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MLB DW DFS & Betting

Main Slate Breakdown 7-29

Trevor's avatar
Trevor
Jul 29, 2026
∙ Paid

The Run Environment

Two games separate themselves. Seattle at Los Angeles sims 10.97 total runs, LAD 5.42 and SEA 5.55, with a 57.8% chance of clearing 9.5 and a 50.2% chance of clearing 10. Boston at Athletics is next at 10.59, and Boston’s 6.01 is the highest single team total on the slate. After that it flattens: KC at MIN 9.59, CLE at CIN 9.30, HOU at LAA 9.28, CHC at STL 9.27, NYY at CWS 8.84. Atlanta at New York returned no run output in the export, so there are no bats from it.

The field read is simple and it is wrong in a useful way. Boston owns the ownership: Romy Gonzalez and Ceddanne Rafaela at 16%, Willson Contreras 13%, Jahmai Jones 12%, Andruw Monasterio 11%, Wilyer Abreu 10%. That is roughly 78% concentrated in one lineup with the second-best game total. Seattle’s best bat is Julio Rodriguez at 8%, Cal Raleigh 9%, Randy Arozarena 8%, and that team sits in the game the sim likes most. Half the run environment at a tenth of the price.

Weather


Pitching

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