MLB DW Slate Breakdown - April 20th
DFS and betting action for the slate on Monday night
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Weather
No rain anywhere, just some varying temperatures.
We have the Dodgers back in Coors for a fourth time. It’s 75 degrees there, so there’s your chalk offense on a shorter slate.
Implied Totals
DFS Preview
Stacks / Spots
DODGERS at ROCKIES
The Dodgers are implied for three more runs than anybody else, which is a ridiculous occurrence. They’re in one of the leagues’s best possible matchups in a warm weather night in Coors against Quintana and that bullpen. There are also aren’t too many other very good spots offensively, so LA towers above the rest.
If there’s a pitcher to stack against on the LA staff, it’s Sasaki, but if there’s a second one, it’s Wrobleski. He’s been very bad in a short time on the hill this year.
That’s a 5.32 JA SIERA - super yikes! And people liked this guy coming into the year!
Braves vs. Jake Irvin
This is the only other spot I have no real hesitations about. Irvin’s been getting more strikeouts than usual, but the command has gone out of the window and the SwStr% of 11% shows that the strikeout stuff won’t stick for long.
He’s very bad, and the Braves are a very stackable offense (see matchups model stats below):
Marlins vs. McGreevy
The Marlins aren’t a million-dollar stack looking lineup, but McGreevy is as hittable as they come.
So much contact generated off this guy. And he’s been no stranger to giving up barrels this year, either, with a mark north of 12% allowed.
Orioles vs. Lugo
Lugo has been very good, and I don’t like to pick on him with his nine-pitch mix and decent command. But the projections like the Orioles a bit, and the top three or four does play well in stacks with their home run ability against a guy in Lugo that can get pretty hard at times.
Mariners vs. JT Ginn
The markets like the Mariners for some runs, but I’m not one to pick on a heavy ground baller like JT Ginn in DFS. He has a 51% GB% with a .281 xwOBA allowed, and this game will be in Seattle - a good place to pitch.
I’m on the UNDER in this game, I love what both pitchers are doing this year.
Pitchers
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