MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB DW DFS & Betting

The Daily Slip - July 7th

Jon hands out some Tuesday night bets

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Jul 07, 2026
∙ Paid


We hit a couple of good ones last night!

  • Curtis Mead HR +468

  • HOU/WSH over 14.5 +379

The rest were about a split of hits and misses, but it was a winning night with those two nice finds.


THE DREAM SPOTS

Two of the best pitchers of our current age are in near perfect matchups tonight.

  • Tarik Skubal at home vs. ATH

  • Jacob deGrom at home vs. LAA

These two lineups are #1 and #2 in the lineup strikeout rate:

Of course, the lines are high. It’s 8+ strikeouts before you get to even money. But we’re playing for some upside here, and both of these guys have huge, huge strikeout upside.

The path is to bet both for 8+ strikeouts if you want to be a little bit “safe”, or go to 10+ strikeouts if you want the big potential payout.

8+ for both gets you +191
10+ for both guys get you +1307

I’m taking the first one for one unit and the second one for half a unit. Let’s hope for some double-digit numbers coming from those two future Hall of Famers. I guess neither guy is a lock for the Hall of Fame, but whatever they can be in my Hall of Fame, I haven’t been on earth that long. Only 35 years.


Home Run Bets of the Day

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2026 Jon A · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture