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MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - June 20th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Jun 20, 2023
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DFS Recommended Player Pool At Bottom of Post!


Slate Preview 6/20/2023


Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

STL (vs. MacKenzie Gore): 71.55 Projected Points
CIN (vs. Noah Davis): 70.73 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Dylan Cease): 70.4 Projected Points
ATL (vs. Ranger Suarez): 69.63 Projected Points
CLE (vs. Luis Medina): 69.45 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

HOU (vs. Justin Verlander): 53.42 Projected Points
DET (vs. Daniel Lynch): 58.15 Projected Points
NYY (vs. George Kirby): 58.36 Projected Points
LAA (vs. Clayton Kershaw): 58.91 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Marcus Stroman): 59.37 Projected Points

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Aaron Civale: 16.32 Today, 16.24 Previous Max
Daniel Lynch: 14.49 Today, 13.52 Previous Max
Corey Seager: 9.94 Today, 9.65 Previous Max
Nolan Jones: 8.82 Today, 7.98 Previous Max
Andy Ibanez: 7.67 Today, 7.3 Previous Max
Jordan Walker: 7.35 Today, 7.34 Previous Max
Zack Short: 6.76 Today, 6.63 Previous Max

Game by Game Previews


KC @ DET

Projected Game Score:

KC 4.16 - DET 3.82
KC 52.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.98

2023 Pitcher Stats

Daniel Lynch: 4 GS, 382 Pitches, 19.4 K%, 6.8 BB%, 13.9 SwStr%, 43.5 Strike%, 36.9 Ball%, 34.7 GB%, 8 Brl%
Michael Lorenzen: 11 GS, 985 Pitches, 17.9 K%, 5.7 BB%, 10.5 SwStr%, 47.5 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%, 42.7 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Daniel Lynch (KC): 96 Pitches 5.9 IP, 5.8 H, 2.8 ER, 5.4 K, 1.8 BB, 14.49 FPts
Michael Lorenzen (DET): 89 Pitches 5.5 IP, 5.1 H, 2.5 ER, 4.7 K, 1.8 BB, 13.57 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Daniel Lynch - 4.5 strikeouts
Michael Lorenzen - 4.5 strikeouts

KC Hitter Projections

1. Nick Pratto: 4.34 PA, 0.87 H, 1.43 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.01 FPts
2. Bobby Witt Jr.: 4.29 PA, 1.05 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.22 SB, 8.73 FPts
3. Salvador Perez: 4.16 PA, 0.99 H, 1.82 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.23 FPts
4. MJ Melendez: 4.11 PA, 0.84 H, 1.5 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.32 FPts
5. Maikel Garcia: 4.0 PA, 0.9 H, 1.42 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.63 FPts
6. Matt Beaty: 3.78 PA, 0.84 H, 1.14 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.6 FPts
7. Dairon Blanco: 3.8 PA, 0.81 H, 1.18 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.24 SB, 6.81 FPts
8. Nicky Lopez: 3.6 PA, 0.85 H, 1.12 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.06 FPts
9. Drew Waters: 3.43 PA, 0.69 H, 1.12 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.5 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zack Short: 4.28 PA, 0.75 H, 1.36 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.76 FPts
2. Spencer Torkelson: 4.33 PA, 0.93 H, 1.56 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.25 FPts
3. Andy Ibanez: 4.05 PA, 1.05 H, 1.81 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.67 FPts
4. Javier Baez: 4.07 PA, 0.93 H, 1.55 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.22 FPts
5. Eric Haase: 3.98 PA, 0.87 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.42 FPts
6. Jonathan Schoop: 3.82 PA, 0.88 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.2 FPts
7. Miguel Cabrera: 3.78 PA, 0.84 H, 1.21 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.52 FPts
8. Jake Rogers: 3.58 PA, 0.69 H, 1.33 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.15 FPts
9. Jake Marisnick: 3.16 PA, 0.64 H, 1.06 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 4.96 FPts

Best Bets

Daniel Lynch KC - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-115.0) - 0.093 value
KC - MoneyLine (+130.0) - 0.086 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

BAL @ TB

Projected Game Score:

BAL 4.64 - TB 4.62
BAL 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 9.26

2023 Pitcher Stats

Tyler Glasnow: 3 GS, 349 Pitches, 29.5 K%, 12.5 BB%, 16.9 SwStr%, 50.4 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 45.1 GB%, 20 Brl%
Kyle Bradish: 12 GS, 998 Pitches, 20.7 K%, 6.4 BB%, 11.1 SwStr%, 45.6 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 42.8 GB%, 8 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Tyler Glasnow (TB): 90 Pitches 5.67 IP, 4.6 H, 2.4 ER, 7.3 K, 2.1 BB, 19.39 FPts
Kyle Bradish (BAL): 93 Pitches 5.66 IP, 5.6 H, 2.8 ER, 5.0 K, 1.9 BB, 13.2 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Tyler Glasnow - 7.5 strikeouts
Kyle Bradish - 5.5 strikeouts

BAL Hitter Projections

1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.59 PA, 0.84 H, 1.55 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.21 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.56 PA, 0.97 H, 1.69 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.74 FPts
3. Anthony Santander: 4.47 PA, 0.94 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.14 FPts
4. Ryan O'Hearn: 4.11 PA, 0.88 H, 1.53 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.68 FPts
5. Austin Hays: 4.19 PA, 0.94 H, 1.65 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.29 FPts
6. Aaron Hicks: 4.08 PA, 0.71 H, 1.16 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.59 FPts
7. Adam Frazier: 3.92 PA, 0.95 H, 1.4 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.78 FPts
8. Ramon Urias: 3.84 PA, 0.77 H, 1.31 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.02 FPts
9. Jorge Mateo: 3.54 PA, 0.67 H, 1.14 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.25 SB, 6.39 FPts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.36 PA, 1.1 H, 1.72 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.21 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.24 PA, 1.14 H, 1.77 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.71 FPts
3. Luke Raley: 4.08 PA, 0.93 H, 1.84 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.26 FPts
4. Randy Arozarena: 4.11 PA, 0.97 H, 1.69 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.91 FPts
5. Isaac Paredes: 3.9 PA, 0.8 H, 1.34 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.32 FPts
6. Josh Lowe: 3.82 PA, 0.89 H, 1.5 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.17 SB, 7.52 FPts
7. Taylor Walls: 3.76 PA, 0.66 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.25 FPts
8. Jose Siri: 3.63 PA, 0.73 H, 1.28 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 6.25 FPts
9. Francisco Mejia: 3.41 PA, 0.79 H, 1.23 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.13 FPts

Best Bets

BAL - MoneyLine (+150.0) - 0.101 value
Adley Rutschman BAL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+135.0) - 0.092 value
Gunnar Henderson BAL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+125.0) - 0.069 value
Austin Hays BAL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+185.0) - 0.066 value
Adam Frazier BAL - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+210.0) - 0.058 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

ATL @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

ATL 5.12 - PHI 4.18
ATL 55.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.3

2023 Pitcher Stats

Spencer Strider: 14 GS, 1380 Pitches, 39.3 K%, 9.0 BB%, 20.8 SwStr%, 56.8 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%, 31.9 GB%, 11 Brl%
Ranger Suarez: 7 GS, 631 Pitches, 22.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 10.3 SwStr%, 44.5 Strike%, 37.7 Ball%, 53.6 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Spencer Strider (ATL): 97 Pitches 6.33 IP, 4.4 H, 2.4 ER, 9.4 K, 2.2 BB, 25.09 FPts
Ranger Suarez (PHI): 101 Pitches 6.1 IP, 6.1 H, 2.9 ER, 5.5 K, 2.0 BB, 14.55 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Spencer Strider - 8.5 strikeouts
Ranger Suarez - 4.5 strikeouts

ATL Hitter Projections

1. Ronald Acuna Jr.: 4.59 PA, 1.13 H, 1.85 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.35 SB, 11.01 FPts
2. Ozzie Albies: 4.48 PA, 1.11 H, 1.89 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.76 FPts
3. Austin Riley: 4.4 PA, 1.0 H, 1.73 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.13 FPts
4. Travis d'Arnaud: 4.27 PA, 0.99 H, 1.65 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Matt Olson: 4.2 PA, 0.78 H, 1.48 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
6. Marcell Ozuna: 4.02 PA, 0.8 H, 1.37 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.31 FPts
7. Orlando Arcia: 3.94 PA, 0.98 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.11 FPts
8. Kevin Pillar: 3.73 PA, 0.84 H, 1.39 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.24 FPts
9. Michael Harris II: 3.56 PA, 0.93 H, 1.46 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.2 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Kyle Schwarber: 4.88 PA, 0.73 H, 1.63 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.31 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.69 PA, 0.99 H, 1.59 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.96 FPts
3. Nick Castellanos: 4.6 PA, 1.0 H, 1.67 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.29 FPts
4. Bryce Harper: 4.49 PA, 0.94 H, 1.67 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.64 FPts
5. J.T. Realmuto: 4.37 PA, 0.89 H, 1.56 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.61 FPts
6. Bryson Stott: 4.23 PA, 0.91 H, 1.37 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.6 FPts
7. Alec Bohm: 4.16 PA, 0.84 H, 1.27 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.62 FPts
8. Kody Clemens: 3.83 PA, 0.67 H, 1.11 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.08 FPts
9. Brandon Marsh: 3.64 PA, 0.59 H, 0.94 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.84 FPts

Best Bets

Ranger Suarez PHI - Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-130.0) - 0.074 value
Marcell Ozuna ATL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.063 value
Matt Olson ATL - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-170.0) - 0.05 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

TOR @ MIA

Projected Game Score:

TOR 4.57 - MIA 4.54
TOR 50.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.0
Projected Total: 9.11

2023 Pitcher Stats

Eury Perez: 6 GS, 590 Pitches, 25.4 K%, 9.9 BB%, 13.7 SwStr%, 46.8 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%, 28.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Yusei Kikuchi: 14 GS, 1242 Pitches, 23.3 K%, 7.5 BB%, 14.4 SwStr%, 47.2 Strike%, 35.9 Ball%, 38.1 GB%, 11 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Eury Perez (MIA): 86 Pitches 4.99 IP, 4.8 H, 2.4 ER, 4.7 K, 1.9 BB, 12.52 FPts
Yusei Kikuchi (TOR): 88 Pitches 5.36 IP, 5.6 H, 2.7 ER, 4.9 K, 2.2 BB, 12.45 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Eury Perez - 5.5 strikeouts
Yusei Kikuchi - 5.5 strikeouts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.39 PA, 1.02 H, 1.7 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.12 SB, 8.28 FPts
2. Whit Merrifield: 4.2 PA, 0.98 H, 1.38 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.23 SB, 7.59 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.2 PA, 1.11 H, 1.81 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.28 FPts
4. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.12 PA, 1.01 H, 1.72 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.02 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 3.99 PA, 0.83 H, 1.5 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.13 SB, 7.61 FPts
6. Matt Chapman: 3.91 PA, 0.76 H, 1.4 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.85 FPts
7. Spencer Horwitz: 3.81 PA, 0.79 H, 1.29 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.66 FPts
8. Danny Jansen: 3.63 PA, 0.76 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.52 FPts
9. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.3 PA, 0.74 H, 1.09 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.72 FPts

MIA Hitter Projections

1. Bryan De La Cruz: 4.43 PA, 1.07 H, 1.78 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.87 FPts
2. Jorge Soler: 4.37 PA, 0.98 H, 2.19 TB, 0.32 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.66 FPts
3. Luis Arraez: 4.23 PA, 1.15 H, 1.56 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.41 FPts
4. Yuli Gurriel: 4.17 PA, 1.02 H, 1.47 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.94 FPts
5. Garrett Cooper: 4.0 PA, 0.93 H, 1.56 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.01 FPts
6. Jon Berti: 3.89 PA, 0.86 H, 1.31 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.29 SB, 7.88 FPts
7. Nick Fortes: 3.85 PA, 0.87 H, 1.37 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.45 FPts
8. Jonathan Davis: 3.55 PA, 0.65 H, 0.93 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.14 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Jacob Amaya: 3.48 PA, 0.81 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.95 FPts

Best Bets

Jorge Soler MIA - Total Bases Over 1.5 (+125.0) - 0.056 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

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