MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Daily Notes: Saturday, June 11

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Jun 11, 2022
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Introduction / Explanations for New Readers

The long drive home from vacation is today and tomorrow, so you won’t be getting as many sick tweets from me this weekend - and the projections won’t be updating quite as often either. Everything will be back to normal on Monday though, and then I’m done traveling for the summer, which will be great.


Two K props really sticking out after we are all buzzing off the Berrios print fest yesterday.

Twitter avatar for @JonPgh
Jon Anderson @JonPgh
Martin Perez O/U 3.5K on @FDSportsbook
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11:22 AM ∙ Jun 11, 2022

Twitter avatar for @JonPgh
Jon Anderson @JonPgh
Gausman 5.5 on ⁦@DKSportsbook⁩ .. my model has 7.3
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11:26 AM ∙ Jun 11, 2022

No time for more stuff, so here’s the dump:

CSW% Leaders - Yesterday

1. Luis Garcia (HOU): 20.5 SwStr%, 35.2 CSW%
2. Joe Musgrove (SD): 11.0 SwStr%, 33.9 CSW%
3. Spencer Strider (ATL): 19.6 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW%
4. Roansy Contreras (PIT): 21.7 SwStr%, 33.7 CSW%
5. Walker Buehler (LAD): 15.7 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW%
6. Luis Castillo (CIN): 14.7 SwStr%, 31.4 CSW%
7. Drew Rasmussen (TB): 13.6 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
8. Ty Blach (COL): 7.7 SwStr%, 30.8 CSW%
9. Aaron Ashby (MIL): 9.6 SwStr%, 29.8 CSW%
10. Jakob Junis (SF): 7.6 SwStr%, 29.3 CSW%

Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Spencer Strider - 5.67 IP - 76.75 JA Points
2. Joe Musgrove - 6.0 IP - 68.75 JA Points
3. Luis Severino - 6.0 IP - 64.0 JA Points
4. Luis Castillo - 6.0 IP - 59.25 JA Points
5. Jonathan Heasley - 7.0 IP - 52.0 JA Points
6. Luis Garcia - 4.33 IP - 48.5 JA Points
7. Jose Berrios - 8.0 IP - 38.75 JA Points
8. Roansy Contreras - 4.33 IP - 37.5 JA Points
9. Walker Buehler - 4.0 IP - 37.0 JA Points
10. Paul Blackburn - 8.0 IP - 35.25 JA Points

Pitcher JA Scores - Season

1. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 12 GS - 55.49 JA Points
2. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 12 GS - 53.65 JA Points
3. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 3 GS - 50.92 JA Points
4. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 12 GS - 50.7 JA Points
5. Freddy Peralta (MIL) - 8 GS - 49.99 JA Points
6. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 12 GS - 47.11 JA Points
7. Kevin Gausman (TOR) - 11 GS - 47.09 JA Points
8. Wil Crowe (PIT) - 1 GS - 46.95 JA Points
9. Aaron Ashby (MIL) - 7 GS - 46.62 JA Points
10. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 8 GS - 46.36 JA Points

Velo Changes - Yesterday

Luis Castillo's FF velo (26 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 97.6
Luis Castillo's CH velo (21 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 89.2
Luis Castillo's SI velo (18 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 97.6
Tylor Megill's SL velo (12 pitches) DOWN -1.5mph to 84.0
Luis Garcia's SL velo (14 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 80.8

Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday

Andre Pallante's SL usage (28.2%) up 10.4 points
Bruce Zimmermann's SI usage (27.6%) up 22.1 points
Devin Smeltzer's FF usage (52.1%) up 10.2 points
Jakob Junis's SI usage (42.4%) up 12.0 points
Kyle Gibson's CH usage (29.0%) up 20.0 points
Luis Castillo's SL usage (36.3%) up 18.1 points
Luis Severino's SL usage (26.7%) up 10.0 points
Paul Blackburn's CU usage (32.7%) up 14.9 points
Rich Hill's FC usage (19.1%) up 17.1 points
Roansy Contreras's SL usage (43.4%) up 15.8 points
Walker Buehler's FF usage (50.0%) up 16.6 points
Zac Gallen's CH usage (34.8%) up 15.7 points

CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Shane Bieber - 99 TBF, 38.1% CSW%
Aaron Ashby - 101 TBF, 35.3% CSW%
Sandy Alcantara - 119 TBF, 34.4% CSW%
Corbin Burnes - 92 TBF, 34.2% CSW%
Shane McClanahan - 99 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 77 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Zack Wheeler - 78 TBF, 33.1% CSW%
Tony Gonsolin - 86 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
MacKenzie Gore - 72 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 105 TBF, 32.9% CSW%

K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Gerrit Cole - 95 TBF, 34.7% K%
MacKenzie Gore - 72 TBF, 34.7% K%
Zack Wheeler - 78 TBF, 33.3% K%
Shane McClanahan - 99 TBF, 33.3% K%
Luis Severino - 100 TBF, 33.0% K%
Corbin Burnes - 92 TBF, 32.6% K%
Shane Bieber - 99 TBF, 32.3% K%
Hunter Greene - 87 TBF, 32.2% K%
Tyler Mahle - 101 TBF, 29.7% K%
Justin Verlander - 108 TBF, 29.6% K%

K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Shane McClanahan - 99 TBF, 30.3% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 95 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%
Luis Severino - 100 TBF, 29.0% K-BB%
Shane Bieber - 99 TBF, 28.3% K-BB%
Zack Wheeler - 78 TBF, 28.2% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 105 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Hunter Greene - 87 TBF, 27.6% K-BB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 102 TBF, 26.5% K-BB%
Sandy Alcantara - 119 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Frankie Montas - 85 TBF, 25.9% K-BB%

GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Aaron Ashby - 101 TBF, 65.7% GB%
Framber Valdez - 82 TBF, 65.0% GB%
Graham Ashcraft - 91 TBF, 61.1% GB%
Patrick Corbin - 103 TBF, 60.5% GB%
Max Fried - 101 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Kyle Wright - 97 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Dylan Cease - 89 TBF, 55.8% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 119 TBF, 55.7% GB%
Carlos Carrasco - 98 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Logan Webb - 95 TBF, 55.4% GB%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks

Aaron Ashby - 101 TBF, 27.7 K%, 5.9 BB%, 65.7% GB%
Alex Cobb - 50 TBF, 30.0 K%, 6.0 BB%, 56.2% GB%
Gerrit Cole - 95 TBF, 34.7 K%, 5.3 BB%, 45.6% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 102 TBF, 29.4 K%, 2.9 BB%, 50.7% GB%
Sandy Alcantara - 119 TBF, 29.4 K%, 3.4 BB%, 55.7% GB%
Zack Wheeler - 78 TBF, 33.3 K%, 5.1 BB%, 54.3% GB%

Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career

Sandy Alcantara - +5.4% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Shane Bieber - +3.9% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Zach Davies - +2.3% CSW%, -2.1 BB%
Tony Gonsolin - +3.1% CSW%, -5.8 BB%
Martin Perez - +3.1% CSW%, -2.4 BB%
Kyle Wright - +2.2% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Tarik Skubal - +4.2% CSW%, -4.1 BB%
Alex Cobb - +2.3% CSW%, -2.0 BB%

Multiple Barrels

Brandon Marsh (LAA) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Byron Buxton (MIN) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Carlos Correa (MIN) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Darin Ruf (SF) 4 PA, 4 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Jace Peterson (MIL) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Jesus Aguilar (MIA) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Nick Gordon (MIN) 4 PA, 6 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Rhys Hoskins (PHI) 4 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) 4 PA, 5 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR

Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday

1. Rhys Hoskins - 4.0 PA - 63.0 JA Points
2. George Springer - 4.0 PA - 61.0 JA Points
3. Daulton Varsho - 5.0 PA - 59.0 JA Points
4. Carlos Correa - 5.0 PA - 59.0 JA Points
5. Nate Lowe - 4.0 PA - 57.0 JA Points
6. Michael Brantley - 5.0 PA - 57.0 JA Points
7. Darin Ruf - 4.0 PA - 53.0 JA Points
8. Brandon Marsh - 4.0 PA - 51.0 JA Points
9. Brandon Nimmo - 5.0 PA - 47.0 JA Points
10. Jesus Aguilar - 4.0 PA - 46.0 JA Points

Hitter JA Scores - Season

1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 218.0 PA - 148.26 JA Points
2. Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 231.0 PA - 145.63 JA Points
3. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 242.0 PA - 131.57 JA Points
4. Taylor Ward (LAA) - 158.0 PA - 127.85 JA Points
5. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 176.0 PA - 120.23 JA Points
6. Trey Mancini (BAL) - 235.0 PA - 117.28 JA Points
7. Juan Soto (WSH) - 265.0 PA - 109.74 JA Points
8. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 250.0 PA - 106.72 JA Points
9. Kyle Tucker (HOU) - 214.0 PA - 102.24 JA Points
10. Michael Brantley (HOU) - 215.0 PA - 101.4 JA Points

Hardest Hit Balls

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 113.7mph - single
Sean Murphy (OAK) - 112.9mph - home_run
Willson Contreras (CHC) - 112.8mph - field_out
Ketel Marte (ARI) - 112.8mph - nan
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 112.4mph - field_out
Matt Olson (ATL) - 112.0mph - single
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) - 111.9mph - double
Xander Bogaerts (BOS) - 111.0mph - field_out
Adolis Garcia (TEX) - 111.0mph - home_run
Franchy Cordero (BOS) - 110.9mph - nan

Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders

Kyle Schwarber - 85 PA, 45 BIP, 12 Brls, 26.7 Brl%
Aaron Judge - 86 PA, 58 BIP, 14 Brls, 24.1 Brl%
Jake Burger - 54 PA, 38 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.7 Brl%
Jazz Chisholm - 56 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 77 PA, 45 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Austin Riley - 87 PA, 55 BIP, 11 Brls, 20.0 Brl%
Jack Suwinski - 57 PA, 36 BIP, 7 Brls, 19.4 Brl%
Ryan Mountcastle - 81 PA, 52 BIP, 10 Brls, 19.2 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 70 PA, 49 BIP, 9 Brls, 18.4 Brl%
Joey Votto - 77 PA, 49 BIP, 9 Brls, 18.4 Brl%

Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders

Steven Kwan - 52 PA, 85 Swings, 94.1 Cont%
Jose Ramirez - 73 PA, 129 Swings, 93.0 Cont%
Jose Iglesias - 67 PA, 127 Swings, 92.9 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 86 PA, 132 Swings, 91.7 Cont%
Luis Guillorme - 58 PA, 99 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Myles Straw - 76 PA, 121 Swings, 90.9 Cont%
Jose Altuve - 74 PA, 130 Swings, 90.0 Cont%
Michael Brantley - 67 PA, 89 Swings, 89.9 Cont%
Alex Bregman - 72 PA, 109 Swings, 89.0 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 71 PA, 122 Swings, 88.5 Cont%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks

Alejandro Kirk - 61 PA, 9.8 K%, 15.2 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 79 PA, 17.7 K%, 16.4 Brl%
Ian Happ - 78 PA, 19.2 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Joc Pederson - 65 PA, 18.5 K%, 17.8 Brl%
Joey Votto - 77 PA, 18.2 K%, 18.4 Brl%
Nick Gordon - 61 PA, 19.7 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Teoscar Hernandez - 70 PA, 20.0 K%, 18.4 Brl%
Willson Contreras - 65 PA, 20.0 K%, 14.6 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 77 PA, 11.7 K%, 16.9 Brl%

Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career

Aaron Judge - +3.3% Contact%, +6.8 mph exit velo, -5.2 Chase%
Yordan Alvarez - +4.9% Contact%, +7.1 mph exit velo, -5.6 Chase%
Garrett Cooper - +6.1% Contact%, +6.3 mph exit velo, -7.0 Chase%
Cal Raleigh - +18.0% Contact%, +4.4 mph exit velo, -13.6 Chase%
Taylor Walls - +6.1% Contact%, +6.7 mph exit velo, -4.6 Chase%

Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks

Javier Baez - 40.2% Whiff%, 80.0% Weak%, 0.989 Cold Rating
Jeff McNeil - 36.2% Whiff%, 73.3% Weak%, 0.937 Cold Rating
Nelson Cruz - 39.4% Whiff%, 71.0% Weak%, 0.934 Cold Rating
Victor Robles - 33.3% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.922 Cold Rating
Daulton Varsho - 31.5% Whiff%, 80.8% Weak%, 0.919 Cold Rating
Jorge Mateo - 30.7% Whiff%, 78.3% Weak%, 0.9 Cold Rating
Jonathan Schoop - 33.3% Whiff%, 70.0% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Jeremy Pena - 32.2% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.887 Cold Rating
Jesus Sanchez - 32.3% Whiff%, 70.4% Weak%, 0.886 Cold Rating
Lars Nootbaar - 32.1% Whiff%, 69.6% Weak%, 0.867 Cold Rating


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