MLB DW Slate Preview - May 30
My rundown of today's MLB slate, including full projections and analysis for each game
DFS Preview
Pitchers
Nick Pivetta ($9,800) vs. Pirates: Pretty easy pickings here. Pivetta is arguably the best pitcher on the slate, and he’s in one of the best matchups. The price doesn’t make him a free square exactly, but I do think it’s an acceptable tag. Great floor/ceiling combo on Pivetta tonight against the Pirates
Bryan Woo ($9,500) vs. Twins: The strikeout rate is still a little bit underwhelming for Woo (24.1%), but everything else he has going makes up for it. The walk rate is pristine at 3.2%, and he rarely allows a hard-hit ball. The JA ERA on him sits at 2.87. He joins Pivetta and Fried as the only pitchers (qualified) under three.
David Peterson ($9,000) vs. Rockies: It’s honestly a little bit boring this year, just plugging in whatever SP takes the ball against the Rockies. The projection model is seriously boosting guys 3-5 points when they have this matchup. It’s 3.6 in this case. The price does make this far from a slam-dunk play. That’s expensive for Peterson and his low strikeout rate. He’s not even in the top ten in value. So I’m not sure if Peterson is the proper cash game play tonight - but he’s more than good enough to consider against this awful Rockies lineup.
Zebby Matthews ($7,200) vs. Mariners: We might see him trip up here due to the long ball, as we’ve discussed in every post I’ve done so far today. But the strikeout rate is up this year, and he’s been dominating with this heater and slider early on in this Major League stint. The Mariners are beatable, so I view Matthews as a high-ceiling play here. But I wouldn’t go here in cash.
Luis L. Ortiz ($6,000) vs. Angels: This is another name we talked about already today (in Money Matchups). But the strikeout ceiling is pretty large here. I could see Ortiz going for double-digit strikeouts in this matchup, and that would be a smash at just $6,000. The lack of command does make him tough to trust, but for such a low price, I do think you can consider him in cash games because the strikeout floor is so nice.
Framber Valdez ($9,200) vs. Rays: Good matchup here for Valdez at home, and he’s been on a nice roll of late. He has a 25.4% K% and a 7.7% BB% in May with a 2.73 JA ERA. The command has come back, as it usually does, and the GB% is way up there at 65%. He’s a safe bet against a pretty beatable Rays lineup.