My wife and I finished watching all the seasons of Top Chef recently. It took us like a year and a half or something, usually watching one episode a night after the kids are asleep. We don’t watch much TV here! But we ran out of episodes, and we’ve been going to old movies. I talked about Chitty Chitty Bang Bang here the other day. The next one is Jurassic Park; we finished it last night.
I don’t want to become a movie critic, but I’m open to anything. The truth is that I’m probably the least interested person in movies that you’ll ever meet. Name a classic movie, and I haven’t seen it.
But now I’ve seen Jurassic Park. I don’t care for the horror aspects of it and all of the death. That’s just not up my alley, I guess. I don’t know, I was pretty sheltered as a kid, and maybe that makes a difference in what you can stomach later in life. So much of that movie is just sitting there waiting to see if the person will get eaten by the dinosaur or not. I’m not much into the action scenes; I kind of just want to hear and see the story played out.
But the moral and ethical aspect of it is all very interesting, and I appreciate that they worked that in there. This line:
“Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could, they didn't stop to think if they should.”
I think that’s the point the moviemakers were trying to make. Or maybe not, maybe they just wanted to show dinosaurs eating people. But they stumbled across a real profound question there, and it’s super applicable to our modern day. We have done amazing things with science and technology, but we’ve clearly (clear to me, at least) crossed lines already. We have children being created in wildly unnatural ways. And there’s a good to that, I like babies and I like people reproducing, but there are wrong ways to do it. We could argue about where that line is, but everybody agrees there’s a line somewhere. I’ve heard stories about the embryos getting accidentally swapped and then you’ll have two mothers giving birth to someone else’s child. Creepy stuff. One pair of moms didn’t even find out that they’d been raising each others babies until more than a year into it.
And then that Jim Acosta guy interviewed an AI version of one of the kids who as tragically killed in the Parkland shooting. I guess the kids' parents fed some of his writings and recordings and stuff into an AI model, and it spun up a bot that you can talk to, and it would reply and carry on a conversation with you. That interview seems to have outraged pretty much everybody. It’s so weird and creepy and awkward.
I suppose, though, in an agnostic or atheistic worldview there’s no guardrails that make much sense so long as you’re not hurting anybody and your end result is perceived as positive.
In my view, there are serious dangers and consequences to an improper fear (more reverence rather than fear in our language) of God. That’s certainly not the point that Jurassic Park was trying to make, but that’s the point I’m trying to make!
Hitters should have a proper fear of Edward Cabrera now, amirite!? He smoked the Braves’ last night.
We had him to record a win in the slate preview last night, and that cashed with ease. It was a great night for those picks. I’ve been having a lot of fun getting into some plays and analysis when I have the time in those. I dropped the paywall so everybody can take a look here.
E-Cab:
8 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 11 SO, 1 BB, 1 HR, 1 W
These plots will tell you all you need to know:
The walk rate is down under 8%. We can officially stop calling him Edward CaBBrera. He has a 12.9% SwStr%, a 37% Ball%, and a 49% GB%. That’s a really strong trio.
I hadn’t noticed this year, but he has really lowered the fastball usage. He’s throwing 48% changeups and curveballs. Career low fastball usage. Check the red line:
Cabrera has always been a weird pitcher. And he’s weird enough to reduce fastball usage and then drastically reduce the walk rate. That usually works the opposite way. The fastball is the easiest pitch to throw for a strike. But I’m not going to argue with the results. He’s at a 1,729 pitch sample now.
I do think he’s a 9-10% BB% going forward given the 37% Ball% and the volume of the non-fastballs, but he’s looking like an easy top 40 SP for next year, which I never saw coming.
Chase Burns did it again. Ten more strikeouts. That’s his fourth ten-punchie game in a row as long as you forgive him for that NASCAR whatever game disaster where he threw one inning between monsoons. He’s at a 37.7% K% in 34.1 innings now. And last night he gave up just three hits, one walk, and no homers.
The updated JA ERA for Burns is 1.83. Which doesn’t evne lead the league because of Tarik Skubal and Brandon Woodruff.
Incredible stuff, incredible pitcher, and he will be one of the best in the game while he’s healthy. Let’s just try not to think about things like elbow surgery with guys like Burns, Skenes, Misiorowski, etc.
J.T. Ginn struck out a career-best nine! I watched some of it! I got to see him in the flesh. Well. I got to see his flesh through a screen. I also got to see Tomoyuki Sugano in that same game. It’s wild to see these guys who you know so much about but have never watched before. I mean I can predict with like 80% accuracy exactly what they’ll do next on the mound, but I’ve never actually seen them do it with my own eyes.
I think Ginn can be a pretty good pitcher someday. The sinker is heavy and it has a ton of movement. It just looks like one that’s really hard to hit, and the numbers bear that out with a .342 SLG allowed on the pitch on a .306 xwOBA.
The key point for him, I think, will be crafting either the changeup or the slider to be a putaway pitch for him. Last night, it was the changeup. He threw 21 of them (24% usage, a season high) and put up a sick 33.3% SwStr% on it. If he can develop a consistently dominant changeup to go with that sinker, he’ll be near the top of the A’s rotation for a long time.
Aaron Civale was hot before last night’s game. He was near the top of that trending players list, and he had thrown 17.1 scoreless innings with a 20:3 K:BB in his last three starts. But he gave it all back last night. All of it! Here’s his White Sox career thus far:
He came in with a 3.56 ERA with Chicago and turned that into a 4.91 mark after those nine earnies.
Here’s today’s table of hot and cold scores for our daily probables.
Here are your hot and cold hitters:
The streamlit app is so good and has so much future potential. I think that’s the best thing I’ve developed other than the daily projections.
I suppose the best thing I’ve made is the general idea and structure of these automated posts that I add on to.
The automated section of these daily notes, the lists you see when I’m done writing every day, those were the whole reason I started this Substack in the first place. I just had this idea to have a Python script generate a bunch of leaderboards every day and print them out, and then I’d grab them and copy and paste them into here and publish them. I wasn’t even going to write anything at first. I was looking for a quick way to publish something useful every morning.
And that one little idea turned into everything else going on here. Pretty cool.
Joe Ryan has had a little tiny bit of a rough patch.
He has just 14 strikeouts in his last three starts with a 21% K%, and they’ve all been pretty soft matchups.
He had an uncharacteristically low whiff count last night of just SIX.
Nothing to say or do about that, I suppose, just wanted to point it out!
Kodai Senga is not giving the Mets much hope that he can anchor their playoff staff.
He posted a 29.1% K% in that 2023 season. That made up for his 11.1% BB%, enough for him to put up some pretty good numbers. But now, the K% is down to 22.5% and the walk rate is up to 12%.
The SwStr% is mediocre at 12.3%, the ball rate is awful at 40.2%. It’s not a good situation. He’s hard to hit, and will probably continue to be with that splitter, but it won’t help that much if he can’t earn strikes.
Brandon Woodruff looks like a playoff ace for the Brew Crew, though.
He’s thrown 465 pitches now with a 30.2% K-BB%, and we saw his league-leading JA ERA already in these notes.
The four-seamer has been insanely good with a 60% Strike% and a 20.5% SwStr%. Who needs mid-90s!
I don’t really even think you need me to talk about hitters here! And certainly not on a Saturday. The below reports give you a ton of stuff on hitters now after the key additions I’ve made this year.
Check out the Contreras brothers lining up right next to each other in recent xwOBA OE!
How cute!
Who is this Jakob Marsee guy? That’s a funny way to spell Jacob! He’s a Marlins player, here are his minor league stats:
And here’s the advanced Major League Hitter Profile:
Hard to see, but it’s okay you don’t have to look because it’s just 29 PAs. The 91.4% Z-Cont% and 104.3 EV90 are nice signs early on. The advanced AAA stuff fromt his year:
Great K% and BB% combo with a strong contact rate and some definite power. Nothing that blows you away power-wise, but a good 38% GB% and 11 HR with a .460 SLG off righties down there.
He’s the Marlins #10 prospect, currently:
You always feel a little bit more confident in a young guys’ MLB success if he’s near the top of the prospects list. I’m not sure if it should, but it does.
That’s someone to watch, I guess! He’s come out of the gate very well.
Enjoy your Saturdays boys and girls!
1. Brandon Woodruff
2. Edward Cabrera
3. Kyle Hendricks
4. J.T. Ginn
5. Chase Burns
6. Tarik Skubal
7. Clayton Kershaw
8. Aaron Civale
9. Luis Castillo
10. Drew Rasmussen
11. Cam Schlittler
12. Jake Irvin
13. Max Scherzer
14. Matthew Boyd
15. Hunter Brown
16. Tanner Bibee
17. Walker Buehler
18. Cristopher Sanchez
19. Zac Gallen
20. Nick Pivetta
21. Joe Ryan
22. Merrill Kelly
23. Bryce Elder
24. Michael McGreevy
25. Mitch Keller
26. Tomoyuki Sugano
27. Austin Gomber
28. Kodai Senga
29. Seth Lugo
1. Edward Cabrera (vs. ATL): 40.2 Points
2. Chase Burns (vs. PIT): 29.1 Points
3. Brandon Woodruff (vs. NYM): 28.75 Points
4. Zac Gallen (vs. COL): 23.3 Points
5. Cristopher Sanchez (vs. TEX): 23.3 Points
6. Walker Buehler (vs. SD): 21.9 Points
7. Tomoyuki Sugano (vs. ATH): 21.55 Points
8. Joe Ryan (vs. KC): 20.85 Points
9. Kai-Wei Teng (vs. WSH): 20.85 Points
10. J.T. Ginn (vs. BAL): 20.25 Points
1. Edward Cabrera (MIA): 19 Whiffs (109 Pitches)
2. J.T. Ginn (OAK): 17 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
3. Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 16 Whiffs (79 Pitches)
4. Chase Burns (CIN): 16 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
5. Tarik Skubal (DET): 16 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
6. Jake Irvin (WSH): 12 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
7. Cam Schlittler (NYY): 11 Whiffs (97 Pitches)
8. Max Scherzer (TOR): 11 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
9. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 11 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
10. Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 10 Whiffs (63 Pitches)
1. Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 55.7 Strike%, 25.3 Ball%
2. Edward Cabrera (MIA): 54.1 Strike%, 32.1 Ball%
3. Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 54.0 Strike%, 23.8 Ball%
4. Aaron Civale (CWS): 53.2 Strike%, 32.5 Ball%
5. Chase Burns (CIN): 52.6 Strike%, 36.1 Ball%
6. Luis Castillo (SEA): 52.5 Strike%, 27.3 Ball%
7. J.T. Ginn (OAK): 51.7 Strike%, 37.9 Ball%
8. Matthew Boyd (CHC): 51.1 Strike%, 29.3 Ball%
9. Tarik Skubal (DET): 51.1 Strike%, 34.8 Ball%
10. Cam Schlittler (NYY): 49.5 Strike%, 32.0 Ball%
11. Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 48.6 Strike%, 27.0 Ball%
12. Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 48.5 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
13. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 48.1 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
14. Tanner Bibee (CLE): 48.0 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%
15. Hunter Brown (HOU): 47.2 Strike%, 36.0 Ball%
1. Brandon Woodruff: 79 Pitches, 21 Outs, 3.76 POUT
2. Clayton Kershaw: 74 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.11 POUT
3. Kyle Hendricks: 63 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.2 POUT
4. Kai-Wei Teng: 64 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.27 POUT
5. Tomoyuki Sugano: 91 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.33 POUT
6. Drew Rasmussen: 79 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.39 POUT
7. Edward Cabrera: 109 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.54 POUT
8. Luis Castillo: 99 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.71 POUT
9. Michael McGreevy: 87 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.83 POUT
10. Austin Gomber: 92 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.11 POUT
Aaron Civale's FF usage (29.9%) up 17.2 points
Austin Gomber's FC usage (17.4%) up 16.9 points
Brandon Woodruff's FF usage (43.0%) up 10.8 points
Bryce Elder's FF usage (22.0%) up 11.6 points
Cristopher Sanchez's CH usage (47.5%) up 10.9 points
Hunter Brown's FF usage (52.8%) up 13.8 points
J.T. Ginn's CH usage (24.1%) up 14.4 points
J.T. Ginn's FC usage (20.7%) up 14.5 points
Joe Ryan's SL usage (20.7%) up 12.8 points
Joe Ryan's CU usage (13.8%) up 12.6 points
Kai-Wei Teng's CH usage (23.4%) up 16.2 points
Luis Castillo's SI usage (33.3%) up 13.8 points
Michael McGreevy's CH usage (20.7%) up 12.9 points
Mike Vasil's FF usage (27.9%) up 10.8 points
Sean Reynolds's FF usage (65.4%) up 16.6 points
Shinnosuke Ogasawara's FF usage (50.0%) up 11.1 points
Tanner Bibee's SI usage (18.4%) up 10.5 points
Walker Buehler's FF usage (46.9%) up 21.2 points
Zac Gallen's SI usage (17.3%) up 16.4 points
Brandon Pfaadt 4-Seam Fastball: -25.1%
Randy Vasquez Sinker: +24.1%
Brandon Pfaadt Cutter: +22.5%
Logan Allen 4-Seam Fastball: +20.3%
Dustin May Sinker: -17.6%
Sandy Alcantara Curveball: +17.1%
Brandon Pfaadt Sinker: +16.6%
Dylan Cease Slider: -16.2%
Kyle Freeland 4-Seam Fastball: +15.2%
Zac Gallen 4-Seam Fastball: -14.8%
Randy Vasquez 4-Seam Fastball: -14.3%
Bailey Falter 4-Seam Fastball: -14.1%
Sandy Alcantara 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Clay Holmes Sinker: +12.8%
Shane Baz Cutter: +12.7%
Dustin May Cutter: +12.7%
Paul Skenes Split-Finger: -12.6%
Luis Severino 4-Seam Fastball: +12.6%
Logan Webb Changeup: +12.4%
Dustin May 4-Seam Fastball: +12.3%
Zac Gallen Sinker: +12.0%
Andry Lara - 40.0 RISP H%, 0.545 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 188.0 Luck Score
Angel Chivilli - 53.0 RISP H%, 0.483 BABIP, 25.0 HR/FB, 184.0 Luck Score
Griffin Jax - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.5 BABIP, 25.0 HR/FB, 173.0 Luck Score
Frankie Montas - 47.0 RISP H%, 0.406 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 172.0 Luck Score
Tanner Gordon - 37.0 RISP H%, 0.567 BABIP, 17.0 HR/FB, 164.0 Luck Score
JP Sears - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.448 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 164.0 Luck Score
Shane Baz - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.444 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 163.0 Luck Score
Seth Lugo - 30.0 RISP H%, 0.34 BABIP, 40.0 HR/FB, 163.0 Luck Score
Kumar Rocker - 27.0 RISP H%, 0.346 BABIP, 40.0 HR/FB, 162.0 Luck Score
Shota Imanaga - 25.0 RISP H%, 0.375 BABIP, 31.0 HR/FB, 159.0 Luck Score
Taylor Clarke - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.111 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 12.0 Luck Score
Cade Horton - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.182 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 17.0 Luck Score
Aaron Ashby - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.222 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 27.0 Luck Score
Andre Pallante - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.156 BABIP, 10.0 HR/FB, 31.0 Luck Score
Troy Melton - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.188 BABIP, 9.0 HR/FB, 33.0 Luck Score
Michael Wacha - 9.0 RISP H%, 0.182 BABIP, 4.0 HR/FB, 33.0 Luck Score
Jacob Lopez - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.25 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 34.0 Luck Score
Trevor Rogers - 8.0 RISP H%, 0.236 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 36.0 Luck Score
Gavin Williams - 10.0 RISP H%, 0.157 BABIP, 8.0 HR/FB, 37.0 Luck Score
Yu Darvish - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.167 BABIP, 12.0 HR/FB, 38.0 Luck Score
Cristopher Sanchez - 114 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 91 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Sonny Gray - 94 TBF, 32.3% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 32.2% CSW%
Garrett Crochet - 78 TBF, 32.1% CSW%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 31.9% CSW%
Kevin Gausman - 97 TBF, 31.8% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 77 TBF, 31.7% CSW%
Tyler Glasnow - 71 TBF, 31.6% CSW%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 41.6% K%
Zack Wheeler - 77 TBF, 36.4% K%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 35.8% K%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 34.5% K%
Paul Skenes - 92 TBF, 33.7% K%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 71 TBF, 32.4% K%
Aaron Civale - 81 TBF, 32.1% K%
Kevin Gausman - 97 TBF, 32.0% K%
Tyler Glasnow - 71 TBF, 31.0% K%
Brandon Woodruff - 91 TBF, 29.7% K%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 36.4% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 77 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 30.5% K-BB%
Paul Skenes - 92 TBF, 29.3% K-BB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 71 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 97 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Aaron Civale - 81 TBF, 25.9% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 89 TBF, 25.8% K-BB%
Zebby Matthews - 83 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Jose Soriano - 100 TBF, 69.4% GB%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 67.9% GB%
Clay Holmes - 88 TBF, 61.5% GB%
Quinn Priester - 79 TBF, 57.6% GB%
J.T. Ginn - 82 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Gavin Williams - 104 TBF, 56.7% GB%
Jason Alexander - 73 TBF, 56.6% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 56.5% GB%
Clayton Kershaw - 89 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 114 TBF, 56.1% GB%
Carmen Mlodzinski - 51 TBF, 27.5 K%, 3.9 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Chase Burns - 77 TBF, 41.6 K%, 5.2 BB%, 43.9% GB%
Edward Cabrera - 96 TBF, 29.2 K%, 5.2 BB%, 56.5% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 78 TBF, 29.5 K%, 6.4 BB%, 54.0% GB%
Logan Gilbert - 87 TBF, 34.5 K%, 6.9 BB%, 46.9% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 57 TBF, 35.1 K%, 1.8 BB%, 61.1% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 71 TBF, 32.4 K%, 4.2 BB%, 48.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 77 TBF, 36.4 K%, 2.6 BB%, 46.5% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - +3.2% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Trevor Rogers - +2.7% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Kevin Gausman - +2.7% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +3.1% CSW%, -6.4 BB%
Zack Wheeler - +2.5% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Eric Lauer - +3.9% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Luis Severino - +2.0% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Chris Paddack - +3.1% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Nick Lodolo - +5.8% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Yohan Ramirez - +3.7% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Blaze Alexander (ARI) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Kyle Higashioka (TEX) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Trea Turner (PHI) 6 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Zach Neto (LAA) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) - 115.4mph - home_run
Jarren Duran (BOS) - 114.2mph - field_out
Jesus Sanchez (HOU) - 113.4mph - single
Agustin Ramirez (MIA) - 113.2mph - nan
Jesus Sanchez (HOU) - 112.6mph - nan
Josh Lowe (TB) - 111.9mph - nan
Jordan Walker (STL) - 111.7mph - home_run
Royce Lewis (MIN) - 111.5mph - force_out
Jordan Walker (STL) - 111.4mph - single
Matt Wallner (MIN) - 111.0mph - home_run
Top 10
Nathaniel Lowe - 66 PA, 0.218 wOBA, 0.335 xwOBA, 0.117 Diff
Seiya Suzuki - 70 PA, 0.259 wOBA, 0.36 xwOBA, 0.101 Diff
Pete Alonso - 74 PA, 0.261 wOBA, 0.354 xwOBA, 0.093 Diff
Gleyber Torres - 75 PA, 0.315 wOBA, 0.402 xwOBA, 0.087 Diff
Carlos Correa - 71 PA, 0.398 wOBA, 0.473 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Willi Castro - 73 PA, 0.195 wOBA, 0.263 xwOBA, 0.068 Diff
James Wood - 73 PA, 0.192 wOBA, 0.258 xwOBA, 0.066 Diff
Juan Soto - 70 PA, 0.275 wOBA, 0.34 xwOBA, 0.065 Diff
Victor Scott II - 61 PA, 0.229 wOBA, 0.293 xwOBA, 0.064 Diff
J.P. Crawford - 80 PA, 0.205 wOBA, 0.269 xwOBA, 0.064 Diff
Bottom 10
Shea Langeliers - 83 PA, 0.511 wOBA, 0.358 xwOBA, -0.153 Diff
Bo Bichette - 94 PA, 0.45 wOBA, 0.317 xwOBA, -0.133 Diff
Nick Kurtz - 81 PA, 0.583 wOBA, 0.46 xwOBA, -0.123 Diff
Blake Perkins - 62 PA, 0.364 wOBA, 0.27 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Hunter Goodman - 64 PA, 0.408 wOBA, 0.32 xwOBA, -0.088 Diff
Brandon Marsh - 57 PA, 0.484 wOBA, 0.401 xwOBA, -0.083 Diff
Nick Gonzales - 78 PA, 0.322 wOBA, 0.24 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
Cedric Mullins II - 60 PA, 0.344 wOBA, 0.263 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Jordan Westburg - 83 PA, 0.362 wOBA, 0.281 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Jordan Walker - 67 PA, 0.381 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, -0.081 Diff
Matt Wallner: 35.0 PA, +0.181 xwOBA OE
Carlos Correa: 33.0 PA, +0.176 xwOBA OE
Seiya Suzuki: 29.0 PA, +0.175 xwOBA OE
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 39.0 PA, +0.148 xwOBA OE
Drake Baldwin: 29.0 PA, +0.146 xwOBA OE
Trent Grisham: 34.0 PA, +0.135 xwOBA OE
Jakob Marsee: 29.0 PA, +0.128 xwOBA OE
Willson Contreras: 28.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
William Contreras: 39.0 PA, +0.118 xwOBA OE
Junior Caminero: 36.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE
Luis Robert: 32.0 PA, +0.109 xwOBA OE
Hunter Goodman: 26.0 PA, +0.104 xwOBA OE
Pete Alonso: 34.0 PA, +0.103 xwOBA OE
Gleyber Torres: 29.0 PA, +0.103 xwOBA OE
Brice Turang: 31.0 PA, +0.098 xwOBA OE
Steven Kwan: 36.0 PA, -0.187 xwOBA OE
Jake Mangum: 27.0 PA, -0.17 xwOBA OE
Jackson Holliday: 34.0 PA, -0.162 xwOBA OE
Jonny DeLuca: 26.0 PA, -0.156 xwOBA OE
Michael Conforto: 27.0 PA, -0.137 xwOBA OE
Dylan Carlson: 27.0 PA, -0.135 xwOBA OE
Austin Hays: 36.0 PA, -0.129 xwOBA OE
Brendan Donovan: 30.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Elly De La Cruz: 38.0 PA, -0.119 xwOBA OE
Matt Olson: 40.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Eugenio Suarez: 37.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Josh Lowe: 36.0 PA, -0.115 xwOBA OE
Tyler Locklear: 29.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE
Gio Urshela: 26.0 PA, -0.11 xwOBA OE
Willi Castro: 27.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber - 81 PA, 49 BIP, 15 Brls, 30.6 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 82 PA, 42 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.8 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 81 PA, 48 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 75 PA, 44 BIP, 10 Brls, 22.7 Brl%
Colson Montgomery - 71 PA, 47 BIP, 10 Brls, 21.3 Brl%
Matt Wallner - 72 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Wyatt Langford - 76 PA, 43 BIP, 8 Brls, 18.6 Brl%
Tyler Stephenson - 50 PA, 27 BIP, 5 Brls, 18.5 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 80 PA, 44 BIP, 8 Brls, 18.2 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 67 PA, 45 BIP, 8 Brls, 17.8 Brl%
Carlos Correa - 71 PA, 0.473 xwOBA
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 94 PA, 0.471 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 81 PA, 0.469 xwOBA
George Springer - 48 PA, 0.462 xwOBA
Nick Kurtz - 81 PA, 0.46 xwOBA
Willson Contreras - 72 PA, 0.434 xwOBA
Michael Harris II - 79 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Matt Wallner - 72 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
Gunnar Henderson - 80 PA, 0.425 xwOBA
Willy Adames - 81 PA, 0.423 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 87 PA, 157 Swings, 95.5 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 80 PA, 134 Swings, 93.3 Cont%
Tyler Freeman - 70 PA, 110 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 57 PA, 99 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Nathan Lukes - 77 PA, 129 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Ernie Clement - 91 PA, 156 Swings, 89.1 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 86 PA, 143 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Jung Hoo Lee - 72 PA, 124 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Mauricio Dubon - 70 PA, 121 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Brendan Donovan - 73 PA, 120 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Luis Robert - 6 Attempts (5 steals)
Josh Naylor - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Josh Lowe - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Agustin Ramirez - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Wenceel Perez - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Jasson Dominguez - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Bryce Teodosio - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Tyler Freeman - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Anthony Volpe - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Darell Hernaiz - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Jakob Marsee - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Luis Robert - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Josh Naylor - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
C.J. Abrams - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Josh Lowe - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Gunnar Henderson - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Juan Soto - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Victor Scott II - 7 Attempts (7 steals)
Wenceel Perez - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Andrew Vaughn - 74 PA, 12.2 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Ben Rice - 54 PA, 14.8 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Bo Naylor - 48 PA, 18.8 K%, 15.6 Brl%
Drake Baldwin - 70 PA, 20.0 K%, 16.3 Brl%
Michael Harris II - 79 PA, 15.2 K%, 14.1 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 73 PA, 15.1 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 94 PA, 11.7 K%, 14.1 Brl%
Xander Bogaerts - 82 PA, 13.4 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Carlos Correa - 89 PA, +0.138 xwOBA
Nick Kurtz - 107 PA, +0.108 xwOBA
Gunnar Henderson - 100 PA, +0.1 xwOBA
Andrew Vaughn - 87 PA, +0.1 xwOBA
Ramon Laureano - 103 PA, +0.095 xwOBA
Luis Robert - 84 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Geraldo Perdomo - 104 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Salvador Perez - 94 PA, +0.084 xwOBA
Isaac Collins - 93 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 87 PA, +0.081 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 105 PA, +13.6 Brl%
Jo Adell - 101 PA, +8.5 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 99 PA, +8.5 Brl%
Randy Arozarena - 111 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 107 PA, +7.7 Brl%
Anthony Volpe - 94 PA, +7.1 Brl%
Willson Contreras - 97 PA, +7.1 Brl%
Xander Bogaerts - 107 PA, +7.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 100 PA, +6.8 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 93 PA, +6.0 Brl%
Yainer Diaz - 87 PA, +10.6 Cont%
Jesus Sanchez - 86 PA, +9.9 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 97 PA, +9.4 Cont%
Isaac Collins - 93 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 87 PA, +7.7 Cont%
Cody Bellinger - 101 PA, +7.3 Cont%
Carlos Correa - 89 PA, +7.2 Cont%
Trent Grisham - 87 PA, +7.2 Cont%
Anthony Volpe - 94 PA, +6.9 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 100 PA, +6.9 Cont%
Trent Grisham - 87 PA, -13.8 K%
Luis Robert - 84 PA, -13.0 K%
Ramon Laureano - 103 PA, -11.7 K%
Shea Langeliers - 100 PA, -11.5 K%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 87 PA, -10.8 K%
Jesus Sanchez - 86 PA, -10.2 K%
Andrew Vaughn - 87 PA, -9.8 K%
Isaac Collins - 93 PA, -9.8 K%
Cody Bellinger - 101 PA, -9.7 K%
Gunnar Henderson - 100 PA, -9.0 K%
Julio Rodriguez: +2.67
Nathan Lukes: +2.52
Ty France: +2.5
Michael Harris II: +2.42
Ernie Clement: +2.15
Lars Nootbaar: -4.65
Luis Rengifo: -3.4
Adley Rutschman: -3.25
Nolan Schanuel: -3.0
Paul Goldschmidt: -2.78
Heliot Ramos - +10.5% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -10.7 Chase%
Isaac Collins - +3.3% Contact%, +3.9 mph exit velo, -4.3 Chase%
Jesus Sanchez - +8.3% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Gabriel Arias - +12.9% Contact%, +6.2 mph exit velo, -5.7 Chase%
Wyatt Langford - +3.3% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -13.1 Chase%
Liam Hicks - +4.6% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -3.3 Chase%
Tommy Pham - +4.5% Contact%, +4.7 mph exit velo, -6.4 Chase%
Gleyber Torres - 0.428 xwOBA, 18.9% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 23.9% Chase%, 22.0% K%
Jurickson Profar - 0.38 xwOBA, 13.6% Brl%, 82.9% Contact%, 23.5% Chase%, 16.4% K%
Roman Anthony - 0.415 xwOBA, 12.5% Brl%, 81.1% Contact%, 16.2% Chase%, 16.0% K%
Trent Grisham - 0.397 xwOBA, 18.4% Brl%, 78.0% Contact%, 18.6% Chase%, 16.1% K%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 0.477 xwOBA, 15.7% Brl%, 85.1% Contact%, 18.8% Chase%, 10.4% K%
Logan O'Hoppe - 42.6% Whiff%, 77.8% Weak%, 0.984 Cold Rating
Austin Hays - 36.0% Whiff%, 81.8% Weak%, 0.957 Cold Rating
Sean Murphy - 40.6% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.955 Cold Rating
Taylor Trammell - 36.7% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.931 Cold Rating
Eugenio Suarez - 46.9% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.925 Cold Rating
Michael Busch - 37.7% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.904 Cold Rating
Brady House - 37.7% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.898 Cold Rating
Nick Castellanos - 30.5% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.867 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 35.8% Whiff%, 68.6% Weak%, 0.862 Cold Rating
Noelvi Marte - 30.0% Whiff%, 77.4% Weak%, 0.86 Cold Rating
Phillip Glasser (WSH): 2/5, 4R, 1HR, 1RBI, 3SB, 38FPts
Chris Newell (LAD): 2/3, 3R, 1HR, 1RBI, 2SB, 35FPts
Justin Wishkoski (SF): 3/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
CJ Alexander (LAD): 4/4, 4R, 1HR, 1RBI, 0SB, 33FPts
Jett Williams (NYM): 3/4, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 3SB, 32FPts
Ben Rortvedt (LAD): 2/4, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Justin Crawford (PHI): 2/3, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 30FPts
Esteury Ruiz (LAD): 2/5, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 2SB, 29FPts
Duke Ellis (NYY): 3/3, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 27FPts
Matthew Batten (ATL): 2/3, 1R, 1HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 26FPts
Brycen Mautz (STL): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 10K, 2BB, 35FPts
Adam Mazur (MIA): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 25FPts
Parker Messick (CLE): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 3ER, 9K, 0BB, 24FPts
Jonathan Santucci (NYM): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 1ER, 6K, 3BB, 24FPts
Keider Montero (DET): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 24FPts
Jimmy Endersby (ARI): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 9H, 1ER, 6K, 1BB, 23FPts
Trey Yesavage (TOR): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 2ER, 9K, 0BB, 22FPts
Connelly Early (BOS): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 2ER, 7K, 1BB, 22FPts
Estibenzon Jimenez (PHI): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 7H, 3ER, 10K, 1BB, 22FPts
Tommy Mace (CLE): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 5K, 3BB, 21FPts
Spencer Jones (AAA - NYY) 349 PA 1.042 OPS
Samuel Basallo (AAA - BAL) 302 PA 0.997 OPS
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 329 PA 0.99 OPS
Nick Solak (AAA - PIT) 326 PA 0.975 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 491 PA 0.964 OPS
Dylan Beavers (AAA - BAL) 389 PA 0.96 OPS
Rece Hinds (AAA - CIN) 321 PA 0.955 OPS
Carlos Perez - 542208 (AAA - CHC) 316 PA 0.954 OPS
Owen Caissie (AAA - CHC) 387 PA 0.938 OPS
JJ Wetherholt (AAA - STL) 360 PA 0.934 OPS
James Outman (AAA - MIN) 361 PA 0.928 OPS
Shay Whitcomb (AAA - HOU) 315 PA 0.921 OPS
Nathan Church (AAA - STL) 336 PA 0.916 OPS
Jose Rojas (AAA - NYY) 379 PA 0.912 OPS
Cody Freeman (AAA - TEX) 400 PA 0.904 OPS
T.J. Rumfield (AAA - NYY) 434 PA 0.902 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 450 PA 0.9 OPS
Cam Devanney (AAA - PIT) 359 PA 0.896 OPS
Trey Mancini (AAA - ARI) 335 PA 0.895 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 401 PA 0.893 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 97 IP 28.9% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - ARI) 95 IP 24.7% K-BB
Ty Johnson (AA - TB) 80 IP 24.6% K-BB
Sean Sullivan - 807743 (AA - COL) 80 IP 23.3% K-BB
Robby Snelling (AAA - MIA) 100 IP 22.6% K-BB
Tekoah Roby (AAA - STL) 78 IP 21.5% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 86 IP 21.3% K-BB
Joander Suarez (AA - NYM) 82 IP 21.2% K-BB
Connelly Early (AAA - BOS) 80 IP 21.1% K-BB
Brycen Mautz (AA - STL) 84 IP 21.1% K-BB
Landon Harper (AA - nan) 81 IP 20.4% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AAA - CWS) 110 IP 19.5% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 101 IP 19.3% K-BB
John Klein (AAA - MIN) 81 IP 19.3% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 92 IP 19.3% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AAA - ARI) 82 IP 18.9% K-BB
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang (AA - OAK) 107 IP 18.4% K-BB
Trey Supak (AAA - TEX) 91 IP 18.3% K-BB
Trenton Denholm (AA - CLE) 99 IP 18.2% K-BB
David Sandlin (AAA - BOS) 88 IP 17.8% K-BB
Charlie Morton (18.5% Owned): Projected 6.18IP 2.68ER 6.71SO 1.89BB 18.66FPts
Carson Whisenhunt (4.0% Owned): Projected 5.45IP 2.12ER 6.03SO 1.94BB 17.61FPts
Luis Gil (42.0% Owned): Projected 5.77IP 2.27ER 5.91SO 2.37BB 17.28FPts
Jakob Marsee - 29 PA, 1.378 OPS
Matt Wallner - 35 PA, 1.309 OPS
Romy Gonzalez - 27 PA, 1.244 OPS
Isaac Collins - 31 PA, 1.196 OPS
Nathan Lukes - 30 PA, 1.12 OPS
Wenceel Perez - 29 PA, 1.029 OPS
Blake Perkins - 37 PA, 1.008 OPS
Kyle Isbel - 26 PA, 1.006 OPS
Mike Yastrzemski - 26 PA, 1.003 OPS
Cole Young - 26 PA, 0.994 OPS
Drake Baldwin C (14.5% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.24HR 0.72RBI 0.68SO 0.37BB 0.02SB 9.83FPts
Chandler Simpson SS (25.0% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.01HR 0.49RBI 0.44SO 0.27BB 0.51SB 9.48FPts
Jordan Beck RF (25.0% Owned): Projected 0.66R 0.18HR 0.75RBI 1.14SO 0.33BB 0.14SB 9.22FPts
Ivan Herrera C (44.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.18HR 0.63RBI 0.76SO 0.36BB 0.08SB 9.19FPts
Xavier Edwards SS (49.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.05HR 0.5RBI 0.69SO 0.51BB 0.24SB 9.01FPts
Sam Haggerty IF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.09HR 0.55RBI 0.87SO 0.48BB 0.26SB 9.01FPts
Ezequiel Tovar SS (31.5% Owned): Projected 0.71R 0.18HR 0.61RBI 1.13SO 0.2BB 0.05SB 8.88FPts
Tyler Locklear 3B (3.5% Owned): Projected 0.68R 0.17HR 0.74RBI 0.76SO 0.38BB 0.11SB 8.86FPts
Tyler Freeman SS (6.5% Owned): Projected 0.79R 0.1HR 0.54RBI 0.57SO 0.38BB 0.17SB 8.86FPts
Roman Anthony OF (45.5% Owned): Projected 0.74R 0.15HR 0.51RBI 1.21SO 0.92BB 0.1SB 8.8FPts
