MLB Daily Notes: Tuesday, August 2
Introduction / Explanation For New Readers
Introduced the NFL product here. Your paid subscription gets you all of that and more once I figure out the best things to add - so if you’re already a member you don’t need to do anything - and you will be entered in the raffle to win the Bidet. I appreciate everybody spreading the word though!
The minor league dashboards are ready to roll! I figured out the API that lets me import every game’s data for every level all year long. So now we have really nice hitting and pitching dashboards, and they include the Major League data as well. So you can do stuff like this:
All that kind of stuff and more, and I’ll be adding onto it as ideas occur to me. Links are behind the Paywall so check those out if you’re a member and a prospects guy.
Hunter Greene had one of his best outings of the year, striking out eight Marlins and not walking anybody. He went for a 17.9% SwStr%
Nothing has been changing with his pitch mix, he’s still 90%+ four-seam and slider, and his season has gone just as we predicted - plenty of great starts but plenty of really bad ones as well.
Mike Clevinger did what he should have done and had a great outing against the road Rockies in their first game out of Coors Field. He put up a 15.5% SwStr% and a 33% CSW% without walking a hitter.
Your bottom three staters of the day yesterday were Zach Davies, Domingo German, and Marco Gonzalez. I had German as a sit on the Starts & Sits sheet and got a little bit of pushback on it on Reddit. Not sure why people are at all excited about Domingo German, he really has shown nothing close to consistent goodness since 2019 - don’t waste your time.
Lots more interesting stuff below that I don’t have time to highlight, so have a good look - see ya later!
CSW% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Andrew Heaney (LAD): 12.2 SwStr%, 36.5 CSW%
2. Mike Clevinger (SD): 15.5 SwStr%, 33.0 CSW%
3. Tarik Skubal (DET): 16.9 SwStr%, 32.5 CSW%
4. Aaron Sanchez (MIN): 21.0 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
5. Jesus Luzardo (MIA): 14.8 SwStr%, 30.9 CSW%
6. Michael Kopech (CWS): 10.0 SwStr%, 30.0 CSW%
7. Spenser Watkins (BAL): 8.0 SwStr%, 29.5 CSW%
8. Logan Webb (SF): 9.6 SwStr%, 28.9 CSW%
9. Hunter Greene (CIN): 17.9 SwStr%, 28.6 CSW%
10. Luis Garcia (HOU): 13.1 SwStr%, 28.3 CSW%
Top Pitcher JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Hunter Greene - 6.0 IP - 72.25 JA Points
2. Mike Clevinger - 7.0 IP - 64.25 JA Points
3. Jesus Luzardo - 5.0 IP - 55.25 JA Points
4. Aaron Sanchez - 5.0 IP - 54.5 JA Points
5. Daniel Lynch - 5.33 IP - 51.75 JA Points
6. Luis Garcia - 7.67 IP - 42.25 JA Points
7. Andrew Heaney - 4.0 IP - 39.75 JA Points
8. Max Scherzer - 6.67 IP - 38.25 JA Points
9. Tarik Skubal - 5.0 IP - 37.25 JA Points
10. Michael Kopech - 7.0 IP - 35.75 JA Points
Pitcher JA Scores - Season
1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - 11 GS - 55.25 JA Points
2. Corbin Burnes (MIL) - 20 GS - 54.82 JA Points
3. Shane McClanahan (TB) - 20 GS - 54.15 JA Points
4. Shohei Ohtani (LAA) - 17 GS - 54.11 JA Points
5. Dylan Cease (CWS) - 21 GS - 52.1 JA Points
6. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) - 15 GS - 50.26 JA Points
7. Gerrit Cole (NYY) - 21 GS - 48.61 JA Points
8. Carlos Rodon (SF) - 21 GS - 48.05 JA Points
9. Max Scherzer (NYM) - 14 GS - 46.3 JA Points
10. Aaron Ashby (MIL) - 14 GS - 45.7 JA Points
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Antonio Senzatela's CU velo (12 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 79.7
Antonio Senzatela's FF velo (41 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 95.8
Daniel Lynch's CH velo (14 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 86.4
Michael Kopech's SL velo (36 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 85.8
Antonio Senzatela's SL velo (39 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 87.4
Jesus Luzardo's FF velo (14 pitches) DOWN -1.8mph to 95.4
Tarik Skubal's SL velo (19 pitches) DOWN -1.9mph to 87.5
Nathan Eovaldi's FF velo (35 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 94.1
Nathan Eovaldi's FC velo (19 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 89.6
Nathan Eovaldi's CU velo (15 pitches) DOWN -2.1mph to 76.8
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Aaron Sanchez's CU usage (34.6%) up 13.0 points
Aaron Sanchez's FF usage (32.1%) up 13.7 points
Antonio Senzatela's SL usage (38.2%) up 10.7 points
Daniel Lynch's FF usage (56.3%) up 12.7 points
Jesus Luzardo's CH usage (27.2%) up 11.8 points
Luis Garcia's FF usage (46.6%) up 14.1 points
Mike Clevinger's SI usage (28.9%) up 20.8 points
Nathan Eovaldi's FC usage (19.6%) up 11.9 points
Patrick Corbin's SI usage (50.0%) up 13.1 points
Spenser Watkins's FC usage (36.4%) up 11.3 points
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 38.0% CSW%
Shane Bieber - 85 TBF, 37.3% CSW%
Gerrit Cole - 102 TBF, 36.2% CSW%
Aaron Nola - 80 TBF, 35.5% CSW%
Aaron Ashby - 79 TBF, 35.1% CSW%
Brandon Woodruff - 75 TBF, 33.5% CSW%
Jon Gray - 84 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Jose Berrios - 100 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Kyle Wright - 81 TBF, 33.0% CSW%
Max Scherzer - 109 TBF, 32.8% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 45.3% K%
Gerrit Cole - 102 TBF, 37.3% K%
Carlos Rodon - 95 TBF, 35.8% K%
Yu Darvish - 82 TBF, 35.4% K%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 35.1% K%
Sandy Alcantara - 78 TBF, 34.6% K%
Jose Berrios - 100 TBF, 33.0% K%
Aaron Nola - 80 TBF, 31.2% K%
Justin Verlander - 78 TBF, 30.8% K%
Jon Gray - 84 TBF, 29.8% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Shohei Ohtani - 75 TBF, 41.3% K-BB%
Gerrit Cole - 102 TBF, 34.3% K-BB%
Yu Darvish - 82 TBF, 30.5% K-BB%
Jose Berrios - 100 TBF, 29.0% K-BB%
Corbin Burnes - 74 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Carlos Rodon - 95 TBF, 28.4% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 80 TBF, 27.5% K-BB%
Justin Verlander - 78 TBF, 26.9% K-BB%
Alex Cobb - 76 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
Sandy Alcantara - 78 TBF, 24.4% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Framber Valdez - 84 TBF, 69.1% GB%
Logan Webb - 123 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Alex Cobb - 76 TBF, 60.0% GB%
Antonio Senzatela - 74 TBF, 58.5% GB%
Nathan Eovaldi - 94 TBF, 58.1% GB%
Graham Ashcraft - 77 TBF, 57.7% GB%
Shane Bieber - 85 TBF, 54.8% GB%
Johnny Cueto - 82 TBF, 52.9% GB%
Kyle Wright - 81 TBF, 52.5% GB%
Max Fried - 78 TBF, 52.5% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Alex Cobb - 76 TBF, 28.9 K%, 3.9 BB%, 60.0% GB%
Merrill Kelly - 73 TBF, 27.4 K%, 2.7 BB%, 51.0% GB%
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Kyle Wright - +2.4% CSW%, -5.4 BB%
Gerrit Cole - +3.6% CSW%, -3.3 BB%
Shohei Ohtani - +6.2% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Merrill Kelly - +2.6% CSW%, -3.4 BB%
Mitch Keller - +3.8% CSW%, -3.5 BB%
Jake Odorizzi - +3.3% CSW%, -2.8 BB%
Spenser Watkins - +2.7% CSW%, -4.4 BB%
Lance Lynn - +2.7% CSW%, -5.0 BB%
Andre Pallante - +2.5% CSW%, -1.9 BB%
Braxton Garrett - +6.0% CSW%, -3.1 BB%
Dean Kremer - +2.7% CSW%, -6.2 BB%
Ranger Suarez - +2.8% CSW%, -4.9 BB%
Erasmo Ramirez - +5.3% CSW%, -2.7 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Aaron Judge (NYY) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Austin Slater (SF) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jose Trevino (NYY) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR
Max Muncy (LAD) 4 PA, 11 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Pete Alonso (NYM) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Wilmer Flores (SF) 4 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Top Hitter JA Scores - Yesterday
1. Pete Alonso - 5.0 PA - 74.0 JA Points
2. Juan Soto - 4.0 PA - 68.0 JA Points
3. Adley Rutschman - 5.0 PA - 59.0 JA Points
4. Max Muncy - 4.0 PA - 54.0 JA Points
5. Jose Trevino - 4.0 PA - 50.0 JA Points
6. Cedric Mullins II - 5.0 PA - 48.0 JA Points
7. Wilmer Flores - 4.0 PA - 44.0 JA Points
8. Joey Votto - 4.0 PA - 42.0 JA Points
9. Owen Miller - 5.0 PA - 38.0 JA Points
10. Brandon Nimmo - 5.0 PA - 37.0 JA Points
Hitter JA Scores - Season
1. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 357.0 PA - 159.55 JA Points
2. Aaron Judge (NYY) - 439.0 PA - 139.95 JA Points
3. Juan Soto (WSH) - 432.0 PA - 129.17 JA Points
4. Freddie Freeman (LAD) - 452.0 PA - 118.94 JA Points
5. Alejandro Kirk (TOR) - 337.0 PA - 114.3 JA Points
6. D.J. LeMahieu (NYY) - 409.0 PA - 107.68 JA Points
7. Jose Abreu (CWS) - 435.0 PA - 104.46 JA Points
8. Bryce Harper (PHI) - 271.0 PA - 104.21 JA Points
9. Will Smith (LAD) - 366.0 PA - 100.11 JA Points
10. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) - 417.0 PA - 99.95 JA Points
Hardest Hit Balls
Charlie Blackmon (COL) - 112.5mph - foul
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) - 112.1mph - single
Aledmys Diaz (HOU) - 112.0mph - double
Willi Castro (DET) - 111.7mph - single
Gary Sanchez (MIN) - 111.0mph - single
Adley Rutschman (BAL) - 110.9mph - single
Pete Alonso (NYM) - 110.9mph - home_run
Aaron Judge (NYY) - 110.8mph - double
Corey Seager (TEX) - 110.6mph - foul
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) - 110.5mph - single
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 80 PA, 44 BIP, 17 Brls, 38.6 Brl%
Austin Riley - 62 PA, 48 BIP, 15 Brls, 31.2 Brl%
Yordan Alvarez - 45 PA, 26 BIP, 8 Brls, 30.8 Brl%
Bobby Dalbec - 53 PA, 28 BIP, 8 Brls, 28.6 Brl%
Matt Chapman - 60 PA, 32 BIP, 8 Brls, 25.0 Brl%
Ramon Laureano - 66 PA, 39 BIP, 9 Brls, 23.1 Brl%
Luke Voit - 62 PA, 38 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.1 Brl%
Matt Olson - 62 PA, 38 BIP, 8 Brls, 21.1 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 46 PA, 34 BIP, 7 Brls, 20.6 Brl%
Kyle Schwarber - 65 PA, 39 BIP, 8 Brls, 20.5 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Aaron Judge - 80 PA, 0.598 xwOBA
Austin Riley - 62 PA, 0.543 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 45 PA, 0.501 xwOBA
Freddie Freeman - 74 PA, 0.496 xwOBA
J.T. Realmuto - 46 PA, 0.484 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 68 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
D.J. LeMahieu - 82 PA, 0.442 xwOBA
Matt Chapman - 60 PA, 0.43 xwOBA
Alec Bohm - 51 PA, 0.424 xwOBA
Aledmys Diaz - 55 PA, 0.411 xwOBA
Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders
Bryson Stott - 55 PA, 93 Swings, 93.5 Cont%
Steven Kwan - 86 PA, 138 Swings, 92.8 Cont%
J.P. Crawford - 63 PA, 111 Swings, 91.9 Cont%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 65 PA, 106 Swings, 91.5 Cont%
Alec Bohm - 51 PA, 93 Swings, 91.4 Cont%
Myles Straw - 65 PA, 100 Swings, 91.0 Cont%
Mookie Betts - 83 PA, 140 Swings, 90.7 Cont%
Luis Arraez - 57 PA, 105 Swings, 90.5 Cont%
Joey Wendle - 70 PA, 119 Swings, 88.2 Cont%
Miguel Rojas - 62 PA, 104 Swings, 87.5 Cont%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks
Aledmys Diaz - 55 PA, 16.4 K%, 15.0 Brl%
Austin Riley - 62 PA, 17.7 K%, 31.2 Brl%
J.T. Realmuto - 46 PA, 10.9 K%, 20.6 Brl%
Jorge Polanco - 60 PA, 16.7 K%, 16.2 Brl%
Pete Alonso - 65 PA, 16.9 K%, 17.4 Brl%
Rowdy Tellez - 58 PA, 19.0 K%, 14.3 Brl%
Hot Hitter Tracker - Last 7 vs. Career
Bobby Dalbec - +6.9% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -6.9 Chase%
Teoscar Hernandez - +5.8% Contact%, +3.1 mph exit velo, -14.5 Chase%
J.T. Realmuto - +6.5% Contact%, +4.9 mph exit velo, -15.3 Chase%
Kolten Wong - +3.4% Contact%, +5.8 mph exit velo, -4.3 Chase%
Lars Nootbaar - +10.1% Contact%, +3.4 mph exit velo, -5.3 Chase%
A.J. Pollock - +5.7% Contact%, +3.3 mph exit velo, -10.7 Chase%
Daulton Varsho - +5.6% Contact%, +8.8 mph exit velo, -11.2 Chase%
Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days
Anthony Rizzo - 0.4 xwOBA, 14.7% Brl%, 82.2% Contact%, 24.7% Chase%, 8.9% K%
Josh Bell - 0.382 xwOBA, 10.7% Brl%, 78.6% Contact%, 15.9% Chase%, 19.0% K%
Yordan Alvarez - 0.501 xwOBA, 30.8% Brl%, 81.9% Contact%, 17.0% Chase%, 22.2% K%
Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks
Franmil Reyes - 33.8% Whiff%, 79.3% Weak%, 0.926 Cold Rating
Ezequiel Duran - 33.3% Whiff%, 78.6% Weak%, 0.91 Cold Rating
Ryan Mountcastle - 33.3% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.895 Cold Rating
Nick Castellanos - 35.0% Whiff%, 71.4% Weak%, 0.888 Cold Rating
Trey Mancini - 35.2% Whiff%, 70.8% Weak%, 0.881 Cold Rating
Willson Contreras - 34.8% Whiff%, 68.2% Weak%, 0.849 Cold Rating
Josh Donaldson - 31.2% Whiff%, 72.4% Weak%, 0.843 Cold Rating
Jarren Duran - 30.9% Whiff%, 72.7% Weak%, 0.841 Cold Rating
Ian Happ - 34.4% Whiff%, 67.9% Weak%, 0.838 Cold Rating
Randy Arozarena - 27.8% Whiff%, 80.8% Weak%, 0.813 Cold Rating
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