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MLB DW DFS & Betting

Main Slate Breakdown 8-19

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Trevor
Aug 19, 2026
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If you didn’t have the Brewers last night, it was a long, slow, painful death.

The Run Environment

Sim totals, top to bottom: LAD at COL 10.37, NYY at BAL 10.25, ATH at KC 9.90, WSH at TEX 9.80, STL at CIN 9.62, LAA at HOU 9.41, SF at CLE 8.23, SEA at MIL 8.21, TOR at TB 7.45. Team totals: LAD 5.66, CLE 5.45, WSH 5.34, KC 5.26, NYY 5.25, BAL 5.00, then a cliff.

Here is the whole slate in two numbers. Coors clears 9.5 runs in 52.2% of sims. Camden clears 9.5 in 53.8%. The Yankees and Orioles game is the better over, and it will get a fraction of the attention, because one park has a reputation and the other has a scoreboard.

So the trap is Coors bats at any price as I am always willing to fade Coors, and the quiet spot is Washington in Arlington at 5.34 against a 4.64 strikeout arm. I am writing this article early and we do not have much ownership yet.

Weather

Pitching

The Stud

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