MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 26th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
May 26, 2023
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Game Previews 5/26/2023


CIN @ CHC

Projected Game Score:

CHC 4.11 - CIN 3.98
CHC 50.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.0
Projected Total: 8.09

2023 Pitcher Stats

Hunter Greene: 9 GS, 941 Pitches, 30.9 K%, 8.5 BB%, 16.4 SwStr%, 49.6 Strike%, 36.3 Ball%, 34.8 GB%, 11 Brl%
Justin Steele: 10 GS, 902 Pitches, 21.8 K%, 6.7 BB%, 12.9 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 49.7 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Hunter Greene (CIN): 99 Pitches 5.92 IP, 4.8 H, 2.6 ER, 7.7 K, 2.3 BB, 19.73 FPts
Justin Steele (CHC): 88 Pitches 5.52 IP, 5.1 H, 2.4 ER, 5.2 K, 1.9 BB, 14.56 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Hunter Greene - 7.5 strikeouts
Justin Steele - 5.5 strikeouts

CIN Hitter Projections

1. Jonathan India: 4.47 PA, 0.99 H, 1.5 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.49 FPts
2. Matt McLain: 4.48 PA, 0.86 H, 1.51 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.14 SB, 8.03 FPts
3. Spencer Steer: 4.4 PA, 0.9 H, 1.45 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.95 FPts
4. Tyler Stephenson: 4.17 PA, 1.03 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.2 FPts
5. Nick Senzel: 4.12 PA, 0.97 H, 1.4 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.85 FPts
6. Stuart Fairchild: 3.78 PA, 0.72 H, 1.17 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.94 FPts
7. Wil Myers: 3.81 PA, 0.8 H, 1.28 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.12 FPts
8. Kevin Newman: 3.81 PA, 0.99 H, 1.41 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.23 FPts
9. Jose Barrero: 3.46 PA, 0.6 H, 0.89 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.07 SB, 4.51 FPts

CHC Hitter Projections

1. Nico Hoerner: 4.47 PA, 1.1 H, 1.63 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.2 SB, 8.12 FPts
2. Miles Mastrobuoni: 4.3 PA, 0.86 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.33 FPts
3. Dansby Swanson: 4.32 PA, 0.92 H, 1.61 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.7 FPts
4. Ian Happ: 4.18 PA, 0.8 H, 1.33 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.24 FPts
5. Seiya Suzuki: 4.09 PA, 0.84 H, 1.48 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.09 SB, 7.31 FPts
6. Mike Tauchman: 4.03 PA, 0.59 H, 0.95 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.45 FPts
7. Christopher Morel: 3.82 PA, 0.74 H, 1.49 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.95 FPts
8. Matt Mervis: 3.71 PA, 0.76 H, 1.42 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.42 FPts
9. Tucker Barnhart: 3.33 PA, 0.61 H, 0.89 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.0 SB, 4.33 FPts

Best Bets

Justin Steele CHC - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+105.0) - 0.095 value
CIN - MoneyLine (+140.0) - 0.075 value
Matt McLain CIN - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+150.0) - 0.067 value
Jonathan India CIN - Runs Scored Over 0.5 (+150.0) - 0.067 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Matt McLain (CIN) SS $9600: 8.03 Proj, 0.77 Score
Jonathan India (CIN) 2B $14100: 7.49 Proj, 0.76 Score
Spencer Steer (CIN) 1B $10800: 6.95 Proj, 0.73 Score
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) C $12000: 7.2 Proj, 0.71 Score
Wil Myers (CIN) OF $9000: 6.12 Proj, 0.7 Score


LAD @ TB

Projected Game Score:

LAD 4.64 - TB 3.98
LAD 53.8% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.62

2023 Pitcher Stats

Noah Syndergaard: 9 GS, 628 Pitches, 16.9 K%, 3.4 BB%, 10.5 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 32.8 Ball%, 41.3 GB%, 9 Brl%
Jalen Beeks: 5 GS, 400 Pitches, 20.8 K%, 11.3 BB%, 12.2 SwStr%, 45.0 Strike%, 37.2 Ball%, 53.5 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Noah Syndergaard (LAD): 75 Pitches 4.55 IP, 5.2 H, 2.4 ER, 3.3 K, 1.0 BB, 9.0 FPts
Jalen Beeks (TB): 25 Pitches 1.7 IP, 1.5 H, 0.8 ER, 1.6 K, 0.8 BB, 4.88 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Noah Syndergaard - nan strikeouts
Jalen Beeks - Prop Not Found

LAD Hitter Projections

1. Mookie Betts: 4.35 PA, 0.99 H, 1.86 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.92 FPts
2. Freddie Freeman: 4.28 PA, 1.12 H, 1.86 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.87 FPts
3. Will Smith: 4.22 PA, 0.9 H, 1.56 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.53 FPts
4. J.D. Martinez: 4.1 PA, 0.9 H, 1.61 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.0 SB, 7.23 FPts
5. Max Muncy: 3.97 PA, 0.73 H, 1.45 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.48 FPts
6. Chris Taylor: 3.85 PA, 0.71 H, 1.25 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.42 FPts
7. Miguel Vargas: 3.78 PA, 0.79 H, 1.32 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.43 FPts
8. James Outman: 3.66 PA, 0.59 H, 1.06 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.06 SB, 5.67 FPts
9. Miguel Rojas: 3.33 PA, 0.79 H, 1.15 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.54 FPts

TB Hitter Projections

1. Yandy Diaz: 4.1 PA, 1.06 H, 1.7 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.64 FPts
2. Wander Franco: 4.01 PA, 1.07 H, 1.71 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.12 SB, 7.81 FPts
3. Randy Arozarena: 3.98 PA, 0.98 H, 1.71 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.18 FPts
4. Brandon Lowe: 3.83 PA, 0.88 H, 1.74 TB, 0.21 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.72 FPts
5. Harold Ramirez: 3.74 PA, 0.98 H, 1.43 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.13 FPts
6. Isaac Paredes: 3.6 PA, 0.76 H, 1.23 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 5.4 FPts
7. Josh Lowe: 3.55 PA, 0.85 H, 1.49 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.93 FPts
8. Christian Bethancourt: 3.39 PA, 0.81 H, 1.39 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.63 FPts
9. Jose Siri: 3.19 PA, 0.66 H, 1.14 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.36 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Brandon Lowe (TB) 2B $4700: 7.72 Proj, 1.08 Score
Randy Arozarena (TB) OF $5900: 8.18 Proj, 1.04 Score
Wander Franco (TB) SS $5300: 7.81 Proj, 1.04 Score
Yandy Diaz (TB) 1B $4900: 7.64 Proj, 1.01 Score
Josh Lowe (TB) OF $5400: 6.93 Proj, 0.9 Score


CWS @ DET

Projected Game Score:

CWS 4.56 - DET 3.0
CWS 60.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.56

2023 Pitcher Stats

Lance Lynn: 10 GS, 1002 Pitches, 26.5 K%, 7.5 BB%, 14.4 SwStr%, 48.6 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%, 38.0 GB%, 9 Brl%
Joey Wentz: 9 GS, 667 Pitches, 17.6 K%, 8.0 BB%, 10.5 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 34.9 Ball%, 39.7 GB%, 10 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Lance Lynn (CWS): 100 Pitches 6.35 IP, 5.4 H, 2.5 ER, 7.2 K, 1.6 BB, 20.38 FPts
Joey Wentz (DET): 80 Pitches 4.91 IP, 5.0 H, 2.4 ER, 4.1 K, 1.7 BB, 10.97 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Lance Lynn - 6.5 strikeouts
Joey Wentz - 4.5 strikeouts

CWS Hitter Projections

1. Tim Anderson: 4.43 PA, 1.22 H, 1.73 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.18 SB, 8.2 FPts
2. Jake Burger: 4.29 PA, 0.98 H, 1.98 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.01 SB, 8.24 FPts
3. Luis Robert: 4.21 PA, 1.17 H, 2.04 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.09 SB, 8.85 FPts
4. Yoan Moncada: 4.15 PA, 0.92 H, 1.47 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.2 FPts
5. Andrew Vaughn: 4.06 PA, 0.93 H, 1.54 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.06 FPts
6. Andrew Benintendi: 3.94 PA, 0.97 H, 1.31 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.47 FPts
7. Yasmani Grandal: 3.85 PA, 0.71 H, 1.12 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.0 SB, 6.39 FPts
8. Jackson Frazier: 3.73 PA, 0.67 H, 1.13 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.32 FPts
9. Romy Gonzalez: 3.37 PA, 0.76 H, 1.27 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.88 FPts

DET Hitter Projections

1. Zach McKinstry: 4.27 PA, 0.85 H, 1.33 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.24 FPts
2. Javier Baez: 4.19 PA, 0.84 H, 1.3 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 5.83 FPts
3. Riley Greene: 4.18 PA, 0.94 H, 1.45 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.66 FPts
4. Spencer Torkelson: 4.09 PA, 0.83 H, 1.39 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.01 FPts
5. Nick Maton: 3.81 PA, 0.66 H, 1.08 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.23 FPts
6. Matt Vierling: 3.76 PA, 0.85 H, 1.28 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.64 FPts
7. Akil Baddoo: 3.57 PA, 0.72 H, 1.07 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.15 SB, 5.75 FPts
8. Andy Ibanez: 3.47 PA, 0.84 H, 1.34 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.48 FPts
9. Jake Rogers: 3.3 PA, 0.6 H, 1.02 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.62 FPts

Best Bets

Andrew Vaughn CWS - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-130.0) - 0.074 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

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