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Player of the Day

Ethan Salas hit the first two homers of his career last night. He’s a 20 year old Padres catcher who has been on prospects list since he was a teenager. People were talking about this guy as a 16-year-old, which is always wild. But it might seem like the prospect window is closing since we’ve known about him so long without seeing him. But he turned 20 in June, and he should get a full shot to be the Padres catcher next year.

So far in the bigs: .143/.143/.524, 2 HR, 3 R, 3 RBI

So he’s played sparingly behind Luis Campusano, but showed some of that power he’s added this year in Coors last night.

The only things we can really look at in 21 PAs worth of data is maybe his bat speed, which isn’t good. He’s probably a defense-first catcher for now while he develops. And by develops, we might even mean like natural physical development. It’s crazy to be a professional athlete at the highest level when you’re 20. You know what I was doing when I was 20? I was an acne-faced Waynesburg University computer science student playing tennis and writing a Pirates blog. It was awesome.

Pete Crow-Armstrong hit his 43rd and 44th homers of the year. He and Bregman smashed together again. Bregman was a single shy of the cycle and the Cubs added 12 hits and eight runs to their tally.

Ridiculous season for PCA, who is going to be your consensus #1 pick next year.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand, aka Pete Alonso lite, hit a bomb and added three runs and two RBI to his interesting season. He’s up to .277/.326/.520 with an .846 OPS. Ten homers, a steal, a 27.3% K%.

The Orioles need some left-handed bats if this is going to come together. CES has most of his power against lefties, Coby Mayo is the best hitter in the league against lefties, but the busto seasons from Gunnar and Holliday have them being without much thump against righties. Great season for CES who might have just hit himself into a real MLB contract, so I’m happy for that guy.

Two steals from Josh Naylor! There were 31 steals last night, which seems like a lot to me. I’m not sure if that is a lot, though. There were a lot in my head to head semifinal match, and that’s the lens I am looking at baseball through this week.

Naylor has THIRTY steals again.

So last year he decided to run a bunch, and since then he has a near 90% success rate and 60 steals.

One of those names is not like the others! But Naylor has hit just ten homers this year and slugged .365. So his best attribute for fantasy leagues is steals, and who could’ve seen that coming?

Tommy White hit his third homer. We thought he’d be kind of a homer-or-bust guy, but that’s not been the case. He’s hit for a decent .259 average and struck out just 16% of the time. But he doesn’t take walks (2.3%) and has a .275 OBP with a .343 SLG. So not great signs there for White. He also has a 101.3 EV90 on fly balls, which is terrible. So I don’t think the “Tommy Tanks” nickname was the proper one. His bat speed is below average. Maybe I just had a misconception of him when he was coming up.

Jakob Marsee hit another bomb and stole a base, he’s been a game-changer lately as we’ve mentioned. Since August:

→ .308/.416/.515, 5 HR, 4 SB, 15.5% K%, 12.3% BB%

Pretty, pretty good for Jakob after a really bad first few months.

Jonah Cox stole two bases, he’s been very good for that since coming up. He’s swiped 13 bags in 53 games with a 50% attempt rate and a 76% success rate. He’s hit .294/.333/.445 to boot, so he’s someone to consider if you’re looking or late-season desperation steals. He’s playing every day.

Samuel Basallo hit his 18th homer. He’s hit .227/.292/.417 in this rookie campaign, so another underwhelming showing for a top Orioles prospect. A 26.6% K% is fine, though. It’s a 12.5% Brl% with plenty of bat speed and EV. Good buy-low next year as he’s gotten through this rookie year. We’re always looking for those 2nd or 3rd year breakout former top prospects, he’ll certainly be on that list next year. But the Orioles now have a pretty checkered past of developing these guys.

The best thing that happened to Basallo this year was probably the Adley Rutschman trade; that was a vote of confidence for Basallo in some regards, and he’ll get a long look the rest of this year and next to see if he can do enough against MLB pitching for that power to manifest.

The best story of yesterday was Tommy Pham allegedly talking to the White Sox brass in an elevator and convincing them to activate him for the game. They listened to him, hit him clean-up, and he hit a three-run homer, which was just funny. BUT the White Sox lost a very important game as the bullpen struggled. Pham’s played 11 games and has hit .056/.105/.222. That was his first hit of the year, but it was at a good time, I guess, and another funny story to add to Pham’s very interesting career.

Not many 38-year-olds who haven’t gone for an OPS above .775 in the last six years keep getting playing time. This guy is an excellent example of finding a way to get jobs you don’t seem to deserve.

Pitching Side

The highlights from yesterday:

Logan Henderson: 5.0IP 6H 3ER 3R 8K 1BB
Parker Messick: 6.0IP 7H 3ER 3R 8K 0BB
Shota Imanaga: 6.0IP 4H 1ER 1R 8K 0BB
Jared Jones: 5.0IP 7H 3ER 3R 9K 1BB
Carlos Rodon: 6.0IP 4H 2ER 2R 5K 3BB
Zebby Matthews: 6.0IP 2H 0ER 0R 8K 2BB
Matthew Liberatore: 6.0IP 6H 1ER 1R 2K 3BB

Jared Jones has now struck out 26 in his last three outings with four walks. He got lit up seven starts ago, but has found a real groove since then. Six starts, 2.56 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 33.6% K%, 9.2% BB%. That looks like a potential breakout ace next year. The most important thing for anybody coming off Tommy John is just making starts on schedule and showing improvement as they build back up. Jones still has a 3.95 ERA for his season but a 21.2% K-BB% and 1.1 HR/9. So I’m fully on board for next year. His stuff is among the best in the league and it’s playing very well for the last 1.5 months.

Matthew Liberatore has had a bunch of outings with a high strikeout total but a bunch of hits and runs allowed. Last night it was the opposite. A quality start with two strikeouts and three walks. Probably the most annoying pitcher for fantasy this year.

Blake Snell got hurt. It was groin tightness, so something bad has happened to the Dodgers this month. I guess that’s the second thing since Ohtani is also on the IL for the first time in forever. It might be nothing, obviously they were going to be very careful with any injury stuff popping up with him and Glasnow. But you don’t love to see it if you’re a Dodgers fan, and that early exit probably crushed some fantasy teams in their championship match.

There are no streamers I can recommend for today on a lighter slate of MLB action. If you’re super desperate, though, maybe Seth Lugo vs. HOU? Maybe Jeffrey Springs in Tampa? Pretty gross options, but that’s what I have for you.

Tomorrow:

Connor Prielipp vs. LAA

That’s the runaway top option, and probably one of the better streams of the weekend.

Saturday: Christian Scott vs. PHI, Robert Gasser vs. BAL

Sunday: Dean Kremer vs. LAA, Corbin Burnes vs. NYY, David Peterson vs. CIN, Jonah Tong vs. PHI, Quinn Mathews vs. WSH

Pitcher Reports

Yesterdays Pitcher Debuts

Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 0.67IP, 2H, 0ER, 2SO, 0BB

Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday

1. Shota Imanaga

2. Logan Henderson

3. Parker Messick

4. Merrill Kelly

5. Zebby Matthews

6. Jake Bennett

7. Jared Jones

8. Anthony Molina

9. Zack Wheeler

10. Chris Bassitt

11. Daniel Lynch IV

12. Carlos Rodon

13. George Kirby

14. Max Scherzer

15. Anthony Kay

16. JR Ritchie

17. Ryan Gusto

18. Brady Basso

19. Andrew Abbott

20. Cristian Javier

21. Nick Martinez

22. Robbie Ray

23. Keider Montero

24. Yusei Kikuchi

25. Matthew Liberatore

26. Xzavion Curry

27. Mason Adams

28. MacKenzie Gore

Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday

1. Shota Imanaga (vs. ATL): 29.1 Points

2. Zebby Matthews (vs. NYY): 27.1 Points

3. Zack Wheeler (vs. WSH): 26.75 Points

4. Chris Bassitt (vs. NYM): 25.41 Points

5. Parker Messick (vs. CWS): 23.3 Points

6. Anthony Molina (vs. STL): 22.96 Points

7. Robbie Ray (vs. COL): 20.5 Points

8. Daniel Lynch (vs. HOU): 19.45 Points

9. Jared Jones (vs. MIL): 18.45 Points

10. Merrill Kelly (vs. MIA): 17.11 Points

Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday

1. Shota Imanaga (CHC): 20 Whiffs (100 Pitches)

2. Carlos Rodon (NYY): 15 Whiffs (102 Pitches)

3. Parker Messick (CLE): 15 Whiffs (86 Pitches)

4. Logan Henderson (MIL): 15 Whiffs (87 Pitches)

5. Chris Bassitt (BAL): 14 Whiffs (95 Pitches)

6. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 14 Whiffs (91 Pitches)

7. Zebby Matthews (MIN): 14 Whiffs (97 Pitches)

8. Jared Jones (PIT): 14 Whiffs (91 Pitches)

9. George Kirby (SEA): 13 Whiffs (93 Pitches)

10. Jake Bennett (BOS): 13 Whiffs (91 Pitches)

Strike% Leaders - Yesterday

1. Logan Henderson (MIL): 59.8 Strike%, 26.4 Ball%

2. Shota Imanaga (CHC): 56.0 Strike%, 30.0 Ball%

3. Jack Weisenburger (NYM): 55.8 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%

4. Merrill Kelly (ARI): 53.8 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%

5. Anthony Molina (SF): 53.7 Strike%, 30.5 Ball%

6. Jared Jones (PIT): 52.7 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%

7. Zebby Matthews (MIN): 52.6 Strike%, 35.1 Ball%

8. Parker Messick (CLE): 52.3 Strike%, 27.9 Ball%

9. Jake Bennett (BOS): 50.5 Strike%, 33.0 Ball%

10. Daniel Lynch IV (KC): 50.0 Strike%, 31.9 Ball%

11. Keider Montero (DET): 48.3 Strike%, 38.2 Ball%

12. Ryan Gusto (MIA): 47.7 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%

13. Nick Martinez (TB): 47.2 Strike%, 30.6 Ball%

14. JR Ritchie (ATL): 46.3 Strike%, 36.6 Ball%

15. Robbie Ray (SD): 45.5 Strike%, 37.5 Ball%

Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday

1. Zack Wheeler: 91 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.33 POUT

2. Chris Bassitt: 95 Pitches, 20 Outs, 4.75 POUT

3. Parker Messick: 86 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.78 POUT

4. Daniel Lynch IV: 72 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.8 POUT

5. Nick Martinez: 72 Pitches, 15 Outs, 4.8 POUT

6. Matthew Liberatore: 82 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.82 POUT

7. Anthony Molina: 82 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.82 POUT

8. Robbie Ray: 88 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.89 POUT

9. Max Scherzer: 73 Pitches, 14 Outs, 5.21 POUT

10. Cristian Javier: 85 Pitches, 16 Outs, 5.31 POUT

Velo Changes - Yesterday

Parker Messick’s SI velo (14 pitches) UP 2.6mph to 95.2

Chris Bassitt’s FC velo (18 pitches) UP 2.3mph to 91.4

Chris Bassitt’s FF velo (18 pitches) UP 2.1mph to 93.9

Anthony Kay’s SI velo (15 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 97.0

Chris Bassitt’s SI velo (28 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 93.4

Parker Messick’s FF velo (34 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 95.6

Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday

Anthony Kay’s ST usage (34.8%) up 11.9 points

Brady Basso’s CH usage (19.2%) up 13.7 points

Cristian Javier’s ST usage (37.6%) up 10.4 points

Daniel Lynch IV’s CH usage (33.3%) up 11.1 points

George Kirby’s ST usage (34.4%) up 16.4 points

JR Ritchie’s FF usage (34.1%) up 13.6 points

Jack Weisenburger’s FF usage (40.4%) up 10.2 points

Keider Montero’s SL usage (33.7%) up 13.1 points

Nick Martinez’s SI usage (41.7%) up 15.7 points

Robbie Ray’s SI usage (44.3%) up 37.8 points

Shota Imanaga’s FS usage (47.0%) up 13.7 points

Xzavion Curry’s FF usage (55.7%) up 19.0 points

Yusei Kikuchi’s FS usage (16.2%) up 11.3 points

Zack Wheeler’s FS usage (23.1%) up 10.8 points

Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts

Kyle Freeland Sinker: +20.8%

Spencer Miles Sinker: +18.1%

Andre Pallante 4-Seam Fastball: +16.3%

Ian Seymour Sinker: +16.0%

Ian Seymour Sweeper: -15.7%

Robbie Ray Sinker: +15.6%

Andrew Painter Changeup: +15.3%

Kyle Freeland 4-Seam Fastball: -15.3%

Walbert Urena 4-Seam Fastball: -14.6%

Ryan Johnson Sweeper: +13.7%

Nolan McLean Sweeper: -13.2%

Walbert Urena Sinker: +13.2%

Grayson Rodriguez 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%

Jose Soriano 4-Seam Fastball: -13.1%

Ryan Johnson Sinker: -12.9%

Gabriel Hughes 4-Seam Fastball: -12.8%

Cade Cavalli Sweeper: +12.8%

Shota Imanaga Split-Finger: +12.8%

Lake Bachar 4-Seam Fastball: +12.8%

Connor Prielipp Sinker: +12.4%

Grant Holmes Slider: -12.4%

Bad Luck Pitchers - Last 15 Days

Reynaldo Lopez - 46.0 RISP H%, 0.444 BABIP, 50.0 HR/FB, 190.0 Luck Score

Tommy Nance - 70.0 RISP H%, 0.389 BABIP, 43.0 HR/FB, 189.0 Luck Score

Gage Jump - 36.0 RISP H%, 0.529 BABIP, 100.0 HR/FB, 186.0 Luck Score

Riley O’Brien - 50.0 RISP H%, 0.333 BABIP, 50.0 HR/FB, 176.0 Luck Score

George Soriano - 56.0 RISP H%, 0.471 BABIP, 20.0 HR/FB, 173.0 Luck Score

Brad Lord - 42.0 RISP H%, 0.345 BABIP, 29.0 HR/FB, 165.0 Luck Score

Nolan McLean - 25.0 RISP H%, 0.438 BABIP, 40.0 HR/FB, 164.0 Luck Score

Shane Drohan - 25.0 RISP H%, 0.381 BABIP, 36.0 HR/FB, 159.0 Luck Score

Joey Cantillo - 31.0 RISP H%, 0.367 BABIP, 29.0 HR/FB, 159.0 Luck Score

George Kirby - 38.0 RISP H%, 0.358 BABIP, 22.0 HR/FB, 157.0 Luck Score

Good Luck Pitchers - Last 15 Days

Bryan Woo - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.121 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 12.0 Luck Score

Landen Roupp - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.209 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 24.0 Luck Score

Cristian Javier - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.179 BABIP, 6.0 HR/FB, 24.0 Luck Score

Erick Fedde - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.182 BABIP, 7.0 HR/FB, 27.0 Luck Score

Hagen Smith - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.24 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 33.0 Luck Score

Cam Schlittler - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.1 BABIP, 12.0 HR/FB, 33.0 Luck Score

Julian Garcia - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.25 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 34.0 Luck Score

Framber Valdez - 11.0 RISP H%, 0.225 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 38.0 Luck Score

Freddy Peralta - 20.0 RISP H%, 0.156 BABIP, 0.0 HR/FB, 40.0 Luck Score

Zack Wheeler - 0.0 RISP H%, 0.239 BABIP, 8.0 HR/FB, 42.0 Luck Score

CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Gavin Williams - 73 TBF, 38.2% CSW%

Cade Cavalli - 63 TBF, 37.2% CSW%

Jared Jones - 91 TBF, 35.8% CSW%

Ian Seymour - 63 TBF, 34.3% CSW%

Payton Tolle - 70 TBF, 34.3% CSW%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 99 TBF, 33.2% CSW%

Cam Schlittler - 95 TBF, 33.2% CSW%

Kevin Gausman - 95 TBF, 33.1% CSW%

Chris Sale - 85 TBF, 32.7% CSW%

Tyler Glasnow - 72 TBF, 32.7% CSW%

K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 42.7% K%

Gavin Williams - 73 TBF, 42.5% K%

Cade Cavalli - 63 TBF, 39.7% K%

Hunter Brown - 91 TBF, 37.4% K%

Blake Snell - 70 TBF, 37.1% K%

Cam Schlittler - 95 TBF, 36.8% K%

Payton Tolle - 70 TBF, 35.7% K%

Jared Jones - 91 TBF, 35.2% K%

Ian Seymour - 63 TBF, 34.9% K%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 99 TBF, 33.3% K%

K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 40.2% K-BB%

Gavin Williams - 73 TBF, 32.9% K-BB%

Cade Cavalli - 63 TBF, 31.7% K-BB%

Ian Seymour - 63 TBF, 31.7% K-BB%

Payton Tolle - 70 TBF, 31.4% K-BB%

Hunter Brown - 91 TBF, 30.8% K-BB%

Logan Henderson - 85 TBF, 30.6% K-BB%

Jared Jones - 91 TBF, 29.7% K-BB%

Cam Schlittler - 95 TBF, 29.5% K-BB%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 99 TBF, 27.3% K-BB%

GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks

Cade Cavalli - 63 TBF, 69.0% GB%

Andre Pallante - 65 TBF, 66.7% GB%

Walbert Urena - 79 TBF, 62.1% GB%

Clay Holmes - 73 TBF, 61.7% GB%

Cristopher Sanchez - 104 TBF, 60.0% GB%

Jose Soriano - 103 TBF, 59.5% GB%

Framber Valdez - 74 TBF, 59.3% GB%

Hunter Brown - 91 TBF, 56.9% GB%

Brayan Bello - 64 TBF, 55.6% GB%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 99 TBF, 55.0% GB%

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks

Cade Cavalli - 63 TBF, 39.7 K%, 7.9 BB%, 69.0% GB%

Cam Schlittler - 95 TBF, 36.8 K%, 7.4 BB%, 46.2% GB%

Emmet Sheehan - 42 TBF, 35.7 K%, 4.8 BB%, 52.0% GB%

Gordon Graceffo - 53 TBF, 37.7 K%, 5.7 BB%, 58.6% GB%

Hunter Brown - 91 TBF, 37.4 K%, 6.6 BB%, 56.9% GB%

Jacob deGrom - 82 TBF, 42.7 K%, 2.4 BB%, 44.2% GB%

Jesus Luzardo - 57 TBF, 31.6 K%, 3.5 BB%, 48.6% GB%

Jonah Tong - 44 TBF, 29.5 K%, 4.5 BB%, 46.4% GB%

Kevin Gausman - 95 TBF, 29.5 K%, 5.3 BB%, 50.0% GB%

Logan Gilbert - 97 TBF, 33.0 K%, 7.2 BB%, 48.2% GB%

Payton Tolle - 70 TBF, 35.7 K%, 4.3 BB%, 45.0% GB%

Reid Detmers - 94 TBF, 28.7 K%, 2.1 BB%, 50.0% GB%

Tarik Skubal - 99 TBF, 27.3 K%, 4.0 BB%, 45.6% GB%

Tommy Nance - 42 TBF, 31.0 K%, 4.8 BB%, 46.2% GB%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - 99 TBF, 33.3 K%, 6.1 BB%, 55.0% GB%

Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career

Cal Quantrill - +3.6% CSW%, -4.6 BB%

Hunter Brown - +3.2% CSW%, -2.3 BB%

Jared Jones - +4.9% CSW%, -2.3 BB%

Trevor Rogers - +2.1% CSW%, -6.1 BB%

Payton Tolle - +5.4% CSW%, -2.6 BB%

Ian Seymour - +3.4% CSW%, -3.2 BB%

Jesus Luzardo - +4.1% CSW%, -4.0 BB%

Hitter Reports

Multiple Barrels

Josh Jung (TEX) 5 PA, 10 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 2 HR

New Max Launch Velos

Hardest Hit Balls

Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 113.1mph - home_run

Cal Raleigh (SEA) - 112.4mph - double

Jared Young (NYM) - 111.9mph - single

Junior Caminero (TB) - 111.1mph - None

Austin Wells (NYY) - 110.8mph - None

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) - 110.7mph - double

Ryan McMahon (NYY) - 110.7mph - None

Jose Ramirez (CLE) - 110.6mph - double

Jackson Merrill (SD) - 110.6mph - single

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL) - 110.4mph - home_run

Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison

Top 10

Braden Montgomery - 62 PA, 0.211 wOBA, 0.353 xwOBA, 0.142 Diff

Jung Hoo Lee - 75 PA, 0.222 wOBA, 0.33 xwOBA, 0.108 Diff

Bryson Stott - 65 PA, 0.203 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, 0.097 Diff

Bobby Witt Jr. - 78 PA, 0.286 wOBA, 0.371 xwOBA, 0.085 Diff

Angel Genao - 56 PA, 0.201 wOBA, 0.284 xwOBA, 0.083 Diff

Jarren Duran - 57 PA, 0.21 wOBA, 0.289 xwOBA, 0.079 Diff

Daulton Varsho - 70 PA, 0.199 wOBA, 0.275 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff

J.T. Realmuto - 58 PA, 0.257 wOBA, 0.333 xwOBA, 0.076 Diff

Bryan Reynolds - 75 PA, 0.331 wOBA, 0.398 xwOBA, 0.067 Diff

Corbin Carroll - 70 PA, 0.224 wOBA, 0.29 xwOBA, 0.066 Diff

Bottom 10

Alex Bregman - 82 PA, 0.511 wOBA, 0.368 xwOBA, -0.143 Diff

Travis Bazzana - 59 PA, 0.452 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, -0.116 Diff

Cody Bellinger - 85 PA, 0.406 wOBA, 0.302 xwOBA, -0.104 Diff

Yainer Diaz - 58 PA, 0.4 wOBA, 0.3 xwOBA, -0.1 Diff

Brandon Lowe - 63 PA, 0.446 wOBA, 0.347 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff

Trevor Story - 59 PA, 0.345 wOBA, 0.246 xwOBA, -0.099 Diff

Max Clark - 71 PA, 0.414 wOBA, 0.316 xwOBA, -0.098 Diff

Gabriel Moreno - 79 PA, 0.432 wOBA, 0.336 xwOBA, -0.096 Diff

Rafael Devers - 67 PA, 0.541 wOBA, 0.445 xwOBA, -0.096 Diff

Nolan Arenado - 73 PA, 0.392 wOBA, 0.299 xwOBA, -0.093 Diff

Last 10 Days - xwOBA Over Expectation - Top 15

Kazuma Okamoto: 36.0 PA, +0.218 xwOBA OE

Brice Turang: 36.0 PA, +0.203 xwOBA OE

Elly De La Cruz: 36.0 PA, +0.191 xwOBA OE

Victor Mesa Jr.: 29.0 PA, +0.178 xwOBA OE

Jackson Merrill: 41.0 PA, +0.157 xwOBA OE

Teoscar Hernandez: 31.0 PA, +0.151 xwOBA OE

Kevin McGonigle: 41.0 PA, +0.125 xwOBA OE

Coby Mayo: 40.0 PA, +0.12 xwOBA OE

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 42.0 PA, +0.116 xwOBA OE

Carter Jensen: 34.0 PA, +0.114 xwOBA OE

Alec Bohm: 33.0 PA, +0.105 xwOBA OE

Zach Neto: 41.0 PA, +0.1 xwOBA OE

Pete Alonso: 42.0 PA, +0.099 xwOBA OE

Wilyer Abreu: 32.0 PA, +0.091 xwOBA OE

Mookie Betts: 36.0 PA, +0.09 xwOBA OE

Last 10 Days - xwOBA Over Expectation - Bottom 15

Ernie Clement: 33.0 PA, -0.176 xwOBA OE

Jackson Holliday: 31.0 PA, -0.173 xwOBA OE

Christian Moore: 36.0 PA, -0.173 xwOBA OE

Kyle Stowers: 38.0 PA, -0.157 xwOBA OE

Daulton Varsho: 30.0 PA, -0.155 xwOBA OE

Hector Rodriguez: 29.0 PA, -0.139 xwOBA OE

Nathan Lukes: 29.0 PA, -0.137 xwOBA OE

Brandon Nimmo: 34.0 PA, -0.131 xwOBA OE

Jose Altuve: 33.0 PA, -0.122 xwOBA OE

Tommy Edman: 35.0 PA, -0.12 xwOBA OE

Ozzie Albies: 39.0 PA, -0.116 xwOBA OE

Munetaka Murakami: 34.0 PA, -0.114 xwOBA OE

Tristan Peters: 35.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE

Yandy Diaz: 35.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE

Dylan Beavers: 39.0 PA, -0.112 xwOBA OE

Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders

Elly De La Cruz - 76 PA, 45 BIP, 16 Brls, 35.6 Brl%

Carter Jensen - 75 PA, 45 BIP, 11 Brls, 24.4 Brl%

Rafael Devers - 67 PA, 42 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.8 Brl%

Eugenio Suarez - 60 PA, 32 BIP, 7 Brls, 21.9 Brl%

Teoscar Hernandez - 75 PA, 46 BIP, 10 Brls, 21.7 Brl%

Jackson Merrill - 78 PA, 62 BIP, 13 Brls, 21.0 Brl%

Pete Crow-Armstrong - 90 PA, 62 BIP, 13 Brls, 21.0 Brl%

Kazuma Okamoto - 73 PA, 48 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.8 Brl%

Cal Raleigh - 79 PA, 46 BIP, 9 Brls, 19.6 Brl%

Riley Greene - 61 PA, 43 BIP, 8 Brls, 18.6 Brl%

Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders

Pete Crow-Armstrong - 90 PA, 0.493 xwOBA

Elly De La Cruz - 76 PA, 0.49 xwOBA

Carter Jensen - 75 PA, 0.478 xwOBA

Jackson Merrill - 78 PA, 0.473 xwOBA

Kazuma Okamoto - 73 PA, 0.452 xwOBA

Riley Greene - 61 PA, 0.451 xwOBA

Rafael Devers - 67 PA, 0.445 xwOBA

Teoscar Hernandez - 75 PA, 0.443 xwOBA

Jake Bauers - 69 PA, 0.433 xwOBA

Garrett Mitchell - 53 PA, 0.424 xwOBA

Last 3 Weeks - Contact% Leaders

Luis Arraez - 73 PA, 125 Swings, 96.0 Cont%

Steven Kwan - 81 PA, 131 Swings, 92.4 Cont%

Ernie Clement - 69 PA, 118 Swings, 92.4 Cont%

Nico Hoerner - 79 PA, 142 Swings, 90.8 Cont%

T.J. Rumfield - 76 PA, 123 Swings, 90.2 Cont%

Cooper Pratt - 60 PA, 113 Swings, 89.4 Cont%

J.P. Crawford - 83 PA, 123 Swings, 89.4 Cont%

Myles Straw - 47 PA, 72 Swings, 88.9 Cont%

Geraldo Perdomo - 81 PA, 134 Swings, 88.8 Cont%

Sam Antonacci - 73 PA, 123 Swings, 88.6 Cont%

Last 10 Days - SB Attempt Leaders

Jonah Cox - 7 Attempts (4 steals)

John Rave - 4 Attempts (3 steals)

Bobby Witt Jr. - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

Pete Crow-Armstrong - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

Henry Bolte - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

Fernando Tatis Jr. - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

John Peck - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

Anthony Volpe - 4 Attempts (4 steals)

Jorge Mateo - 4 Attempts (3 steals)

Richie Palacios - 4 Attempts (3 steals)

Garrett Mitchell - 4 Attempts (2 steals)

Max Clark - 4 Attempts (3 steals)

Last 30 Days - SB Attempt Leaders

Jonah Cox - 13 Attempts (9 steals)

Bobby Witt Jr. - 11 Attempts (9 steals)

Jorge Mateo - 10 Attempts (8 steals)

Jazz Chisholm Jr. - 10 Attempts (8 steals)

Oneil Cruz - 9 Attempts (6 steals)

A.J. Ewing - 9 Attempts (8 steals)

Chandler Simpson - 9 Attempts (7 steals)

Nasim Nunez - 9 Attempts (6 steals)

Jake McCarthy - 9 Attempts (9 steals)

Otto Lopez - 8 Attempts (7 steals)

Fernando Tatis Jr. - 7 Attempts (7 steals)

Zack Gelof - 7 Attempts (6 steals)

Miguel Vargas - 7 Attempts (7 steals)

Jackson Chourio - 7 Attempts (6 steals)

Magic Formula Qualifiers - Hitters - Last 3 Weeks

Corey Seager - 79 PA, 16.5 K%, 15.5 Brl%

Jackson Merrill - 78 PA, 15.4 K%, 21.0 Brl%

Junior Caminero - 77 PA, 19.5 K%, 15.8 Brl%

Mickey Gasper - 54 PA, 16.7 K%, 15.2 Brl%

Ronald Acuna Jr. - 83 PA, 16.9 K%, 14.5 Brl%

Last 30 Days - xwOBA Improvers

Mickey Gasper - 87 PA, +0.236 xwOBA

Carter Jensen - 108 PA, +0.151 xwOBA

Kazuma Okamoto - 107 PA, +0.133 xwOBA

Pete Crow-Armstrong - 130 PA, +0.106 xwOBA

Coby Mayo - 102 PA, +0.104 xwOBA

Elly De La Cruz - 127 PA, +0.1 xwOBA

T.J. Rumfield - 114 PA, +0.085 xwOBA

Teoscar Hernandez - 104 PA, +0.082 xwOBA

Rafael Devers - 105 PA, +0.073 xwOBA

Jackson Merrill - 116 PA, +0.07 xwOBA

Last 30 Days - Brl% Improvers

Mickey Gasper - 87 PA, +16.6 Brl%

Elly De La Cruz - 127 PA, +14.5 Brl%

Carter Jensen - 108 PA, +9.8 Brl%

Teoscar Hernandez - 104 PA, +9.0 Brl%

Daylen Lile - 105 PA, +8.2 Brl%

Rafael Devers - 105 PA, +7.8 Brl%

Tim Tawa - 103 PA, +7.8 Brl%

Kazuma Okamoto - 107 PA, +7.5 Brl%

Jake Burger - 103 PA, +7.0 Brl%

Pete Crow-Armstrong - 130 PA, +6.0 Brl%

Last 30 Days - Cont% Improvers

Brady House - 83 PA, +13.7 Cont%

Nathan Church - 95 PA, +8.3 Cont%

J.P. Crawford - 89 PA, +7.6 Cont%

Travis Bazzana - 94 PA, +7.3 Cont%

Seiya Suzuki - 128 PA, +6.9 Cont%

Connor Norby - 101 PA, +6.2 Cont%

Christian Moore - 93 PA, +6.0 Cont%

Josh Naylor - 114 PA, +6.0 Cont%

Lawrence Butler - 119 PA, +5.5 Cont%

Gunnar Henderson - 115 PA, +5.5 Cont%

Last 30 Days - K% Improvers

Brady House - 83 PA, -11.8 K%

Travis Bazzana - 94 PA, -10.7 K%

Nathan Church - 95 PA, -9.9 K%

Marcus Semien - 104 PA, -9.8 K%

Kazuma Okamoto - 107 PA, -9.3 K%

Braden Montgomery - 101 PA, -7.6 K%

Vinnie Pasquantino - 110 PA, -6.5 K%

Christian Moore - 93 PA, -6.4 K%

Mickey Gasper - 87 PA, -6.4 K%

Coby Mayo - 102 PA, -6.3 K%

Last 7 Days - Bat Speed Increasers (75th Percentile)

Elly De La Cruz: +4.25

Jackson Merrill: +3.25

Jake Mangum: +2.45

Javier Sanoja: +2.32

Alec Burleson: +1.95

Last 7 Days - Bat Speed Decreasers (75th Percentile)

Jackson Holliday: -3.17

Sam Antonacci: -2.9

Gunnar Henderson: -2.58

Brayan Rocchio: -2.5

Michael Massey: -2.4

Super Ultra Mega Hot Hitters - Last 15 Days

Bryan Reynolds - 0.429 xwOBA, 20.5% Brl%, 78.4% Contact%, 21.5% Chase%, 20.0% K%

Fernando Tatis Jr. - 0.397 xwOBA, 11.9% Brl%, 80.4% Contact%, 25.0% Chase%, 17.2% K%

Kyle Tucker - 0.384 xwOBA, 15.4% Brl%, 85.1% Contact%, 15.2% Chase%, 12.7% K%

Mookie Betts - 0.396 xwOBA, 13.3% Brl%, 84.0% Contact%, 24.3% Chase%, 11.7% K%

Pete Alonso - 0.425 xwOBA, 17.9% Brl%, 82.1% Contact%, 22.3% Chase%, 22.2% K%

Cold Hitters - Last 2 Weeks

Jarren Duran - 39.2% Whiff%, 81.0% Weak%, 0.965 Cold Rating

Jorge Mateo - 36.4% Whiff%, 84.2% Weak%, 0.957 Cold Rating

Jordan Walker - 40.4% Whiff%, 74.1% Weak%, 0.946 Cold Rating

Freddie Freeman - 35.4% Whiff%, 76.0% Weak%, 0.926 Cold Rating

Christian Moore - 34.7% Whiff%, 75.9% Weak%, 0.915 Cold Rating

Munetaka Murakami - 48.4% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.914 Cold Rating

Evan Carter - 43.1% Whiff%, 70.6% Weak%, 0.91 Cold Rating

JJ Bleday - 37.2% Whiff%, 72.0% Weak%, 0.892 Cold Rating

Sean Murphy - 34.9% Whiff%, 72.2% Weak%, 0.879 Cold Rating

Colson Montgomery - 39.8% Whiff%, 68.4% Weak%, 0.874 Cold Rating

Minor League Reports

Top Minor League Hitting Performances - Yesterday

Allan Castro (BOS): 2/3, 2R, 2HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 34FPts

Cortland Lawson (WSH): 3/4, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 33FPts

Jasson Dominguez (NYY): 3/3, 3R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 30FPts

Brandon Butterworth (BAL): 3/4, 1R, 1HR, 1RBI, 2SB, 30FPts

Chase Davis (STL): 1/2, 2R, 1HR, 4RBI, 0SB, 28FPts

Brett Wisely (ATL): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 1SB, 28FPts

Jefferson Rojas (NYM): 3/3, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 26FPts

Niko Kavadas (LAA): 3/5, 2R, 1HR, 3RBI, 0SB, 26FPts

Seaver King (WSH): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 2RBI, 0SB, 25FPts

Christian Franklin (BAL): 2/4, 2R, 1HR, 1RBI, 1SB, 24FPts

Top Minor League Pitching Performances - Yesterday

Jackson Ferris (LAD): 0 Pitches, 7IP, 1H, 0ER, 13K, 1BB, 46FPts

Yu-Min Lin (ARI): 0 Pitches, 7IP, 2H, 1ER, 6K, 0BB, 28FPts

Kade Morris (OAK): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 1H, 0ER, 5K, 2BB, 25FPts

Aaron Rozek (MIN): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 5K, 1BB, 21FPts

Brett Sears (ATL): 0 Pitches, 6IP, 5H, 3ER, 8K, 1BB, 20FPts

Jackson Wolf (DET): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 5H, 1ER, 5K, 2BB, 20FPts

Jurrangelo Cijntje (STL): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 0ER, 3K, 2BB, 19FPts

Alan Rangel (PHI): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 6H, 4ER, 10K, 2BB, 18FPts

Joel Hurtado (LAA): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 2H, 1ER, 4K, 4BB, 17FPts

Jonathan Santucci (NYM): 0 Pitches, 5IP, 3H, 3ER, 6K, 3BB, 14FPts

AA-AAA OPS Leaders

Rainiel Rodriguez (AA - STL) 402 PA 0.999 OPS

Sterlin Thompson (AAA - COL) 391 PA 0.992 OPS

Franklin Arias (AAA - BOS) 507 PA 0.956 OPS

Jake Gelof (AA - LAD) 522 PA 0.95 OPS

James Tibbs III (AAA - LAD) 628 PA 0.947 OPS

Devin Taylor (AAA - OAK) 379 PA 0.932 OPS

Cooper Ingle (AAA - CLE) 463 PA 0.932 OPS

Ralphy Velazquez (AAA - CLE) 530 PA 0.931 OPS

Danny Serretti (AA - ARI) 441 PA 0.93 OPS

Bryan Rincon (AA - PHI) 534 PA 0.927 OPS

Marco Luciano (AAA - NYY) 480 PA 0.922 OPS

Brett Squires (AAA - KC) 536 PA 0.915 OPS

Xavier Isaac (AAA - TB) 487 PA 0.914 OPS

Brooks Brannon (AA - BOS) 397 PA 0.913 OPS

Jordan Groshans (AAA - ATL) 488 PA 0.913 OPS

Pablo Reyes (AAA - LAA) 459 PA 0.911 OPS

Cayden Wallace (AAA - WSH) 544 PA 0.903 OPS

Owen Ayers (AAA - CHC) 467 PA 0.903 OPS

Seaver King (AAA - WSH) 499 PA 0.901 OPS

Charlie Condon (AAA - COL) 581 PA 0.901 OPS

AA-AAA Pitching K-BB% Leaders

Ryan Sloan (AA - SEA) 106 IP 28.6% K-BB

Brett Sears (AAA - ATL) 126 IP 25.2% K-BB

Adam Seminaris (AA - PHI) 138 IP 22.9% K-BB

Daniel Eagen (AA - STL) 122 IP 22.7% K-BB

Bryce Mayer (AAA - HOU) 98 IP 21.1% K-BB

Carlos Pena (AA - DET) 109 IP 21.0% K-BB

Brendan Beck (AAA - NYY) 135 IP 20.6% K-BB

Gage Ziehl (AAA - BOS) 116 IP 20.4% K-BB

Brandon White - 681449 (AAA - MIA) 105 IP 20.3% K-BB

Hayden Mullins (AA - BOS) 95 IP 20.0% K-BB

Tyson Hardin (AAA - MIL) 119 IP 19.7% K-BB

Mason Molina (AAA - STL) 118 IP 18.7% K-BB

John Holobetz (AAA - BOS) 115 IP 18.6% K-BB

Logan Allen - 671106 (AAA - CLE) 103 IP 18.2% K-BB

Joe Whitman (AAA - SF) 129 IP 18.1% K-BB

Connor McCullough (AA - CWS) 108 IP 18.0% K-BB

Jonathan Santucci (AAA - NYM) 125 IP 17.9% K-BB

Austin Gordon (AA - LAA) 124 IP 17.8% K-BB

Liam Doyle (AA - STL) 103 IP 17.5% K-BB

Caden Favors (AA - CLE) 128 IP 17.0% K-BB

Today’s SP Streamer Picks

Brady Singer (32.0% Owned): Projected 5.47IP 2.82ER 4.62SO 2.63BB 11.91FPts

Erick Fedde (5.0% Owned): Projected 5.41IP 2.55ER 3.87SO 1.98BB 11.6FPts

Seth Lugo (46.0% Owned): Projected 5.36IP 2.68ER 3.48SO 1.7BB 10.1FPts

OPS Leaders - Last 2 Weeks - LOW OWNED HITTERS

Victor Mesa Jr. - 29 PA, 1.403 OPS

Travis Bazzana - 34 PA, 1.227 OPS

Garrett Mitchell - 28 PA, 1.173 OPS

Connor Norby - 27 PA, 1.153 OPS

A.J. Ewing - 38 PA, 1.094 OPS

Christian Encarnacion-Strand - 35 PA, 1.013 OPS

Coby Mayo - 40 PA, 0.992 OPS

Christian Koss - 33 PA, 0.954 OPS

Kyle Teel - 29 PA, 0.933 OPS

Nathan Church - 36 PA, 0.896 OPS

Today’s Hitter Streamer Picks

Josue De Paula CF (23.0% Owned): Projected 0.85R 0.14HR 0.59RBI 0.93SO 0.65BB 0.22SB 9.53FPts

Dane Myers OF (2.0% Owned): Projected 0.72R 0.14HR 0.5RBI 1.3SO 0.44BB 0.14SB 8.51FPts

Ty France 1B (43.0% Owned): Projected 0.64R 0.16HR 0.74RBI 0.75SO 0.2BB 0.02SB 8.32FPts

Dustin Harris OF (1.0% Owned): Projected 0.65R 0.08HR 0.58RBI 0.68SO 0.3BB 0.21SB 8.11FPts

Hao-Yu Lee nan (7.0% Owned): Projected 0.56R 0.16HR 0.61RBI 0.92SO 0.3BB 0.08SB 7.96FPts

A.J. Ewing 2B (47.0% Owned): Projected 0.53R 0.12HR 0.54RBI 1.05SO 0.38BB 0.24SB 7.95FPts

Daulton Varsho C (49.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.18HR 0.58RBI 0.82SO 0.33BB 0.07SB 7.87FPts

Tyler Stephenson C (35.0% Owned): Projected 0.58R 0.18HR 0.67RBI 1.47SO 0.46BB 0.01SB 7.84FPts

MLB Data Warehouse

MLB Daily Notes - September 17