Check out yesterday’s box scores here
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It’s a very late start to the daily notes today. I’ve been doing work at my real job this week, which is a good job by me. Gotta keep everything moving well, gotta stay locked in and keep the paychecks and those corporate bennies flowing through. So shout out to me, I have once again performed above the minimum-required level.
What is wrong with PAUL SKENES? Many people are asking the question. The ERA is up to 3.90 after the worst start of his career.
ACTUALLY that’s wrong. He was forgiven some earned runs retro-actively, and my dashboards don’t pick that up. I will typically run a full refresh of the data at mid-season and at the end of the season, but as for now my scripts don’t reach back to get those corrections when they happen.
So let’s go to FanGraphs:
This is super interesting here. He has a better SIERA than last year at 2.98. But an ERA 1.65 runs higher.
THE GOOD NEWS:
30.1% K%
5.6% BB%
1.02 HR/9
That’s an elite K-BB%. It’s gotten a bit worse lately, but he still has a 12:4 K:BB in these last two bad starts.
The strand rate is important to note here:
2024: 86% LOB%
2025: 82% LOB%
2026: 66% LOB%
That’s bad luck. His career average is now 80%. The league average is around 70-75%. It makes sense that the best pitchers would be higher than that because they’re very hard to hit at all times, so they’d strand guys at a higher rate. But 66% this year should come up.
But that’s not nearly the full story. His stuff is just worse. Here’s 2025:
Here’s 2026:
There really aren’t huge differences here. we still call a 13.2% SwStr%, 35% Ball%, and .241 xwOBA very good. His four-seamer has awesome numbers. And that’s the most important thing. It’s still working even with less velo.
Maybe the difference is just with the command on the secondaries. Last year he had a 15% SwStr% on the sweeper, and he threw it a lot. He also threw his splitter more last year and it was fine.
I don’t want to spend two hours digging into every number. Maybe someone should do that, and I’m guessing there are people out there that are.
But to me, we can keep it pretty simple - because the basic stuff matters.
Last year:
.273 BABIP
9% HR/FB
17% RISP H%
There’s a ton of luck there, but people wanted to forgive him because he was so good. The aces seem to get the benefit of the doubt there. We overlook the luck they had because we think they’re just so good that they can control it. But that’s not right.
This year:
.266 BABIP
17% HR/FB
27% RISP H%
The HR/FB is a lot more normal and he’s had legit bad luck in stranding runners.
Watching him is uncomfortable though. He just can’t get quick outs.
Skenes is throwing 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this year. The league average is 3.89. The league leader is Nick Martinez at 3.39.
The nastiest guys will often have this problem because most times when you get a whiff, it means you have to throw another pitch to that batter. Skenes wasn’t efficient last year, either at 4.09. He is tough to hit, and he goes for a lot of chases with that sweeper. He’s not going to turn into a guy who is putting up a bunch of ten-pitch innings.
Also from watching him, it doesn’t seem like he’s been putting guys away. There have been so many two-strike pitches that get fouled off or miss the zone and don’t get the chase. We can check his two-strike performance on the dashboard:
2025: 17.7% SwStr%, 45.9% Strike%, 34.4% Ball%, .368 OPS
2026: 17.3% SwStr%, 48.4% Strike%, 32.2% Ball%, .415 OPS
So I was wrong about that! The whiffs are down a touch, but the strike rate is up (foul balls count in that, though), and the kicker is that the Ball% is down two points.
The more I look, the more I just want to say that Skenes:
Was lucky from 2024-2025
Has been unlucky in 2026
At the end of the day, it’s a a 30% K%, a 5.6% BB%, and a 1.02 HR/9. That’s a very good starter. Imagine if some rookie pitcher was out here with a 3.60 ERA coming off of two bad starts with these underlying numbers. We’d be SCREAMING buy low! But people want to get away from Skenes because of the lack of velo and these completely unheard of struggles from him.
So yeah, that’s my verdict. Skenes will be fine and you should try to buy low on him.
UNLESS you’re really panicked by this:
He’s been under 97 in six straight. BUT STILL, in those starts:
A 24% K-BB%! A 16.1% SwStr% But a .346 BABIP, 17% HR/FB, and 34% RISP H%. This looks like bad luck to me. I’m fully on the BUY side.
Of course, that won’t be possible for me to do because that scumbag PAUL, who has Skenes in our league, is reading this right now and he’ll know what I’m trying to pull off.
So I went ahead and offered him a trade. Maybe he’ll accept it before I finish these notes. I’d send him Hunter Greene for Paul Skenes and Sam Antonacci. I need that 2B/3B player desperately.
Taj Bradley had more strikeouts than whiffs. That doesn’t happen very often.
→ 5.0IP 4H 1ER 1R 11K 3BB
He had 10 whiffs and a 10.3% SwStr%. That’s only happened 23 times this year where a pitcher had 5+ strikeouts and fewer whiffs than strikeouts. His updated season numbers:
The fastball isn’t impressive, but the cutter, splitter, and curve are have been very good. I suppose he’s owned in most all leagues, but he seems like a legitimate 12-team guy. There will be bad starts because of his 32% FB% and bad fastball, but he’s been a lot more good than bad this year.
He got pulled at 78 pitches, I guess he was in some trouble. But he had racked up 17 whiffs before that. A 21.8% SwStr% and 33.3% Ball% on the day. That’s very good. His K-BB% is up to 17% and he has a 13.8% SwStr% and 35.1% Ball% now witha .282 xwOBA allowed. He’s looking quite good. Just not getting deep into games. The good news there is that he threw 98 pitches in the start before this, so they’re willing to let him ramp it up there.
I’m becoming a believer in Drohan.
The pitch grades are awesome:
Not a lot of dudes wtih six 100+ grades out there. The Brewers might be doing it again with this guy.
I didn’t play DFS last night. I was going to go with Imai + Bradley but I just didn’t submit the lineup. I’m not sure how that would’ve gone, but Imai would’ve made me very upset for buying into him. This guy seems like the most boom-or-bust dude in the league right now.
-9, 30, 36, -8. The game log with the advanced numbers:
4, 20, 16, and 4 whiffs. What is it about, man? Some questions you can’t answer. Some guys just have it some nights and don’t the next. It’s all about feel and touch with the approach Imai takes. Apparently his slider moves in two difference directions depending on how he throws it, or something?
Here’s a plot:
So there’s a 25-inch difference there on the x-axis. I looked deGrom just for comparison:
So deGrom is almost always to the right of zero on the horizontal break, meaning it’s moving away from right handed hitters.
Imai’s are the opposite, mostly.
This is not new information to people in the know, but it is new to me. There’s an article breaking it down here.
He’s not the only guy who does this. Here’s the lowest horizontal breaks from slider thrown by righties this year. Only a dozen guys are below zero, meaning their sliders move in the opposite direction from normal:
So that’s all very strange. It does make sense that his command would be super spotty and would result in these days where he just can’t do anything. Remember that his fastball sucks. So if he’s not fooling dudes out of their boxer briefs with the slider, he’s trash. And that’s what we’ve seen. I’d be off of him entirely for fantasy leagues, find someone else to take that ride on him. Sounds awful to me. Just throw your slider like everyone else does, man. Stop trying to be so individualistic.
It’s been a doozy for Tolle as well. Rookie pitchers, man! He just fired off seven scoreless against the Yankees the time before this, which made you feel great. But he gave up six runs on seven hits yesterday. The problem was walks and two homers.
He’s now walked at least two in seven of his last eight. His season BB% still isn’t a problem, but it’s getting worse, and he’s a fly ball pitcher. So he’ll have some bad ones, I guess. I still like the 17% K-BB% and the 13.3% SwStr% and the 31.2% Ball%. So I’m not dropping him, but he’s not going to be an ace this year, I don’t think. And I kinda thought he could be a few weeks ago.
That’s a success in Coors. Six hits, no walks, five strikeouts in a quality start. He did give up five runs. He gave up an unearned run on a homer. I guess that happened after an error that should have finished the inning.
You could argue about unearned runs. If you give up a dinger, shouldn’t that be an earned run no matter what? But then again, you shouldn’t have had to throw that pitch in that inning if a two-out error was made! But it’s good for the Meyer owners. 16.7% SwStr% last night as he keeps on surviving with the slider/sweeper.
I’d sell him, though. I say it every time. His fastball is garbage and you usually can’t be good for very long with that going on.
I don’t have any more time today, sorry about that.
Winston Santos (TEX): 2.0IP, 2H, 2ER, 1SO, 1BB
Jose Cuas (KC): 2.0IP, 2H, 1ER, 3SO, 0BB
1. Shane Drohan
2. Zack Wheeler
3. Will Warren
4. Reynaldo Lopez
5. Brad Lord
6. Noah Schultz
7. Max Meyer
8. Kyle Freeland
9. MacKenzie Gore
10. Troy Melton
11. Taj Bradley
12. Colin Rea
13. Trevor McDonald
14. Payton Tolle
15. Shane McClanahan
16. Michael McGreevy
17. Paul Skenes
18. Joey Cantillo
19. Walker Buehler
20. Seth Lugo
21. Zac Gallen
22. Dean Kremer
23. Freddy Peralta
24. Andrew Abbott
25. J.T. Ginn
26. Tatsuya Imai
1. Taj Bradley (vs. HOU): 31.05 Points
2. Trevor McDonald (vs. ARI): 26.9 Points
3. Troy Melton (vs. NYY): 26.44 Points
4. Andrew Alvarez (vs. BOS): 24.71 Points
5. Shane McClanahan (vs. KC): 23.7 Points
6. Reynaldo Lopez (vs. STL): 23.45 Points
7. Kyle Freeland (vs. MIA): 21.05 Points
8. Dean Kremer (vs. CWS): 20.5 Points
9. Spencer Miles (vs. NYM): 19.55 Points
10. Will Warren (vs. DET): 18.99 Points
1. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 21 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
2. Shane Drohan (MIL): 17 Whiffs (78 Pitches)
3. MacKenzie Gore (TEX): 15 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
4. Will Warren (NYY): 15 Whiffs (79 Pitches)
5. Noah Schultz (CWS): 14 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
6. Max Meyer (MIA): 13 Whiffs (78 Pitches)
7. Kyle Freeland (COL): 13 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
8. Reynaldo Lopez (ATL): 13 Whiffs (69 Pitches)
9. Troy Melton (DET): 12 Whiffs (84 Pitches)
10. Colin Rea (CHC): 12 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
1. Taj Bradley (MIN): 57.7 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%
2. Noah Schultz (CWS): 57.5 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%
3. Brad Lord (WSH): 56.6 Strike%, 28.3 Ball%
4. Zack Wheeler (PHI): 50.0 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%
5. Andrew Alvarez (WSH): 50.0 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%
6. Kyle Freeland (COL): 49.4 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%
7. Will Warren (NYY): 49.4 Strike%, 32.9 Ball%
8. Zac Gallen (ARI): 48.4 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
9. Patrick Corbin (TOR): 47.9 Strike%, 34.2 Ball%
10. Shane McClanahan (TB): 47.8 Strike%, 29.0 Ball%
11. Reynaldo Lopez (ATL): 47.8 Strike%, 36.2 Ball%
12. Shane Drohan (MIL): 47.4 Strike%, 33.3 Ball%
13. Max Meyer (MIA): 46.2 Strike%, 28.2 Ball%
14. Kyle Hart (SD): 46.2 Strike%, 42.3 Ball%
15. Payton Tolle (BOS): 46.1 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%
1. Shane McClanahan: 69 Pitches, 18 Outs, 3.83 POUT
2. Max Meyer: 78 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.33 POUT
3. Troy Melton: 84 Pitches, 19 Outs, 4.42 POUT
4. Charlie Barnes: 94 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.48 POUT
5. Shane Drohan: 78 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.59 POUT
6. Reynaldo Lopez: 69 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.6 POUT
7. Dean Kremer: 79 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.65 POUT
8. Will Warren: 79 Pitches, 16 Outs, 4.94 POUT
9. Trevor McDonald: 90 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.0 POUT
10. Michael McGreevy: 87 Pitches, 17 Outs, 5.12 POUT
Kyle Hart’s SI velo (20 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 94.2
Taj Bradley’s FF velo (36 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 98.1
Kyle Freeland’s FC velo (27 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 88.9
Paul Skenes’s FF velo (32 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 96.3
Brad Lord’s FF velo (14 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 93.2
Payton Tolle’s FC velo (25 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 86.9
J.T. Ginn’s FC velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 89.2
Andrew Alvarez’s FF usage (48.6%) up 18.4 points
Brad Lord’s SI usage (32.1%) up 12.4 points
Brad Lord’s ST usage (18.9%) up 14.5 points
Colin Rea’s CH usage (22.2%) up 15.1 points
Colin Rea’s SL usage (22.2%) up 10.8 points
Dean Kremer’s FS usage (32.9%) up 10.2 points
Dean Kremer’s SI usage (29.1%) up 10.3 points
J.T. Ginn’s CH usage (29.8%) up 15.3 points
Joey Cantillo’s CU usage (38.7%) up 15.3 points
Kyle Freeland’s FC usage (31.8%) up 14.4 points
Kyle Hart’s SI usage (38.5%) up 13.8 points
Max Meyer’s ST usage (55.1%) up 31.8 points
Noah Schultz’s ST usage (34.5%) up 11.2 points
Patrick Corbin’s FF usage (28.8%) up 23.1 points
Payton Tolle’s FC usage (32.9%) up 14.5 points
Shane Drohan’s FF usage (43.6%) up 14.0 points
Shane McClanahan’s CH usage (40.6%) up 11.8 points
Walker Buehler’s CH usage (18.8%) up 10.8 points
Will Warren’s CH usage (29.1%) up 19.1 points
Zac Gallen’s SL usage (24.2%) up 11.5 points
Logan Gilbert 4-Seam Fastball: +27.2%
Joey Cantillo Curveball: +24.8%
Robbie Ray Sinker: +21.1%
Slade Cecconi Slider: +20.6%
Nick Lodolo Sinker: +20.1%
Robbie Ray 4-Seam Fastball: -18.7%
Joey Cantillo 4-Seam Fastball: -17.6%
Troy Melton Slider: -15.8%
Trey Gibson Sinker: -15.6%
Kai-Wei Teng 4-Seam Fastball: +15.6%
Jesus Luzardo Sinker: +15.5%
Slade Cecconi 4-Seam Fastball: -15.3%
Tanner Bibee Sinker: +15.1%
Braydon Fisher 4-Seam Fastball: +15.0%
Gavin Williams Sinker: +14.9%
Nick Lodolo 4-Seam Fastball: -14.8%
Logan Webb Sinker: -14.7%
Braydon Fisher Curveball: -14.6%
Trey Gibson 4-Seam Fastball: +14.2%
George Kirby 4-Seam Fastball: -13.8%
Roki Sasaki Forkball: -13.8%
Rhett Lowder Slider: +13.3%
Troy Melton Cutter: +13.1%
Erick Fedde Cutter: -12.6%
Tyler Mahle Cutter: -12.4%
Randy Vasquez - 44.0 RISP H%, 0.438 BABIP, 25.0 HR/FB, 177.0 Luck Score
Trey Gibson - 29.0 RISP H%, 0.438 BABIP, 43.0 HR/FB, 176.0 Luck Score
Bryce Elder - 35.0 RISP H%, 0.424 BABIP, 30.0 HR/FB, 175.0 Luck Score
Freddy Peralta - 46.0 RISP H%, 0.413 BABIP, 21.0 HR/FB, 170.0 Luck Score
Brad Lord - 27.0 RISP H%, 0.429 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 168.0 Luck Score
Jose Soriano - 22.0 RISP H%, 0.441 BABIP, 50.0 HR/FB, 167.0 Luck Score
Tatsuya Imai - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.346 BABIP, 33.0 HR/FB, 163.0 Luck Score
Brent Suter - 33.0 RISP H%, 0.44 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 162.0 Luck Score
Kevin Gausman - 23.0 RISP H%, 0.395 BABIP, 46.0 HR/FB, 162.0 Luck Score
Matthew Liberatore - 50.0 RISP H%, 0.361 BABIP, 18.0 HR/FB, 160.0 Luck Score
Brandon Woodruff - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.095 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 14.0 Luck Score
Grant Holmes - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.15 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 16.0 Luck Score
Logan Webb - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.132 BABIP, 8.0 HR/FB, 27.0 Luck Score
Tanner Bibee - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.196 BABIP, 8.0 HR/FB, 31.0 Luck Score
Eduardo Rodriguez - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.217 BABIP, 6.0 HR/FB, 35.0 Luck Score
Robbie Ray - 17.0 RISP H%, 0.13 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 37.0 Luck Score
Taj Bradley - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.243 BABIP, 6.0 HR/FB, 38.0 Luck Score
Sonny Gray - 8.0 RISP H%, 0.204 BABIP, 7.0 HR/FB, 39.0 Luck Score
Troy Melton - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.075 BABIP, 15.0 HR/FB, 40.0 Luck Score
Drew Rasmussen - 14.0 RISP H%, 0.212 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 41.0 Luck Score
Jacob Misiorowski - 74 TBF, 36.9% CSW%
Jesus Luzardo - 78 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
Joey Cantillo - 92 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 97 TBF, 34.5% CSW%
Parker Messick - 79 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Sean Burke - 96 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 88 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Brady Singer - 71 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Casey Mize - 68 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Nathan Eovaldi - 77 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Jacob Misiorowski - 74 TBF, 40.5% K%
Dylan Cease - 69 TBF, 36.2% K%
Jesus Luzardo - 78 TBF, 35.9% K%
Cam Schlittler - 97 TBF, 35.1% K%
Chase Burns - 70 TBF, 34.3% K%
Tarik Skubal - 88 TBF, 34.1% K%
Logan Gilbert - 75 TBF, 33.3% K%
Zack Wheeler - 95 TBF, 32.6% K%
Paul Skenes - 92 TBF, 32.6% K%
Jacob deGrom - 97 TBF, 32.0% K%
Jacob Misiorowski - 74 TBF, 33.8% K-BB%
Tarik Skubal - 88 TBF, 31.8% K-BB%
Logan Gilbert - 75 TBF, 29.3% K-BB%
Cam Schlittler - 97 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 97 TBF, 27.8% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 77 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%
Parker Messick - 79 TBF, 26.6% K-BB%
Cade Cavalli - 84 TBF, 26.2% K-BB%
Chase Burns - 70 TBF, 25.7% K-BB%
Jesus Luzardo - 78 TBF, 25.6% K-BB%
Walbert Urena - 71 TBF, 66.7% GB%
Andre Pallante - 76 TBF, 62.9% GB%
Framber Valdez - 77 TBF, 62.5% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 100 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Slade Cecconi - 70 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Jesus Luzardo - 78 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Cade Cavalli - 84 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Andrew Alvarez - 71 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Parker Messick - 79 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Connelly Early - 90 TBF, 55.4% GB%
Andrew Alvarez - 71 TBF, 31.0 K%, 7.0 BB%, 55.8% GB%
Cade Cavalli - 84 TBF, 31.0 K%, 4.8 BB%, 55.8% GB%
Chris Sale - 49 TBF, 34.7 K%, 4.1 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Foster Griffin - 79 TBF, 30.4 K%, 5.1 BB%, 48.0% GB%
Jacob Misiorowski - 74 TBF, 40.5 K%, 6.8 BB%, 51.3% GB%
Jacob deGrom - 97 TBF, 32.0 K%, 4.1 BB%, 46.8% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 77 TBF, 31.2 K%, 3.9 BB%, 54.0% GB%
Parker Messick - 79 TBF, 30.4 K%, 3.8 BB%, 55.8% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 98 TBF, 29.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 51.6% GB%
Sonny Gray - 104 TBF, 29.8 K%, 4.8 BB%, 45.6% GB%
Tarik Skubal - 88 TBF, 34.1 K%, 2.3 BB%, 48.1% GB%
Joey Cantillo - +3.6% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Parker Messick - +4.5% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Justin Wrobleski - +2.9% CSW%, -3.6 BB%
Jacob Misiorowski - +3.0% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Trevor Rogers - +4.6% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Shota Imanaga - +2.7% CSW%, -1.7 BB%
Casey Mize - +5.0% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Bryce Miller - +2.4% CSW%, -6.5 BB%
Kyle Harrison - +3.8% CSW%, -5.8 BB%
Kumar Rocker - +7.2% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Brandon Sproat - +5.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +3.5% CSW%, -6.5 BB%
Brandon Marsh (PHI) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 3 HR
Heliot Ramos (SF) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Michael Conforto (CHC) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Mickey Moniak (COL) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Dylan Crews, Yesterday: 112.3 Previous High: 111.1
Tyler Freeman, Yesterday: 110.2 Previous High: 109.6
Henry Bolte (OAK) - 113.6mph - grounded_into_double_play
Willson Contreras (BOS) - 113.4mph - single
Josh Bell (MIN) - 112.6mph - home_run
Dylan Crews (WSH) - 112.3mph - single
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 112.2mph - double
Casey Schmitt (SF) - 112.1mph - None
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 111.4mph - field_out
Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI) - 111.1mph - single
Eugenio Suarez (CIN) - 111.1mph - double
Amed Rosario (NYY) - 110.9mph - home_run
Top 10
Casey Schmitt - 61 PA, 0.287 wOBA, 0.413 xwOBA, 0.126 Diff
Miguel Vargas - 74 PA, 0.333 wOBA, 0.432 xwOBA, 0.099 Diff
Brett Baty - 61 PA, 0.223 wOBA, 0.298 xwOBA, 0.075 Diff
Alec Burleson - 73 PA, 0.316 wOBA, 0.389 xwOBA, 0.073 Diff
Kody Clemens - 78 PA, 0.287 wOBA, 0.353 xwOBA, 0.066 Diff
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - 65 PA, 0.232 wOBA, 0.293 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Jac Caglianone - 78 PA, 0.352 wOBA, 0.413 xwOBA, 0.061 Diff
Julio Rodriguez - 73 PA, 0.329 wOBA, 0.386 xwOBA, 0.057 Diff
Jarren Duran - 68 PA, 0.186 wOBA, 0.243 xwOBA, 0.057 Diff
Jordan Walker - 69 PA, 0.249 wOBA, 0.303 xwOBA, 0.054 Diff
Bottom 10
T.J. Rumfield - 83 PA, 0.464 wOBA, 0.286 xwOBA, -0.178 Diff
Caleb Durbin - 68 PA, 0.396 wOBA, 0.255 xwOBA, -0.141 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 69 PA, 0.471 wOBA, 0.331 xwOBA, -0.14 Diff
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 91 PA, 0.528 wOBA, 0.388 xwOBA, -0.14 Diff
Paul Goldschmidt - 72 PA, 0.35 wOBA, 0.216 xwOBA, -0.134 Diff
Dansby Swanson - 77 PA, 0.464 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, -0.134 Diff
Nasim Nunez - 62 PA, 0.406 wOBA, 0.284 xwOBA, -0.122 Diff
Seiya Suzuki - 80 PA, 0.456 wOBA, 0.346 xwOBA, -0.11 Diff
Jake McCarthy - 66 PA, 0.389 wOBA, 0.281 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Luis Garcia Jr. - 64 PA, 0.486 wOBA, 0.382 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff
Luis Garcia Jr.: 33.0 PA, +0.2 xwOBA OE
Junior Caminero: 37.0 PA, +0.196 xwOBA OE
Freddie Freeman: 40.0 PA, +0.187 xwOBA OE
Esmerlyn Valdez: 30.0 PA, +0.186 xwOBA OE
Brandon Nimmo: 31.0 PA, +0.141 xwOBA OE
Miguel Vargas: 41.0 PA, +0.129 xwOBA OE
Joc Pederson: 33.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Juan Soto: 31.0 PA, +0.103 xwOBA OE
Spencer Torkelson: 40.0 PA, +0.1 xwOBA OE
Willson Contreras: 38.0 PA, +0.095 xwOBA OE
Yandy Diaz: 38.0 PA, +0.094 xwOBA OE
Bryce Harper: 45.0 PA, +0.091 xwOBA OE
Cole Young: 31.0 PA, +0.089 xwOBA OE
Lars Nootbaar: 30.0 PA, +0.084 xwOBA OE
Julio Rodriguez: 36.0 PA, +0.082 xwOBA OE
Ben Rice: 39.0 PA, -0.181 xwOBA OE
Salvador Perez: 35.0 PA, -0.172 xwOBA OE
Jakob Marsee: 36.0 PA, -0.161 xwOBA OE
Ezequiel Tovar: 31.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Jose Caballero: 37.0 PA, -0.14 xwOBA OE
C.J. Abrams: 31.0 PA, -0.136 xwOBA OE
Jackson Merrill: 38.0 PA, -0.13 xwOBA OE
George Springer: 36.0 PA, -0.13 xwOBA OE
Paul Goldschmidt: 34.0 PA, -0.126 xwOBA OE
Travis Bazzana: 36.0 PA, -0.126 xwOBA OE
Christian Walker: 38.0 PA, -0.123 xwOBA OE
J.P. Crawford: 38.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE
Ivan Herrera: 31.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Daylen Lile: 34.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Jung Hoo Lee: 33.0 PA, -0.113 xwOBA OE
Owen Caissie - 52 PA, 31 BIP, 7 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
Hunter Goodman - 79 PA, 51 BIP, 11 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 75 PA, 54 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.4 Brl%
Brandon Nimmo - 71 PA, 51 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Francisco Alvarez - 69 PA, 41 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.5 Brl%
Nick Kurtz - 82 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 63 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 78 PA, 37 BIP, 7 Brls, 18.9 Brl%
Zach Neto - 77 PA, 43 BIP, 8 Brls, 18.6 Brl%
Byron Buxton - 71 PA, 54 BIP, 10 Brls, 18.5 Brl%
Juan Soto - 73 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 83 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Bobby Witt Jr. - 55 PA, 0.449 xwOBA
Josh Bell - 72 PA, 0.435 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 74 PA, 0.432 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 75 PA, 0.427 xwOBA
Casey Schmitt - 61 PA, 0.413 xwOBA
Jac Caglianone - 78 PA, 0.413 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 73 PA, 0.413 xwOBA
Endy Rodriguez - 50 PA, 0.412 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 61 PA, 117 Swings, 96.6 Cont%
Isaac Collins - 60 PA, 88 Swings, 92.0 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 66 PA, 97 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Mauricio Dubon - 64 PA, 122 Swings, 90.2 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 56 PA, 89 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Jung Hoo Lee - 60 PA, 108 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Mookie Betts - 79 PA, 117 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Cole Young - 72 PA, 135 Swings, 88.1 Cont%
Liam Hicks - 48 PA, 65 Swings, 87.7 Cont%
Josh Naylor - 68 PA, 114 Swings, 87.7 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 6 Attempts (3 steals)
Nasim Nunez - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
A.J. Ewing - 4 Attempts (1 steals)
Victor Robles - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Kahlil Watson - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Samad Taylor - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Jeremy Pena - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Dylan Crews - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Javier Sanoja - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jake Mangum - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Nicky Lopez - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Henry Bolte - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jackson Merrill - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Anthony Volpe - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Brooks Lee - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Andy Pages - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Ketel Marte - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 13 Attempts (12 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 12 Attempts (11 steals)
Nasim Nunez - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Esteury Ruiz - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Jake Mangum - 10 Attempts (6 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 10 Attempts (9 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 9 Attempts (4 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Luisangel Acuna - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Julio Rodriguez - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Jackson Merrill - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Fernando Tatis Jr. - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Henry Bolte - 8 Attempts (7 steals)
Byron Buxton - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 18.5 Brl%
Casey Schmitt - 61 PA, 19.7 K%, 14.6 Brl%
Joe Mack - 52 PA, 13.5 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Kyle Karros - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Luis Garcia Jr. - 64 PA, 14.1 K%, 15.7 Brl%
Miguel Vargas - 74 PA, 14.9 K%, 15.8 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 75 PA, 16.0 K%, 20.4 Brl%
Jac Caglianone - 110 PA, +0.121 xwOBA
Miguel Vargas - 113 PA, +0.088 xwOBA
Kyle Karros - 82 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Mauricio Dubon - 94 PA, +0.077 xwOBA
Josh Bell - 107 PA, +0.068 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 123 PA, +0.066 xwOBA
Trevor Larnach - 90 PA, +0.062 xwOBA
Lane Thomas - 102 PA, +0.062 xwOBA
Hunter Goodman - 115 PA, +0.06 xwOBA
Michael Massey - 94 PA, +0.059 xwOBA
Hunter Goodman - 115 PA, +10.6 Brl%
Brandon Marsh - 121 PA, +8.0 Brl%
Kyle Karros - 82 PA, +7.6 Brl%
Victor Caratini - 80 PA, +7.1 Brl%
Cedric Mullins II - 86 PA, +6.8 Brl%
Joc Pederson - 94 PA, +6.2 Brl%
Zach Neto - 105 PA, +6.2 Brl%
Jac Caglianone - 110 PA, +4.5 Brl%
Mauricio Dubon - 94 PA, +4.0 Brl%
Curtis Mead - 106 PA, +3.8 Brl%
Cole Young - 111 PA, +11.0 Cont%
Isaac Collins - 94 PA, +10.5 Cont%
Carter Jensen - 113 PA, +9.5 Cont%
Freddie Freeman - 123 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Lane Thomas - 102 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Josh Naylor - 103 PA, +8.1 Cont%
JJ Wetherholt - 102 PA, +7.6 Cont%
Juan Soto - 107 PA, +6.3 Cont%
Yordan Alvarez - 112 PA, +6.1 Cont%
Tyler Soderstrom - 96 PA, +6.0 Cont%
Troy Johnston - 85 PA, -12.9 K%
Cole Young - 111 PA, -10.7 K%
Juan Soto - 107 PA, -9.3 K%
Kyle Karros - 82 PA, -9.2 K%
Trevor Larnach - 90 PA, -9.2 K%
Garrett Mitchell - 85 PA, -8.6 K%
Gabriel Moreno - 100 PA, -8.3 K%
Gunnar Henderson - 127 PA, -7.8 K%
Brooks Lee - 117 PA, -7.4 K%
Byron Buxton - 100 PA, -7.3 K%
Willi Castro: +3.1
Marcell Ozuna: +2.9
Jake Mangum: +2.85
Taylor Walls: +2.6
Luke Keaschall: +2.4
Jarren Duran: -3.07
Corey Seager: -2.9
Colt Keith: -2.62
Chase Meidroth: -2.55
Jonathan Aranda: -2.5
Ketel Marte - 0.413 xwOBA, 17.4% Brl%, 81.8% Contact%, 24.5% Chase%, 7.1% K%
Rafael Devers - 0.439 xwOBA, 23.5% Brl%, 76.8% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 21.6% K%
Riley Greene - 0.375 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 75.0% Contact%, 21.3% Chase%, 20.0% K%
William Contreras - 0.442 xwOBA, 10.5% Brl%, 77.8% Contact%, 22.4% Chase%, 13.2% K%
Yordan Alvarez - 0.419 xwOBA, 25.0% Brl%, 82.9% Contact%, 24.3% Chase%, 21.2% K%
Rhys Hoskins - 39.5% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.946 Cold Rating
Coby Mayo - 33.8% Whiff%, 78.9% Weak%, 0.903 Cold Rating
Drake Baldwin - 37.2% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.901 Cold Rating
Jarren Duran - 36.2% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.898 Cold Rating
Gabriel Arias - 49.3% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.893 Cold Rating
Randy Arozarena - 32.2% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.878 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Tovar - 31.2% Whiff%, 82.1% Weak%, 0.875 Cold Rating
Ian Happ - 37.4% Whiff%, 68.0% Weak%, 0.874 Cold Rating
Jose Caballero - 33.7% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.868 Cold Rating
Spencer Steer - 34.2% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.865 Cold Rating
Josue De Paula (LAD): 4/5, 4R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 44FPts
Cole Conn (OAK): 3/4, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 2SB, 40FPts
Ruben Ibarra (CIN): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 5RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Aaron Parker (TOR): 3/5, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
Charlie Condon (COL): 3/4, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 38FPts
Andrew Fischer (MIL): 2/4, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 36FPts
Jesus Baez (STL): 2/4, 3R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 36FPts
Peyton Graham (DET): 6/7, 1R, 0HR, 3RBI, 1SB, 33FPts
Marco Luciano (NYY): 2/5, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Cam Collier (CIN): 3/5, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Braxton Garrett (MIA): 90 Pitches, 8IP, 3H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 36FPts
George Klassen (LAA): 89 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 0ER, 9K, 1BB, 35FPts
Cedric De Grandpre (ATL): 84 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 29FPts
Owen Murphy (ATL): 81 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 29FPts
Hunter Owen (KC): 88 Pitches, 5IP, 1H, 0ER, 9K, 3BB, 26FPts
Ryan Costeiu (LAA): 77 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 1ER, 5K, 0BB, 24FPts
Bruce Zimmermann (STL): 85 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 1BB, 22FPts
Bryce Mayer (HOU): 48 Pitches, 4IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 1BB, 21FPts
Christian Herberholz (BAL): 81 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 21FPts
Ashton Izzi (ARI): 81 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 1ER, 6K, 0BB, 21FPts
Owen Ayers (AA - CHC) 235 PA 1.045 OPS
Charlie Condon (AAA - COL) 335 PA 1.03 OPS
Christian Moore (AAA - LAA) 261 PA 1.02 OPS
Franklin Arias (AA - BOS) 285 PA 1.02 OPS
Danny Serretti (AAA - ARI) 258 PA 1.001 OPS
Zac Veen (AAA - COL) 321 PA 0.988 OPS
James Tibbs III (AAA - LAD) 368 PA 0.984 OPS
Manuel Pena (AAA - ARI) 329 PA 0.984 OPS
Josue De Paula (AA - LAD) 346 PA 0.982 OPS
Jay Harry (AAA - TOR) 255 PA 0.974 OPS
BJ Murray Jr. (AAA - CHC) 320 PA 0.967 OPS
Ben Ross (AAA - MIN) 302 PA 0.963 OPS
Marco Luciano (AAA - NYY) 249 PA 0.957 OPS
Alex Binelas (AA - PHI) 289 PA 0.953 OPS
Jack Suwinski (AAA - LAD) 320 PA 0.938 OPS
Brett Squires (AAA - KC) 301 PA 0.933 OPS
Lazaro Montes (AA - SEA) 320 PA 0.93 OPS
Jace Avina (AA - NYY) 269 PA 0.929 OPS
Cade Marlowe (AAA - OAK) 316 PA 0.928 OPS
Felix Reyes (AAA - PHI) 241 PA 0.923 OPS
Kade Anderson (AA - SEA) 66 IP 37.2% K-BB
Brandon White - 681449 (AAA - MIA) 62 IP 25.5% K-BB
Adam Seminaris (AA - PHI) 74 IP 24.0% K-BB
Cesar Perdomo (AA - SF) 67 IP 23.1% K-BB
Jackson Kent (AAA - WSH) 63 IP 22.9% K-BB
Joe Whitman (AAA - SF) 78 IP 21.9% K-BB
Gage Ziehl (AA - BOS) 59 IP 21.1% K-BB
Karson Milbrandt (AAA - MIA) 66 IP 20.9% K-BB
Carlos Pena (AA - DET) 59 IP 20.7% K-BB
Shinnosuke Ogasawara (AA - WSH) 58 IP 20.5% K-BB
Tyson Hardin (AAA - MIL) 74 IP 20.2% K-BB
Mason Molina (AA - STL) 69 IP 19.7% K-BB
Bruce Zimmermann (AAA - STL) 78 IP 19.3% K-BB
Logan Allen - 671106 (AAA - CLE) 69 IP 19.3% K-BB
Kyle Carr (AA - NYY) 66 IP 18.9% K-BB
Daniel Eagen (AA - ARI) 62 IP 18.7% K-BB
Manuel Rodriguez - 804973 (AA - MIL) 71 IP 18.6% K-BB
Jackson Nezuh (AA - HOU) 60 IP 18.2% K-BB
Brendan Beck (AAA - NYY) 88 IP 18.1% K-BB
Braxton Garrett (AAA - MIA) 64 IP 17.8% K-BB
Alan Rangel (4.0% Owned): Projected 5.46IP 2.79ER 5.18SO 2.02BB 13.88FPts
Ryan Gusto (1.0% Owned): Projected 5.14IP 2.82ER 4.72SO 1.65BB 12.29FPts
Hurston Waldrep (16.0% Owned): Projected 5.06IP 2.22ER 3.99SO 2.33BB 11.89FPts
Ty France - 28 PA, 1.345 OPS
Javier Sanoja - 28 PA, 1.34 OPS
Joc Pederson - 33 PA, 1.17 OPS
Cole Young - 31 PA, 1.077 OPS
Kahlil Watson - 31 PA, 1.019 OPS
Tommy Edman - 32 PA, 1.009 OPS
Anthony Seigler - 37 PA, 1.008 OPS
Griffin Conine - 28 PA, 0.97 OPS
Cam Smith - 34 PA, 0.921 OPS
Trevor Larnach - 30 PA, 0.9 OPS
Jake McCarthy LF (41.0% Owned): Projected 0.85R 0.15HR 0.63RBI 0.78SO 0.28BB 0.21SB 9.75FPts
Dominic Canzone LF (49.0% Owned): Projected 0.71R 0.18HR 0.72RBI 1.15SO 0.54BB 0.06SB 9.22FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (3.0% Owned): Projected 0.77R 0.11HR 0.56RBI 1.03SO 0.8BB 0.07SB 8.75FPts
Troy Johnston 1B (24.0% Owned): Projected 0.67R 0.11HR 0.69RBI 0.75SO 0.33BB 0.16SB 8.73FPts
Kyle Teel C (35.0% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.19HR 0.68RBI 1.01SO 0.53BB 0.06SB 8.68FPts
Gavin Sheets 1B (27.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.2HR 0.64RBI 0.97SO 0.45BB 0.04SB 8.53FPts
Lane Thomas LF (5.0% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.15HR 0.73RBI 0.96SO 0.41BB 0.09SB 8.47FPts
Esmerlyn Valdez OF (13.0% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.21HR 0.74RBI 1.17SO 0.44BB 0.02SB 8.29FPts
