Kevin Gausman, Jacob deGrom, and Corbin Burnes led the day. It was like we were back in 2021 or something!
→ Gausman: 7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 9 K, 0 BB, 20.7% SwStr%, 30.4% Ball%
→ deGrom: 7 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 9 K, 1 BB, 19.4% SwStr%, 34% Ball%
→ Burnes: 7 IP, 4 H, 3 ER, 8 K, 1 BB, 17.7% SwStr%, 30.2% Ball%
It has been a bumpy ride for Gausman this year. He has mixed really bad outings with gems.
That’s three elite starts, two good starts, two kind of “whatever” starts, and three very bad ones.
The season long numbers are pretty encouraging, and that’s the most important thing we have to look at.
→ 4.03 ERA
→ 0.98 WHIP
→ 24.4% K%
→ 5.3% BB%
→ 19.1% K-BB%
→ 13.8% SwStr%
→ 32.1% Ball%
His fastball continues to be fantastic (59% Strike%, 23% Ball%, 12.0% SwStr%), and the splitter has been pretty good in its own right (17.9% SwStr%, 42% Ball%, 53% GB%). Gausman looks like a top 30 or so SP to me! He has a 3.51 SIERA, which is way down from 4.24 last year. With the reliance on an inconsistent splitter, you will have some bad outings, but I do think overall the results are going to be pretty nice as you move forward.
As for Corbin Burnes, we should be feeling a lot better about him now after he had a very nice outing against the Dodgers. I wasn’t buying back in fully on him after the Rockies start, but this was impressive against the loaded LA lineup.
First 7 starts: 19.9% K%, 10.8% BB%, 10.4% SwStr%, 44.2% Strike%, 2.07 WHIP+
Last 2 starts: 36.7% K%, 8.2% BB%, 19.0% SwStr%, 54.5% Strike%, 1.00 WHIP+
The cutter has been back to business in these last two (15.9% SwStr%, 63% Strike%), and the curveball has been great as well with a 37.8% SwStr% on 37 pitches. He does throw that cutter a ton. He’s using it 54% of the time this year, and overall the marks on it aren’t very good:
→ .376 xwOBA
→ .430 SLG
→ 10.7% SwStr
I do think throwing that many cutters will keep the K% lower, around the range that we’ve seen in 2023-2024. He was so good last year because yes, hitters could contact the pitch, but they couldn’t do anything good with it.
Let’s do a quick comparison on the cutter from the last two years.
→ 2024: 45% Usage, 9.9% SwStr%, .308 xwOBA, .362 SLG
→ 2025: 54% Usage, 10.7% SwStr%, .372 xwOBA, .430 SLG
Expecting another .308 xwOBA on the pitch was too optimistic, but .372 is probably inflated this year. The truth is in the middle somewhere. But anyways, you were always stuck with Burnes. It wasn’t like you could trade him for a great return, and you certainly weren’t going to bench or drop him during his rough start. So you’re happy with these last two starts, and I’m guessing that things will be pretty good for him as we move forward. But I don’t think he’s an SP1 in a standrad fantasy elague, the strikeout rate just hasn’t been good enough for that kind of expectation.
And we should take a look at the Jacob deGrom velo.
The AVERAGE:
The MAX:
Both are trending up. And you can see the stark difference if you draw a line after that third start.
But the velo is up particularly these last two starts. He’s averaged 97.8 on the fastball these last two starts and the pitch has a 14.6% SwStr%, a 57% Strike%, and a 21% Ball%. He’s been deGrom again. And that’s good news for you deGrom owners out there, or at least it’s good news provided he can do this and have his elbow not blow up again.
But the deGrom draft pick looks like a massive WINNER right now.
Dustin May had a great outing with his second-straight eight strikeout game. He had not crossed seven strikeouts before these last two. So things are moving upward for him as well. The velo was up last night:
And it was his second-best SwStr% of the year (15.9%). And against a tough opponent no less! Here’s how May has attacked either side of the plate:
So it’s a pretty similar approach. The four-seamer comes more into play against lefties. And that has helped him strike lefties out at a much higher rate.
→ May vs. RHB: 19.3% K%, 8.3% SwStr%, .379 xwOBA
→ May vs. LHB: 25.4% K%, 11.9% SwStr%, .319 xwOBA
Since the four-seamer is the more strikeout-prone fastball, it makes sense that he would strike out lefties a bit more. There is a lot of small sampleness in this, we’re only a couple of months into the season and then I’m splitting that sample in half to find the splits.
But here are your pitchers who are striking out opposite-hand hitters at least five points in K% than the same-hand.
In the case of Dustin May, it’s making me once again wonder why he doesn’t throw the four-seamer more. He’s only thrown it 23 times against righties this year. It works well against lefties (17.5% SwStr% on 97 pitches), so why wouldn’t it work well against righties? Maybe there’s a reason, there probably is.
May has been mostly mediocre this year with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He’s given up six homers, and at least one homer in his last four starts. There’s only been three times he’s exceeded 20 fantasy points. So I’m not saying he’s a must-own guy in a standard league, but it’s good to see him piling up some strikeouts in these last two starts.
Only six whiffs for Garrett Crochet against the Mets. But he still had a fine (but short) outing. That velo drop a few starts back seems to have been nothing to worry about.
Weird dip there, but he’s been back to his normal velo for three straight outings since then. For the year:
→ 28.7% K%
→ 8.1% BB%
→ 1.41 WHIP+
→ 14.7% SwStr%
→ 33.5% Ball%
Very good numbers, but you have to say that they are significantly worse than last year. But you should have expected that. I don’t think anybody can maintain a 35% K% and a 5.5% BB%. Or at least not 95% of people can.
There’s some Tomoyuki Sugano hype going on. He went six strong innings against the Brewers. He now has a 3.07 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. And those numbers are despite really poor numbers under the hood:
→ 13.8% K%
→ 1.5 HR/9
He doesn’t walk batters (4.3%), so that helps keep the WHIP down. But man, how do you put up an ERA around three and a WHIP around one with a strikeout rate under 14%. What in the world! I’ll show you how you do it:
SP LOB% Leaders
deGrom 91.3%
Mahle 87.9%
Bubic 87.6%
Sugano 87.5%
Peralta 85.8%
SP BABIP Leaders
Rodon .205
G Holmes .205
T Anderson .210
Mahle .222
Sugano .225
So there you go, he’s in the top five of the two main luck metrics for pitchers. LOB% is something you can control to some extent. You would expect deGrom to have a high LOB%, because he’s very hard to hit. You shouldn’t expect 90%+, but you shouldn’t expect league average, either. But with Sugano, you would expect a league average mark or maybe even worse since he allows so, so many balls in play.
Sugano has given up ten homers this year. Eight of them have been solo jobs, and the other two were two-run dingers. That’s pretty fortunate.
All all pitchers with 8+ homers allowed this year, he’s tied for eighth with the highest solo home run rate in the league. Here’s that leaderboard:
Michael Lorenzen has given up nine homers, all solo jobs. Very lucky there. Bowden Francis might take the take with 12/14 being solo jobs. And giving up 14 homers already is a ton. Scary stuff.
On the flip side of it:
Ten pitchers have a 50% or lower solo home run rate.
So anyways, SUgano has been very, very lucky and I would not want to be starting him ion any fantasy teams. A 13% K% just isn’t going to work.
One more pitcher to highlight ahead of today’s slate. Mike Burrows will start for the Pirates today. He’s been great in AAA:
→ 7 GS, 32.1 IP, 2.51 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 31.5% K%, 8.5% BB%
He’s been over 85 pitches in his last two outings, so he’s fully built up. The pitch mix:
The 15.1% SwStr% is nice, and he’s thrown a good number of strikes. I sort of doubt the fastball works well enough against Major Leaguers for him to matter for fantasy purposes, but he’s a sneaky guy to watch today.
Nick Kurtz now has three homers in his last two games. It took matchups against Kyle Hendricks and Jack Kochanowicz to make it happen, but yeah - we Kurtz has a lot better over the last couple of weeks.
He hit his first career dinger on May 13th. So let’s look at the numbers since that day:
35 PA, 4 HR, .176/.200/.559, 28.8% K%, 2.9% BB%, 25% Brl%, 73% Cont%, .394 xwOBA
I suppose we should say that almost all of the good results have come on those four home runs. The .200 OBP is still pretty impossible to stomach. His swing rate is high (55%), and that has turned into a high chase rate. His zone contact rate has improved dramatically from the first couple of weeks, but it’s still bad at 79.7% in this recent sample.
When Kurtz get to the ball, though, he blasts it. His EV90 on the year is 108.9 and the barrel rate is 12.7%. His season xwOBA has gotten to a non-awful point at .321. That’s impressive honestly given the 35% K% that is putting so many zeroes into the xwOBA calculation.
But it’s good news. The raw power is undeniable, and he’s improving as time moves on - which is just what you want from a rookie like like this. I still don’t think he’s a total must-start in like a ten team redraft league, but he’s probably worth rostering just for the upside. If he can get the K% down into the mid-20s, he’ll be a stud.
One thing that won’t happen, I don’t think, is that he’ll have much success (or even playing time) against lefties. He has a 38% K% and an 0/16 result against the lefties he’s seen so far. He could and would certainly improve on that if given the reps, but I doubt he’s going to get the reps.
1. Kevin Gausman
2. Chad Patrick
3. Corbin Burnes
4. Jacob deGrom
5. Ryan Yarbrough
6. Dustin May
7. Cade Horton
8. Logan Evans
9. Gavin Williams
10. Logan Webb
11. Tylor Megill
12. Andrew Heaney
13. Shane Smith
14. Chris Paddack
15. Taj Bradley
16. Garrett Crochet
17. Andre Pallante
18. Taijuan Walker
19. Tomoyuki Sugano
20. Max Meyer
21. Jack Kochanowicz
22. JP Sears
23. Hunter Brown
24. Carson Palmquist
25. Randy Vasquez
26. Brady Singer
1. Kevin Gausman (vs. SD): 35.95 Points
2. Dustin May (vs. ARI): 27.9 Points
3. Jacob deGrom (vs. NYY): 27.35 Points
4. Tylor Megill (vs. BOS): 25.51 Points
5. Gavin Williams (vs. MIN): 25.1 Points
6. Taj Bradley (vs. HOU): 23.9 Points
7. Ryan Yarbrough (vs. TEX): 23.45 Points
8. Corbin Burnes (vs. LAD): 22.75 Points
9. Chad Patrick (vs. BAL): 19.51 Points
10. Andrew Heaney (vs. CIN): 18.25 Points
1. Jacob deGrom (TEX): 20 Whiffs (103 Pitches)
2. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 19 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
3. Corbin Burnes (ARI): 17 Whiffs (96 Pitches)
4. Chad Patrick (MIL): 16 Whiffs (89 Pitches)
5. Cade Horton (CHC): 16 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
6. Logan Evans (SEA): 15 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
7. Dustin May (LAD): 14 Whiffs (88 Pitches)
8. Ryan Yarbrough (NYY): 14 Whiffs (81 Pitches)
9. Gavin Williams (CLE): 13 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
10. Tylor Megill (NYM): 11 Whiffs (85 Pitches)
1. Garrett Crochet (BOS): 55.3 Strike%, 27.1 Ball%
2. Tylor Megill (NYM): 55.3 Strike%, 35.3 Ball%
3. Chad Patrick (MIL): 55.1 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
4. Kevin Gausman (TOR): 53.3 Strike%, 30.4 Ball%
5. Ryan Yarbrough (NYY): 53.1 Strike%, 34.6 Ball%
6. Corbin Burnes (ARI): 52.1 Strike%, 30.2 Ball%
7. Shane Smith (CWS): 51.7 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%
8. Andrew Heaney (PIT): 51.5 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
9. Jacob deGrom (TEX): 51.5 Strike%, 34.0 Ball%
10. Dustin May (LAD): 51.1 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%
11. JP Sears (OAK): 49.5 Strike%, 30.1 Ball%
12. Gavin Williams (CLE): 46.9 Strike%, 38.8 Ball%
13. Logan Webb (SF): 46.8 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%
14. Logan Evans (SEA): 46.7 Strike%, 35.6 Ball%
15. Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 45.5 Strike%, 31.8 Ball%
1. Kevin Gausman: 92 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.38 POUT
2. Taijuan Walker: 68 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.53 POUT
3. Corbin Burnes: 96 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.57 POUT
4. Taj Bradley: 84 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.67 POUT
5. Dustin May: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
6. Tomoyuki Sugano: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT
7. Jacob deGrom: 103 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.9 POUT
8. Logan Evans: 90 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.0 POUT
9. Randy Vasquez: 73 Pitches, 14 Outs, 5.21 POUT
10. Andre Pallante: 90 Pitches, 17 Outs, 5.29 POUT
Carson Palmquist's FF usage (50.0%) up 12.3 points
Chad Patrick's FF usage (37.1%) up 11.7 points
Corbin Burnes's FC usage (58.3%) up 10.7 points
Garrett Crochet's ST usage (21.2%) up 11.6 points
Gavin Williams's FC usage (22.4%) up 12.0 points
Kevin Gausman's FS usage (50.0%) up 14.3 points
Max Meyer's SI usage (18.2%) up 10.8 points
Ryan Yarbrough's FC usage (32.1%) up 19.5 points
Taijuan Walker's FC usage (36.8%) up 19.6 points
Taijuan Walker's SL usage (20.6%) up 15.3 points
Taj Bradley's FF usage (59.5%) up 17.3 points
Davis Martin Cutter: +20.2%
Edward Cabrera Sinker: +16.7%
AJ Smith-Shawver 4-Seam Fastball: +16.4%
Davis Martin Slider: -15.2%
Sandy Alcantara 4-Seam Fastball: +15.1%
Cal Quantrill Cutter: +14.7%
Chad Patrick 4-Seam Fastball: +14.0%
Luis L. Ortiz Cutter: -13.8%
Jeffrey Springs 4-Seam Fastball: -13.2%
Jack Kochanowicz Changeup: +13.0%
Mitch Keller Sinker: +12.7%
Robbie Ray Curveball: +12.7%
Antonio Senzatela Curveball: +12.7%
Kyle Freeland Curveball: +12.6%
Luis L. Ortiz Slider: +12.4%
Jack Leiter Changeup: -12.3%
Osvaldo Bido Sinker: +12.1%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 35.5% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 34.3% CSW%
Tylor Megill - 82 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Kris Bubic - 94 TBF, 33.8% CSW%
Matthew Liberatore - 89 TBF, 32.9% CSW%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 72 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 32.5% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 91 TBF, 32.4% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 41.1% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 71 TBF, 35.2% K%
Will Warren - 97 TBF, 35.1% K%
Gavin Williams - 86 TBF, 33.7% K%
Tylor Megill - 82 TBF, 32.9% K%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 32.5% K%
Hunter Brown - 98 TBF, 31.6% K%
Sonny Gray - 89 TBF, 31.5% K%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 31.4% K%
Dylan Cease - 91 TBF, 30.8% K%
Tarik Skubal - 95 TBF, 38.9% K-BB%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 29.1% K-BB%
Will Warren - 97 TBF, 28.9% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 93 TBF, 28.0% K-BB%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Bryan Woo - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Merrill Kelly - 95 TBF, 25.3% K-BB%
Chris Sale - 80 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 97 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Sonny Gray - 89 TBF, 24.7% K-BB%
Framber Valdez - 105 TBF, 65.7% GB%
Jose Soriano - 104 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Logan Webb - 108 TBF, 62.0% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 72 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Andre Pallante - 100 TBF, 58.4% GB%
Stephen Kolek - 75 TBF, 58.2% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 91 TBF, 56.9% GB%
Jack Kochanowicz - 96 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Grant Holmes - 95 TBF, 56.2% GB%
Max Fried - 94 TBF, 55.0% GB%
Ben Brown - 86 TBF, 31.4 K%, 2.3 BB%, 43.9% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 75 TBF, 30.7 K%, 6.7 BB%, 51.1% GB%
Dustin May - 100 TBF, 27.0 K%, 6.0 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Dylan Cease - 91 TBF, 30.8 K%, 7.7 BB%, 48.1% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 97 TBF, 28.9 K%, 4.1 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Graham Ashcraft - 47 TBF, 29.8 K%, 6.4 BB%, 56.7% GB%
Jacob deGrom - 95 TBF, 30.5 K%, 5.3 BB%, 44.3% GB%
Max Fried - 94 TBF, 28.7 K%, 6.4 BB%, 55.0% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 95 TBF, 28.4 K%, 3.2 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Michael Soroka - 63 TBF, 31.7 K%, 4.8 BB%, 59.0% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 69 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.2 BB%, 53.3% GB%
Robbie Ray - 101 TBF, 28.7 K%, 7.9 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 91 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.7 BB%, 56.9% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 70 TBF, 32.9 K%, 4.3 BB%, 56.8% GB%
Unluckiest
Kyle Gibson: 16.77 ERA, 5.14 SIERA
Bradley Blalock: 14.54 ERA, 5.84 SIERA
Eduardo Rodriguez: 10.72 ERA, 4.84 SIERA
Tanner Houck: 8.53 ERA, 4.18 SIERA
Cole Ragans: 6.0 ERA, 2.27 SIERA
Sandy Alcantara: 8.5 ERA, 4.82 SIERA
Ben Brown: 6.2 ERA, 2.56 SIERA
German Marquez: 9.13 ERA, 5.55 SIERA
Jordan Hicks: 6.84 ERA, 3.31 SIERA
Max Meyer: 6.49 ERA, 3.24 SIERA
Luckiest
Miles Mikolas: 1.3 ERA, 4.96 SIERA
Ben Lively: 2.37 ERA, 5.95 SIERA
Ryan Yarbrough: 2.04 ERA, 5.18 SIERA
AJ Smith-Shawver: 1.08 ERA, 3.95 SIERA
Corbin Burnes: 1.44 ERA, 4.11 SIERA
Shota Imanaga: 2.2 ERA, 4.76 SIERA
Chris Paddack: 2.34 ERA, 4.83 SIERA
Jeffrey Springs: 2.64 ERA, 5.13 SIERA
Tyler Mahle: 2.22 ERA, 4.64 SIERA
Valente Bellozo: 3.18 ERA, 5.58 SIERA
Michael Lorenzen - +2.4% CSW%, -5.6 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +2.8% CSW%, -2.3 BB%
Ronel Blanco - +2.0% CSW%, -2.9 BB%
Trevor Williams - +4.5% CSW%, -3.0 BB%
Carlos Rodon - +3.3% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Bryce Elder - +2.5% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Cole Ragans - +2.1% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Michael Soroka - +5.5% CSW%, -5.5 BB%
Andrew Abbott - +2.8% CSW%, -4.5 BB%
Edward Cabrera - +2.5% CSW%, -8.1 BB%
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jake Burger (TEX) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Matt Chapman (SF) 5 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Nick Kurtz (OAK) 5 PA, 17 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Patrick Bailey (SF) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Salvador Perez (KC) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Tyler Soderstrom, Yesterday: 114.0 Previous High: 112.1
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 114.4mph - single
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 114.3mph - field_out
Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) - 114.0mph - single
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 113.6mph - nan
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 112.5mph - field_out
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 112.5mph - single
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 112.1mph - nan
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 112.0mph - field_out
Seth Brown (OAK) - 111.9mph - field_error
Hunter Goodman (COL) - 111.2mph - field_out
Top 10
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.553 xwOBA, 0.159 Diff
Bryan Reynolds - 77 PA, 0.227 wOBA, 0.35 xwOBA, 0.123 Diff
Joc Pederson - 57 PA, 0.322 wOBA, 0.431 xwOBA, 0.109 Diff
Joey Bart - 64 PA, 0.265 wOBA, 0.374 xwOBA, 0.109 Diff
Luis Robert - 67 PA, 0.229 wOBA, 0.334 xwOBA, 0.105 Diff
Wyatt Langford - 82 PA, 0.283 wOBA, 0.379 xwOBA, 0.096 Diff
Ben Rice - 59 PA, 0.325 wOBA, 0.419 xwOBA, 0.094 Diff
Wilyer Abreu - 74 PA, 0.289 wOBA, 0.378 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Brenton Doyle - 76 PA, 0.214 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, 0.086 Diff
Bryson Stott - 69 PA, 0.254 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff
Bottom 10
Freddie Freeman - 81 PA, 0.481 wOBA, 0.359 xwOBA, -0.122 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 77 PA, 0.448 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, -0.118 Diff
Jose Ramirez - 68 PA, 0.464 wOBA, 0.362 xwOBA, -0.102 Diff
Heliot Ramos - 75 PA, 0.483 wOBA, 0.397 xwOBA, -0.086 Diff
Jacob Wilson - 78 PA, 0.424 wOBA, 0.339 xwOBA, -0.085 Diff
Isaac Paredes - 79 PA, 0.434 wOBA, 0.362 xwOBA, -0.072 Diff
Maikel Garcia - 86 PA, 0.433 wOBA, 0.364 xwOBA, -0.069 Diff
Miguel Andujar - 57 PA, 0.342 wOBA, 0.277 xwOBA, -0.065 Diff
Gunnar Henderson - 82 PA, 0.373 wOBA, 0.316 xwOBA, -0.057 Diff
Chase Meidroth - 74 PA, 0.354 wOBA, 0.297 xwOBA, -0.057 Diff
Will Benson: 27.0 PA, +0.239 xwOBA OE
Taylor Ward: 42.0 PA, +0.178 xwOBA OE
Xander Bogaerts: 31.0 PA, +0.173 xwOBA OE
Marcell Ozuna: 35.0 PA, +0.165 xwOBA OE
Will Smith: 27.0 PA, +0.164 xwOBA OE
Shohei Ohtani: 41.0 PA, +0.162 xwOBA OE
Wyatt Langford: 37.0 PA, +0.154 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers: 36.0 PA, +0.141 xwOBA OE
Kody Clemens: 27.0 PA, +0.137 xwOBA OE
Kyle Schwarber: 40.0 PA, +0.132 xwOBA OE
Rafael Devers: 39.0 PA, +0.129 xwOBA OE
Trent Grisham: 35.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE
Bryce Harper: 39.0 PA, +0.122 xwOBA OE
Aaron Judge: 36.0 PA, +0.122 xwOBA OE
Brandon Lowe: 37.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE
Christian Yelich: 38.0 PA, -0.144 xwOBA OE
Santiago Espinal: 37.0 PA, -0.143 xwOBA OE
Michael Massey: 33.0 PA, -0.132 xwOBA OE
Tyler Stephenson: 27.0 PA, -0.13 xwOBA OE
Ben Williamson: 27.0 PA, -0.125 xwOBA OE
Jose Altuve: 42.0 PA, -0.121 xwOBA OE
Jake Cronenworth: 30.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE
Kristian Campbell: 29.0 PA, -0.111 xwOBA OE
Nolan Arenado: 39.0 PA, -0.106 xwOBA OE
Trey Sweeney: 35.0 PA, -0.103 xwOBA OE
Jackson Merrill: 32.0 PA, -0.095 xwOBA OE
Mark Vientos: 35.0 PA, -0.094 xwOBA OE
Pavin Smith: 29.0 PA, -0.094 xwOBA OE
Gavin Sheets: 31.0 PA, -0.093 xwOBA OE
Mike Yastrzemski: 30.0 PA, -0.09 xwOBA OE
Kyle Stowers - 73 PA, 45 BIP, 13 Brls, 28.9 Brl%
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 50 BIP, 14 Brls, 28.0 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 61 BIP, 17 Brls, 27.9 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 48 BIP, 13 Brls, 27.1 Brl%
Riley Greene - 78 PA, 49 BIP, 13 Brls, 26.5 Brl%
Yoan Moncada - 55 PA, 35 BIP, 9 Brls, 25.7 Brl%
Zach Dezenzo - 50 PA, 24 BIP, 6 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 73 PA, 41 BIP, 10 Brls, 24.4 Brl%
George Springer - 71 PA, 38 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 82 PA, 51 BIP, 12 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 87 PA, 0.562 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 83 PA, 0.553 xwOBA
Kyle Schwarber - 84 PA, 0.476 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 74 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Alec Burleson - 46 PA, 0.456 xwOBA
Rafael Devers - 82 PA, 0.453 xwOBA
Ryan McMahon - 75 PA, 0.44 xwOBA
Will Smith - 62 PA, 0.439 xwOBA
Joc Pederson - 57 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Riley Greene - 78 PA, 0.431 xwOBA
Luis Arraez - 76 PA, 152 Swings, 96.7 Cont%
Xavier Edwards - 54 PA, 94 Swings, 93.6 Cont%
Jacob Wilson - 78 PA, 125 Swings, 92.8 Cont%
Javier Sanoja - 54 PA, 89 Swings, 92.1 Cont%
Jeff McNeil - 49 PA, 101 Swings, 90.1 Cont%
Chase Meidroth - 74 PA, 100 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 68 PA, 139 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Sal Frelick - 57 PA, 97 Swings, 89.7 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 76 PA, 135 Swings, 89.6 Cont%
Isaac Paredes - 79 PA, 116 Swings, 88.8 Cont%
Chandler Simpson - 7 Attempts (5 steals)
Jose Caballero - 6 Attempts (6 steals)
Chase Meidroth - 5 Attempts (5 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Dylan Crews - 4 Attempts (2 steals)
David Hamilton - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Brice Turang - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jackson Chourio - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 4 Attempts (3 steals)
Juan Soto - 4 Attempts (4 steals)
Chandler Simpson - 14 Attempts (11 steals)
Luis Robert - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Bobby Witt Jr. - 13 Attempts (10 steals)
Maikel Garcia - 12 Attempts (8 steals)
Jose Ramirez - 12 Attempts (9 steals)
Jose Caballero - 11 Attempts (10 steals)
Elly De La Cruz - 11 Attempts (9 steals)
Kyle Tucker - 10 Attempts (10 steals)
Zach Neto - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Jarren Duran - 9 Attempts (6 steals)
Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (8 steals)
Francisco Lindor - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Trea Turner - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Shohei Ohtani - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 8 Attempts (6 steals)
Corbin Carroll - 8 Attempts (5 steals)
Geraldo Perdomo - 8 Attempts (8 steals)
Alec Burleson - 46 PA, 10.9 K%, 16.2 Brl%
Cody Bellinger - 72 PA, 13.9 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Heliot Ramos - 75 PA, 17.3 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Jackson Holliday - 76 PA, 18.4 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Javier Baez - 63 PA, 17.5 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Josh Palacios - 52 PA, 19.2 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Ketel Marte - 71 PA, 15.5 K%, 17.3 Brl%
Trent Grisham - 66 PA, 19.7 K%, 16.7 Brl%
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +0.171 xwOBA
Jordan Beck - 117 PA, +0.151 xwOBA
Jackson Holliday - 103 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +0.119 xwOBA
Will Smith - 86 PA, +0.105 xwOBA
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 109 PA, +0.091 xwOBA
Rhys Hoskins - 106 PA, +0.089 xwOBA
Victor Scott II - 95 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Jorge Polanco - 82 PA, +0.087 xwOBA
Trent Grisham - 91 PA, +0.085 xwOBA
Kyle Stowers - 100 PA, +14.8 Brl%
Jordan Beck - 117 PA, +14.7 Brl%
Riley Greene - 115 PA, +13.0 Brl%
Pete Crow-Armstrong - 109 PA, +11.4 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 108 PA, +11.1 Brl%
Oneil Cruz - 95 PA, +10.2 Brl%
Ceddanne Rafaela - 94 PA, +9.9 Brl%
Corbin Carroll - 129 PA, +9.8 Brl%
George Springer - 101 PA, +8.6 Brl%
Zach Neto - 120 PA, +8.4 Brl%
Wilyer Abreu - 105 PA, +12.0 Cont%
Ryan Jeffers - 87 PA, +10.4 Cont%
Luis Urias - 105 PA, +10.0 Cont%
Max Muncy - 104 PA, +8.9 Cont%
Mickey Moniak - 82 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 82 PA, +8.6 Cont%
Trea Turner - 123 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Willson Contreras - 118 PA, +8.5 Cont%
Jordan Beck - 117 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Jackson Holliday - 103 PA, +8.4 Cont%
Jorge Polanco - 82 PA, -15.8 K%
Drew Waters - 90 PA, -13.3 K%
Luis Urias - 105 PA, -12.8 K%
Shea Langeliers - 102 PA, -12.6 K%
Eugenio Suarez - 117 PA, -12.4 K%
Jordan Beck - 117 PA, -10.7 K%
Julio Rodriguez - 117 PA, -10.6 K%
Miguel Vargas - 107 PA, -10.1 K%
Paul Goldschmidt - 103 PA, -10.0 K%
Wilyer Abreu - 105 PA, -9.2 K%
Joc Pederson: +3.6
Bo Bichette: +2.67
C.J. Abrams: +2.52
Nolan Arenado: +2.2
Keibert Ruiz: +2.05
Jorge Polanco: -2.45
Xavier Edwards: -2.18
Nick Castellanos: -2.15
Miguel Andujar: -1.97
Josh Bell: -1.93
Jose Altuve - +3.1% Contact%, +3.0 mph exit velo, -13.5 Chase%
Christian Walker - +5.8% Contact%, +4.6 mph exit velo, -4.8 Chase%
Taylor Ward - +5.2% Contact%, +5.1 mph exit velo, -6.2 Chase%
Jake Meyers - +12.8% Contact%, +3.5 mph exit velo, -19.3 Chase%
Cal Raleigh - +5.2% Contact%, +7.8 mph exit velo, -17.4 Chase%
Jarren Duran - +4.5% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -9.0 Chase%
TJ Friedl - +6.9% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -10.4 Chase%
Marcell Ozuna - +5.2% Contact%, +6.0 mph exit velo, -11.5 Chase%
Alejandro Kirk - +4.6% Contact%, +7.0 mph exit velo, -14.8 Chase%
Matt Chapman - +5.0% Contact%, +4.3 mph exit velo, -4.2 Chase%
William Contreras - +9.2% Contact%, +4.5 mph exit velo, -10.5 Chase%
Nick Allen - +15.1% Contact%, +6.7 mph exit velo, -22.7 Chase%
Addison Barger - 0.409 xwOBA, 17.1% Brl%, 77.5% Contact%, 24.7% Chase%, 22.4% K%
Bo Bichette - 0.393 xwOBA, 12.2% Brl%, 85.7% Contact%, 23.5% Chase%, 21.3% K%
Cody Bellinger - 0.407 xwOBA, 15.8% Brl%, 77.3% Contact%, 24.7% Chase%, 15.7% K%
Dansby Swanson - 0.427 xwOBA, 13.5% Brl%, 75.5% Contact%, 20.4% Chase%, 17.3% K%
Heliot Ramos - 0.416 xwOBA, 17.5% Brl%, 81.7% Contact%, 22.3% Chase%, 14.8% K%
Kyle Tucker - 0.391 xwOBA, 14.3% Brl%, 87.4% Contact%, 17.5% Chase%, 12.7% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 0.533 xwOBA, 22.4% Brl%, 77.2% Contact%, 23.4% Chase%, 17.2% K%
Jackson Chourio - 33.7% Whiff%, 74.4% Weak%, 0.924 Cold Rating
Francisco Alvarez - 41.5% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Emmanuel Rivera - 34.2% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.899 Cold Rating
Elly De La Cruz - 38.5% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.898 Cold Rating
Jorge Soler - 30.7% Whiff%, 76.9% Weak%, 0.893 Cold Rating
JJ Bleday - 34.0% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.881 Cold Rating
Salvador Perez - 31.2% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.833 Cold Rating
Max Kepler - 30.0% Whiff%, 69.2% Weak%, 0.829 Cold Rating
Jackson Merrill - 30.7% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.821 Cold Rating
Jo Adell - 34.3% Whiff%, 63.6% Weak%, 0.821 Cold Rating
Jake Holton (DET): 3/5, 2R, 2HR, 6RBI, 0SB, 39FPts
J.D. Davis (LAA): 3/3, 3R, 2HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 35FPts
Jared Sundstrom (SEA): 3/3, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 33FPts
Ben Malgeri (DET): 3/4, 4R, 0HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Kevin Alcantara (CHC): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 32FPts
Hudson Haskin (BAL): 3/5, 1R, 1HR, 4RBI, 1SB, 31FPts
Ronny Mauricio (NYM): 2/2, 1R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 28FPts
Jeremy Rivas (STL): 1/3, 3R, 0HR, 0RBI, 3SB, 28FPts
Lane Thomas (CLE): 3/5, 3R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 28FPts
Max Anderson (DET): 2/6, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 27FPts
Paul Blackburn (NYM): 87 Pitches, 7IP, 1H, 0ER, 6K, 2BB, 29FPts
Nick Margevicius (DET): 81 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 29FPts
Cam Schlittler (NYY): 87 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 0ER, 8K, 2BB, 28FPts
Robby Snelling (MIA): 85 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 8K, 0BB, 28FPts
Kohl Drake (TEX): 82 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 0ER, 7K, 1BB, 27FPts
Carson Seymour (SF): 90 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 1ER, 7K, 3BB, 26FPts
Jose Acuna (CIN): 89 Pitches, 6IP, 2H, 0ER, 5K, 2BB, 25FPts
Ian Mejia (nan): 80 Pitches, 7IP, 4H, 1ER, 5K, 1BB, 24FPts
Hurston Waldrep (ATL): 94 Pitches, 6IP, 6H, 2ER, 9K, 2BB, 22FPts
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT): 81 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 3ER, 9K, 1BB, 21FPts
C.J. Kayfus (AAA - CLE) 156 PA 1.076 OPS
Luis Campusano (AAA - SD) 154 PA 1.071 OPS
Otto Kemp (AAA - PHI) 212 PA 1.05 OPS
Yohendrick Pinango (AA - TOR) 154 PA 1.038 OPS
Willie MacIver (AAA - OAK) 147 PA 1.017 OPS
Corey Julks (AAA - CWS) 145 PA 1.005 OPS
Peyton Wilson (AAA - KC) 139 PA 0.965 OPS
Carlos Mendoza (AA - DET) 132 PA 0.965 OPS
Roman Anthony (AAA - BOS) 196 PA 0.959 OPS
Anthony Seigler (AAA - MIL) 145 PA 0.946 OPS
Kristian Robinson (AA - ARI) 167 PA 0.943 OPS
Brock Wilken (AA - MIL) 181 PA 0.938 OPS
Jonathon Long (AAA - CHC) 174 PA 0.936 OPS
Kyler Fedko (AA - MIN) 149 PA 0.932 OPS
Buddy Kennedy (AAA - PHI) 171 PA 0.932 OPS
Jac Caglianone (AAA - KC) 184 PA 0.931 OPS
Moises Ballesteros (AAA - CHC) 155 PA 0.93 OPS
Junior Perez (AA - OAK) 173 PA 0.928 OPS
Samad Taylor (AAA - SEA) 164 PA 0.925 OPS
Ryan Ward (AAA - LAD) 197 PA 0.925 OPS
Jonah Tong (AA - NYM) 34 IP 31.6% K-BB
Mitch Bratt (AA - TEX) 36 IP 27.7% K-BB
Kohl Drake (AA - TEX) 32 IP 27.1% K-BB
Bubba Chandler (AAA - PIT) 37 IP 26.3% K-BB
Ian Seymour (AAA - TB) 45 IP 25.1% K-BB
Jackson Wolf (AAA - SD) 40 IP 24.7% K-BB
Ixan Henderson (AA - STL) 36 IP 24.3% K-BB
Mike Burrows (AAA - PIT) 32 IP 23.0% K-BB
Trent Sellers (AA - NYY) 33 IP 22.9% K-BB
Luis Morales (AA - OAK) 42 IP 22.7% K-BB
Jack Wenninger (AA - NYM) 41 IP 22.6% K-BB
Blade Tidwell (AAA - NYM) 35 IP 22.4% K-BB
Carson Whisenhunt (AAA - SF) 51 IP 22.4% K-BB
Tyler Uberstine (AAA - BOS) 34 IP 22.4% K-BB
Nathan Wiles (AAA - ATL) 36 IP 22.3% K-BB
Wilber Dotel (AA - PIT) 35 IP 22.2% K-BB
Duncan Davitt (AA - TB) 42 IP 22.0% K-BB
Jacob Misiorowski (AAA - MIL) 52 IP 21.3% K-BB
Cam Schlittler (AA - NYY) 43 IP 21.1% K-BB
Aaron Davenport (AA - CLE) 40 IP 20.9% K-BB
Lucas Giolito (9.5% Owned): Projected 6.15IP 2.46ER 6.09SO 2.1BB 18.03FPts
Luis Severino (29.0% Owned): Projected 6.02IP 2.75ER 5.48SO 1.89BB 15.71FPts
Cade Povich (2.5% Owned): Projected 5.58IP 2.43ER 5.16SO 1.77BB 14.99FPts
Kody Clemens - 31 PA, 1.266 OPS
Ramon Laureano - 26 PA, 1.167 OPS
Carlos Narvaez - 29 PA, 1.043 OPS
Chase Meidroth - 35 PA, 1.02 OPS
Miguel Vargas - 38 PA, 1.01 OPS
Nolan Schanuel - 38 PA, 0.996 OPS
Ryan Jeffers - 32 PA, 0.987 OPS
Miguel Andujar - 26 PA, 0.985 OPS
Daulton Varsho - 29 PA, 0.966 OPS
Carlos Santana - 30 PA, 0.955 OPS
Sam Haggerty IF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.62R 0.07HR 0.44RBI 0.85SO 0.77BB 0.26SB 8.5FPts
J.P. Crawford SS (10.5% Owned): Projected 0.71R 0.12HR 0.52RBI 1.03SO 0.72BB 0.06SB 8.34FPts
Jordan Beck RF (20.5% Owned): Projected 0.63R 0.17HR 0.48RBI 1.49SO 0.3BB 0.15SB 8.23FPts
Isaac Collins 2B (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.13HR 0.6RBI 0.95SO 0.54BB 0.16SB 8.11FPts
Nolan Schanuel 1B (8.5% Owned): Projected 0.61R 0.1HR 0.5RBI 0.59SO 0.49BB 0.07SB 7.94FPts
Drake Baldwin C (16.5% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.17HR 0.62RBI 0.7SO 0.24BB 0.02SB 7.92FPts
Joey Bart C (5.0% Owned): Projected 0.52R 0.14HR 0.65RBI 1.09SO 0.36BB 0.03SB 7.63FPts
Spencer Horwitz 1B (5.5% Owned): Projected 0.52R 0.13HR 0.58RBI 0.8SO 0.44BB 0.03SB 7.62FPts
Nathaniel Lowe 1B (39.5% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.11HR 0.55RBI 0.99SO 0.59BB 0.04SB 7.51FPts
Rob Refsnyder RF (0.0% Owned): Projected 0.51R 0.1HR 0.59RBI 0.98SO 0.43BB 0.08SB 7.5FPts
