Yu Darvish can still get it done. Some of these veteran starting pitchers are really impressive to me. How are you 38 years old and still sitting down Major League hitters?
6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 6 SO, 1 BB, 17.9% SwStr%
We have seen it with Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw at times as well this year. The best pitchers in the world seem to be able to get the job done until nearly 40 years old, at least when they’re healthy enough to be on the mound.
And I guess that makes sense. We lose physical ability as a percentage more than as a raw total, right? Emmitt Smith doesn’t run anywhere near as fast as he used to, but I bet he’s still one of the faster 56-year-olds around. I have no idea why I chose Emmitt Smith as my example there. Must have seen a commercial with him in it recently, and have him lodged in the old subconscious.
Here’s the Yu Darvish pitch mix data from this year.
That’s six pitches with double-digit usages. He’s given up just four homers on 516 pitches (three of them on the sweeper!) and he’s limited hard contact on everything but that sweeper. Maybe he should sweep that one out of the mix!
Probably not. Darvish has been really something to watch, and it’s wild to think he’s still in the fantasy conversation here in 2025.
The Zebby Matthews vs. Will Warren matchup was of interest to me. Warren was pretty great:
6.2 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 7 SO, 0 BB, 12.9% SwStr%, 29.4% Ball%
The sinker was working, and he cruised through the Twins lineup for a win.
Zebby struck out nine on 18 whiffs with a very nice 54.5% Strike% and 31.3% Ball%. However, he gave up three homers. That pushed his HR/9 up to 1.43 on the year. It was the third time this year (in the Majors) that he gave up three homers.
This was a huge issue for him in his short stint in the Majors last year (11 HR in 9 GS, 37.2 IP). For his career, he’s given up 18 homers in 81.2 IP (1.98 HR/9). He has a 36% GB% and throws a ton of four-seamers and sliders. That profile will result in homers.
The good news is that there’s a lot of room for improvement. It’s hard to have a HR/9 around two for very long. Only 20 pitchers have made 15+ starts dating back to 2023 with a HR/9 above 1.8. Here they are:
While I have this data, let’s look at the best pitchers at limiting homers, here’s everybody with 15+ starts and a HR/9 under 0.8.
I know what you’re thinking. You’re thinking “man, this would be a great moment for a histogram of all the HR/9 rates in Jon’s data sheet”.
Most guys fall between 1 and 1.4 HR/9. So the outliers should, in general terms, be expected to gravitate toward that clump. There are many exceptions. We would not expect Cristopher Sanchez or Jose Soriano to end up above one. Those guys have the consistent, repeatable, skill to generate a ton of ground balls. And ground balls never go for homers. EVER.
91% of homers are on fly balls. Do you want more proof?
Do you want a pie graph?
Do you want to learn how to do sweet Python things like that? Well you can. You can. Right here. And it’s only $150. So you could either spend six million dollars at college, or just give me $150. And those two thing are exact perfect comparisons, there are no other considerations needed in that.
We went 3/5 in the five props from yesterday as I start my quest to make at least $1 betting on baseball this week. That ended up being a PLUS ZERO POINT SEVEN EIGHT UNIT PROFIT.
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The one guy who cost us a really nice day was Andrew Abbott. And man, I should have learned my lesson on that guy by now. I’m always telling people that he’ll give up a ton of homers in Great American Ballpark, and then he never freaking does it.
He has now given up just 28 homers on his 182 fly balls allowed in his career at the Great American Ballpark. That’s a 15.4% HR/FB.
That is right around the MLB average. But it’s better than the average in Cincy (17.9%). Here are the top seven parks in HR/9 since 2023:
Let’s show off some park data here since I’m in the Python plotting mood.
Here’s HR/FB by park since 2023:
Here’s HR/LD by park since 2023:
And here’s HR/GB by park since 2023:
lmao!
The big dogs got hit around last night.
I don’t see anything worth talking about with Crochet. Velo is still there and he’s been great pretty much every time out. You’ll have some bad starts, nobody is perfect.
With Logan Webb, we have seen some degradation.
He has not been able to keep up the K% gains we saw from him early this year. The SwStr% is down around 10% since June. Which is fine, he’s more or less just moving back to where he’s usually at, which is still a really good pitcher. But he’s not an SP1 for fantasy purposes in most league type (points leagues he might be still).
Since June 1st:
24.6% K%, 5.3% BB%, 10.3% SwStr%, 33.7% Ball%, 51.5% GB%, 2.83 JA ERA
But since July 1st:
22.7% K%, 6.1% BB%, 9.9% SwStr%, 35.2% Ball%, 51.6% GB%, 3.12 JA ERA
You’re not benching him or trading him or anything, so I’m not real sure what more I have to say that would help anybody.
As for Eovaldi, he blows it as soon as people start talking about him as a potential Cy Young winner. His ERA was at 1.38 before last night, and those five earnies pushed it up to 1.71. That’s still really good and something that should put him in the Cy Young conversation. But I don’t think anybody is taking it from Skubal.
Here are your updated ERA leaderes (15+ GS):
Eovaldi still has a significant edge on Skubal in this regard, but it’s in 29 fewer innings, and he’ll probably end up striking out like 80 fewer batters.
We should have a looksie at my boy Cristian Javier. A forever-fade for you boy. I’ve never liked him. I mean you would think that this guy beat me up in high school or something.
He threw 85 pitches last night in his 2025 MLB debut.
5 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 5 SO, 2 BB
The pitch mix:
He’s never been a velo guy, but his fastball has had periods of dominance. It was not dominant last night with that poor 6.9% SwStr% and 41% Strike%, but he escaped without giving up much on it. The sweeper is a good pitch for him. The problem for Javier has never been about the breaking ball.
And he has a changeup and sinker now, so he’s a bit of a new-look pitcher. He was heavily four-seamer and slider/sweeper back in 2021-2022 when he was having success. And we can see the up-tick in changeup usage and the introduction of the sinker here:
They should make those lines more bold. That’s an ugly plot to look at. But there you go. Fewer four-seamers is a good thing for Javier, and he’s someone we can keep an eye on. His 11.8% SwStr% and 37.6% Ball% combo last night is not what you want to see, but it’s 85 pitches in his first MLB start since May 21st, 2024. So we’ll let him generate more data before we decide on what to do with him for the future.
Another bomb job from Colson Montgomery last night. He’s now at:
.241/.303/.565, 28.6% K%, 7.6% BB%, 16.2% Brl%, .253 xBA, .379 xwOBA
He’s well above zero in the xwOBA OE stuff (+0.50). And he’s lifting the ball like few others can (32% GB%). Hard hit fly balls are a great outcome, and he’s done a lot of that.
He’s 7th in the league in air pull rate if you limit it to just a 100 PA min.
The whiffs are going to catch up with him, though. I don’t see much way he’s not a 30% K% guy, and it’s really hard to hit even .240 while that’s going on. But he’s a 12-team or deeper must-start guy I’d say. He’s rocking dongs on the reg.
Before I wrap it today, let’s do the bottom 20 in xwOBA OE of the second half, restricted to hitters owned in at least 60% of Yahoo leagues.
Goooodbye!
Cristian Javier (HOU): 5.0IP, 3H, 2ER, 5SO, 2BB
David Robertson (PHI): 1.0IP, 1H, 0ER, 1SO, 1BB
1. Yu Darvish
2. Andrew Abbott
3. Zebby Matthews
4. Garrett Crochet
5. Will Warren
6. Ryne Nelson
7. Chase Dollander
8. Jeffrey Springs
9. Cristian Javier
10. Bailey Falter
11. Ryan Pepiot
12. Jose Soriano
13. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
14. Jose Quintana
15. Chris Paddack
16. Miles Mikolas
17. Taijuan Walker
18. Logan Webb
19. Nathan Eovaldi
20. Cade Cavalli
21. Andrew Heaney
1. Will Warren (vs. MIN): 27.21 Points
2. Jose Soriano (vs. LAD): 27.1 Points
3. Yu Darvish (vs. SF): 25.1 Points
4. Zebby Matthews (vs. NYY): 20.56 Points
5. Andrew Abbott (vs. PHI): 19.66 Points
6. Jose Quintana (vs. PIT): 19.1 Points
7. Cristian Javier (vs. BOS): 18.25 Points
8. Tyler Alexander - 641302 (vs. DET): 17.94 Points
9. Chris Paddack (vs. CWS): 16.36 Points
10. Chase Dollander (vs. STL): 14.45 Points
1. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 18 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
2. Zebby Matthews (MIN): 18 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
3. Yu Darvish (SD): 15 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
4. Ryne Nelson (ARI): 13 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 13 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
6. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 12 Whiffs (86 Pitches)
7. Ryan Pepiot (TB): 11 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
8. Bailey Falter (KC): 11 Whiffs (76 Pitches)
9. Will Warren (NYY): 11 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
10. Chase Dollander (COL): 11 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
1. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 54.7 Strike%, 29.1 Ball%
2. Zebby Matthews (MIN): 54.5 Strike%, 31.3 Ball%
3. Ryne Nelson (ARI): 52.6 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%
4. Will Warren (NYY): 51.8 Strike%, 29.4 Ball%
5. Chris Paddack (DET): 51.3 Strike%, 28.9 Ball%
6. Andrew Abbott (CIN): 50.0 Strike%, 28.8 Ball%
7. Tyler Alexander (CWS): 49.2 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%
8. Chase Dollander (COL): 48.9 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
9. Yu Darvish (SD): 48.8 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
10. Cristian Javier (HOU): 48.2 Strike%, 37.6 Ball%
11. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD): 47.5 Strike%, 39.4 Ball%
12. Osvaldo Bido (OAK): 46.2 Strike%, 28.8 Ball%
13. Ryan Pepiot (TB): 45.9 Strike%, 34.1 Ball%
14. Logan Webb (SF): 45.9 Strike%, 29.6 Ball%
15. Jose Quintana (MIL): 43.8 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%
1. Miles Mikolas: 76 Pitches, 20 Outs, 3.8 POUT
2. Will Warren: 85 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.25 POUT
3. Chris Paddack: 76 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.47 POUT
4. Andrew Abbott: 104 Pitches, 23 Outs, 4.52 POUT
5. Ryan Pepiot: 85 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.72 POUT
6. Jose Quintana: 89 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.94 POUT
7. Yu Darvish: 84 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.94 POUT
8. Tyler Alexander: 65 Pitches, 13 Outs, 5.0 POUT
9. Jose Soriano: 91 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.06 POUT
10. Logan Webb: 98 Pitches, 19 Outs, 5.16 POUT
Cristian Javier's FF velo (29 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 93.5
Tyler Alexander's FF velo (12 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 91.8
Tyler Alexander's SI velo (15 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 91.4
Nathan Eovaldi's FC velo (15 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 89.1
Andrew Heaney's SI usage (22.2%) up 17.4 points
Bailey Falter's CU usage (35.5%) up 21.3 points
Cade Cavalli's FF usage (43.2%) up 12.2 points
Garrett Crochet's ST usage (26.7%) up 15.1 points
Jeffrey Springs's FC usage (14.8%) up 10.7 points
Logan Webb's ST usage (35.7%) up 12.6 points
Osvaldo Bido's SL usage (38.5%) up 11.6 points
Ryne Nelson's FF usage (82.5%) up 23.4 points
Taijuan Walker's FC usage (32.3%) up 10.8 points
Tyler Alexander's ST usage (36.9%) up 17.8 points
Will Warren's SI usage (31.8%) up 10.1 points
Yu Darvish's FF usage (29.8%) up 13.2 points
Zebby Matthews's CH usage (21.2%) up 12.3 points
Brandon Pfaadt Cutter: +21.6%
Brandon Pfaadt 4-Seam Fastball: -21.1%
Logan Allen 4-Seam Fastball: +20.3%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -19.0%
Dustin May Sinker: -17.6%
Sandy Alcantara Curveball: +16.3%
Kyle Freeland 4-Seam Fastball: +15.2%
Zac Gallen 4-Seam Fastball: -14.8%
Dylan Cease Slider: -14.2%
Brandon Young Cutter: +13.5%
Yu Darvish Split-Finger: +13.4%
Clay Holmes Sinker: +12.8%
Shane Baz Cutter: +12.7%
Dustin May Cutter: +12.7%
Paul Skenes Split-Finger: -12.6%
Logan Evans Sweeper: -12.6%
Luis Severino 4-Seam Fastball: +12.6%
Sonny Gray Sinker: -12.4%
Dustin May 4-Seam Fastball: +12.3%
Zac Gallen Sinker: +12.0%
Andry Lara - 40.0 RISP H%, 0.545 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 186.0 Luck Score
Shane Baz - 38.0 RISP H%, 0.524 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 184.0 Luck Score
Angel Chivilli - 53.0 RISP H%, 0.483 BABIP, 25.0 HR/FB, 180.0 Luck Score
Jordan Hicks - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.368 BABIP, 67.0 HR/FB, 176.0 Luck Score
Tanner Gordon - 42.0 RISP H%, 0.571 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 172.0 Luck Score
Jake Irvin - 38.0 RISP H%, 0.361 BABIP, 30.0 HR/FB, 168.0 Luck Score
Seth Lugo - 30.0 RISP H%, 0.34 BABIP, 40.0 HR/FB, 163.0 Luck Score
JP Sears - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.448 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 161.0 Luck Score
Frankie Montas - 39.0 RISP H%, 0.366 BABIP, 21.0 HR/FB, 161.0 Luck Score
Sean Burke - 20.0 RISP H%, 0.45 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 154.0 Luck Score
Cade Horton - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.154 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 11.0 Luck Score
Troy Melton - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.188 BABIP, 9.0 HR/FB, 26.0 Luck Score
Carson Fulmer - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.095 BABIP, 12.0 HR/FB, 27.0 Luck Score
Michael Wacha - 12.0 RISP H%, 0.171 BABIP, 5.0 HR/FB, 33.0 Luck Score
Yu Darvish - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.184 BABIP, 13.0 HR/FB, 35.0 Luck Score
Ryan Bergert - 12.0 RISP H%, 0.179 BABIP, 8.0 HR/FB, 37.0 Luck Score
Jacob Lopez - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.276 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 38.0 Luck Score
Jason Alexander - 11.0 RISP H%, 0.19 BABIP, 9.0 HR/FB, 39.0 Luck Score
Hurston Waldrep - 14.0 RISP H%, 0.226 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 42.0 Luck Score
Drew Rasmussen - 8.0 RISP H%, 0.273 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 42.0 Luck Score
Cristopher Sanchez - 114 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 74 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Joey Cantillo - 87 TBF, 33.4% CSW%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Tyler Glasnow - 94 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 70 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 86 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Paul Skenes - 69 TBF, 32.1% CSW%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 31.9% CSW%
Yu Darvish - 80 TBF, 31.9% CSW%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 41.6% K%
Paul Skenes - 69 TBF, 36.2% K%
Dylan Cease - 86 TBF, 34.9% K%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 34.5% K%
Zack Wheeler - 74 TBF, 33.8% K%
George Kirby - 73 TBF, 32.9% K%
Kevin Gausman - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Tarik Skubal - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Garrett Crochet - 72 TBF, 31.9% K%
Tyler Glasnow - 94 TBF, 31.9% K%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 36.4% K-BB%
Paul Skenes - 69 TBF, 31.9% K-BB%
Shota Imanaga - 86 TBF, 30.2% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 71 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Zebby Matthews - 86 TBF, 27.9% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 74 TBF, 27.0% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 72 TBF, 26.4% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 100 TBF, 26.0% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 94 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 103 TBF, 64.0% GB%
Brad Lord - 78 TBF, 61.0% GB%
Jose Soriano - 93 TBF, 60.9% GB%
Gavin Williams - 78 TBF, 60.4% GB%
Quinn Priester - 101 TBF, 58.4% GB%
J.T. Ginn - 82 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 100 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 56.5% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 114 TBF, 56.1% GB%
Tyler Glasnow - 94 TBF, 53.8% GB%
Carmen Mlodzinski - 48 TBF, 31.2 K%, 2.1 BB%, 56.2% GB%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 41.6 K%, 5.2 BB%, 43.9% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 29.2 K%, 5.2 BB%, 56.5% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 72 TBF, 31.9 K%, 5.6 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 34.5 K%, 6.9 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Logan Webb - 100 TBF, 28.0 K%, 6.0 BB%, 56.9% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 57 TBF, 35.1 K%, 1.8 BB%, 61.1% GB%
Eric Lauer - +2.9% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Yu Darvish - +2.4% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Chris Paddack - +2.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Trevor Rogers - +4.3% CSW%, -4.7 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +2.9% CSW%, -4.8 BB%
Luis Severino - +2.0% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Nick Lodolo - +5.8% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Carmen Mlodzinski - +2.8% CSW%, -5.8 BB%
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Roman Anthony (BOS) 5 PA, 14 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Zach Neto (LAA) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Ben Rice, Yesterday: 113.5 Previous High: 113.2
Ryan McMahon, Yesterday: 113.6 Previous High: 113.3
Wenceel Perez, Yesterday: 109.8 Previous High: 109.1
Luis Robert (CWS) - 113.9mph - field_out
Ryan McMahon (NYY) - 113.6mph - field_out
Ben Rice (NYY) - 113.5mph - home_run
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 112.7mph - double
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) - 112.2mph - home_run
Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 112.0mph - field_out
C.J. Abrams (WSH) - 111.0mph - nan
Jahmai Jones (DET) - 110.8mph - double
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) - 110.7mph - field_out
Jazz Chisholm (NYY) - 110.7mph - home_run
Top 10
Gleyber Torres - 76 PA, 0.293 wOBA, 0.413 xwOBA, 0.12 Diff
Trent Grisham - 76 PA, 0.306 wOBA, 0.395 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
J.P. Crawford - 74 PA, 0.207 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, 0.084 Diff
Seiya Suzuki - 68 PA, 0.309 wOBA, 0.391 xwOBA, 0.082 Diff
Victor Scott II - 56 PA, 0.211 wOBA, 0.29 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Agustin Ramirez - 80 PA, 0.292 wOBA, 0.369 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Nathaniel Lowe - 63 PA, 0.207 wOBA, 0.283 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff
Pete Alonso - 72 PA, 0.312 wOBA, 0.385 xwOBA, 0.073 Diff
Mickey Moniak - 61 PA, 0.293 wOBA, 0.362 xwOBA, 0.069 Diff
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.336 wOBA, 0.404 xwOBA, 0.068 Diff
Bottom 10
Shea Langeliers - 84 PA, 0.528 wOBA, 0.401 xwOBA, -0.127 Diff
Isaac Collins - 75 PA, 0.47 wOBA, 0.357 xwOBA, -0.113 Diff
Cedric Mullins II - 60 PA, 0.392 wOBA, 0.286 xwOBA, -0.106 Diff
Bo Bichette - 91 PA, 0.431 wOBA, 0.326 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Warming Bernabel - 62 PA, 0.403 wOBA, 0.304 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff
Kyle Manzardo - 60 PA, 0.485 wOBA, 0.398 xwOBA, -0.087 Diff
Blake Perkins - 56 PA, 0.349 wOBA, 0.266 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Shohei Ohtani - 81 PA, 0.461 wOBA, 0.38 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Nick Kurtz - 81 PA, 0.483 wOBA, 0.406 xwOBA, -0.077 Diff
Maikel Garcia - 80 PA, 0.459 wOBA, 0.383 xwOBA, -0.076 Diff
Seiya Suzuki: 30.0 PA, +0.196 xwOBA OE
Matt Wallner: 27.0 PA, +0.182 xwOBA OE
Rafael Devers: 40.0 PA, +0.181 xwOBA OE
Junior Caminero: 37.0 PA, +0.175 xwOBA OE
Brice Turang: 37.0 PA, +0.157 xwOBA OE
Max Muncy: 27.0 PA, +0.155 xwOBA OE
Christian Walker: 40.0 PA, +0.149 xwOBA OE
Carlos Correa: 42.0 PA, +0.14 xwOBA OE
Josh Bell: 31.0 PA, +0.136 xwOBA OE
Shea Langeliers: 41.0 PA, +0.136 xwOBA OE
Julio Rodriguez: 36.0 PA, +0.127 xwOBA OE
Josh Naylor: 27.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Drake Baldwin: 32.0 PA, +0.122 xwOBA OE
Jakob Marsee: 34.0 PA, +0.121 xwOBA OE
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 38.0 PA, +0.118 xwOBA OE
Patrick Bailey: 27.0 PA, -0.175 xwOBA OE
Steven Kwan: 37.0 PA, -0.173 xwOBA OE
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 31.0 PA, -0.166 xwOBA OE
Zach McKinstry: 27.0 PA, -0.159 xwOBA OE
Elly De La Cruz: 39.0 PA, -0.156 xwOBA OE
Alex Freeland: 29.0 PA, -0.154 xwOBA OE
Eugenio Suarez: 33.0 PA, -0.137 xwOBA OE
Ozzie Albies: 35.0 PA, -0.133 xwOBA OE
Matt McLain: 31.0 PA, -0.128 xwOBA OE
Cam Smith: 29.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Lars Nootbaar: 27.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE
Adolis Garcia: 39.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE
Nick Castellanos: 31.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Masyn Winn: 38.0 PA, -0.111 xwOBA OE
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 30.0 PA, -0.11 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber - 80 PA, 49 BIP, 14 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Colson Montgomery - 70 PA, 46 BIP, 12 Brls, 26.1 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 81 PA, 42 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.8 Brl%
Davis Schneider - 46 PA, 31 BIP, 7 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 52 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 68 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Matt Wallner - 60 PA, 35 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 62 PA, 40 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 45 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 81 PA, 48 BIP, 9 Brls, 18.8 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 52 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Colson Montgomery - 70 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 90 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 79 PA, 0.455 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 80 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Carlos Correa - 70 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Gunnar Henderson - 75 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Davis Schneider - 46 PA, 0.434 xwOBA
Junior Caminero - 79 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Matt Wallner - 60 PA, 0.422 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 88 PA, 161 Swings, 96.9 Cont%
Luis Urias - 46 PA, 80 Swings, 93.8 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 84 PA, 143 Swings, 93.0 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 56 PA, 99 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Nathan Lukes - 73 PA, 124 Swings, 89.5 Cont%
Vinnie Pasquantino - 75 PA, 128 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 78 PA, 125 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 62 PA, 97 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Darell Hernaiz - 49 PA, 94 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Mauricio Dubon - 64 PA, 120 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Jakob Marsee - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Josh Naylor - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Ceddanne Rafaela - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Luis Robert - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Andy Pages - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Wenceel Perez - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Bryce Teodosio - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Josh Lowe - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Darell Hernaiz - 3 Attempts (0 steals)
Tyler Tolbert - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jacob Young - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Josh Naylor - 11 Attempts (11 steals)
Luis Robert - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 10 Attempts (7 steals)
Victor Scott II - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Zach Neto - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Randy Arozarena - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 7 Attempts (6 steals)
Juan Soto - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 7 Attempts (4 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Josh Lowe - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Ceddanne Rafaela - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Bryson Stott - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Jakob Marsee - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Wenceel Perez - 6 Attempts (4 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Tyler Tolbert - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Agustin Ramirez - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Xander Bogaerts - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Andrew Vaughn - 72 PA, 15.3 K%, 14.5 Brl%
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 13.3 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 79 PA, 19.0 K%, 17.5 Brl%
Davis Schneider - 46 PA, 19.6 K%, 22.6 Brl%
Gunnar Henderson - 75 PA, 16.0 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Lenyn Sosa - 67 PA, 11.9 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 52 PA, 17.3 K%, 21.9 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 79 PA, 12.7 K%, 14.9 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 72 PA, 19.4 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Ramon Laureano - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 16.1 Brl%
Shea Langeliers - 84 PA, 13.1 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 76 PA, 17.1 K%, 15.1 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 90 PA, 14.4 K%, 14.7 Brl%
Carlos Correa - 92 PA, +0.142 xwOBA
Ezequiel Tovar - 81 PA, +0.097 xwOBA
Mickey Moniak - 83 PA, +0.092 xwOBA
Ramon Laureano - 101 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 103 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Luis Robert - 85 PA, +0.086 xwOBA
Nick Kurtz - 106 PA, +0.083 xwOBA
Geraldo Perdomo - 104 PA, +0.082 xwOBA
Matt Wallner - 80 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Brice Turang - 93 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 107 PA, +10.9 Brl%
Brice Turang - 93 PA, +8.7 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 95 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Jo Adell - 98 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 108 PA, +7.8 Brl%
Xander Bogaerts - 108 PA, +7.3 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 106 PA, +6.9 Brl%
Willson Contreras - 94 PA, +6.9 Brl%
Julio Rodriguez - 111 PA, +6.7 Brl%
Ezequiel Tovar - 81 PA, +6.7 Brl%
Matt Wallner - 80 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 94 PA, +9.4 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 104 PA, +8.2 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 105 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Mickey Moniak - 83 PA, +8.1 Cont%
Carlos Correa - 92 PA, +8.0 Cont%
Yainer Diaz - 87 PA, +7.9 Cont%
Isaac Collins - 99 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Josh Bell - 83 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Spencer Horwitz - 97 PA, +7.4 Cont%
Luis Robert - 85 PA, -15.6 K%
Trent Grisham - 94 PA, -11.4 K%
Shea Langeliers - 105 PA, -11.2 K%
Kody Clemens - 81 PA, -10.7 K%
Matt Wallner - 80 PA, -10.6 K%
Nick Kurtz - 106 PA, -10.0 K%
Gunnar Henderson - 97 PA, -9.6 K%
Isaac Collins - 99 PA, -9.4 K%
Geraldo Perdomo - 104 PA, -9.1 K%
Ke'Bryan Hayes - 87 PA, -8.5 K%
Javier Sanoja: +3.15
Shea Langeliers: +2.5
Jazz Chisholm: +2.45
Isiah Kiner-Falefa: +2.45
Julio Rodriguez: +2.25
Jordan Beck: -4.33
Ivan Herrera: -4.17
Romy Gonzalez: -3.7
Brayan Rocchio: -2.9
Vinnie Pasquantino: -2.75
Blaze Alexander - +5.2% Contact%, +5.2 mph exit velo, -11.5 Chase%
Mike Yastrzemski - +10.1% Contact%, +7.1 mph exit velo, -10.3 Chase%
Paul DeJong - +16.7% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -4.5 Chase%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - +4.7% Contact%, +7.3 mph exit velo, -16.1 Chase%
Max Schuemann - +4.6% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Brice Turang - 0.403 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 83.3% Contact%, 23.1% Chase%, 22.4% K%
Christian Walker - 0.421 xwOBA, 20.0% Brl%, 76.1% Contact%, 22.6% Chase%, 15.8% K%
Jurickson Profar - 0.401 xwOBA, 14.0% Brl%, 83.6% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 16.4% K%
Seiya Suzuki - 0.422 xwOBA, 21.4% Brl%, 79.2% Contact%, 14.0% Chase%, 19.1% K%
Tommy Pham - 0.387 xwOBA, 12.1% Brl%, 78.9% Contact%, 11.4% Chase%, 22.0% K%
Trent Grisham - 0.438 xwOBA, 18.9% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 15.2% Chase%, 16.7% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.477 xwOBA, 17.4% Brl%, 82.2% Contact%, 24.8% Chase%, 11.7% K%
Wyatt Langford - 0.426 xwOBA, 17.5% Brl%, 78.4% Contact%, 14.0% Chase%, 20.7% K%
Austin Hays - 38.5% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.974 Cold Rating
Sean Murphy - 41.5% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.965 Cold Rating
Taylor Trammell - 35.2% Whiff%, 83.3% Weak%, 0.964 Cold Rating
Eugenio Suarez - 42.4% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.931 Cold Rating
Brandon Nimmo - 38.2% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.929 Cold Rating
Oneil Cruz - 40.0% Whiff%, 69.0% Weak%, 0.907 Cold Rating
Liover Peguero - 37.5% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.904 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 34.3% Whiff%, 71.1% Weak%, 0.901 Cold Rating
Heriberto Hernandez - 42.1% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.901 Cold Rating
Willy Adames - 36.9% Whiff%, 68.8% Weak%, 0.887 Cold Rating
Spencer Jones (AAA - NYY) 358 PA 1.034 OPS
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 336 PA 1.0 OPS
Samuel Basallo (AAA - BAL) 307 PA 0.996 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 335 PA 0.969 OPS
Rece Hinds (AAA - CIN) 327 PA 0.969 OPS
Will Robertson (AAA - CWS) 302 PA 0.965 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 502 PA 0.962 OPS
Carlos Perez - 542208 (AAA - CHC) 321 PA 0.957 OPS
Owen Caissie (AAA - CHC) 395 PA 0.954 OPS
Dylan Beavers (AAA - BAL) 399 PA 0.947 OPS
James Outman (AAA - MIN) 369 PA 0.925 OPS
JJ Wetherholt (AAA - STL) 369 PA 0.922 OPS
Cody Freeman (AAA - TEX) 410 PA 0.921 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 458 PA 0.917 OPS
Jose Rojas (AAA - NYY) 384 PA 0.915 OPS
Nathan Church (AAA - STL) 345 PA 0.913 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - PIT) 367 PA 0.898 OPS
Shay Whitcomb (AAA - HOU) 324 PA 0.898 OPS
Harry Ford (AAA - SEA) 397 PA 0.898 OPS
T.J. Rumfield (AAA - NYY) 443 PA 0.896 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 102 IP 29.7% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - ARI) 95 IP 24.7% K-BB
Ty Johnson (AA - TB) 86 IP 24.3% K-BB
Sean Sullivan - 807743 (AA - COL) 80 IP 23.3% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AAA - MIA) 100 IP 22.6% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AAA - STL) 78 IP 21.5% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 86 IP 21.3% K-BB
Joander Suarez (AA - NYM) 82 IP 21.2% K-BB
Connelly Early (AAA - BOS) 80 IP 21.1% K-BB
Brycen Mautz (AA - STL) 84 IP 21.1% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 81 IP 20.4% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AAA - CWS) 115 IP 20.1% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 106 IP 19.4% K-BB
John Klein (AAA - MIN) 81 IP 19.3% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 92 IP 19.3% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AAA - ARI) 82 IP 18.9% K-BB
Trey Supak (AAA - TEX) 91 IP 18.3% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 99 IP 18.2% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - SF) 89 IP 18.0% K-BB
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang (AA - OAK) 112 IP 18.0% K-BB
Nestor Cortes (17.5% Owned): Projected 5.92IP 2.39ER 5.95SO 2.02BB 17.44FPts
Emmet Sheehan (15.5% Owned): Projected 5.01IP 2.18ER 6.24SO 1.72BB 17.34FPts
Spencer Arrighetti (20.0% Owned): Projected 5.87IP 2.61ER 5.62SO 2.28BB 15.86FPts
Matt Wallner - 27 PA, 1.386 OPS
Daulton Varsho - 26 PA, 1.357 OPS
Isaac Collins - 42 PA, 1.357 OPS
Blaze Alexander - 38 PA, 1.242 OPS
Jakob Marsee - 34 PA, 1.224 OPS
JJ Bleday - 29 PA, 1.224 OPS
Daniel Schneemann - 26 PA, 1.136 OPS
Luis Rengifo - 27 PA, 1.127 OPS
Josh Bell - 31 PA, 1.092 OPS
Nathan Lukes - 28 PA, 1.081 OPS
Luke Keaschall 2B (30.5% Owned): Projected 0.73R 0.16HR 0.92RBI 0.98SO 0.63BB 0.23SB 10.24FPts
Ben Rice C (24.5% Owned): Projected 0.91R 0.22HR 0.81RBI 0.87SO 0.55BB 0.07SB 10.04FPts
Drake Baldwin C (17.5% Owned): Projected 0.75R 0.22HR 0.77RBI 0.67SO 0.46BB 0.02SB 9.89FPts
Trent Grisham CF (21.0% Owned): Projected 0.92R 0.21HR 0.64RBI 1.04SO 0.69BB 0.05SB 9.57FPts
Ivan Herrera C (44.0% Owned): Projected 0.73R 0.19HR 0.63RBI 0.67SO 0.38BB 0.08SB 9.35FPts
Julio Rodriguez CF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.18HR 0.69RBI 1.02SO 0.24BB 0.14SB 9.17FPts
Jasson Dominguez CF (34.5% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.15HR 0.7RBI 0.99SO 0.51BB 0.2SB 9.14FPts
Ha-Seong Kim SS (2.5% Owned): Projected 0.69R 0.11HR 0.47RBI 0.75SO 0.56BB 0.21SB 8.58FPts
Jesus Sanchez CF (6.0% Owned): Projected 0.64R 0.16HR 0.55RBI 0.91SO 0.39BB 0.11SB 8.56FPts
Jurickson Profar LF (37.5% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.13HR 0.51RBI 0.68SO 0.54BB 0.07SB 8.56FPts
