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-145.0) - 0.06 value
Nick Madrigal CHC - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-175.0) - 0.055 value
Nico Hoerner CHC - Runs Scored Under 0.5 (-110.0) - 0.053 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Henry Davis (PIT) C $2000: 7.81 Proj, 1.46 Score
Connor Joe (PIT) 1B/OF $3300: 8.18 Proj, 1.22 Score
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) OF $4800: 9.07 Proj, 1.18 Score
Mike Tauchman (CHC) OF $2500: 7.42 Proj, 1.16 Score
Carlos Santana (PIT) 1B $3100: 7.67 Proj, 1.12 Score

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