July 8th DFS Turbo Slate Breakdown
Examining the six-game turbo slate on DraftKings
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I smashed both slates yesterday. Easy wins in both and a doubling of the cash I put in. That’s what it’s all about. So now I’m charged up and ready to play the double slate again tonight.
I’m separating this into two posts today to keep it organized. Let’s do the turbo slate and then come back a bit later for the main slate.
Weather
We’re all good again today. No double headers this time, no worrisome weather spots. Maybe a note to say that Roth has the Guardians/Twins game at YELLOW.
YELLOW/GREEN - A few storms around. It looks to me like they actually all hold just south, but it’s close enough that it warrants a second look later today.
We can proceed without regard to the weather. Remember that the projections take the winds and temps into account, so we don’t really want to double count that by juicing up wind games in our minds. Although if it’s extreme, it’s probable that the model isn’t quite applying the full strength of the winds. But I think it’s correct to only slightly adjust since wind is so unpredictable.
Game Info
Orioles vs. Colin Rea +1.04
Tigers vs. Jeffrey Springs +0.97
Mariners vs. Tyler Phillips +0.72
Nationals vs. Spencer Arrighetti +0.38 (5.8 implied total to lead the slate)
We really like any spot where the implied total is 1+ run above the team average. The Orioles hit righties pretty well and their prices are all pretty cheap just because they haven’t been all that great offensively for DFS this year.
The Tigers are near that +1 as well up against Jeffrey Springs, who can hit very hard by right-handed hitters.
I have realized that I have a few missing name mappings. Hao Yu Lee needed added to the file, so his price and position stuff should pop up from now on.
The righties to like here are Vierling, Dingler, and Torkelson, and less so Jahmai Jones as a punt.