This is a direct copy and paste from today’s Daily Notes. But I realized that maybe some people at this point are looking for streamers and not caring so much about the notes. So here you go, just so nobody misses it:
Friday, September 12
JT Ginn vs. CIN
Shane Baz at CHC
Mitch Keller at WSH
Ginn and Tonic has 20 strikeouts in his last three starts with a 2.16 JA ERA. He has that really nice sinker, and that makes me like him for what he’s worth as a streamer. I don’t think he’ll ever be an SP3 or SP4 for fantasy, but the sinker can play. And this matchup is nice. The Reds are downright poopy with a .688 road OPS this year (.651 in the second half).
The Cubs aren’t a very tough matchup right now. Tucker is on the IL, PCA had his blue hair powers run out months ago. This is a club with a .690 OPS in the second half. You can fire up Baz. But never trust him.
And then Mitch Keller gets a very nice matchup with the Nats. He’s in fine form with a 3.56 JA ERA and a 14.7% K-BB% in his last 12 starts. That’s what I’ve got for tonight.
Saturday, September 13
Yu Darvish vs. COL
Max Scherzer vs. BAL
Parker Messick vs. CWS
Bubba Chandler vs. WSH
Darvish is kinda mid. But a non-awful 16% K-BB% and 3.44 JA ERA on the year. And you know well what these home matchups with the Rockies can do for you!
The Scherzinator has a 3.14 JA ERA on the year with a 16.7% K-BB%. The slider is still good (20% SwStr%), bu the fastball gets bombed (.374 xwOBA). But look. If he pitches well tomorrow, he’ll pitch well tomorrow.
Parker Messick now has a 3.27 JA ERA in his four big league starts. The K% has fallen down to 19%, but he throws a lot of strikes with a 3.1% BB% and 33.5% Ball%.
The White Sox are not the auto-stream matchup they used to be, but I think Messick can have some success in this spot.
And then Bubba Chandler, oh Bubba Chandler. He got whacked in his last start, giving up nine earnies on nine hits on a 3:3 K:BB in 2.2 innings against the Brewers. He has a 7.36 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in his 14.2 big league innings. If he wasn’t a highly touted prospect, we would be running for the hills. But we do know that he has the stuff to succeed. So maybe he’ll luck into a good command day and take advantage of the Nats. But I wouldn’t feel very good about it.
Sunday, September 14
Cade Cavalli vs. PIT
Luis Morales vs. CIN
Will Warren at BOS
Caden Dana at SEA
Slade Cecconi vs. CWS
Yoendrys Gomez at CLE
Decent options on Sunday! To think that your fantasy season might come down to streaming Luis Morales and Cade Cavalli. Oh boy, what a game.
Cavalli has a 13.1% SwStr% and 34% Ball% this year. I like what he’s doing. He adds a 49% GB%. The JA ERA comes in at a “not great but not awful” 3.65. He can beat the Pirates, though.
Luis Morales is the second guy. He sports a 24% K% and a 9% BB%. That gets to the 15% K-BB% threshold we sometimes require. The 3.48 JA ERA is fine. The 33% GB% pitching in Sacramento makes you nervous, but we have already mentioned the poor hitting of the Reds. They really don’t have much power.
Hope that all helps! I guess we’ll know on Sunday. The proof of the pudding is in the tasting. The proof of the streaming is in the box scoresing.