MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Daily Notes - July 6

A daily automated report of what happened yesterday in Major League Baseball, along with other recent trends and further analysis

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Jon A
Jul 06, 2026
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Check out yesterday’s box scores here

The Daily Notes are the flagship resource of MLB Data Warehouse. Every morning, Jon breaks down the current goings on in the fantasy baseball world, and an automated daily report gets you up to date on key stats and trends. Become a paid subscriber at MLB Data Warehouse to get this unlocked in your inbox every morning!


THE EURINATOR has to be the headliner.

→ 7.0IP 0H 0ER 0R 8K 0BB

He was perfect through seven IN SACRAMENTO, and then they yanked him after 92 pitches just for the bullpen to almost blow a 9-0 lead. Incredible game there.

Should they have let him go for it? I don’t know! He’s coming off an injury and was probably going to have to push past 110 pitches to complete that perfecto. Seems harsh to not let him go out there and see if he could have another ten-pitch inning or something to give it a shot.

He cranked up the GB% last night, a perfect thing to do with Sacramento.

Just a .058 xwOBA allowed. The whiffs weren’t off the charts, honestly, and he still had a high ball rate. But the A’s did him some favors and now Eury is looking like a fantasy ace again. His three starts off the IL:

A 53% GB%! This is brand new stuff from Eury. His problems early this year were walks and homers. He hasn’t had those issues in these last three. So, has something changed with the pitch mix? Yeah, sorta. The sinker is new:

He debuted that one on May 12th and has a 17% usage on it since then. And now he’s allowed just five homers in six starts since instituting that sinker. So yeah, that’s a big addition and has helped him marvelously so far. The home runs are way down in the last handful of starts, which is the main thing he needed to fix.

NEW PITCH TRACKER HERE

Another forgotten resource I have. There are dozens of these google sheets getting updated every morning. So check that one out. Here are your main “new” pitches. Introduced after April ended and used 10%+ of the time since their introduction:


Peter Lambert - 5.67IP 3H 0ER 0R 6K 1BB

18 whiffs for Lambert as his solid season in the Astros rotation continues.

The Astros will certainly take that, and he’s been pretty good for the ratios in fantasy leagues of all types. Definitely some good luck going on with a .238 BABIP allowed.

You hate the 12.7% K-BB%, but he’s avoided hard contact for the most part (.209 xBA, .293 xwOBA). So he can get the job done I guess, you just can’t count on him every time out because of the lack of strikeout ability and the mediocre walk rate.


Emerson Hancock - 7.0IP 2H 0ER 0R 5K 2BB

Seven scoreless against the Blue Jays after he was denied the privilege of piggy backing Logan Gilbert on Saturday. The Mariners have no problems with starting pitchers, as we’ve discussed a lot.

But Hancock can’t be trusted. Over the last month, his K% is below 20% and the walk rate is about league average, plus a high FB%. He’s a ticking time bomb start-to-start, but he delivers results like two-thirds of the time or so.

That game log shows you the story. 11 earned runs in two starts, and now just two in the last two outings. But 24 walks and 12 homers in 97.2 innings is worrisome.


Emmet Sheehan - 4.33IP 3H 1ER 1R 5K 3BB

Looked good early on, labored in the fifth and had another bad outings on his record. 15 more whiffs and a nice 51% Strike%, but another bad box score result. That’s been the story with Sheehan. It seems like he just tires out or something.

The story early in the year was that he’d lose his velo as the game went on. I wonder if that’s still happening? Why not add a new dashboard tab to find out!

The fourth inning stands out there. 95.2 in the first, 93.9 in the fourth. There’s some survivorship bias here. You can see he comes back up for the 7th inning, but that is just a start or two where he’s pitched well enough to get that deep.

Last night:

96.3 in the first, 95.1 in the fifth. Nothing crazy I guess. There are more problems than just this. He’s a frustrating dude, and I traded Chase Burns for him before the season… disaster. Let’s check Misiorowski for the fun of it:

You can flip through that tab if you want, it’s the very last one on the dashboard now. It seems like Sheehan and Miz both come down in the fourth inning. I guess that’s where you start to focus heavily on getting through 5-6 innings. That 102.56 in the 9th is funny, coming from that complete game. Makes logical sense that your last inning would come up since you’re emptying the tank, persay.


JP Sears - 5.0IP 1H 0ER 0R 5K 2BB

Two pretty good starts for Sears sandwiching that Wrigley Field wind disaster.

Sears had a freaking 7.92 ERA in AAA this year. So we’re not thinking he’s good. There’s a reason it took him so long to get into the Padres rotation. But he’s probably a 15-team league consideration. The one thing you can say is that pitching in Petco Park (or whatever they might be calling it these days) is a much better place to be than those parks in the Pacific Coast League. But that’s offset, obviously, by the much tougher competition.

Sears might be better than we thought. That’s probably true for the department store too, RIP.

A 21% K% is fine… everything else is bad though. He’s always been a heavy fly-baller. I kinda liked him going from Sacramento to San Diego - major park shift there. But he’s probably just not good enough for it to really matter.

I have some sights on using him at home in DFS, though. The price is going to be cheap and he can have some success when the ball stays in the yard.


Bubba Chandler - 4.0IP 6H 4ER 4R 0K 4BB

The Bucs won it, so they gave me a pretty nice weekend with two wins on Saturday and Sunday. But Chandler didn’t help. Zero strikeouts and four walks… it’s not getting much better for Bubba. But he’s keeping the ball in the yard with just ten homers in 17 starts, so he’s mostly surviving major damage. Sometimes he just can’t throw strikes, and that was the case yesterday with a 45.3% Ball%.


Ranger Suarez - 2.67IP 6H 3ER 3R 5K 0BB

He got hurt.

An IL stint would give Jake Bennett a longer leash in the big league rotation, although that wasn’t really in question with how well he’s pitched. It could get Brayan Bello the call-up. But he hasn’t been dominating AAA hitters by any means.

The 22:4 K:BB is good to see and no homers, but he’s jus very hittable and doesn’t have an elite strikeout rate in AAA like you’d want to see.


Tanner Bibee - 4.0IP 6H 6ER 6R 1K 1BB

He sucked! Sometimes he sucks!

Sometimes he’s good. You just never know. He’s not someone you need in a 12-teamer, but he’s definitely still a guy to have in 15-teamers. The good is more often than the bad.


Cade Cavalli - 2.33IP 6H 3ER 4R 3K 2BB

Struggled after his big 13:0 K:BB start the previous one. Maybe he felt bad about his misbehaviour and rewarded the Pirates like he should. The Pirates are a very white lineup.

I’m joking with the Cavalli stuff. I don’t have an opinion on it. He probably just calls everybody “boy” when he’s charged up, or maybe he doesn’t and reserves it for certain people. Who is to say? I think there’s some evidence out there that he has used the term very equitably in the past. And that’s all we want, right? If you’re going to be mean, just be mean to everybody all the same! That’s the American way, is it not?

The curveball is good, and the fastball can be good, but not all the time. You’ll get big starts and bad starts from Cavalli. But I like the 49% Strike%, 50% GB%, and .314 xwOBA enough to keep him if you have him.


Joe Ryan - 7.0IP 3H 0ER 0R 9K 1BB

He furthered the Yankees struggles. They have been so bad since losing Judge. Ryan’s just a stud, there’s nothing else to say! Will he get traded? That will be interesting, and we’re getting pretty close to the trade deadline. That’s where our attention goes next after we’re all done cleaning up our soiled underwear when the All Star snub debate settles.


HITTERS

Heriberto Hernandez had that elite week of matchups in Coors and Sacramento, and he finished with a bang with two dingers yesterday. On my bench, too. I added the guy for that schedule and then didn’t even start him every day. So that makes sense. I could have tied an extra category with those two bombs, too! Shout out to me for being terrible at this.

The guy can slug. He has himself 11 homers now in 206 PAs, that’s an easy 30-homer pace. But the Marlins have mostly used him against lefties.

I think he deserves more looks, because he’s right righties pretty well, too.

A 23% K% and a 10% Brl% with a .357 xwOBA is quite good.

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