MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB DW Slate Preview - April 5th

An automated report of each game on the MLB slate with full projections, recommended bets, and the top DFS plays from each.

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Jon A
Apr 05, 2024
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What a beautiful day of baseball we have today. Games from 1:00 eastern until everybody is asleep. And no threats of postponements! It’s going to be a fun one, so we’ve gotta get this slate preview cooking!

We have our first COORS game tonight, and right out of the gates we have an over/under of 13 runs there. That is insane, even for Coors. Lots of wind blowing out there, so definitely start your Rockies and Rays bats.


Slate Preview April 5th

Most Team Fantasy Point Projections

ATL (vs. Tommy Henry): 83.93 Projected Points
LAD (vs. Kyle Hendricks): 79.2 Projected Points
HOU (vs. Cody Bradford): 78.46 Projected Points
TB (vs. Austin Gomber): 76.94 Projected Points
NYY (vs. Yusei Kikuchi): 75.05 Projected Points

Least Team Fantasy Point Projections

OAK (vs. Tarik Skubal): 49.33 Projected Points
WSH (vs. Aaron Nola): 55.77 Projected Points
CWS (vs. Brady Singer): 58.03 Projected Points
DET (vs. JP Sears): 60.79 Projected Points
SD (vs. Jordan Hicks): 61.15 Projected Points

Team Projections vs. Season Averages

TB: 76.94 Today, 63.77 Season Average
HOU: 78.46 Today, 66.06 Season Average
LAD: 79.2 Today, 67.01 Season Average
ATL: 83.93 Today, 71.81 Season Average
NYY: 75.05 Today, 65.33 Season Average

Today Max Projection Players

Players with their highest projection of the season coming today
Tarik Skubal: 22.49 Today, 20.79 Previous Max
Randy Arozarena: 10.7 Today, 10.13 Previous Max
Jose Altuve: 10.2 Today, 10.06 Previous Max
Yandy Diaz: 9.83 Today, 9.8 Previous Max
Jose Siri: 8.93 Today, 8.54 Previous Max
Isaac Paredes: 8.83 Today, 7.98 Previous Max
Chas McCormick: 8.79 Today, 8.7 Previous Max
Curtis Mead: 8.51 Today, 7.61 Previous Max
Harold Ramirez: 8.23 Today, 7.97 Previous Max
Rene Pinto: 6.22 Today, 5.92 Previous Max

DFS Top Plays by Position

Pitchers - Raw Projections

Spencer Strider $11000 vs. ARI: 22.44 points
Freddy Peralta $9300 vs. SEA: 18.36 points
Hunter Greene $8300 vs. NYM: 17.71 points
Logan Gilbert $9600 vs. MIL: 17.38 points
Aaron Nola $9000 vs. WSH: 16.49 points

Pitchers - Top Values

Griffin Canning $7000 vs. BOS: 16.47 points, 2.35 value
Erick Fedde $7200 vs. KC: 15.65 points, 2.17 value
Hunter Greene $8300 vs. NYM: 17.71 points, 2.13 value
Spencer Strider $11000 vs. ARI: 22.44 points, 2.04 value
Freddy Peralta $9300 vs. SEA: 18.36 points, 1.97 value

Catchers

1. Francisco Alvarez ($3200) vs. Hunter Greene: 8.68 points, 1.37 score
2. Yainer Diaz ($4200) vs. Cody Bradford: 9.14 points, 1.3 score
3. J.T. Realmuto ($4400) vs. Patrick Corbin: 8.95 points, 1.27 score
4. William Contreras ($4600) vs. Logan Gilbert: 8.63 points, 1.13 score
5. Luke Maile ($2600) vs. Jose Quintana: 6.72 points, 1.06 score

First Base

1. Pete Alonso ($5200) vs. Hunter Greene: 10.14 points, 1.27 score
2. Matt Olson ($6000) vs. Tommy Henry: 10.1 points, 1.23 score
3. Christian Encarnacion-Strand ($4300) vs. Jose Quintana: 8.62 points, 1.16 score
4. Vinnie Pasquantino ($4400) vs. Erick Fedde: 8.66 points, 1.09 score
5. Bryce Harper ($5600) vs. Patrick Corbin: 8.56 points, 1.08 score

Second Base

1. Jose Altuve ($5300) vs. Cody Bradford: 10.2 points, 1.35 score
2. Ozzie Albies ($5500) vs. Tommy Henry: 9.9 points, 1.22 score
3. Jonathan India ($4500) vs. Jose Quintana: 8.67 points, 1.1 score
4. Jorge Polanco ($4100) vs. Freddy Peralta: 8.18 points, 1.08 score
5. Marcus Semien ($5000) vs. Hunter Brown: 8.25 points, 1.05 score

Third Base

1. Austin Riley ($5700) vs. Tommy Henry: 10.33 points, 1.27 score
2. Rafael Devers ($5400) vs. Griffin Canning: 9.87 points, 1.26 score
3. Alex Bregman ($4800) vs. Cody Bradford: 8.47 points, 1.13 score
4. Brett Baty ($3000) vs. Hunter Greene: 7.51 points, 1.07 score
5. Maikel Garcia ($4300) vs. Erick Fedde: 8.21 points, 1.05 score

Shortstop

1. Francisco Lindor ($5000) vs. Hunter Greene: 9.87 points, 1.3 score
2. Bobby Witt Jr. ($6300) vs. Erick Fedde: 10.52 points, 1.27 score
3. Corey Seager ($5800) vs. Hunter Brown: 9.97 points, 1.21 score
4. Trea Turner ($6100) vs. Patrick Corbin: 8.97 points, 1.09 score
5. Elly De La Cruz ($5300) vs. Jose Quintana: 8.62 points, 1.07 score

Outfield

1. Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6500) vs. Tommy Henry: 12.7 points, 1.56 score
2. Yordan Alvarez ($5700) vs. Cody Bradford: 10.94 points, 1.39 score
3. Kyle Tucker ($5600) vs. Cody Bradford: 10.02 points, 1.28 score
4. Marcell Ozuna ($4500) vs. Tommy Henry: 9.26 points, 1.22 score
5. Chas McCormick ($4000) vs. Cody Bradford: 8.79 points, 1.21 score
6. Kyle Schwarber ($5000) vs. Patrick Corbin: 8.9 points, 1.2 score
7. Brandon Nimmo ($4100) vs. Hunter Greene: 9.29 points, 1.2 score
8. Mike Trout ($5900) vs. Kutter Crawford: 9.5 points, 1.17 score
9. Starling Marte ($3500) vs. Hunter Greene: 7.85 points, 1.14 score
10. Michael Harris II ($4600) vs. Tommy Henry: 8.74 points, 1.14 score
11. Adam Duvall ($4000) vs. Tommy Henry: 8.11 points, 1.12 score
12. Jarren Duran ($4900) vs. Griffin Canning: 8.69 points, 1.11 score
13. Nelson Velazquez ($3600) vs. Erick Fedde: 7.79 points, 1.1 score
14. Spencer Steer ($4700) vs. Jose Quintana: 8.92 points, 1.1 score
15. Tyler O'Neill ($4500) vs. Griffin Canning: 8.09 points, 1.09 score

Game-by-Game Previews


TOR @ NYY

Projected Game Score:

NYY 5.54 - TOR 3.88
NYY 58.9% To Win
Vegas O/U: 8.5
Projected Total: 9.42

2023-2024 Pitcher Stats

Yusei Kikuchi: 33 GS, 2908 Pitches, 25.6 K%, 7.1 BB%, 13.6 SwStr%, 47.7 Strike%, 35.7 Ball%, 40.7 GB%, 9 Brl%
Marcus Stroman: 25 GS, 2304 Pitches, 20.5 K%, 9.0 BB%, 10.2 SwStr%, 43.4 Strike%, 38.4 Ball%, 57.3 GB%, 5 Brl%

Pitcher Projections

Yusei Kikuchi (TOR): 88 Pitches 5.26 IP, 4.9 H, 2.7 ER, 5.6 K, 2.5 BB, 13.62 FPts
Marcus Stroman (NYY): 97 Pitches 5.9 IP, 5.8 H, 2.7 ER, 4.8 K, 2.3 BB, 13.23 FPts

K Prop Lines - DraftKings

Yusei Kikuchi - 5.5 strikeouts
Marcus Stroman - 4.5 strikeouts

TOR Hitter Projections

1. George Springer: 4.28 PA, 0.99 H, 1.6 TB, 0.14 HR, 0.11 SB, 7.85 FPts
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.18 PA, 1.05 H, 1.79 TB, 0.18 HR, 0.03 SB, 8.15 FPts
3. Bo Bichette: 4.08 PA, 1.1 H, 1.76 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.07 SB, 7.65 FPts
4. Justin Turner: 3.92 PA, 0.91 H, 1.43 TB, 0.11 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.89 FPts
5. Davis Schneider: 3.88 PA, 0.71 H, 1.24 TB, 0.13 HR, 0.06 SB, 6.57 FPts
6. Kevin Kiermaier: 3.63 PA, 0.83 H, 1.2 TB, 0.07 HR, 0.11 SB, 6.1 FPts
7. Alejandro Kirk: 3.68 PA, 0.89 H, 1.27 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.02 SB, 6.15 FPts
8. Daulton Varsho: 3.5 PA, 0.73 H, 1.32 TB, 0.15 HR, 0.13 SB, 6.68 FPts
9. Isiah Kiner-Falefa: 3.25 PA, 0.8 H, 1.07 TB, 0.04 HR, 0.12 SB, 5.55 FPts

NYY Hitter Projections

1. Gleyber Torres: 4.54 PA, 1.13 H, 1.98 TB, 0.2 HR, 0.09 SB, 9.51 FPts
2. Juan Soto: 4.39 PA, 0.96 H, 1.86 TB, 0.24 HR, 0.07 SB, 10.3 FPts
3. Aaron Judge: 4.34 PA, 1.09 H, 2.57 TB, 0.43 HR, 0.04 SB, 12.3 FPts
4. Giancarlo Stanton: 4.2 PA, 0.86 H, 1.95 TB, 0.32 HR, 0.01 SB, 9.03 FPts
5. Anthony Rizzo: 4.12 PA, 0.9 H, 1.59 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.01 SB, 7.57 FPts
6. Anthony Volpe: 4.03 PA, 0.84 H, 1.54 TB, 0.17 HR, 0.16 SB, 8.18 FPts
7. Alex Verdugo: 3.8 PA, 0.9 H, 1.38 TB, 0.1 HR, 0.04 SB, 6.49 FPts
8. Jon Berti: 3.63 PA, 0.81 H, 1.21 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.12 SB, 6.5 FPts
9. Jose Trevino: 3.3 PA, 0.77 H, 1.17 TB, 0.08 HR, 0.01 SB, 5.17 FPts

Best Bets

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR - Hitter K Under 0.5 (+145.0) - 0.104 value

DFS Top Plays (DraftKings)

Game not on slate

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