MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB DW DFS & Betting

Main Slate Breakdown 5-16

Trevor's avatar
Trevor
May 16, 2026
∙ Paid


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The Slate Take

The Vegas tops are LAA at 8.5, HOU at 8.0, CHC@CWS at 8.5, MIL@MIN at 8.5, and NYM at 8.5, with TEX leading the slate at a 4.80 implied team total against Kai-Wei Teng. Pitcher ownership concentrates on Jacob deGrom at 37 percent and Logan Gilbert at 34 percent and then drops off a cliff. Everything between $6,300 and $8,900 on the mound is below 16 percent ownership. How you take down massive tournaments is by not playing over-owned spots and taking advantage of the lower-owned spots.

Weather

There are no real weather issues today. We’re in a pretty good spot. I think people will push to Yankees and Mets with the wind blowing out. With it being 84 degrees in Sacramento tonight, I think a lot of people flock to the A’s. We’ll talk about why I’m not going to go there. I just think they’re going to end up over-owned today.

The Pitchers I’m Playing

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