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The only playable DFS slate is this afternoon, so I hope you’re awake! And it’s a six-game slate with a potential rainout in Chicago (CIN/CWS):
ORANGE/YELLOW - Rain builds in during the game. Light at first, potentially heavy by the end of the game. I’ll be honest, I have no idea what the plan is here. I don’t think they can late start and wait it out, I think it’s smarter to just play ball and hope they can get the game in through the rain.
Risky there, and we’re looking to use pitchers against the Reds. So that is a big impact on this slate.
Game Info
Cubs vs. Cade Cavalli
This is a low implication for the Cubs, a third of a run below their season average. And that’s because Cavalli is pretty good. But the Cubs are on top, and they have some dudes swinging bats right now. It’s a good park to hit in, and a bad Nationals bullpen. So it’s fine, but we haven’t made much money stacking against Cavalli last night, and the -0.33 implication vs. average is a red flag.
Boston vs. Max Scherzer
Great spot for Boston against Scherzer 8.5% K-BB% and 2.1 HR/9. Scherzer just isn’t a Major League talent at this point and he’s in there for ticket sales and innings. The splits are interesting:
So you want the Boston lefties more than the righties. Big differences there. He’s actually been above-average against righties so far.
So those guys:
Yoshida $3K
Rutschman $4.1K
Abreu $5.0K
Duran $3.9K
Cleveland vs. Montero
Montero has been kinda fine.
Just a .291 xwOBA allowed. The Guardians lineup is healthy and a lot better than what we saw for a couple of months there. It’s fine to use some of those pieces, but Montero can hold his own enough for me to not want to stack Cleveland.
They’re pretty cheap outside of J-Ram, though. Montero’s another guy who doesn’t have many answers against lefties, and Cleveland has a ton of lefties here. Six of the top seven will hit from that side of the plate.
White Sox vs. Andrew Abbott
Another non-elite spot. Abbott’s a lefty and this game’s in Chicago. So that works for Abbott. You also have the rain thing going on, it could be a shortened game.
But the White Sox hit bombs, and that can be done against Abbott. So I like them if you can get ‘em at lower ownership.
Yankees vs. Logan Gilbert
And now we’re down to offenses facing studs. Gilbert is very good. But he is on the road here and can give up some homers like most of these other Mariners starts. The Yankees are a sneaky spot for a mini-stack hunting a couple of bombs.
So it’s a pretty ugly hitting slate for building stacks. Only three teams imply above their season average:
Boston +0.33
Cleveland +0.33
Yankees +0.11