MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Daily Notes: Saturday, April 30

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Jon A
Apr 30, 2022
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We’ve added next week’s pitcher projections to the premium sheets, here’s a sneak peek:

Haven’t decided how I want to approach these weekly projections. I could do

  • Next seven days, updated every morning

  • Next week (Monday - Sunday), run on Fridays

Probably the second bullet point makes more sense for weekly league players and for my own sanity. So that’s what we’ll stick with for now. Check out the two weekly projections Google Sheets below and send me your feedback!


CSW% Leaders - Yesterday

1. Matt Brash (SEA): 17.5 SwStr%, 35.1 CSW%
2. Aaron Sanchez (WSH): 7.0 SwStr%, 33.8 CSW%
3. Lucas Giolito (CWS): 15.2 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
4. Aaron Nola (PHI): 11.7 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
5. Corey Kluber (TB): 15.5 SwStr%, 32.4 CSW%
6. Jose Urquidy (HOU): 17.8 SwStr%, 32.2 CSW%
7. Rich Hill (BOS): 10.0 SwStr%, 32.0 CSW%
8. Tyler Anderson (LAD): 13.0 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
9. Dylan Bundy (MIN): 16.0 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
10. Tylor Megill (NYM): 13.6 SwStr%, 29.5 CSW%

Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Aaron Nola - 5.67 IP - 68.5 JA Points
2. Yu Darvish - 6.0 IP - 50.25 JA Points
3. Lucas Giolito - 5.67 IP - 47.25 JA Points
4. Dylan Bundy - 5.67 IP - 41.0 JA Points
5. Tylor Megill - 5.0 IP - 40.5 JA Points
6. Corey Kluber - 6.0 IP - 40.0 JA Points
7. Elieser Hernandez - 5.0 IP - 37.25 JA Points
8. A.J. Puk - 2.0 IP - 36.75 JA Points
9. Will Vest - 2.0 IP - 32.25 JA Points
10. Ian Anderson - 6.0 IP - 31.5 JA Points

Pitcher JA Scores - Season

1. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 4.0 GS - 57.72 JA Points
2. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 4.0 GS - 55.57 JA Points
3. Kevin Gausman (TOR) - 4.0 GS - 55.17 JA Points
4. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 4.0 GS - 54.57 JA Points
5. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 4.0 GS - 54.52 JA Points
6. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 4.0 GS - 53.18 JA Points
7. Kyle Wright (ATL) - 4.0 GS - 53.03 JA Points
8. Lucas Giolito (CWS) - 3.0 GS - 52.87 JA Points
9. Jesus Luzardo (MIA) - 3.0 GS - 52.68 JA Points
10. Clayton Kershaw (LAD) - 3.0 GS - 51.99 JA Points

Velo Changes - Yesterday

Jose Urquidy's FC velo (18 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 87.4
Hunter Greene's SL velo (45 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 87.6
Hunter Greene's FF velo (44 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 96.7
Yusei Kikuchi's FC velo (15 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 88.8

Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday

Aaron Sanchez's SI usage (64.8%) up 14.8 points
Adam Wainwright's CU usage (36.0%) up 10.8 points
Alex Wood's CH usage (29.1%) up 13.5 points
Corey Kluber's CH usage (18.3%) up 11.1 points
Frankie Montas's FF usage (33.3%) up 11.1 points
Hunter Greene's SL usage (47.4%) up 22.2 points
Kris Bubic's CH usage (38.3%) up 20.2 points
Kyle Hendricks's CH usage (37.6%) up 10.4 points
Madison Bumgarner's CH usage (16.9%) up 12.0 points
Matt Brash's SL usage (54.4%) up 26.4 points
Nestor Cortes's FF usage (45.1%) up 11.2 points
Spencer Howard's FC usage (56.9%) up 21.3 points
Tyler Anderson's FF usage (43.5%) up 14.6 points
Yu Darvish's FC usage (42.9%) up 15.2 points
Zach Thompson's FC usage (37.5%) up 11.2 points

CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 39.4% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 37.1% CSW%
Kevin Gausman - 95 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
Joe Ryan - 64 TBF, 36.6% CSW%
Jesus Luzardo - 61 TBF, 36.3% CSW%
Josiah Gray - 65 TBF, 36.0% CSW%
Shohei Ohtani - 61 TBF, 35.4% CSW%
Joe Musgrove - 95 TBF, 35.4% CSW%
Kyle Wright - 92 TBF, 35.0% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 88 TBF, 34.4% CSW%

K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Carlos Rodon - 88 TBF, 43.2% K%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 39.2% K%
Jesus Luzardo - 61 TBF, 37.7% K%
Clayton Kershaw - 61 TBF, 37.7% K%
Max Scherzer - 72 TBF, 37.5% K%
Kyle Wright - 92 TBF, 37.0% K%
Nestor Cortes - 78 TBF, 35.9% K%
Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 35.8% K%
Josiah Gray - 65 TBF, 35.4% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 61 TBF, 34.4% K%

K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Clayton Kershaw - 61 TBF, 37.7% K-BB%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 35.1% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 88 TBF, 34.1% K-BB%
Kevin Gausman - 95 TBF, 32.6% K-BB%
Nestor Cortes - 78 TBF, 32.1% K-BB%
Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 31.3% K-BB%
Kyle Wright - 92 TBF, 30.4% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 64 TBF, 29.7% K-BB%
Eric Lauer - 67 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Shohei Ohtani - 61 TBF, 27.9% K-BB%

GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Framber Valdez - 65 TBF, 70.7% GB%
Aaron Ashby - 68 TBF, 70.3% GB%
Josh Fleming - 59 TBF, 70.0% GB%
Max Fried - 68 TBF, 62.7% GB%
Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Matt Brash - 77 TBF, 59.6% GB%
Noah Syndergaard - 67 TBF, 58.0% GB%
Keegan Thompson - 61 TBF, 57.9% GB%
Logan Webb - 75 TBF, 57.9% GB%
Brad Keller - 90 TBF, 57.4% GB%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks

Aaron Nola - 84 TBF, 32.1 K%, 6.0 BB%, 56.0% GB%
Alex Cobb - 40 TBF, 35.0 K%, 5.0 BB%, 70.8% GB%
Andrew Heaney - 40 TBF, 40.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 50.0% GB%
Chris Bassitt - 93 TBF, 28.0 K%, 7.5 BB%, 46.6% GB%
Clayton Kershaw - 61 TBF, 37.7 K%, 0.0 BB%, 48.6% GB%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 39.2 K%, 4.1 BB%, 52.5% GB%
Garrett Whitlock - 55 TBF, 29.1 K%, 7.3 BB%, 45.7% GB%
Kyle Wright - 92 TBF, 37.0 K%, 6.5 BB%, 52.1% GB%
Michael King - 43 TBF, 39.5 K%, 4.7 BB%, 45.8% GB%
Nick Lodolo - 69 TBF, 27.5 K%, 7.2 BB%, 46.5% GB%
Pablo Lopez - 85 TBF, 27.1 K%, 4.7 BB%, 46.6% GB%
Shane McClanahan - 67 TBF, 35.8 K%, 4.5 BB%, 60.0% GB%

Multiple Barrels

Andrew McCutchen (MIL) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 3 Barrels, 1 HR
Aaron Judge (NYY) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Austin Riley (ATL) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Christian Yelich (MIL) 5 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Hunter Renfroe (MIL) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Jose Siri (HOU) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Juan Soto (WSH) 6 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Miguel Rojas (MIA) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
William Contreras (ATL) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR

Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Jose Ramirez - 5.0 PA - 70.0 JA Points
2. Juan Soto - 6.0 PA - 68.0 JA Points
3. Giancarlo Stanton - 4.0 PA - 60.0 JA Points
4. Christian Yelich - 5.0 PA - 58.0 JA Points
5. Andres Gimenez - 4.0 PA - 55.0 JA Points
6. Ryan Mountcastle - 4.0 PA - 54.0 JA Points
7. Jeremy Pena - 6.0 PA - 52.0 JA Points
8. Jake Cronenworth - 5.0 PA - 50.0 JA Points
9. C.J. Cron - 4.0 PA - 49.0 JA Points
10. Andrew McCutchen - 5.0 PA - 48.0 JA Points

Hitter JA Scores - Season

1. Taylor Ward (LAA) - 58.0 PA - 171.03 JA Points
2. Mike Trout (LAA) - 72.0 PA - 170.0 JA Points
3. Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 86.0 PA - 166.98 JA Points
4. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 62.0 PA - 153.55 JA Points
5. Andrew Vaughn (CWS) - 60.0 PA - 147.33 JA Points
6. Anthony Rizzo (NYY) - 86.0 PA - 141.86 JA Points
7. Joc Pederson (SF) - 55.0 PA - 133.82 JA Points
8. Will Smith (LAD) - 55.0 PA - 133.09 JA Points
9. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 84.0 PA - 130.95 JA Points
10. Juan Soto (WSH) - 96.0 PA - 130.0 JA Points

Hardest Hit Balls

Jorge Soler (MIA) - 117.6mph - home_run
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 116.5mph - field_out
Sam Hilliard (COL) - 115.1mph - field_out
Luis Robert (CWS) - 114.8mph - field_out
Austin Riley (ATL) - 114.6mph - double
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) - 114.1mph - single
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 113.7mph - double
Jose Abreu (CWS) - 113.7mph - foul
Mike Trout (LAA) - 113.2mph - foul
Rafael Devers (BOS) - 113.1mph - double

Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders

Aaron Judge - 79 PA, 49 BIP, 14 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Mike Trout - 65 PA, 43 BIP, 11 Brls, 25.6 Brl%
Joey Gallo - 62 PA, 29 BIP, 7 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Patrick Wisdom - 66 PA, 35 BIP, 8 Brls, 22.9 Brl%
Giancarlo Stanton - 73 PA, 49 BIP, 11 Brls, 22.4 Brl%
Pavin Smith - 59 PA, 37 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.6 Brl%
Seiya Suzuki - 74 PA, 43 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.9 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 61 PA, 45 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Austin Riley - 80 PA, 51 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.6 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 58 PA, 37 BIP, 7 Brls, 18.9 Brl%

Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders

Nick Madrigal - 56 PA, 94 Swings, 92.6 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 66 PA, 111 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Yuli Gurriel - 61 PA, 100 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Alejandro Kirk - 54 PA, 86 Swings, 88.4 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 64 PA, 94 Swings, 88.3 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 78 PA, 126 Swings, 87.3 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 82 PA, 159 Swings, 86.8 Cont%
Joey Wendle - 58 PA, 119 Swings, 86.6 Cont%
Austin Meadows - 66 PA, 111 Swings, 86.5 Cont%
Adam Frazier - 86 PA, 154 Swings, 86.4 Cont%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks

Anthony Rizzo - 82 PA, 14.6 K%, 15.3 Brl%
Freddie Freeman - 80 PA, 13.8 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 80 PA, 16.2 K%, 15.9 Brl%
Mike Trout - 65 PA, 13.8 K%, 25.6 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 61 PA, 18.0 K%, 20.0 Brl%
Taylor Ward - 58 PA, 17.2 K%, 18.9 Brl%

Okay now to the paid stuff. For $5/month or $40/year you get access to a bunch of extra goodies, including, but not limited to

  • Daily Projections (with DraftKings salaries & scores) Excel & a Tableau Dashboard)

  • Weekly Projections for next week (this is updated on weekends for the following full week)

  • Daily hitter matchup ratings

  • Plate Discipline leaderboard

  • Pitch Mix and Velo Changes Tracker

  • Full daily and season-long pitcher and hitter data reports

  • Full access to my daily-updated algorithmic hitter and pitcher rankings

  • More stuff added every week

If you’re seeing this, you’ve become a paid sub! Thanks so much for that! If you still don’t have access to any of the below links, please DM me on Twitter or email me and I’ll get you added ASAP.

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