Corbin Burnes experienced the healing power of the Road Rockies. And I hardly had any of Burnes in DFS last night while everybody else bought into it. He was the highest-owned pitcher on the slate. That was surprising to me. Burnes really has not looked good this year (prior to last night), so it was a question of which mattered more - his poor performance or the elite matchup. And the elite matchup won out.
6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 10 K, 3 BB, 20.4% SwStr%
He didn’t change anything, just threw his normal stuff, and the Rockies could do nothing with it.
It was a super weird start from MacKenzie Gore. The important stats look elite:
→ 21 whiffs
→ 20.6% SwStr%
→ 56.9% Strike%
→ 31.4% Ball%
→ 9 Strikeouts
→ 2 Walks
And yet he gave up 10 hits and lasted just 3.2 innings. The Orioles went foul-ball crazy on him. They fouled off 26 pitches. I thought that would be near the single-matchup high this year, but it’s not. The Nationals fouled off 40 balls on May 2nd against Hunter Greene.
Foul ball stuff is something I’ve never really given a close look to. I’ve wondered in the past if certain pitchers generate foul balls at a higher rate than others. It would make some sense that a foul ball is the result in between hard contact and a whiff, right? The hitter usually doesn’t want to hit a foul ball. It’s a mishit, which is a good outcome for the pitcher, but the pitch wasn’t quite so good to get a full out whiff.
Your ten highest foul ball rates allowed (fouls / pitches):
And the ten lowest:
So there’s a mixture of good and bad pitchers on both lists. My guess is that this stuff is pretty random. If we look at it by pitch type:
So four-seamers get fouled off the most. I wonder if velo matters!
So it seems to matter a bit. Four-seamers above 95mph get fouled off more than ones under 95.
But it’s Saturday morning, and I’m sitting here on the couch with my kids writing about foul ball rates. Who cares!
Shane Smith update after his decent start against the Cubs:
The K-BB% is still in the problem area, but the 14.2% SwStr%, 1.73 WHIP+, .608 OPS allowed, 46% GB%, and .303 xwOBA are good signs. He has an 18.8% K-BB% in May. The four-seamer and changeup are both pretty good. His command isn’t anything special, but he has pretty decent stuff and he’s worthy of a roster spot in plenty of leagues.
Tylor Megill has stopped being good. He’s given up four earned runs in three straight.
His first five starts:
→ 24.7 IP, 1.09 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 27.8% K%, 10.2% BB%, 0 HR
His last four starts:
→ 18.2 IP, 7.23 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 30.6% K%, 12.9% BB%, 3 HR
The true Megill is between those two marks. I was calling him a sell-high during that run of five starts, so this shouldn’t be surprising. But the 30.6% K% over these last four starts is really nice, and it makes me think he can have plenty of very useful outings the rest of the way out. And that should turn into wins as well since he’s on a good team. But he does look like a WHIP killer who will just have brutal outings from time to time like we saw last night.
We have now seen 156 MLB pitches from Cade Horton, and it’s not super encouraging.
→ 9.6% SwStr%, 35% Ball%
Here’s the arsenal:
It’s too early to judge, but there were those who were suspicious about his four-seamer not working against Major Leaguers. The pitch shape bros don’t like it. I say “pitch shape bros” and that can sound condescending, but it’s not. I do value those guys’ input in specific situations like we have here, when a guy is coming from the minors to the Majors for the first time. So I’m down on Horton, and I think you should be to!
Miguel Vargas has made some nice improvements this year. And that’s good, because he was really awful last year. He banged two out in Wrigley yesterday.
What was funny is that I saw him pop up on the home run props bet recommendations as an under. And I never see under there. But MGM was juicing up all of the homer lines there to the point where my model was like “okay that’s way too much”. He was like -450 to not homer or something. I don’t know, I wasn’t going to actually put money on something like that - but it was interesting to me. And then it was really funny that he hit two homers after all of that.
His last two seasons:
The numbers still aren’t impressive this year, but he’s at least cleared the .700 OPS mark down with an xwOBA above .300. He’s hitting the ball harder, finding the sweet spot more often, and he shook off that .177 BABIP from last year.
So he might be somewhat useful for deep leagues.
Daulton Varsho now leads the Blue Jays in homers. And that’s quite a stat since Varsho showed up like five minutes ago.
Six dingers in 49 PAs. I don’t need to tell anybody that that is an elite, elite rate of homers. But completely unsustainable. He has 27 balls in play and six homers, that’s 22%. The league average is 4%.
Let’s check out some low BABIPs of May.
Bryan Reynolds .083
Cedric Mullins .125
Seiya Suzuki .154
Max Kepler .161
Dylan Crews .167
Wilyer Abreu .195
Alex Verdugo .200
Fernando Tatis Jr. .200
Jung Hoo Lee .200
Junior Caminero .200
And now I have to go - enjoy your Saturdays.
1. Corbin Burnes
2. Garrett Crochet
3. MacKenzie Gore
4. Shane Smith
5. Ranger Suarez
6. Taj Bradley
7. Chris Sale
8. Max Meyer
9. Carlos Rodon
10. Joe Ryan
11. Nathan Eovaldi
12. Andrew Heaney
13. Brady Singer
14. Cole Ragans
15. Jack Flaherty
16. Tanner Bibee
17. Dustin May
18. Bowden Francis
19. Tylor Megill
20. Jack Kochanowicz
21. Andre Pallante
22. Logan Webb
23. Lance McCullers Jr.
24. Cade Horton
25. Cade Povich
26. Logan Evans
27. Chad Patrick
28. Stephen Kolek
29. JP Sears
30. Carson Palmquist
1. Corbin Burnes (vs. COL): 34.5 Points
2. Joe Ryan (vs. MIL): 33.7 Points
3. Chris Sale (vs. BOS): 29.55 Points
4. Logan Webb (vs. ATH): 23.8 Points
5. Cade Povich (vs. WSH): 23.76 Points
6. Garrett Crochet (vs. ATL): 23.55 Points
7. Jack Kochanowicz (vs. LAD): 21.61 Points
8. Ranger Suarez (vs. PIT): 21.55 Points
9. Jack Flaherty (vs. TOR): 21.16 Points
10. Nathan Eovaldi (vs. HOU): 19.76 Points
1. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 21 Whiffs (102 Pitches)
2. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 19 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
3. Corbin Burnes (ARI): 19 Whiffs (93 Pitches)
4. Shane Smith (CWS): 17 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
5. Chris Sale (ATL): 15 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
6. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 15 Whiffs (102 Pitches)
7. Andrew Heaney (PIT): 14 Whiffs (94 Pitches)
8. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 14 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
9. Taj Bradley (TB): 14 Whiffs (82 Pitches)
10. Joe Ryan (MIN): 13 Whiffs (99 Pitches)
1. Corbin Burnes (ARI): 57.0 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%
2. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 56.9 Strike%, 31.4 Ball%
3. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 56.3 Strike%, 26.2 Ball%
4. Max Meyer (MIA): 53.7 Strike%, 29.3 Ball%
5. Joe Ryan (MIN): 53.5 Strike%, 35.4 Ball%
6. Chris Sale (ATL): 52.5 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%
7. Jack Flaherty (DET): 52.2 Strike%, 32.2 Ball%
8. Cole Ragans (KC): 50.6 Strike%, 33.7 Ball%
9. Dustin May (LAD): 50.5 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
10. Brady Singer (CIN): 48.9 Strike%, 36.7 Ball%
11. Cade Povich (BAL): 48.5 Strike%, 41.4 Ball%
12. Taj Bradley (TB): 47.6 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%
13. Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 47.1 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%
14. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 47.1 Strike%, 41.2 Ball%
15. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 46.9 Strike%, 31.6 Ball%
1. Logan Webb: 107 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.46 POUT
2. Ranger Suarez: 98 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.67 POUT
3. Andre Pallante: 100 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.76 POUT
4. Chad Patrick: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
5. Logan Evans: 89 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.94 POUT
6. Garrett Crochet: 103 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.15 POUT
7. Corbin Burnes: 93 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.17 POUT
8. Jack Kochanowicz: 104 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.2 POUT
9. Cade Horton: 79 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.27 POUT
10. Jack Flaherty: 90 Pitches, 17 Outs, 5.29 POUT
Chris Sale's FF velo (38 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 96.8
Andre Pallante's SL usage (32.0%) up 12.3 points
Cole Ragans's SL usage (25.3%) up 10.8 points
Jack Kochanowicz's CH usage (25.0%) up 20.3 points
MacKenzie Gore's SL usage (24.5%) up 20.3 points
Stephen Kolek's ST usage (26.5%) up 16.1 points
Taj Bradley's FC usage (37.8%) up 15.6 points
Tylor Megill's SL usage (29.2%) up 10.9 points
Davis Martin Cutter: +19.6%
Dustin May Sinker: +18.7%
Quinn Priester Cutter: -17.7%
AJ Smith-Shawver 4-Seam Fastball: +16.4%
Patrick Corbin Sinker: +14.2%
Quinn Priester Sinker: +14.0%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.9%
Dustin May 4-Seam Fastball: -13.9%
Jose Soriano Sinker: -13.7%
Pablo Lopez Sweeper: -13.1%
Tanner Houck Sinker: +13.0%
Davis Martin Slider: -12.6%
Chase Dollander Cutter: -12.6%
Dylan Cease Slider: +12.4%
Chase Dollander Curveball: +12.3%
Jordan Hicks Sweeper: +12.2%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 39.2% CSW%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 37.6% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 90 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 85 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Ronel Blanco - 73 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Hunter Brown - 98 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
Joe Ryan - 91 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Jose Berrios - 78 TBF, 32.7% CSW%
Reese Olson - 68 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 93 TBF, 32.6% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 44.2% K%
Joe Ryan - 91 TBF, 38.5% K%
Hunter Brown - 98 TBF, 36.7% K%
Pablo Lopez - 66 TBF, 34.8% K%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 34.3% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 94 TBF, 33.0% K%
Gavin Williams - 78 TBF, 32.1% K%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 31.6% K%
Will Warren - 92 TBF, 31.5% K%
Ronel Blanco - 73 TBF, 31.5% K%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 43.2% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 91 TBF, 35.2% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 66 TBF, 30.3% K-BB%
Hunter Brown - 98 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 105 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 70 TBF, 27.1% K-BB%
Matthew Boyd - 69 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 90 TBF, 25.6% K-BB%
Ronel Blanco - 73 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 106 TBF, 65.8% GB%
Logan Webb - 109 TBF, 62.8% GB%
Andre Pallante - 101 TBF, 62.0% GB%
Jose Soriano - 98 TBF, 60.9% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 97 TBF, 60.6% GB%
Jordan Hicks - 78 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 71 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Stephen Kolek - 75 TBF, 58.2% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 67 TBF, 57.8% GB%
Grant Holmes - 93 TBF, 57.8% GB%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 27.9 K%, 3.5 BB%, 43.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 103 TBF, 28.2 K%, 5.8 BB%, 51.5% GB%
Hunter Greene - 58 TBF, 44.8 K%, 3.4 BB%, 46.7% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 92 TBF, 29.3 K%, 5.4 BB%, 51.7% GB%
Robbie Ray - 102 TBF, 29.4 K%, 7.8 BB%, 48.4% GB%
Will Warren - 92 TBF, 31.5 K%, 7.6 BB%, 46.3% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 76 TBF, 31.6 K%, 3.9 BB%, 47.9% GB%
Unluckiest
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.84 SIERA
Kyle Gibson: 13.11 ERA, 5.11 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 10.54 ERA, 5.04 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 9.0 ERA, 4.27 SIERA
Cole Ragans: 6.95 ERA, 2.65 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 6.9 ERA, 3.46 SIERA
Kyle Freeland: 7.59 ERA, 4.2 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 7.2 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Jack Flaherty: 6.04 ERA, 3.03 SIERA
Shane Baz: 7.88 ERA, 4.93 SIERA
Luckiest
Ben Lively: 1.85 ERA, 5.64 SIERA
Sean Burke: 2.03 ERA, 5.6 SIERA
Miles Mikolas: 2.05 ERA, 5.3 SIERA
Kodai Senga: 1.32 ERA, 4.53 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 1.19 ERA, 4.35 SIERA
Max Fried: 0.83 ERA, 3.84 SIERA
AJ Smith-Shawver: 1.08 ERA, 3.94 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 1.84 ERA, 4.56 SIERA
Brayan Bello: 2.33 ERA, 5.03 SIERA
Shota Imanaga: 2.2 ERA, 4.76 SIERA
Trevor Williams - +3.2% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +5.4% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +3.4% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Bryce Elder - +2.2% CSW%, -2.5 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +3.6% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Tony Gonsolin - +8.9% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Cole Ragans - +2.1% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Cal Quantrill - +3.2% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Tyler Phillips - +6.4% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Casey Mize - +3.7% CSW%, -2.0 BB%
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Riley Greene (DET) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Wilmer Flores (SF) 5 PA, 13 Swings, 3 Barrels, 3 HR
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Salvador Perez, Yesterday: 114.8 Previous High: 113.3
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 114.9mph - home_run
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 114.8mph - field_out
Salvador Perez (KC) - 114.8mph - single
Matt Chapman (SF) - 113.5mph - field_out
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 112.7mph - single
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 112.1mph - single
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) - 112.0mph - double
Yoan Moncada (LAA) - 111.9mph - home_run
Jorge Polanco (SEA) - 111.9mph - field_out
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 111.7mph - single
Top 10
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.418 wOBA, 0.552 xwOBA, 0.134 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 74 PA, 0.177 wOBA, 0.309 xwOBA, 0.132 Diff
Brenton Doyle - 80 PA, 0.167 wOBA, 0.282 xwOBA, 0.115 Diff
Ceddanne Rafaela - 71 PA, 0.314 wOBA, 0.414 xwOBA, 0.1 Diff
Joc Pederson - 58 PA, 0.297 wOBA, 0.396 xwOBA, 0.099 Diff
Alejandro Kirk - 56 PA, 0.35 wOBA, 0.448 xwOBA, 0.098 Diff
Michael Busch - 62 PA, 0.289 wOBA, 0.38 xwOBA, 0.091 Diff
Michael Conforto - 67 PA, 0.23 wOBA, 0.307 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Nolan Schanuel - 65 PA, 0.306 wOBA, 0.383 xwOBA, 0.077 Diff
Jordan Beck - 79 PA, 0.291 wOBA, 0.365 xwOBA, 0.074 Diff
Bottom 10
Geraldo Perdomo - 73 PA, 0.435 wOBA, 0.323 xwOBA, -0.112 Diff
Freddie Freeman - 82 PA, 0.517 wOBA, 0.409 xwOBA, -0.108 Diff
Javier Baez - 64 PA, 0.478 wOBA, 0.382 xwOBA, -0.096 Diff
Hunter Goodman - 78 PA, 0.366 wOBA, 0.272 xwOBA, -0.094 Diff
Jeremy Pena - 87 PA, 0.418 wOBA, 0.332 xwOBA, -0.086 Diff
Masyn Winn - 74 PA, 0.437 wOBA, 0.361 xwOBA, -0.076 Diff
Miguel Vargas - 71 PA, 0.428 wOBA, 0.353 xwOBA, -0.075 Diff
Luis Arraez - 64 PA, 0.338 wOBA, 0.266 xwOBA, -0.072 Diff
Wilmer Flores - 69 PA, 0.331 wOBA, 0.26 xwOBA, -0.071 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 80 PA, 0.375 wOBA, 0.306 xwOBA, -0.069 Diff
Shohei Ohtani: 41.0 PA, +0.28 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge: 37.0 PA, +0.195 xwOBA OE
Ryan McMahon: 40.0 PA, +0.185 xwOBA OE
Juan Soto: 33.0 PA, +0.174 xwOBA OE
Trent Grisham: 33.0 PA, +0.157 xwOBA OE
Bobby Witt Jr.: 38.0 PA, +0.154 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 32.0 PA, +0.143 xwOBA OE
Riley Greene: 39.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Bo Bichette: 42.0 PA, +0.124 xwOBA OE
Ketel Marte: 31.0 PA, +0.123 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 40.0 PA, +0.12 xwOBA OE
Will Smith: 29.0 PA, +0.118 xwOBA OE
Nolan Schanuel: 35.0 PA, +0.111 xwOBA OE
Wilyer Abreu: 34.0 PA, +0.11 xwOBA OE
Manny Machado: 33.0 PA, +0.106 xwOBA OE
Leody Taveras: 31.0 PA, -0.2 xwOBA OE
Cedric Mullins II: 33.0 PA, -0.177 xwOBA OE
Alex Call: 27.0 PA, -0.153 xwOBA OE
Kristian Campbell: 36.0 PA, -0.15 xwOBA OE
Royce Lewis: 29.0 PA, -0.135 xwOBA OE
Logan O'Hoppe: 29.0 PA, -0.133 xwOBA OE
Pete Alonso: 35.0 PA, -0.133 xwOBA OE
Max Kepler: 33.0 PA, -0.129 xwOBA OE
Salvador Perez: 39.0 PA, -0.126 xwOBA OE
Bryan Reynolds: 30.0 PA, -0.117 xwOBA OE
Keibert Ruiz: 31.0 PA, -0.11 xwOBA OE
Tyler Stephenson: 27.0 PA, -0.108 xwOBA OE
Eric Wagaman: 32.0 PA, -0.103 xwOBA OE
Daniel Schneemann: 28.0 PA, -0.102 xwOBA OE
Carson Kelly: 28.0 PA, -0.102 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani - 89 PA, 56 BIP, 20 Brls, 35.7 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 68 PA, 43 BIP, 14 Brls, 32.6 Brl%
Riley Greene - 81 PA, 57 BIP, 16 Brls, 28.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 58 PA, 23 BIP, 6 Brls, 26.1 Brl%
Daulton Varsho - 48 PA, 27 BIP, 7 Brls, 25.9 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 51 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 52 BIP, 13 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 73 PA, 53 BIP, 12 Brls, 22.6 Brl%
George Springer - 73 PA, 41 BIP, 9 Brls, 22.0 Brl%
Ryan McMahon - 70 PA, 42 BIP, 9 Brls, 21.4 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 89 PA, 0.598 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.552 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 68 PA, 0.524 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 75 PA, 0.506 xwOBA
Wilyer Abreu - 69 PA, 0.479 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 79 PA, 0.472 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 67 PA, 0.472 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 67 PA, 0.471 xwOBA
Riley Greene - 81 PA, 0.459 xwOBA
Willson Contreras - 80 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 64 PA, 122 Swings, 97.5 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 76 PA, 129 Swings, 92.2 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 80 PA, 132 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 85 PA, 154 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 47 PA, 83 Swings, 90.4 Cont%
Adley Rutschman - 65 PA, 113 Swings, 90.3 Cont%
Geraldo Perdomo - 73 PA, 119 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 53 PA, 72 Swings, 88.9 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 80 PA, 115 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 53 PA, 88 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Jackson Chourio - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 5 Attempts (4 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Xavier Edwards - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Taylor Walls - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Dylan Crews - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
Trea Turner - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Christian Yelich - 3 Attempts (1 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Evan Carter - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Brice Turang - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Jose Caballero - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Mike Yastrzemski - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Connor Norby - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Wyatt Langford - 3 Attempts (3 steals)
Austin Riley - 3 Attempts (2 steals)
Luis Robert - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 13 Attempts (11 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 12 Attempts (9 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 10 Attempts (8 steals)
Trea Turner - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Dylan Crews - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Matt McLain - 9 Attempts (9 steals)
Brice Turang - 9 Attempts (7 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Addison Barger - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 18.9 Brl%
Alejandro Kirk - 56 PA, 10.7 K%, 16.0 Brl%
Alex Bregman - 85 PA, 20.0 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Austin Wells - 59 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 68 PA, 17.6 K%, 19.5 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 71 PA, 18.3 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Eugenio Suarez - 81 PA, 19.8 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Heliot Ramos - 70 PA, 15.7 K%, 18.4 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 57 PA, 10.5 K%, 18.2 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 16.9 K%, 25.0 Brl%
Kerry Carpenter - 79 PA, 16.5 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 48 PA, 14.6 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 79 PA, 15.2 K%, 17.9 Brl%
Manny Machado - 67 PA, 14.9 K%, 14.6 Brl%
Rafael Devers - 87 PA, 19.5 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Riley Greene - 81 PA, 19.8 K%, 28.1 Brl%
Ryan O'Hearn - 65 PA, 18.5 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 67 PA, 17.9 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Willson Contreras - 80 PA, 20.0 K%, 15.7 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 69 PA, 13.0 K%, 18.5 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 102 PA, +0.153 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +0.145 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 99 PA, +0.129 xwOBA
Manny Machado - 94 PA, +0.127 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 88 PA, +0.123 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 81 PA, +0.109 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 102 PA, +0.106 xwOBA
Jackson Holliday - 93 PA, +0.1 xwOBA
Shohei Ohtani - 112 PA, +0.098 xwOBA
Wilyer Abreu - 98 PA, +0.098 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 102 PA, +14.5 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 102 PA, +14.1 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 99 PA, +13.4 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 98 PA, +12.6 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +11.4 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 112 PA, +9.7 Brl%
George Springer - 103 PA, +9.5 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 110 PA, +8.8 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 88 PA, +8.3 Brl%
Riley Greene - 115 PA, +8.2 Brl%
Luis Urias - 91 PA, +12.7 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 93 PA, +11.0 Cont%
Wilyer Abreu - 98 PA, +10.5 Cont%
Shea Langeliers - 97 PA, +10.3 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 118 PA, +9.2 Cont%
Trent Grisham - 88 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 81 PA, +9.1 Cont%
Mike Yastrzemski - 103 PA, +8.8 Cont%
Mickey Moniak - 89 PA, +8.7 Cont%
Max Muncy - 101 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 81 PA, -15.9 K%
Luis Urias - 91 PA, -13.0 K%
Drew Waters - 98 PA, -11.9 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 98 PA, -11.2 K%
Miguel Vargas - 106 PA, -11.1 K%
Jackson Holliday - 93 PA, -10.1 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 117 PA, -9.9 K%
Heliot Ramos - 109 PA, -9.7 K%
Shea Langeliers - 97 PA, -9.7 K%
Kyle Schwarber - 119 PA, -9.6 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.53
Bo Bichette: +2.67
Nolan Arenado: +2.3
C.J. Abrams: +2.22
Jose Altuve: +2.15
Jorge Polanco: -2.72
Xavier Edwards: -2.22
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Josh Bell: -1.98
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
C.J. Abrams - +7.3% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Wyatt Langford - +11.4% Contact%, +8.2 mph exit velo, -11.9 Chase%
Marcell Ozuna - +9.0% Contact%, +5.3 mph exit velo, -5.1 Chase%
Fernando Tatis Jr. - +3.4% Contact%, +4.6 mph exit velo, -6.6 Chase%
Joey Bart - +7.5% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Gleyber Torres - +3.1% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -8.8 Chase%
Bo Bichette - +7.1% Contact%, +7.1 mph exit velo, -19.2 Chase%
Kyle Stowers - +6.2% Contact%, +7.7 mph exit velo, -8.7 Chase%
Manny Machado - +9.8% Contact%, +4.9 mph exit velo, -15.2 Chase%
Wilmer Flores - +3.1% Contact%, +5.0 mph exit velo, -8.1 Chase%
Dansby Swanson - +9.4% Contact%, +3.8 mph exit velo, -10.8 Chase%
Sal Frelick - +5.8% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -11.6 Chase%
Adley Rutschman - +11.1% Contact%, +5.4 mph exit velo, -11.7 Chase%
Xavier Edwards - +11.2% Contact%, +9.9 mph exit velo, -6.6 Chase%
Brandon Nimmo - 0.388 xwOBA, 10.3% Brl%, 82.0% Contact%, 18.3% Chase%, 16.4% K%
Cal Raleigh - 0.461 xwOBA, 26.7% Brl%, 75.2% Contact%, 23.7% Chase%, 19.6% K%
Heliot Ramos - 0.387 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 82.2% Contact%, 20.9% Chase%, 16.0% K%
Jose Ramirez - 0.403 xwOBA, 10.5% Brl%, 90.5% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 8.2% K%
Juan Soto - 0.571 xwOBA, 28.6% Brl%, 80.0% Contact%, 13.1% Chase%, 17.5% K%
Kyle Schwarber - 0.498 xwOBA, 16.7% Brl%, 78.4% Contact%, 17.1% Chase%, 15.5% K%
Maikel Garcia - 0.384 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 81.8% Contact%, 22.1% Chase%, 15.0% K%
Manny Machado - 0.456 xwOBA, 11.4% Brl%, 75.7% Contact%, 22.1% Chase%, 13.7% K%
Trent Grisham - 0.464 xwOBA, 21.9% Brl%, 85.9% Contact%, 10.0% Chase%, 17.0% K%
Kyren Paris - 53.6% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.973 Cold Rating
Francisco Alvarez - 36.5% Whiff%, 73.7% Weak%, 0.952 Cold Rating
Eric Wagaman - 32.9% Whiff%, 74.2% Weak%, 0.918 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 35.7% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Jordan Walker - 32.1% Whiff%, 76.5% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating
Leody Taveras - 30.3% Whiff%, 76.5% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Rowdy Tellez - 30.5% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.858 Cold Rating
Carson Kelly - 28.2% Whiff%, 79.2% Weak%, 0.836 Cold Rating
Drew Waters - 29.5% Whiff%, 71.0% Weak%, 0.826 Cold Rating
Trevor Story - 35.6% Whiff%, 63.6% Weak%, 0.817 Cold Rating
Sterlin Thompson (COL): 5/7, 4R, 0HR, 2RBI, 2SB, 44FPts
Bryce Eldridge (SF): 3/4, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Matt Shaw (CHC): 3/5, 3R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 37FPts
Cole Young (SEA): 3/7, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Phillip Sikes (BOS): 2/4, 3R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 34FPts
Luken Baker (STL): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Caleb Cali (SEA): 4/5, 1R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 32FPts
Aidan Miller (PHI): 2/2, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 30FPts
Tucker Flint (LAA): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 30FPts
Daylen Lile (WSH): 4/5, 2R, 0HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 29FPts
Tekoah Roby (STL): 67 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 2ER, 11K, 0BB, 28FPts
Gabe Mosser (PHI): 100 Pitches, 6IP, 3H, 1ER, 6K, 2BB, 26FPts
Peter Heubeck (LAD): 75 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 1ER, 8K, 1BB, 25FPts
Nestor German (BAL): 78 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 25FPts
Shane Murphy (CWS): 73 Pitches, 6IP, 4H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 25FPts
Dylan Ray (ARI): 94 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 2ER, 7K, 0BB, 24FPts
Robert Stock (BOS): 85 Pitches, 7IP, 3H, 2ER, 6K, 3BB, 24FPts
Aaron Brown - 676345 (HOU): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 7K, 2BB, 23FPts
Dakota Hudson (LAA): 105 Pitches, 8IP, 7H, 2ER, 5K, 1BB, 23FPts
Michael McGreevy (STL): 92 Pitches, 5IP, 6H, 0ER, 5K, 0BB, 21FPts
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 140 PA 1.12 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 135 PA 1.074 OPS
Carson McCusker (AAA - MIN) 153 PA 1.062 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 192 PA 1.042 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 127 PA 1.036 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 150 PA 1.026 OPS
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 137 PA 1.023 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 138 PA 1.017 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 135 PA 0.98 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 166 PA 0.975 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 164 PA 0.968 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AA - KC) 170 PA 0.952 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 180 PA 0.951 OPS
Henry Bolte (AA - OAK) 161 PA 0.951 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 145 PA 0.946 OPS
Buddy Kennedy (AAA - PHI) 152 PA 0.938 OPS
Colby Thomas (AAA - OAK) 186 PA 0.934 OPS
Jose Ramos - 682947 (AA - LAD) 123 PA 0.933 OPS
Nick Loftin (AAA - KC) 165 PA 0.931 OPS
Shay Whitcomb (AAA - HOU) 185 PA 0.929 OPS
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 35 IP 28.1% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 31 IP 26.8% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 33 IP 26.7% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AA - BOS) 29 IP 25.9% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 36 IP 25.4% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 45 IP 25.1% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 36 IP 24.2% K-BB
Ixan Henderson (AA - STL) 30 IP 23.6% K-BB
Carson Whisenhunt (AAA - SF) 44 IP 23.2% K-BB
Hunter Barco (AAA - PIT) 30 IP 22.9% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - NYM) 35 IP 22.4% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 36 IP 22.3% K-BB
Gabe Mosser (AA - PHI) 35 IP 22.3% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 35 IP 22.2% K-BB
Parker Messick (AAA - CLE) 37 IP 22.0% K-BB
Trey Supak (AA - TEX) 31 IP 21.8% K-BB
Luis Morales (AA - OAK) 36 IP 21.7% K-BB
Zebby Matthews (AAA - MIN) 32 IP 21.4% K-BB
Aaron Rozek (AA - MIN) 33 IP 21.4% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 49 IP 21.3% K-BB
Matthew Boyd (39.0% Owned): Projected 5.73IP 2.28ER 6.21SO 1.68BB 18.53FPts
Drew Rasmussen (46.5% Owned): Projected 5.38IP 1.96ER 6.09SO 1.16BB 18.26FPts
Ronel Blanco (45.0% Owned): Projected 5.9IP 2.63ER 5.94SO 2.32BB 16.6FPts
Alexander Canario - 27 PA, 1.232 OPS
Miguel Vargas - 29 PA, 1.201 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 26 PA, 1.175 OPS
Ramon Laureano - 30 PA, 1.126 OPS
Addison Barger - 35 PA, 1.116 OPS
Connor Norby - 26 PA, 1.025 OPS
Daulton Varsho - 28 PA, 1.019 OPS
Victor Caratini - 27 PA, 0.986 OPS
Trevor Larnach - 40 PA, 0.972 OPS
Ernie Clement - 34 PA, 0.914 OPS
Zach Neto SS (47.5% Owned): Projected 0.8R 0.22HR 0.59RBI 1.16SO 0.34BB 0.19SB 9.71FPts
Mike Yastrzemski CF (19.0% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.19HR 0.55RBI 1.06SO 0.47BB 0.07SB 9.04FPts
Pavin Smith RF (13.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.17HR 0.74RBI 0.68SO 0.67BB 0.04SB 8.92FPts
Michael Busch 2B (42.0% Owned): Projected 0.73R 0.18HR 0.81RBI 1.12SO 0.62BB 0.05SB 8.92FPts
Jackson Holliday SS (47.0% Owned): Projected 0.73R 0.18HR 0.56RBI 1.06SO 0.32BB 0.11SB 8.71FPts
Trent Grisham CF (48.0% Owned): Projected 0.76R 0.19HR 0.53RBI 1.37SO 0.74BB 0.07SB 8.5FPts
Taylor Ward RF (48.0% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.2HR 0.72RBI 1.05SO 0.46BB 0.05SB 8.47FPts
Austin Hays LF (18.5% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.21HR 0.72RBI 1.09SO 0.17BB 0.05SB 8.47FPts
Trevor Larnach LF (11.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.18HR 0.51RBI 1.21SO 0.55BB 0.04SB 8.44FPts
Andy Pages RF (44.5% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.17HR 0.68RBI 0.93SO 0.27BB 0.05SB 8.43FPts
