MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

DFS & Betting Game Previews - May 24th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
May 24, 2023
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Game Previews 5/24/2023


TEX @ PIT

Projected Game Score:

TEX 4.39 - PIT 4.3
TEX 50.5% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 8.69

2023 Pitcher Stats

Johan Oviedo: 9 GS, 789 Pitches, 19.5 K%, 10.0 BB%, 12.4 SwStr%, 43.7 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%, 49.4 GB%, 6 Brl%
Martin Perez: 9 GS, 788 Pitches, 17.5 K%, 6.5 BB%, 9.5 SwStr%, 45.2 Strike%, 33.9 Ball%, 38.2 GB%, 7 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Johan Oviedo (PIT): 89.0 Pitches 5.49 IP, 5.2 H, 2.6 ER, 4.9 K, 2.4 BB, 12.91 FPts
Martin Perez (TEX): 90.0 Pitches 5.42 IP, 5.4 H, 2.6 ER, 4.5 K, 2.1 BB, 12.26 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Johan Oviedo - 4.5 strikeouts
Martin Perez - 3.5 strikeouts

TEX Hitter Projections

1. Marcus Semien: 4.4 PA, 0.96 H, 1.54 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.15 SB, 7.82 FPts
2. Corey Seager: 4.31 PA, 1.09 H, 1.91 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.02 SB, 8.75 FPts
3. Nathaniel Lowe: 4.21 PA, 1.03 H, 1.64 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.9 FPts
4. Adolis Garcia: 4.11 PA, 0.92 H, 1.65 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.94 FPts
5. Josh Jung: 3.97 PA, 0.85 H, 1.46 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.39 FPts
6. Jonah Heim: 3.93 PA, 0.85 H, 1.42 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.55 FPts
7. Robbie Grossman: 3.76 PA, 0.7 H, 1.1 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.09 SB, 6.26 FPts
8. Josh Smith: 3.51 PA, 0.73 H, 1.08 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.11 FPts
9. Leody Taveras: 3.4 PA, 0.75 H, 1.1 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.7 FPts

PIT Hitter Projections

1. Andrew McCutchen: 4.47 PA, 0.95 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.08 SB, 7.85 FPts
2. Bryan Reynolds: 4.32 PA, 1.12 H, 1.87 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.06 SB, 8.52 FPts
3. Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4.24 PA, 1.07 H, 1.6 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.07 FPts
4. Carlos Santana: 4.2 PA, 0.94 H, 1.48 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 7.34 FPts
5. Connor Joe: 4.08 PA, 0.97 H, 1.54 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.06 SB, 7.66 FPts
6. Rodolfo Castro: 3.95 PA, 0.89 H, 1.51 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.05 SB, 6.89 FPts
7. Jack Suwinski: 3.81 PA, 0.71 H, 1.28 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.48 FPts
8. Jason Delay: 3.57 PA, 0.77 H, 1.09 TB, 0.05 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.99 FPts
9. Chris Owings: 3.33 PA, 0.64 H, 1.01 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.06 SB, 4.96 FPts

Best Bets

Martin Perez TEX - Strikeouts Over 3.5 (-135.0) - 0.085 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Connor Joe (PIT) OF $3400: 7.66 Proj, 1.13 Score
Corey Seager (TEX) SS $5300: 8.75 Proj, 1.13 Score
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) 1B $4200: 7.9 Proj, 1.09 Score
Rodolfo Castro (PIT) 2B/SS $3000: 6.89 Proj, 1.08 Score
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 3B $4100: 8.07 Proj, 1.07 Score


ARI @ PHI

Projected Game Score:

PHI 3.98 - ARI 3.8
PHI 51.2% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 7.78

2023 Pitcher Stats

Zac Gallen: 10 GS, 920 Pitches, 29.3 K%, 5.0 BB%, 14.0 SwStr%, 48.0 Strike%, 35.0 Ball%, 42.9 GB%, 7 Brl%
Ranger Suarez: 2 GS, 138 Pitches, 23.5 K%, 11.8 BB%, 11.6 SwStr%, 44.2 Strike%, 39.9 Ball%, 45.5 GB%, 4 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Zac Gallen (ARI): 94.0 Pitches 5.75 IP, 5.3 H, 2.5 ER, 6.4 K, 1.4 BB, 17.55 FPts
Ranger Suarez (PHI): 73.0 Pitches 4.58 IP, 4.1 H, 1.9 ER, 4.1 K, 1.6 BB, 12.01 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Zac Gallen - 6.5 strikeouts
Ranger Suarez - 3.5 strikeouts

ARI Hitter Projections

1. Ketel Marte: 4.56 PA, 1.12 H, 1.83 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.04 SB, 8.06 FPts
2. Corbin Carroll: 4.44 PA, 1.0 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.21 SB, 8.71 FPts
3. Emmanuel Rivera: 4.21 PA, 0.96 H, 1.51 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.71 FPts
4. Christian Walker: 4.23 PA, 0.9 H, 1.61 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.37 FPts
5. Evan Longoria: 4.03 PA, 0.86 H, 1.62 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.16 FPts
6. Pavin Smith: 3.94 PA, 0.86 H, 1.31 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.99 FPts
7. Nick Ahmed: 3.77 PA, 0.76 H, 1.12 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.08 SB, 5.33 FPts
8. Dominic Fletcher: 3.71 PA, 0.73 H, 1.06 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.02 SB, 4.86 FPts
9. Jose Herrera: 3.3 PA, 0.56 H, 0.7 TB, 0.02 HR, 0.01 SB, 3.91 FPts

PHI Hitter Projections

1. Bryson Stott: 4.4 PA, 1.02 H, 1.53 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.21 FPts
2. Trea Turner: 4.33 PA, 1.05 H, 1.63 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.19 SB, 7.99 FPts
3. Bryce Harper: 4.24 PA, 1.04 H, 1.93 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.11 SB, 9.38 FPts
4. Nick Castellanos: 4.15 PA, 0.97 H, 1.57 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.9 FPts
5. Kyle Schwarber: 4.08 PA, 0.75 H, 1.66 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.92 FPts
6. Alec Bohm: 3.95 PA, 0.86 H, 1.26 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.57 FPts
7. Kody Clemens: 3.65 PA, 0.7 H, 1.23 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.48 FPts
8. Dalton Guthrie: 3.63 PA, 0.76 H, 1.26 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.73 FPts
9. Garrett Stubbs: 3.33 PA, 0.66 H, 0.98 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.52 FPts

Best Bets

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Bryce Harper (PHI) OF $6200: 9.38 Proj, 1.13 Score
Evan Longoria (ARI) 3B $3400: 7.16 Proj, 1.08 Score
Corbin Carroll (ARI) OF $5500: 8.71 Proj, 1.08 Score
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) OF $4900: 7.92 Proj, 1.07 Score
Trea Turner (PHI) SS $5100: 7.99 Proj, 1.02 Score


SF @ MIN

Projected Game Score:

MIN 3.7 - SF 3.28
MIN 53.1% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 6.98

2023 Pitcher Stats

Joe Ryan: 9 GS, 827 Pitches, 30.1 K%, 3.7 BB%, 16.0 SwStr%, 55.0 Strike%, 27.8 Ball%, 38.0 GB%, 4 Brl%
Anthony DeSclafani: 9 GS, 804 Pitches, 18.7 K%, 3.2 BB%, 8.8 SwStr%, 44.4 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%, 46.7 GB%, 6 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Joe Ryan (MIN): 95.0 Pitches 6.15 IP, 5.0 H, 2.5 ER, 7.5 K, 1.6 BB, 20.48 FPts
Anthony DeSclafani (SF): 89.0 Pitches 5.45 IP, 5.3 H, 2.4 ER, 5.6 K, 1.3 BB, 15.29 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Joe Ryan - 6.5 strikeouts
Anthony DeSclafani - 5.5 strikeouts

SF Hitter Projections

1. LaMonte Wade Jr.: 4.13 PA, 0.83 H, 1.48 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.74 FPts
2. Thairo Estrada: 4.27 PA, 0.96 H, 1.43 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.67 FPts
3. J.D. Davis: 4.08 PA, 0.81 H, 1.37 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.09 FPts
4. Michael Conforto: 4.09 PA, 0.8 H, 1.34 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.36 FPts
5. Mitch Haniger: 3.95 PA, 0.79 H, 1.42 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.88 FPts
6. Mike Yastrzemski: 3.74 PA, 0.72 H, 1.31 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.77 FPts
7. Blake Sabol: 3.61 PA, 0.6 H, 0.98 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 4.54 FPts
8. Casey Schmitt: 3.66 PA, 0.77 H, 1.28 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.22 FPts
9. Brandon Crawford: 3.31 PA, 0.7 H, 1.13 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.1 FPts

MIN Hitter Projections

1. Edouard Julien: 4.24 PA, 0.79 H, 1.24 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.54 FPts
2. Byron Buxton: 4.29 PA, 0.93 H, 1.88 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.33 FPts
3. Donovan Solano: 4.24 PA, 1.04 H, 1.57 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.01 SB, 6.68 FPts
4. Alex Kirilloff: 4.05 PA, 1.02 H, 1.63 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.84 FPts
5. Kyle Farmer: 4.07 PA, 0.96 H, 1.4 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.96 FPts
6. Willi Castro: 3.97 PA, 0.9 H, 1.35 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.19 FPts
7. Matt Wallner: 3.83 PA, 0.69 H, 1.17 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.47 FPts
8. Ryan Jeffers: 3.72 PA, 0.71 H, 1.27 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.46 FPts
9. Michael A. Taylor: 3.4 PA, 0.74 H, 1.16 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.07 SB, 5.17 FPts

Best Bets

Edouard Julien MIN - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-190.0) - 0.079 value
Mike Yastrzemski SF - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-185.0) - 0.068 value
Anthony DeSclafani SF - Strikeouts Over 5.5 (+130.0) - 0.053 value
SF - MoneyLine (+140.0) - 0.052 value
Michael Conforto SF - Total Bases Under 1.5 (-195.0) - 0.051 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Donovan Solano (MIN) 1B/2B $2100: 6.68 Proj, 1.09 Score
Byron Buxton (MIN) OF $6100: 8.33 Proj, 1.04 Score
Willi Castro (MIN) 2B/OF $2400: 6.19 Proj, 0.99 Score
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 1B $3300: 6.74 Proj, 0.97 Score
Mitch Haniger (SF) OF $2800: 5.88 Proj, 0.94 Score

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