MLB Daily Notes: Saturday, July 16
Introduction / Explanations for New Readers
I think we’re all winding down for the All-Star Break here, so we’ll make the notes pretty short and sweet the next two days before I get a nice three days off.
Robbie Ray was awesome yesterday
Kershaw couldn’t cover the strikeout prop
Kopech continued to struggle
Tyler Wells showed out with a surprising 17.4% SwStr%
The Pirates can’t hit even in Coors
Alex Wood has a 28% K-BB% over the last 85 batters faced
Nathan Eovaldi came back with reduced velocity
Christian Walker is super ultra hot
Plenty more stuff to derive from the notes below.
I’ve also started work on the NFL Tableau which will be available for paid subs. I’m working with 2021 data on it, so that one will be free for everybody. I’m looking for people to play around with it and also to give me suggestions on improvements & additions. I want to put everything we can into that thing, making it a one-stop shop for your football data needs. Not sure if that’s entirely possible like it is with baseball, but this is what I do so we’ll get after it.
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 21.7 SwStr%, 34.0 CSW%
2. Robbie Ray (SEA): 23.6 SwStr%, 34.0 CSW%
3. Tyler Wells (BAL): 17.4 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW%
4. Nathan Eovaldi (BOS): 11.5 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
5. Alex Wood (SF): 13.1 SwStr%, 33.3 CSW%
6. Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 12.4 SwStr%, 32.6 CSW%
7. Taylor Hearn (TEX): 13.9 SwStr%, 31.9 CSW%
8. Yu Darvish (SD): 9.6 SwStr%, 31.6 CSW%
9. Jose Urquidy (HOU): 12.4 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
10. German Marquez (COL): 7.4 SwStr%, 28.7 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Robbie Ray - 6.67 IP - 99.25 JA Points
2. Sandy Alcantara - 7.67 IP - 86.75 JA Points
3. Alex Wood - 4.67 IP - 67.75 JA Points
4. Jose Urquidy - 6.33 IP - 63.5 JA Points
5. Clayton Kershaw - 8.0 IP - 54.25 JA Points
6. Alek Manoah - 7.0 IP - 51.75 JA Points
7. Tyler Wells - 5.67 IP - 51.25 JA Points
8. Taylor Hearn - 3.67 IP - 43.25 JA Points
9. Jordan Montgomery - 6.0 IP - 36.0 JA Points
10. Garrett Whitlock - 2.0 IP - 33.0 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 9 GS - 56.7 JA Points
2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 18 GS - 55.14 JA Points
3. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 18 GS - 54.82 JA Points
4. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 18 GS - 53.66 JA Points
5. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 15 GS - 53.23 JA Points
6. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 10 GS - 48.95 JA Points
7. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 13 GS - 48.44 JA Points
8. Cristian Javier (HOU) - 13 GS - 47.58 JA Points
9. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 18 GS - 46.42 JA Points
10. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 18 GS - 46.37 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Yu Darvish's CU velo (10 pitches) UP 3.2mph to 76.5
Michael Kopech's SL velo (42 pitches) UP 3.2mph to 86.9
Madison Bumgarner's SI velo (10 pitches) UP 2.4mph to 93.8
Jordan Montgomery's CU velo (22 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 82.2
Carlos Hernandez's FF velo (43 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 97.3
Carlos Hernandez's SL velo (21 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 86.5
Taylor Hearn's SI velo (10 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 95.5
Taylor Hearn's SL velo (21 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 85.9
Robbie Ray's FF velo (46 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 95.2
Patrick Sandoval's SI velo (35 pitches) UP 1.8mph to 95.0
Alek Manoah's SL velo (23 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 83.0
Zach Plesac's SL velo (10 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 86.8
Zack Greinke's CU velo (10 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 73.4
Madison Bumgarner's CH velo (13 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 86.8
Jordan Montgomery's SI velo (47 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 94.4
Hunter Greene's SL velo (44 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 89.4
Robbie Ray's SI velo (37 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 94.8
Yu Darvish's FC velo (36 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 88.0
Nathan Eovaldi's FF velo (32 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 94.7
Nathan Eovaldi's FS velo (18 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 86.6
Nathan Eovaldi's CU velo (16 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 77.2
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Andre Pallante's SI usage (22.0%) up 14.7 points
Carlos Hernandez's FF usage (59.7%) up 15.1 points
Carlos Hernandez's SL usage (29.2%) up 11.5 points
German Marquez's FF usage (44.7%) up 14.3 points
Jordan Montgomery's SI usage (50.5%) up 10.3 points
Luis Patino's SL usage (44.2%) up 13.4 points
Madison Bumgarner's FF usage (48.9%) up 18.9 points
Madison Bumgarner's SI usage (10.9%) up 10.6 points
Michael Kopech's SL usage (46.7%) up 22.6 points
Patrick Corbin's SI usage (46.2%) up 11.3 points
Patrick Sandoval's SI usage (34.3%) up 22.0 points
Robbie Ray's SI usage (34.9%) up 20.4 points
Sandy Alcantara's CH usage (38.7%) up 12.2 points
Zach Plesac's CH usage (31.9%) up 10.0 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 74 TBF, 39.9% CSW%
Shane McClanahan - 92 TBF, 38.1% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 92 TBF, 36.1% CSW%
Dylan Cease - 98 TBF, 34.7% CSW%
Braxton Garrett - 90 TBF, 34.5% CSW%
Cristian Javier - 86 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Carlos Rodon - 102 TBF, 33.9% CSW%
Mark Leiter Jr. - 78 TBF, 33.7% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 105 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Cristian Javier - 86 TBF, 51.2% K%
Shohei Ohtani - 74 TBF, 44.6% K%
Spencer Strider - 87 TBF, 43.7% K%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 38.8% K%
David Peterson - 88 TBF, 38.6% K%
Shane McClanahan - 92 TBF, 37.0% K%
Dylan Cease - 98 TBF, 34.7% K%
Blake Snell - 93 TBF, 34.4% K%
Brandon Woodruff - 92 TBF, 33.7% K%
Josiah Gray - 101 TBF, 32.7% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Cristian Javier - 86 TBF, 43.0% K-BB%
Spencer Strider - 87 TBF, 37.9% K-BB%
Shohei Ohtani - 74 TBF, 36.5% K-BB%
Shane McClanahan - 92 TBF, 33.7% K-BB%
Robbie Ray - 98 TBF, 31.6% K-BB%
David Peterson - 88 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%
Jon Gray - 99 TBF, 28.3% K-BB%
Alex Wood - 85 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Yu Darvish - 107 TBF, 27.1% K-BB%
Josiah Gray - 101 TBF, 25.7% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 115 TBF, 68.9% GB%
Andre Pallante - 94 TBF, 67.1% GB%
Alex Cobb - 72 TBF, 64.3% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 116 TBF, 61.0% GB%
Justin Steele - 74 TBF, 58.7% GB%
Brad Keller - 96 TBF, 58.2% GB%
Taijuan Walker - 74 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Carlos Carrasco - 90 TBF, 55.2% GB%
Trevor Rogers - 85 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Logan Webb - 104 TBF, 54.7% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Alex Wood - 85 TBF, 29.4 K%, 1.2 BB%, 54.2% GB%
Clayton Kershaw - 103 TBF, 27.2 K%, 4.9 BB%, 51.4% GB%
Jon Gray - 99 TBF, 32.3 K%, 4.0 BB%, 47.6% GB%
Max Castillo - 54 TBF, 31.5 K%, 5.6 BB%, 55.9% GB%
Shane McClanahan - 92 TBF, 37.0 K%, 3.3 BB%, 54.5% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Jon Gray - +2.0% CSW%, -4.0 BB%
Robbie Ray - +3.3% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Shane McClanahan - +3.6% CSW%, -2.6 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +2.0% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Trevor Williams - +3.7% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Bryse Wilson - +5.1% CSW%, -5.3 BB%
Max Scherzer - +6.9% CSW%, -5.6 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Chas McCormick (HOU) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
LaMonte Wade Jr. (SF) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Manny Machado (SD) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Riley Greene (DET) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Tim Anderson (CWS) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Will Smith - 5.0 PA - 61.0 JA Points
2. Dylan Carlson - 4.0 PA - 59.0 JA Points
3. Vinnie Pasquantino - 4.0 PA - 56.0 JA Points
4. Matt Chapman - 4.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
5. Ketel Marte - 4.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
6. Riley Greene - 5.0 PA - 43.0 JA Points
7. Orlando Arcia - 4.0 PA - 41.0 JA Points
8. Tim Anderson - 5.0 PA - 41.0 JA Points
9. Josh Bell - 5.0 PA - 38.0 JA Points
10. Chas McCormick - 4.0 PA - 38.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 312.0 PA - 148.85 JA Points
2. Juan Soto (WSH) - 381.0 PA - 127.66 JA Points
3. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 297.0 PA - 121.48 JA Points
4. Will Smith (LAD) - 314.0 PA - 115.41 JA Points
5. Jose Abreu (CWS) - 385.0 PA - 111.9 JA Points
6. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 375.0 PA - 111.25 JA Points
7. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 397.0 PA - 109.92 JA Points
8. Luis Arraez (MIN) - 338.0 PA - 108.64 JA Points
9. Bryce Harper (PHI) - 271.0 PA - 104.21 JA Points
10. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 385.0 PA - 101.3 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
William Contreras (ATL) - 115.2mph - single
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 112.0mph - foul
Raimel Tapia (TOR) - 111.7mph - single
Tyler Naquin (CIN) - 110.4mph - single
Byron Buxton (MIN) - 110.4mph - single
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 110.3mph - grounded_into_double_play
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 110.1mph - field_out
Elias Diaz (COL) - 109.9mph - double_play
C.J. Cron (COL) - 109.8mph - field_out
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) - 109.7mph - field_out
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Kyle Schwarber - 75 PA, 44 BIP, 12 Brls, 27.3 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 49 PA, 26 BIP, 7 Brls, 26.9 Brl%
Darick Hall - 58 PA, 37 BIP, 9 Brls, 24.3 Brl%
Julio Rodriguez - 75 PA, 54 BIP, 13 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Christopher Morel - 69 PA, 34 BIP, 8 Brls, 23.5 Brl%
Matt Chapman - 76 PA, 52 BIP, 11 Brls, 21.2 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 78 PA, 43 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.9 Brl%
Aaron Hicks - 52 PA, 29 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.7 Brl%
Jorge Alfaro - 52 PA, 29 BIP, 6 Brls, 20.7 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 73 PA, 44 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Luis Arraez - 86 PA, 127 Swings, 95.3 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 55 PA, 81 Swings, 93.8 Cont%
Yandy Diaz - 82 PA, 118 Swings, 91.5 Cont%
Bryson Stott - 62 PA, 113 Swings, 91.2 Cont%
Joey Wendle - 52 PA, 89 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Wander Franco - 57 PA, 103 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Alex Verdugo - 84 PA, 131 Swings, 89.3 Cont%
Myles Straw - 72 PA, 118 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Jose Iglesias - 66 PA, 141 Swings, 88.7 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 96 PA, 149 Swings, 88.6 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Brandon Nimmo - 82 PA, 19.5 K%, 15.5 Brl%
Carlos Santana - 68 PA, 19.1 K%, 14.0 Brl%
Joc Pederson - 55 PA, 20.0 K%, 15.4 Brl%
Julio Rodriguez - 75 PA, 20.0 K%, 24.1 Brl%
Marcell Ozuna - 77 PA, 19.5 K%, 14.8 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 69 PA, 15.9 K%, 19.6 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Corey Seager - +5.7% Contact%, +7.3 mph exit velo, -4.7 Chase%
Corey Dickerson - +5.6% Contact%, +3.7 mph exit velo, -4.4 Chase%
Ji-Man Choi - +5.7% Contact%, +5.6 mph exit velo, -12.1 Chase%
Jon Berti - +9.6% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -7.1 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Christian Walker - 0.401 xwOBA, 10.5% Brl%, 75.8% Contact%, 17.9% Chase%, 15.3% K%
George Springer - 0.385 xwOBA, 12.2% Brl%, 79.3% Contact%, 21.6% Chase%, 14.5% K%
Jorge Polanco - 0.379 xwOBA, 18.8% Brl%, 78.2% Contact%, 18.9% Chase%, 21.4% K%
Will Smith - 0.408 xwOBA, 10.3% Brl%, 81.7% Contact%, 18.1% Chase%, 13.6% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Franchy Cordero - 46.5% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.945 Cold Rating
Patrick Wisdom - 36.8% Whiff%, 75.0% Weak%, 0.941 Cold Rating
Willson Contreras - 39.7% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Jake Meyers - 34.6% Whiff%, 73.1% Weak%, 0.908 Cold Rating
Jack Suwinski - 32.8% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.901 Cold Rating
Ben Gamel - 40.6% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.884 Cold Rating
Nick Castellanos - 39.4% Whiff%, 66.7% Weak%, 0.871 Cold Rating
A.J. Pollock - 32.9% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.863 Cold Rating
Adolis Garcia - 40.0% Whiff%, 65.4% Weak%, 0.852 Cold Rating
Christopher Morel - 49.4% Whiff%, 64.7% Weak%, 0.85 Cold Rating
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