Finally back in the win column on Monday, lets keep that momentum going for today’s loaded slate. Check out my best bets and let me know if you have any questions below!
MLB Walks Props
Tony Gonsolin 2+ Walks/Luis Ortiz 2+ Walks +100 DK
Tony Gonsolin 3+ Walks +160 CZR (O.5u)
The projections love Gonsolin walks, projecting him at 2.63 against the Mets. I’ve played SP walks in both games this series, with both LA starters posting 2 walks each. The Mets are 6th in pitches per plate appearance and are a fairly patient and pesky lineup. They work counts, don’t strike out much, and should make Gonsolin earn it. On the other side Gonsolin has posted 2+ walks in 5/6 starts and 3+ in three straight.
He’s had control problems, ranking 11th percentile in walk rate, and since he’s not generating chases or whiffs at a high level he needs to get cute around the zone. This hasn’t worked out well against tougher opponents, including when the Mets walked 3 times against him recently. He’s really struggled with fly balls and barrel’s this season, I don’t think this start ends well for Gonsolin.
The projections have Luis Ortiz for an insane 3.35 walks this season, with him going over 2+ walks in 9 straight games and 10 of 11 starts total. He gets an absolutely brutal matchup against the patient Yankees lineup who should continue that trend tonight.
Juan Soto o1.5 H+R+RBI
Price: -135
Book: Draftkings
Juan Soto has been a great example of the extreme powers of New York media. Despite having a baseball savant page that looks like this… Soto was treated like he was going through a Chris Davis-esque slump in the papers.
