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Survive & Advance - Week 4

Planning out NFL survivor pools this season

Hunter Marvel's avatar
Hunter Marvel
Oct 03, 2026
∙ Paid


We survived last week, with the Chiefs taking care of the Dolphins. The backup plans all won too, with the exception of the Seahawks, who were taken down by the Marcus Mariota-led Commanders.

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Seahawks were at almost 13% in the Circa pool. I was expecting 7-10%, so more people were on them, probably because Sam Darnold came back.


Quick Thoughts

Biggest spread: Ravens (-11.5) vs Titans

Best Week 4 burn: Vikings at home against Miami, with the Ravens right next to them

Interesting options: Seahawks, Bills

Do not touch: Lions, 49ers, Packers, anyone sitting around a field goal, and anything in London

I see ownership as a coin flip at the top. Ravens could be around 39–43% and Vikings around 38–43%. Together they are eating close to 80% of tickets. After that, it falls off a cliff: less than 10% for the Bills, Bears, Seahawks, and Chiefs.

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