Player Props
It’s clear that the under props work better for us, at least when you’re using my models.
These bet types above a 10% value are profitable when betting the under:
We got housed yesterday on the props I recommended, so I’m sorry about that. Let’s focus on these UNDERS:
Max Fried Under 5.5 K -140
Kevin Gausman Under 6.5 K -110
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Singles +175
Cooper Hummel Under 0.5 Hits +150
Byron Buxton Under 0.5 Steals -170
Willi Castro Under 0.5 Steals -425
Andrew McCutchen Under 0.5 Singles +130
Jake Meyers Under 0.5 Singles +160
DFS Preview
One simple lineup for me tonight, let’s find the best plays quickly. Sorry about the lame content today.
Pitchers
Grant Holmes ($9,700) vs. Angels
Jacob deGrom ($10,300) vs. Orioles
Yoshinobu Yamamoto ($10,800) vs. White Sox
Those are your big three expensive options. The two best values in my mind:
Richard Fitts ($5,500) vs. Reds
Emerson Hancock ($6,000) vs. Royals
It’s always tough to build a lineup when you’re spending $21K on pitching, but it’s tough not to do that tonight in a cash game situation.
The guys with significant ownership projections:
deGrom 47%
Yamamoto 27%
Holmes 23%
Baz 22%
Boyd 15%
Hancock 12%
Gallen 11%
There’s just no way I can trust Baz or Gallen. And while I think Hancock and Fitts are both viable salary savers with some upside in tourneys, I can’t stake my main lineup on either one. So we’ll probably be loading up on deGrom and Yamamoto and seeing what we can pull off offensively.