MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Data Warehouse

Busts: AL Central

My ADP-based busts & fades from the AL Central

Jon A's avatar
Jon A
Jan 21, 2026
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Read the intro of the AL Central breakouts article to get important context for what I’m talking about here.

Click here to view the whole Breakouts & Busts series


White Sox Busts

Colson Montgomery

Player Breakdown

  • Was so much better in the Majors than the minors, which makes no sense

  • 34% K%, 68.7% Contact%

  • I think he’ll hit homers, but the average could be devastating, and I predict that MLB pitchers will do a better job at keeping him off the pull side this year (22% Air Pull% last year)

Munetaka Murakami

Player Breakdown

  • He’s not that expensive, but I think he’s going to have trouble living up to even this price (230 ADP)

  • I’m thinking the best-case scenario is like a 28% K%, and there’s probably an adjustment period needed for his power to actually show up, so the floor is extremely, extremely low, and we saw already that MLB Front Offices didn’t think much of him with the contract he ended up taking


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