Slate preview posts are for all paid subs, but access to the daily projections plus all of the DFS and betting tools is limited to PRO subscribers. Become an MLB DW Pro member today to get the full access to some of the best daily MLB tools on the market!
Weather
This could turn into a three-game slate pretty quick… it looks bad in Boston:
That would pretty much take it off the table for me as far as the DFS slate goes. But we’ll proceed anyways for you guys playing it!
Game Data
Let’s just rock this thing out game-by-game.
Phillies at Red Sox
Two of the pitchers you least know what you’ll get from! There are not many worse pitchers to try to predict than these two.
It might not matter with the rain, but you can definitely play both, and you can definitely fade both! How’s that for some analysis.
Both offenses have been subpar this year against lefties.
Schwarber and Harper are both good against lefties, but definitely worse than usual as left-handed bats. And Trea Turner isn’t swinging the bat well this year, so it’s a spot that Ranger could exploit. And it’ll be his first time facing his old team, so there’s a narrative angle there.
Narratives are fake, by the way. If Suarez could just pitch better when he wants to, he’d do that all the time.
For Luzardo, the Red Sox are hitting better against lefties this year, but it’s still a team .740 OPS with a .324 xwOBA.
It doesn’t really matter with Luzardo. He dominates or sucks seemingly just depending on if he has the right touch or not.
Matchups:
Lots of green for the Phillies against Suarez. Not so much for the Red Sox against Luzardo.
I wish I could give you more, but we shouldn’t gamble on guys we don’t know. And we don’t know these two on a night-to-night basis.
It looks like a spot for the Red Sox to be limited with the long ball. The weather should help one way or another. So you could take like Red Sox under 1.5 HR or something like that and feel okay about that.
DFS wise, Luzardo projects well as always. He does the stuff projections love. A high K%, a good BB%, and it’s a good matchup. So he takes the projection crown here, but don’t say I didn’t warn you if he gets jacked up!
I like to stick to the numbers, and Luzardo in tourneys is a very appealing play to me if this game completes.
Cubs vs. Braves
This is the most interesting pitching matchup of the night, of the day, maybe of the week!