This is the fourth post of the day so I’m pretty spent. I’m not going to do my DFS preview like I have been doing this week. But no, I haven’t won anything this week like I promised. I guess I have three more tries, but chances are I’m a liar and a fraud.
Slate Preview
Most Team Fantasy Point Projections
ATL (vs. Logan Allen): 78.99 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Colin Rea): 76.62 Projected Points
MIL (vs. Luis Gil): 72.71 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Chris Bassitt): 71.34 Projected Points
TEX (vs. Graham Ashcraft): 71.13 Projected Points
Least Team Fantasy Point Projections
CWS (vs. Zach Eflin): 49.03 Projected Points
OAK (vs. Corbin Burnes): 52.04 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Anthony Maldonado): 57.03 Projected Points
DET (vs. Seth Lugo): 60.78 Projected Points
PIT (vs. Kyle Harrison): 60.81 Projected Points
Team Projections vs. Season Averages
NYY: 76.62 Today, 65.86 Season Average
MIL: 72.71 Today, 63.66 Season Average
ATL: 78.99 Today, 72.05 Season Average
TEX: 71.13 Today, 65.51 Season Average
SF: 66.92 Today, 61.98 Season Average
Today Max Projection Players
Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Luis Gil: 17.8 Today, 15.13 Previous Max
Sal Frelick: 9.65 Today, 9.03 Previous Max
Jung Hoo Lee: 8.95 Today, 8.33 Previous Max
Brice Turang: 8.12 Today, 7.85 Previous Max
Tyler Freeman: 7.85 Today, 7.64 Previous Max
Blake Perkins: 7.55 Today, 7.34 Previous Max
DFS Top Plays by Position
Pitchers - Raw Projections
Corbin Burnes $9800 vs. OAK: 20.21 points
Zac Gallen $10000 vs. SEA: 19.77 points
Zach Eflin $9000 vs. CWS: 18.85 points
Luis Gil $7800 vs. MIL: 17.8 points
Chris Sale $9300 vs. CLE: 16.01 points
Pitchers - Top Values
Bailey Ober $6800 vs. LAA: 15.88 points, 2.34 value
Luis Gil $7800 vs. MIL: 17.8 points, 2.28 value
Miles Mikolas $5500 vs. NYM: 11.73 points, 2.13 value
Zach Eflin $9000 vs. CWS: 18.85 points, 2.09 value
Corbin Burnes $9800 vs. OAK: 20.21 points, 2.06 value
Catchers
1. William Contreras ($5400) vs. Luis Gil: 9.4 points, 1.21 score
2. Ryan Jeffers ($4000) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 8.22 points, 1.18 score
3. Cal Raleigh ($4100) vs. Zac Gallen: 8.14 points, 1.16 score
4. Danny Jansen ($3600) vs. Gavin Stone: 7.43 points, 1.15 score
5. Patrick Bailey ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 7.26 points, 1.14 score
First Base
1. Shohei Ohtani ($6400) vs. Chris Bassitt: 10.65 points, 1.29 score
2. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.18 points, 1.26 score
3. Nathaniel Lowe ($3800) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 8.34 points, 1.19 score
4. Matt Olson ($5800) vs. Logan Allen: 9.25 points, 1.18 score
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($4900) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.54 points, 1.17 score
Second Base
1. Davis Schneider ($3800) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.45 points, 1.29 score
2. Ozzie Albies ($4900) vs. Logan Allen: 9.15 points, 1.21 score
3. Marcus Semien ($5200) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 8.56 points, 1.18 score
4. Mookie Betts ($6600) vs. Chris Bassitt: 9.44 points, 1.17 score
5. Thairo Estrada ($3600) vs. Quinn Priester: 6.98 points, 1.12 score
Third Base
1. Matt Chapman ($4500) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.35 points, 1.19 score
2. Austin Riley ($5700) vs. Logan Allen: 9.47 points, 1.18 score
3. Jose Ramirez ($6000) vs. Chris Sale: 8.91 points, 1.13 score
4. Christopher Morel ($4200) vs. Kutter Crawford: 7.78 points, 1.11 score
5. Isaac Paredes ($4600) vs. Chris Flexen: 7.98 points, 1.09 score
Shortstop
1. Corey Seager ($5800) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 9.77 points, 1.27 score
2. Elly De La Cruz ($5900) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 9.48 points, 1.26 score
3. Anthony Volpe ($4900) vs. Colin Rea: 9.39 points, 1.21 score
4. Mookie Betts ($6600) vs. Chris Bassitt: 9.44 points, 1.17 score
5. Gunnar Henderson ($6000) vs. Ross Stripling: 9.41 points, 1.17 score
Outfield
1. Aaron Judge ($5900) vs. Colin Rea: 11.82 points, 1.57 score
2. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Logan Allen: 12.02 points, 1.5 score
3. Juan Soto ($6200) vs. Colin Rea: 11.13 points, 1.37 score
4. Sal Frelick ($3700) vs. Luis Gil: 9.65 points, 1.34 score
5. Davis Schneider ($3800) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.45 points, 1.29 score
6. Shohei Ohtani ($6400) vs. Chris Bassitt: 10.65 points, 1.29 score
7. Mike Trout ($6300) vs. Bailey Ober: 10.44 points, 1.26 score
8. LaMonte Wade Jr. ($3400) vs. Quinn Priester: 8.18 points, 1.26 score
9. Will Benson ($4100) vs. Nathan Eovaldi: 8.93 points, 1.25 score
10. Jazz Chisholm ($4900) vs. Trevor Williams: 8.86 points, 1.22 score
11. Adolis Garcia ($5300) vs. Graham Ashcraft: 9.21 points, 1.21 score
12. Byron Buxton ($4100) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 8.21 points, 1.19 score
13. Mike Tauchman ($3500) vs. Kutter Crawford: 8.21 points, 1.19 score
14. George Springer ($4300) vs. Gavin Stone: 8.38 points, 1.17 score
15. Manuel Margot ($2700) vs. Patrick Sandoval: 7.42 points, 1.17 score
Game by Game Previews
OAK @ BAL
Projected Game Score:
BAL 4.46 - OAK 3.06
BAL 59.3% To Win
Vegas O/U: 7.5
Projected Total: 7.52
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Corbin Burnes: 37 GS, 3547 Pitches, 25.5 K%, 7.9 BB%, 13.1 SwStr%, 46.8 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%, 44.4 GB%, 6 Brl%
Ross Stripling: 16 GS, 1913 Pitches, 18.2 K%, 4.6 BB%, 10.7 SwStr%, 45.4 Strike%, 34.3 Ball%, 43.0 GB%, 8 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Corbin Burnes (BAL): 99 Pitches 6.03 IP, 4.4 H, 2.3 ER, 7.3 K, 2.0 BB, 20.21 FPts
Ross Stripling (OAK): 86 Pitches 5.23 IP, 6.0 H, 2.8 ER, 4.5 K, 1.2 BB, 11.15 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Corbin Burnes - 8.5 strikeouts
Ross Stripling - 3.5 strikeouts
OAK Hitter Projections
1. Ryan Noda: 4.41 PA, 0.73 H, 1.28 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.79 FPts
2. Tyler Nevin: 4.05 PA, 0.8 H, 1.14 TB, 0.06 HR, 0.03 SB, 5.44 FPts
3. JJ Bleday: 4.17 PA, 0.71 H, 1.15 TB, 0.09 HR, 0.05 SB, 5.86 FPts
4. Brent Rooker: 4.12 PA, 0.74 H, 1.4 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.29 FPts
5. Seth Brown: 3.93 PA, 0.8 H, 1.49 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.42 FPts
6. Abraham Toro: 3.85 PA, 0.8 H, 1.3 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 5.52 FPts
7. Lawrence Butler: 3.69 PA, 0.78 H, 1.34 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.1 SB, 6.36 FPts
8. Shea Langeliers: 3.78 PA, 0.68 H, 1.26 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.25 FPts
9. Nick Allen: 3.46 PA, 0.68 H, 0.81 TB, 0.01 HR, 0.1 SB, 4.11 FPts
BAL Hitter Projections
1. Gunnar Henderson: 4.31 PA, 1.14 H, 2.15 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.41 FPts
2. Adley Rutschman: 4.25 PA, 1.07 H, 1.73 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.87 FPts
3. Ryan O'Hearn: 3.94 PA, 1.04 H, 1.71 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.11 FPts
4. Anthony Santander: 4.07 PA, 0.98 H, 1.86 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.08 FPts
5. Cedric Mullins II: 3.94 PA, 0.92 H, 1.48 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.29 FPts
6. Colton Cowser: 3.71 PA, 0.84 H, 1.38 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.64 FPts
7. Jordan Westburg: 3.61 PA, 0.93 H, 1.57 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.07 SB, 6.95 FPts
8. Heston Kjerstad: 3.63 PA, 0.9 H, 1.56 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.03 SB, 6.92 FPts
9. Ramon Urias: 3.35 PA, 0.77 H, 1.18 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 5.08 FPts
Best Bets
Ross Stripling OAK - Walks Under 1.5 (-130) - 0.108 value
Brent Rooker OAK - Hitter K Under 1.5 (+130) - 0.106 value
Abraham Toro OAK - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+195) - 0.101 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) SS $6000: 9.41 Proj, 1.17 Score
Anthony Santander (BAL) OF $4500: 8.08 Proj, 1.08 Score
Adley Rutschman (BAL) C $5200: 7.87 Proj, 1.02 Score
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) OF $2600: 6.92 Proj, 1.01 Score
Cedric Mullins II (BAL) OF $4400: 7.29 Proj, 0.99 Score
LAD @ TOR
Projected Game Score:
LAD 5.2 - TOR 4.73
LAD 52.4% To Win
Vegas O/U: 9.0
Projected Total: 9.93
2023-2024 Pitcher Stats
Chris Bassitt: 37 GS, 3630 Pitches, 22.4 K%, 7.4 BB%, 10.1 SwStr%, 47.6 Strike%, 34.5 Ball%, 42.4 GB%, 8 Brl%
Gavin Stone: 8 GS, 869 Pitches, 16.1 K%, 9.7 BB%, 15.5 SwStr%, 43.7 Strike%, 36.4 Ball%, 45.7 GB%, 6 Brl%
Pitcher Projections
Chris Bassitt (TOR): 96 Pitches 5.62 IP, 5.7 H, 3.0 ER, 5.0 K, 2.2 BB, 12.19 FPts
Gavin Stone (LAD): 82 Pitches 5.25 IP, 5.9 H, 2.9 ER, 3.4 K, 2.1 BB, 8.74 FPts
K Prop Lines - DraftKings
Chris Bassitt - 5.5 strikeouts
Gavin Stone - 3.5 strikeouts
LAD Hitter Projections
1. Mookie Betts: 4.43 PA, 1.09 H, 1.97 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.44 FPts
2. Shohei Ohtani: 4.39 PA, 1.11 H, 2.27 TB, 0.29 HR, 0.11 SB, 10.65 FPts
3. Freddie Freeman: 4.26 PA, 1.14 H, 1.87 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 9.16 FPts
4. Will Smith: 4.25 PA, 0.96 H, 1.53 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.48 FPts
5. Max Muncy: 4.07 PA, 0.75 H, 1.48 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.49 FPts
6. Teoscar Hernandez: 4.03 PA, 0.93 H, 1.66 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.04 SB, 7.31 FPts
7. James Outman: 3.82 PA, 0.77 H, 1.29 TB, 0.12 HR, 0.1 SB, 7.0 FPts
8. Gavin Lux: 3.79 PA, 0.87 H, 1.29 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.08 SB, 6.52 FPts
9. Andy Pages: 3.57 PA, 0.76 H, 1.35 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.29 FPts
TOR Hitter Projections
1. George Springer: 4.54 PA, 1.07 H, 1.75 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.11 SB, 8.38 FPts
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.43 PA, 1.11 H, 1.92 TB, 0.19 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.54 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.32 PA, 1.16 H, 1.86 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.08 SB, 8.36 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 4.16 PA, 1.0 H, 1.57 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.03 SB, 7.39 FPts
5. Daulton Varsho: 4.04 PA, 0.87 H, 1.54 TB, 0.16 HR, 0.14 SB, 7.72 FPts
6. Davis Schneider: 4.03 PA, 0.86 H, 1.8 TB, 0.25 HR, 0.05 SB, 8.45 FPts
7. Danny Jansen: 3.81 PA, 0.88 H, 1.73 TB, 0.22 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.43 FPts
8. Addison Barger: 3.79 PA, 0.79 H, 1.26 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.4 FPts
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.47 PA, 0.82 H, 1.11 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.11 SB, 5.64 FPts
Best Bets
Andy Pages LAD - Hitter K Under 1.5 (-180) - 0.151 value
Chris Bassitt TOR - Strikeouts Under 5.5 (+110) - 0.136 value
Freddie Freeman LAD - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+160) - 0.122 value
Gavin Lux LAD - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+170) - 0.117 value
Danny Jansen TOR - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+135) - 0.107 value
Gavin Stone LAD - Strikeouts Under 3.5 (+115) - 0.104 value
DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1B/OF $6400: 10.65 Proj, 1.29 Score
Davis Schneider (TOR) 2B/OF $3800: 8.45 Proj, 1.29 Score
Mookie Betts (LAD) 2B/SS $6600: 9.44 Proj, 1.17 Score
George Springer (TOR) OF $4300: 8.38 Proj, 1.17 Score
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 1B $4900: 8.54 Proj, 1.17 Score
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