July 15th DraftKings Analysis
Back to basics, no video this time - that was kind of a mess on Tuesday! Let’s just break down the player pools in this manner.
Pitchers
I’m not clear on who the Astros starter is tonight. I have seen all of Odorizzi, Verlander, and Urquidy mentioned. If it’s Verlander (I don’t think it is), he’s in play but for now we’re operating as if it’s Odorizzi.
#1 Clayton Kershaw $9,400 vs. Angels
He’s my guy tonight. 97 pitches last time out with 10 strikeouts and 17 whiffs, and the elite matchup against the Angels, and you get a bit of a discount on him still. He’s going directly into the lineup to start things off.
#2 Alek Manoah $9,000 vs. Royals
Gausman underperformed a little bit last night against the Royals, but now Manoah gets a go at this KC lineup:
It’s a bad lineup. Manoah gets most of his strikeouts against righties (29% K% vs. 16.7%), and there are just five righties int his lineup - but when you look at those lefties I mean there’s only one imposing bad in Vinnie Paquantino. I think he’s as sure of a bet for 20 points as you can find, and the price is just right. I like the Kershaw and Manoah combo for just $18,400.
#3 Brandon Woodruff $10,200 vs. Giants
He’s probably not making my cash lineup tonight cause I want the savings on Kershaw and Manoah, but Woody is in good form and the matchup with the Giants isn’t awful.
#4 Robbie Ray $9,800 vs. Rangers
Ray’s slight inconsistency and the Rangers good marks against lefties have me off of him, but I won’t be surprised at all if Ray leads the slate in points.
In terms of cheap guys
Odorizzi/Urquidy vs. OAK
Plesac vs. DET
But yeah, I’m paying for two of the top guys since I’m a one-lineup kinda guy.
Hitters
Splits tables
Right-handed batters:
Left-handed batters:
Batter vs. Pitcher Type Clusters:
The top team spots
Braves vs. Corbin
Rockies vs. Quintana
Blue Jays vs. Greinke
Dodgers vs. Sandoval
Pirates vs. Marquez
I’m actually trying to stay away from the Pirates in Coors just because the offense has so little upside and Marquez has generally been “okay” in Coors for his career. This year it hasn’t gone that well for him with a .591 SLG against and just a 20.4% K%, but still I’m not going out of my way to play dudes like Vogelbach, Hayes, or Cruz.
The hitters I’m really trying to get tonight would be
Ronald Acuna $6,300
Austin Riley $5,500
Danby Swanson $5,600
William Contreras $5,400
C.J. Cron $5,400
Kris Bryant $5,700
George Springer $5,100
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. $5,000
Teoscar Hernandez $4,300
But of course, we can probably only get 2 or 3 of them.
The cheap hitters that stand out before lineups come out are
Jose Iglesias $3,700
Daniel Vogelbach $3,400
Adam Duvall $3,400
Ramon Laureano $3,700
Nolan Gorman $3,000
Sam Huff $2,500
Yadiel Hernandez $2,700
Nolan Jones $2,000
Riley Greene $2,900
Esteury Ruiz $2,000
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