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The Slate Take
We’re working with a five-game main slate after I scratched Cle at Phi and Det at Bal for the rain. It is an absolute goat rodeo today with that weather. It’s just 80% to 90% chances of rain in both stadiums and I don’t want to risk starting, stopping, not getting them in, so I’m eliminating them. The two highest implied totals on the sheet are Atlanta at 5.40 and Seattle at 4.80. Boston is third at 4.50 and San Francisco is fourth at 4.60. The runs are concentrated in three offenses, but ownership won’t be. The field always overweight’s the top game total on a small slate because there’s nowhere else to go, which means the leverage is on the two run environments under Atlanta that are also legitimate stacking spots.
If I knew for sure Detroit and Baltimore were gonna go, Framber would be my number one pitcher but I’m just too worried about that weather that I’m gonna build all those lineups. He’s gonna get locked in and then we’re gonna get a cancel because of the weather, looking at it below.