MLB DW Slate Preview - April 26th
An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.
This is the fourth post of the day so I’m pretty spent. I’m not going to do my DFS preview like I have been doing this week. But no, I haven’t won anything this week like I promised. I guess I have three more tries, but chances are I’m a liar and a fraud.
Slate Preview
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
ATL (vs. Logan Allen): 78.99 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Colin Rea): 76.62 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Luis Gil): 72.71 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Chris Bassitt): 71.34 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Graham Ashcraft): 71.13 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
CWS (vs. Zach Eflin): 49.03 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Corbin Burnes): 52.04 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Anthony Maldonado): 57.03 Projected Points
DET (vs. Seth Lugo): 60.78 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Kyle Harrison): 60.81 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
NYY: 76.62 Today, 65.86 Season Average
MIL: 72.71 Today, 63.66 Season Average
ATL: 78.99 Today, 72.05 Season Average
TEX: 71.13 Today, 65.51 Season Average
SF: 66.92 Today, 61.98 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Luis Gil: 17.8 Today, 15.13 Previous Max
Sal Frelick: 9.65 Today, 9.03 Previous Max
Jung Hoo Lee: 8.95 Today, 8.33 Previous Max
Brice Turang: 8.12 Today, 7.85 Previous Max
Tyler Freeman: 7.85 Today, 7.64 Previous Max
Blake Perkins: 7.55 Today, 7.34 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Corbin Burnes $9800 vs. OAK: 20.21 points
Zac Gallen $10000 vs. SEA: 19.77 points
Zach Eflin $9000 vs. CWS: 18.85 points
Luis Gil $7800 vs. MIL: 17.8 points
Chris Sale $9300 vs. CLE: 16.01 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Bailey Ober $6800 vs. LAA: 15.88 points, 2.34 value
Luis Gil $7800 vs. MIL: 17.8 points, 2.28 value
Miles Mikolas $5500 vs. NYM: 11.73 points, 2.13 value
Zach Eflin $9000 vs. CWS: 18.85 points, 2.09 value
Corbin Burnes $9800 vs. OAK: 20.21 points, 2.06 value
Catchers
1. William Contreras ($5400) vs. Luis Gil: 9.4 points, 1.21 score
2. Ryan Jeffers ($4000) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 8.22 points, 1.18 score
3. Cal Raleigh ($4100) vs. Zac Gallen: 8.14 points, 1.16 score
4. Danny Jansen ($3600) vs. Gavin Stone: 7.43 points, 1.15 score
5. Patrick Bailey ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 7.26 points, 1.14 score
First Base
1. Shohei Ohtani ($6400) vs. Chris Bassitt: 10.65 points, 1.29 score
2. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.18 points, 1.26 score
3. Nathaniel Lowe ($3800) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 8.34 points, 1.19 score
4. Matt Olson ($5800) vs. Logan Allen: 9.25 points, 1.18 score
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4900) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.54 points, 1.17 score
Second Base
1. Davis Schneider ($3800) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.45 points, 1.29 score
2. Ozzie Albies ($4900) vs. Logan Allen: 9.15 points, 1.21 score
3. Marcus Semien ($5200) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 8.56 points, 1.18 score
4. Mookie Betts ($6600) vs. Chris Bassitt: 9.44 points, 1.17 score
5. Thairo Estrada ($3600) vs. Quinn Priester: 6.98 points, 1.12 score
Third Base
1. Matt Chapman ($4500) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.35 points, 1.19 score
2. Austin Riley ($5700) vs. Logan Allen: 9.47 points, 1.18 score
3. Jose Ramirez ($6000) vs. Chris Sale: 8.91 points, 1.13 score
4. Christopher Morel ($4200) vs. Kutter Crawford: 7.78 points, 1.11 score
5. Isaac Paredes ($4600) vs. Chris Flexen: 7.98 points, 1.09 score
Shortstop
1. Corey Seager ($5800) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 9.77 points, 1.27 score
2. Elly De La Cruz ($5900) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.48 points, 1.26 score
3. Anthony Volpe ($4900) vs. Colin Rea: 9.39 points, 1.21 score
4. Mookie Betts ($6600) vs. Chris Bassitt: 9.44 points, 1.17 score
5. Gunnar Henderson ($6000) vs. Ross Stripling: 9.41 points, 1.17 score
Outfield
1. Aaron Judge ($5900) vs. Colin Rea: 11.82 points, 1.57 score
2. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Logan Allen: 12.02 points, 1.5 score
3. Juan Soto ($6200) vs. Colin Rea: 11.13 points, 1.37 score
4. Sal Frelick ($3700) vs. Luis Gil: 9.65 points, 1.34 score
5. Davis Schneider ($3800) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.45 points, 1.29 score
6. Shohei Ohtani ($6400) vs. Chris Bassitt: 10.65 points, 1.29 score
7. Mike Trout ($6300) vs. Bailey Ober: 10.44 points, 1.26 score
8. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.18 points, 1.26 score
9. Will Benson ($4100) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 8.93 points, 1.25 score
10. Jazz Chisholm ($4900) vs. Trevor Williams: 8.86 points, 1.22 score
11. Adolis Garcia ($5300) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 9.21 points, 1.21 score
12. Byron Buxton ($4100) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 8.21 points, 1.19 score
13. Mike Tauchman ($3500) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.21 points, 1.19 score
14. George Springer ($4300) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.38 points, 1.17 score
15. Manuel Margot ($2700) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 7.42 points, 1.17 score
Game by Game Previews
OAK @ BAL
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.46 - OAK 3.06
BAL 59.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.52
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Corbin Burnes: 37 GS, 3547 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 7.9 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 46.8 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 6 Brl%
Ross Stripling: 16 GS, 1913 Pitches, 18.2 K%, 4.6 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Corbin Burnes (BAL): 99 Pitches 6.03 IP, 4.4 H, 2.3 ER, 7.3 K, 2.0 BB, 20.21 FPts
Ross Stripling (OAK): 86 Pitches 5.23 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.5 K, 1.2 BB, 11.15 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Corbin Burnes - 8.5 strikeouts
Ross Stripling - 3.5 strikeouts
OAK Hitter Projections
1. Ryan Noda: 4.41 PA, 0.73 H, 1.28 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.79 FPts
2. Tyler Nevin: 4.05 PA, 0.8 H, 1.14 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.44 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.17 PA, 0.71 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.86 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 4.12 PA, 0.74 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.29 FPts
5. Seth Brown: 3.93 PA, 0.8 H, 1.49 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.42 FPts
6. Abraham Toro: 3.85 PA, 0.8 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.52 FPts
7. Lawrence Butler: 3.69 PA, 0.78 H, 1.34 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Shea Langeliers: 3.78 PA, 0.68 H, 1.26 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.25 FPts
9. Nick Allen: 3.46 PA, 0.68 H, 0.81 TB, 0.01 HR, 0.1 SB, 4.11 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.31 PA, 1.14 H, 2.15 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.41 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.25 PA, 1.07 H, 1.73 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.87 FPts
3. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.94 PA, 1.04 H, 1.71 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.11 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.07 PA, 0.98 H, 1.86 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Cedric Mullins II: 3.94 PA, 0.92 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.29 FPts
6. Colton Cowser: 3.71 PA, 0.84 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.64 FPts
7. Jordan Westburg: 3.61 PA, 0.93 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.95 FPts
8. Heston Kjerstad: 3.63 PA, 0.9 H, 1.56 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.92 FPts
9. Ramon Urias: 3.35 PA, 0.77 H, 1.18 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.08 FPts
Best Bets
Ross Stripling OAK - Walks Under 1.5 (-130) - 0.108 value
Brent Rooker OAK - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+130) - 0.106 value
Abraham Toro OAK - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+195) - 0.101 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6000: 9.41 Proj, 1.17 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4500: 8.08 Proj, 1.08 Score
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5200: 7.87 Proj, 1.02 Score
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) OF $2600: 6.92 Proj, 1.01 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $4400: 7.29 Proj, 0.99 Score
LAD @ TOR
Projected Game Score:
LAD 5.2 - TOR 4.73
LAD 52.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.93
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Chris Bassitt: 37 GS, 3630 Pitches, 22.4 K%, 7.4 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 42.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Gavin Stone: 8 GS, 869 Pitches, 16.1 K%, 9.7 BB%, 15.5 SwStr%, 43.7 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Chris Bassitt (TOR): 96 Pitches 5.62 IP, 5.7 H, 3.0 ER, 5.0 K, 2.2 BB, 12.19 FPts
Gavin Stone (LAD): 82 Pitches 5.25 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 3.4 K, 2.1 BB, 8.74 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Chris Bassitt - 5.5 strikeouts
Gavin Stone - 3.5 strikeouts
LAD Hitter Projections
1. Mookie Betts: 4.43 PA, 1.09 H, 1.97 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.44 FPts
2. Shohei Ohtani: 4.39 PA, 1.11 H, 2.27 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.11 SB, 10.65 FPts
3. Freddie Freeman: 4.26 PA, 1.14 H, 1.87 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.16 FPts
4. Will Smith: 4.25 PA, 0.96 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.48 FPts
5. Max Muncy: 4.07 PA, 0.75 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.49 FPts
6. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.03 PA, 0.93 H, 1.66 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.31 FPts
7. James Outman: 3.82 PA, 0.77 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Gavin Lux: 3.79 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.52 FPts
9. Andy Pages: 3.57 PA, 0.76 H, 1.35 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.29 FPts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. George Springer: 4.54 PA, 1.07 H, 1.75 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.38 FPts
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.43 PA, 1.11 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.54 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.32 PA, 1.16 H, 1.86 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.36 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.39 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 4.04 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Davis Schneider: 4.03 PA, 0.86 H, 1.8 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.45 FPts
7. Danny Jansen: 3.81 PA, 0.88 H, 1.73 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts
8. Addison Barger: 3.79 PA, 0.79 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.4 FPts
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.47 PA, 0.82 H, 1.11 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.64 FPts
Best Bets
Andy Pages LAD - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-180) - 0.151 value
Chris Bassitt TOR - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+110) - 0.136 value
Freddie Freeman LAD - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+160) - 0.122 value
Gavin Lux LAD - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+170) - 0.117 value
Danny Jansen TOR - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+135) - 0.107 value
Gavin Stone LAD - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (+115) - 0.104 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $6400: 10.65 Proj, 1.29 Score
Davis Schneider (TOR) 2B/OF $3800: 8.45 Proj, 1.29 Score
Mookie Betts (LAD) 2B/SS $6600: 9.44 Proj, 1.17 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4300: 8.38 Proj, 1.17 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $4900: 8.54 Proj, 1.17 Score
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